Playing the I fund

[Gilligan]

I didn’t have time to get an estimate in before the deadline. I looks like the drop in the dollar will offset the drop of the local currency to come out to about even today.

 

[350zCommTech]

rym2001,

I use to visit that site all the time. Don't remember if I ever registered. I haven't been back there since my front tires were replaced.

 

[Gilligan]

Problem is that the dollar might rebound as well. Its been down all week, way below moving average.

I was just looking at the dollar last night and thinking it was close to the support bottom.

 

[Gilligan]

I was suprised by this as well, I guess I got the answer to my question. Anyway, I'm now looking for the Dollar index to float around 87.5 to 88.0. The last time I found myself waiting for the dollar drop (a couple of weeks ago), I backed out a day early because the market was looking like it was going to roll over. Unfortunately, I can see the same situation developing again.

Check out the chart, if you want to see my rationale.

Griffin, that was a good call that you made on the dollar on Oct 10th, The dollar was around 87.5 on Oct 13 before it started coming back down. Now is it headed to 87.7?

 

[fabijo]

On the weekly charts for the dollar index, it looks like we are on the handle of the cup and handle chart.

 

[Griffin]

Gilligan,
First, thanks. As for the other, Robo put me on the spot about that. I believe it is headed back up, which is why I moved over to the S-fund today.

With the EAFE positive .123% today, it's looking like a good move. I think the dollar is real hard to predict, other then it does stick to it's channels albeit loosely. I'm surprised your asking me, your the one with the ESP.

Griffin, that was a good call that you made on the dollar on Oct 10th, The dollar was around 87.5 on Oct 13 before it started coming back down. Now is it headed to 87.7?

 

[nnuut]

Dollar dropped pretty good today but I don't know about Monday -.33? http://www.advfn.com/p.php?pid=forex
Or should I say pretty BAD?

 

[Fivetears]

Now that's a very COLORFUL money page Mr. Nnuut. :nuts:

Dollar dropped pretty good today but I don't know about Monday -.33? http://www.advfn.com/p.php?pid=forex
Or should I say pretty BAD?

 

[nnuut]

PRETTY ain't it? Read the daily comments, great stuff!

 

[sugarandspice]

G+.01
F+.03
C-.12
S-.19
I+.03

 

[350zCommTech]

sugarandspice,

Thankyou very much for posting TSP prices. When I saw that you had post something in the I fund this early, I knew there was no FV.

 

[Fivetears]

Poked around the Foreign Currency News block. I couldn't find a daily comments area. Do ya have to do the free register thing? I really don't need more stock spam, or Viagra spam; the result (i've learned) of registering at most free sites. :nuts:

PRETTY ain't it? Read the daily comments, great stuff!

 

[Birchtree]

Fivetears,

What you need is a strong angle of tumescense to keep them away.

 

[Fivetears]

The EFA Chart goes -0.69% and the I goes 3 cents in the GREEN?

 

[Fivetears]

WOOD! Great Birch. It's tumescence... with a c.

Fivetears,

What you need is a strong angle of tumescense to keep them away.

 

[pyriel]

G+.01
F+.03
C-.12
S-.19
I+.03

Hey, somebody cheated me of my penny for Monday....;-(

 

[Fivetears]

Not me. :cheesy:

 

[rym2001]

up 2 pennies.

Thanks for the estimate.You almost got it.

 

[350zCommTech]

rym2001,

You're welcome.

I don't want to sound too anal but I'm still tweaking my I fund calculator. I think it's possible to get it very close. Today for example, I had the I fund at .115% while MSCI had it at .123%.

My big question right now, for anybody on the forum, is whether TSP uses whole figures for the prices such as $20.98, or is it something like $20.9832456. And when MSCI calculates the gain for the I fund to be .123%, did we get exactly 3 or was it more like 2.8765 or 2.56452 +20.984325?

 

[roguewave]

The above post was May 31, 2006.


Let me try and bound "..the next few months.." so as not to come across like a Mystic. I'm perceiving(high interest rates and oil prices will pretty much guarantee this) that we're in the initial stages of a more serious correction in equities throughout the world and this will last going forward the remaining part of this year and into the beginning of next year. HOWEVER, this could all change dependent on many scenarios involving differing policy shifts by the world's CB's. We could have a free for all in interest rate policy where each CB goes "rogue" thus doing away with what appears to be an ongoing coordinated interest rate event. Gold and oil(and commodities in general) should resume their bull markets for the next decade or so(probably longer).

Things should get pretty interesting as they pertain to bonds. Pay attention, it is my speculation that, Paulson's calling the tunes while Bernanke dances to the beat. They will do whatever it takes to protect their bonds and a MAJOR, if not ONLY way to do this, is by raising interest rates to entice those bond investors to keep holding them. Stay tuned as this is an ongoing work in progress... Good luck.

Back in the I Fund 100% at the $19.83 level. The next couple of months should determine an overall trend for the next couple of years. It could be very volatile. Good luck all.