Playing the I fund

I bailed this morning.


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The EAFE is meaningless. I only use it to guage the possibility of a FV.

Here's how I would've said it; If you bailed out on the 6th, you screwed YOURSELF out of .70%. If you jumped into the I fund on the 6th, you made agreat move and EARNED 1.03%.:)

OK.:)
 
G---
F+.02
C+.10
S+.20
I+.17-----looks like +.10 cent FV (remember they will correct it tomorrow or the following day)

Hopefully the I fund will have another positive day tomorrow and the I fund will be up over .10 cents so we still end in positive territory after the RFV. (reversal fair valuation)
 
The USD has declined somewhat in relation to the Yen and the Euro. Let's hope that the decline increases througout the afternoon and that the US markets stay on a rally mode this p.m. In a couple of minutes the oil inventories could rattle the markets and we are also waiting for the FED minutes to be released this p.m.
 
The USD has declined somewhat in relation to the Yen and the Euro. Let's hope that the decline increases througout the afternoon and that the US markets stay on a rally mode this p.m. In a couple of minutes the oil inventories could rattle the markets and we are also waiting for the FED minutes to be released this p.m.

I see that also, and am rethinking my prior comments. Postponed my day trip until afternoon. EAFE looks horrible but is unreliable. I still feel the I fund is owed some more. EZ is green and USD appears to be weakening. In my mind I wonder if I should take some off the table today because if the USD tanks this afternoon the OSM should react poorly to that. Course I thought the Nikkie would rally last night. :embarrest:

http://finance.yahoo.com/currency
 
I was in the i fund last year for the entire month of Nov and although it didn't go into red it also didn't produce profits like the S fund. I am seeing similar patter for this year. I've been looking at foreign exchange and why i fund seems to be strong during the month of Dec. I think it has something to do with overseas workers sending money to their country during the Dec holidays. Dollar seems to lose ground on the month of Dec as well. I wonder what people think about this...
 
See a lot of people jumping to the I fund today. I agree that foreign markets may go up early next week, but I also think the dollar has a chance to go up the next couple of days also. Of course, it may not either but I'm leaning towards up. The dollar hasn't been this low since August.

Looks like I finally got one right. I posted this one Nov 10th. Now if it'll just play along with me one more day and have the dollar tank tomorrow, I'll call a truce with the I fund..........................:D
 
http://www.federalreserve.gov/FOMC/MINUTES/20061025.htm

Below I have posted a comment by James. I haven't had time to read the link, but if the FED stays onhold, this could be quite positive for the I Fund. This assumes a declining dollar against the Yen and the Euro.-

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Re: Market Talk / Nov. 12 - Nov. 18
Nice reading the fed notes- thanks for the link!

Bottom line looked to me like they are saying- economy has good strengthening areas, and weakening areas, and, overall, fed rate should be flat. Enough belt tightening for now, thank you very much.

Just about what market anticipated it would say.
 
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If the market continues its uptrend as it did yesterday we may not have a -FV and possibly a +FV, cross your fingers, Dollar index +.15 at 13:50.:D

There will diffently not be a +FV or a -FV today. However maybe you meant a reversal of yesterdays +FV(.10), this could and probably will happen as CommTech said in a earlier post. I'm thinking they will take all 10 cents back this evening and we'll be "even" again. I guess there's a slight chance they may not take all 10 cents back this evening leaving part of yesterdays +FV(.10) for tomorrow. I just don't see this happening tonight. Markets and the dollar did not move enough after 12pm.
 
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