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Market Talk / Oct. 29 - Nov. 4
- Thread starter Spaf
- Start date
Oldcoin
Member
Not much news on the drop....here's one from the talking heads.
Oil Slips Below $59 on Signs U.S. Supplies Rose, Warmer Weather
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aS7QcRL4JILg&refer=home
nnuut
Moderator | TSP Legend
And there is more to come!
nnuut
Moderator | TSP Legend
Oldcoin
Member
Just heard a floor trader on Bloomberg say that a lot of the traders were covering their positions, I just checked the put/call ratio and VIX and they both moved pretty good today. I’m not sure about this, but could a market exit be made by smart money in a way that doesn’t alert the dumb money or would they even care?
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
Daily Yak
Yak, Doodles & Tea Leaves
Kingdom Yak:
Pro-Yak....................................Lube down 4%, reported as lowest since July 2005.
Con-Yak...................................Indicators turning down!
Jester-Yak................................But still a day of Doji indecision!
Doodles:
Socks [$SPX] Closed at..............1377.93, up +0.59
Stops......................................Alert: 1376. Trail: 1363
Trend (MACD-Hist)....................decreasing at -0.758.
Overbought/sold (S-STO)...........[80] 82.56 [20] dropping.
Lube (NYM) Closed at.................58.36, dn -2.39
Oil Markers...............................<70= ok, 70-75= worry, >75= panic.
Tea Leaves:
Yakndoodles.............................Yellow.
The Kingdom of TSP
Daily Edition
October 30, 2006 Closing
Daily Edition
October 30, 2006 Closing
Yak, Doodles & Tea Leaves
Kingdom Yak:
Pro-Yak....................................Lube down 4%, reported as lowest since July 2005.
Con-Yak...................................Indicators turning down!
Jester-Yak................................But still a day of Doji indecision!
Doodles:
Socks [$SPX] Closed at..............1377.93, up +0.59
Stops......................................Alert: 1376. Trail: 1363
Trend (MACD-Hist)....................decreasing at -0.758.
Overbought/sold (S-STO)...........[80] 82.56 [20] dropping.
Lube (NYM) Closed at.................58.36, dn -2.39
Oil Markers...............................<70= ok, 70-75= worry, >75= panic.
Tea Leaves:
Yakndoodles.............................Yellow.
The_Technician
Active member
I saw it happening on the market overview today.....I think the adv/dec'rs change leading position twice today....very mixed.....
Oldcoin
Member
So far so good! I have my fingers crossed for those two 10am numbers.
James48843
Well-known member
You know, even with this give and take here- the "F" fund is starting to look very good again. Solid the last couple of days. While the "I" is bouncing back today, the "S" and "C" aren't quite as strong as they have been in the recent past. Perhaps a good chance to reexamine the merits of the "F" fund.
I think that may become my parking lot again soon.
I think that may become my parking lot again soon.
The_Technician
Active member
You know, I believe I'm seeing the market weakening already....but I remind you that this is an early observation and I could be wrong....we are in a time of radical moves market wide so you really never know...do we....
fabijo
Well-known member
I've noticed the solidness of the F fund, too. I read somewhere that the bond market tends to be more "right" than the stock market. Is there any merit to that? If smart money has been creating the bond market rally, could they know that we are headed for some sort of recession coming up next year? It's hard to imagine recession when I see people shopping like there's no tomorrow and taking out home equity loans - or could that lead to recession?
If the Dems win the coming elections and wind up controlling both houses, bet your bottom dollar... the dumb money party's over. The markets will recoil for a later strike in FY07. Just my dumb money opinion. :notrust:
Griffin
Well-known member
Look at the ten year note (^TNX) -
http://finance.yahoo.com/charts#chart2:symbol=^tnx;range=6m;compare=agg;charttype=line;crosshair=on;logscale=off;source=
it looks like a double bottom reversal pattern is forming....it's very tentative at this point, but.....what would that say about the bond market's ability to predict a recession?
FUTURESTRADER
Active member
looks like the 10 yr yield has support around 4.55%, that's about another 1.3% to the down side. It crossed in to oversold yesterday, and as the addage goes 'what's overbought/oversold, can stay overbought/oversold'. And (AGG) IS breaking out over it's previous high close.
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