userque's Account talk

[airlift]

unfortunately no, but again, it can help you buy a new dishwasher, two-legged or otherwise.

Both Ebb and you, are doing very technical but interesting work here. Iis compelling to read what you are doing.

 

[userque]

still long tna

 

[Mapper]

I like this kind of work. Keep posting...I'll be following along.

 

[ebbnflow]

EbbCharts (margin account) is also long TNA.

 

[userque]

I expect to have the tally finished within the next several hours for EbbCharts and I...The TNA Challenge.

Also, I expect to have a NUGT/DUST version of my NN ready for prime time by next Monday...assuming I have no problems scraping all of the historical data for ^GDM.

(TNA/TZA track the W4500 nicely. NUGT/DUST don't. Hence the need for a separate NN.)

 

[userque]

EbbCharts,

For your records (let me know if you find that something's broke):

********************************************************

 

[userque]

TNA Challenge Results for 23 JUN 2014!
​

 

[userque]

Just found this for anyone curious about using Excel for Neural Networks.

http://www.trade2win.com/boards/tra...tor-mt4-using-neuroshell-125.html#post1847350

 

[userque]

IFT'd to 100% F-Fund based on NN. Effective today's close. 6-24-14

 

[jpcavin]

IFT'd to 100% F-Fund based on NN. Effective today's close. 6-24-14

Now you tell us :suspicious:

 

[userque]

Now you tell us :suspicious:

hehe, i'll try to say so sooner for you next time:toung:

 

[jpcavin]

hehe, i'll try to say so sooner for you next time:toung:

"Friends don't let friends buy and hold." I guess I have no friends and I can prove it. I have been a buy and hold investor since Summer of 2013. If you clue me in, you'll be my one and only friend. Thanks Bud! :toung:

 

[jpcavin]

TNA Challenge Results for 23 JUN 2014!
View attachment 29216​

This may be a stupid questions but can you explain how Ebbcharts position is 100% accurate compared to your 83.33% but your rate of return is higher?

 

[userque]

"Friends don't let friends buy and hold." I guess I have no friends and I can prove it. I have been a buy and hold investor since Summer of 2013. If you clue me in, you'll be my one and only friend. Thanks Bud! :toung:

lol...I'm sure you've got plenty of friends...but one more can't hurt!:toung:

 

[userque]

This may be a stupid questions but can you explain how Ebbcharts position is 100% accurate compared to your 83.33% but your rate of return is higher?

Good question.

Without looking at the chart, but explaining generally:

Ebb has been in cash more, and:

A trader can trade one day, be correct, and be at 100%

Another trader can trade all days, be right 70%, but that 70% could be all big moves, and therefore, have 'better' results.

 

[jpcavin]

Good question.

Without looking at the chart, but explaining generally:

Ebb has been in cash more, and:

A trader can trade one day, be correct, and be at 100%

Another trader can trade all days, be right 70%, but that 70% could be all big moves, and therefore, have 'better' results.

I knew it was a stupid question the minute I hit send. :laugh: That's for doing the thinking for me.

 

[userque]

I knew it was a stupid question the minute I hit send. :laugh: That's for doing the thinking for me.

...Happens to all of us

 

[userque]

I should note for the record that:

My NN doesn't evaluate the F-Fund. When it predicts a downturn in the S-Fund, it assumes the F-Fund will be a better option than the G-Fund. (As we all know, the may or may not be the actual case.) Then, after flowing to the F-fund, if it predicts an uptrend in the S-Fund, it will exit the F-fund and flow to the G-fund.

I eventually will modify it so that it uses actual F-fund data when it runs it's back-testing simulations.

 

[userque]

short tna for 6-25-14

 

[ebbnflow]

We wear short shorts.