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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!Playing the I fund
- Thread starter clester
- Start date
James48843
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 639
Nikkei 225 DOWN -2.23%
CAC DOWN -1.35%
DAX DOWN -1.46%
FSTE 100 DOWN -0.86%
Dollar stronger against both the Euro and the Yen.
Looks to me like a BIG DOWN DAY for the "I" fund today.While the dollar is up slightly against the Euro, it is holding near three-week lows. What scenarios would result in an immediate resumption of dollar decline? What COULD happen in the next day or so that would send European and Asian stocks up and the dollar down?
FundSurfer
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 39
Pilgrim said:
Say the FED does not raise and says something to the effect that they have to watch for economic slow down which would signal that maybe they went too far too fast with rate hikes would cause the dollar to drop further. This won't happen cause the Fed does not want the dollar to drop. I expect mixed signals from the Fed either way. Either they don't raise rates but suggest this may only be a pause or the do raise the rate but suggest this may be the final hike. Either way the reaction tommorrow likely to be wild.After doing an analysis today, I have reconsidered my position. I am staying approx. 30% I and 70% G effective this afternoon. I prefer to be conservative, because the stock market is overbought. Moreover, the oil pipeline that busted in Alaska and the geopolitical issues have persuaded me that I better wait for the FED tomorrow. There is, of course, some lag time involved in waiting for the FED before moving back into the I-Fund, but I can always go in if news are positive. I suppose the dollar will probably drop some, if the FED pauses. But again, I took the more conservative road due to the above. See also, how Tom allocated his resources. I have to remember that the SP500 tends to drop less than the I-Fund in a correction.sugarandspice
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 31
Today is down 1.568% according to msci eafe.
FundSurfer
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 39
Gilligan said:
I'd bet they do readjust the FV today. I moved into the I-fund. Based on my track record with FV's, they should give back the dime and about an extra quarter that I'll then "owe".sugarandspice
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 31
G- 0
F- 0
C -.04
S -.09
I -.21
Gilligan
Analyst
- Reaction score
- 20
Thanks Sky,SkyPilot said:
I was off by .04 cents @ $19.53, I didn’t get $19.49 until S&S posted MSCI’s returns. Today the currency market will go crazy after the FOMC meeting making it difficult to predict the I-fund price.
MSCI in local currency should be around +0.48% and at the current currency rates in USD about %0.5 to around $19.59 before any FV.Similar threads
