Playing the I fund

Core PPI numbers and Housing data appear to be non-inflationary. A trader on Bloomberg TV stated that the markets like these numbers, that this strengthens the idea that the FED will remain on hold tomorrow; and that he expects a rally going forward. Are there any players one way or the other?
 
Core PPI numbers and Housing data appear to be non-inflationary. A trader on Bloomberg TV stated that the markets like these numbers, that this strengthens the idea that the FED will remain on hold tomorrow; and that he expects a rally going forward. Are there any players one way or the other?

Mercy, the dolllar got strong overnight.. ...I fund is down 11 cents as I type.....
 
I didn't do the research, but it seems that when the FED speaks, the dollar loses value. Anyone else see that?
 
CNBC saying indicators are Fed may not be done raising interest rates. Looks like that is having a bad effect on the I fund. Either that or the fact I went 50% G / 50% I effective COB yesterday.

Dell
 
Based on current conditions (taking drop around noon into account), I'd bet on today being minus 0.6% or loss of 11 cents. Could be a lot worse if markets continue fall and dollar continues upward (likely short term). It will be interesting to see how the day ends.
 
Gilligan,--

Can you please elaborate on what type of price or currency movement you would be looking for early-on that would potentially trigger a FV? Do you use a specific cut-off time such as the closing time of the Eurozone markets in order to calculate the FV?. Thanks in advance. --


The US markets are down and the dollar is headed back up right now. However I don't see enough movement to trigger a FV.
 
Based on current conditions (taking drop around noon into account), I'd bet on today being minus 0.6% or loss of 11 cents. Could be a lot worse if markets continue fall and dollar continues upward (likely short term). It will be interesting to see how the day ends.

MSCI shows the Local Currency down by -0.52% which would be about 11 cents but they figure the dollar dropped 4/10ths of a percent. So, only a 2 or 3 cents loss today, but look out for tomorrow, the dollar went back up.
 
Gilligan,--

Can you please elaborate on what type of price or currency movement you would be looking for early-on that would potentially trigger a FV? Do you use a specific cut-off time such as the closing time of the Eurozone markets in order to calculate the FV?. Thanks in advance. --

One member that use to guess the FV before he got himself banned again used a 1/2 percent movement(if I remember right). But there are several factors to consider. The time I use to determine a FV is the closing bell of the US markets.
 
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