Playing the I fund

[frokker]

G -------
F + .01
C + .08
S + .12
I + .06

 

[ebbnflow]

Thanks, frokker! Maybe today was just a preview of more fireworks to come. Got to love the smell of gunpowder.

 

[frokker]

I hope so! The I is over due for a BIG push up!

 

[Fivetears]

The NIKKEI is at 60.49 (0.38%) as post time stamped.
The AORD is at 17.50 (0.35%) as post time stamped.

Headed down.

 

[Wheels]

Of the top 5 people in the TSP Tally, 4 are in the I fund for today. Then there's me sitting in the G. Something tells me I am going to get left behind again today.

 

[airlift]

My very best wishes to all! In a very real sense, I was lucky to have taken a calculated risk before the FED's decision. I don't want to contemplate the extent of the loss that I would have experienced if the I fund had plummeted. I know it can still happen if a correction occurs soon. You more experienced guys/gals, when do you believe that FV or some sort of rebalancing will be carried out by Barclays Global? Thanks in advance!

 

[frokker]

My very best wishes to all! In a very real sense, I was lucky to have taken a calculated risk before the FED's decision. I don't want to contemplate the extent of the loss that I would have experienced if the I fund had plummeted. I know it can still happen if a correction occurs soon. You more experienced guys/gals, when do you believe that FV or some sort of rebalancing will be carried out by Barclays Global? Thanks in advance!

I think we are even now.

 

[fedgolfer]

was considering moving to the g-fund today but EAFE seems to have some gas left in the tank on the charts, check $iee on stockcharts with fast stoch/bollinger bands and parabolic SAR -- all still bulish even though it feels awfully overbought. If people can provide better charts and indicators to swing trade the EAFE, please share!!!!!!

Probably hold out and then IFTto G fund on Friday for Monday's penny.

 

[Gilligan]

Ball park estimate: gain of 16 cents

 

[ATCJeff]

Fedgolfer wrote.....

Probably hold out and then IFTto G fund on Friday for Monday's penny.

That's my plan as well.

Jeff

 

[ATCJeff]

Though the bond market is on fire. How much higher can it go? That's the real question.

Jeff

 

[fedgolfer]

Though the bond market is on fire. How much higher can it go? That's the real question.

Jeff

ever since the Fed paused rates the F-fund has not retraced below its 20-day MA. I can't think of anything to make it go below that except another Fed rate hike... hopefully somebody w/ more knowledge can enlighten me on factors that will make the f-fund break the pattern?

 

[FUTURESTRADER]

$tnx making new 6 month low today, heading into oversold, where it can continue for a few days

 

[ebbnflow]

Dollar just tanked after Philly Fed! C and S-fund taking a hit, but should cushion the blow for the I-fund.

 

[FUTURESTRADER]

$tnx making new 6 month low today, heading into oversold, where it can continue for a few days

quoting myself

also quoting bloomberg analyst at 2 pm, shesees $tnx as low as 4.38%, another 6.5% lower. Don't know how that translates to F fund, except higher

 

[nnuut]

Dollar Index -0.51, WoW!

 

[ebbnflow]

MSCI EAFE = +.667% or +.13 cents

Don't know about the FV though with the big dollar drop and all.

 

[Pilgrim]

Anyone care to guess how Barclays will sort this out??

 

[FundSurfer]

I'm betting no FV. Yes the dollar dropped after noon which should boost I-fund to FV. However, US markets dropped hard and futures dropped as well. This makes the cost of OSM in the morning less clear. I therefore think the dollar drop and the market drop will cancel each other out in the minds of the Barclay guessers. JMHO.

 

[ATCJeff]

ever since the Fed paused rates the F-fund has not retraced below its 20-day MA. I can't think of anything to make it go below that except another Fed rate hike... hopefully somebody w/ more knowledge can enlighten me on factors that will make the f-fund break the pattern?

I only have two rules for the F fund...

1. When rates are rising, stay away.
2. When rates are falling, climb aboard.

I do not have enough experience to judge the F fund when rates are steady. I could also you some expert thoughts on the F fund.

Jeff