Market Talk

[The_Technician]

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Huh...them economic types alll seemto get the message sooner or later

see this one... http://money.cnn.com/2005/09/27/news/economy/confidence/index.htm

for more infomation.....

:^

 

[robo]

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Plenty of bad news today, and the dollar is headed to a 9 week high. Feeling the pain on my international investments.

Some comments from a Tech:

The S&P 100 20-day moving average turned up today, so if the 5-day average turns up and crosses the longer average, there will be a buy signal.

There were no changes in indicators yesterday

The average signature for 2000 stocks sharply increased yesterday as the market seesawed back and forth during the session. It is bullish to see signatures improving while the market as a whole does little, since they always catch up with each other in the end. The reverse can be seen below as the signatures fell in July while the index was topping out.

 

[Spaf]

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Might try buying some bad news. The S-STO offered a small green leaf. Could be the bottom, maybe a ledge??

<tap> <tap> [Hmm...sure is dark in here!]

Where is Tekno when you need him?

Spaf

 

[teknobucks]

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Spaf wrote:

Might try buying some bad news. The S-STO offered a small green leaf. Could be the bottom, maybe a ledge??

<tap> <tap> [Hmm...sure is dark in here!]

Where is Tekno when you need him?

Spaf

re-modeling a house

bout to put the hammer down...C&I thru EOY.:^

 

[Spaf]

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The Kingdom of TSP

Daily Edition

Market News, Doodles, Tea Leaves & Yak Date: Sept. 27, Closing


Market News.

Kingdom Talk:. Greased Pig Day! In the morning they let the pig out of the 1215 pin, up the road and then down the road to 1211, around and around we chased him. Then he took off anew, and we chased him up the road to 1220 arround and around we went, and then back to the 1215 pin in the afternoon.


Doodles and Tea Leaves - Daily.

Doodles:
S&P 500 (Index)
Closed at............1215.66, up +0.03
CMF (money flow) at.0.027, dn
RSI (strength) at.....44.6, up
MACD (trend)....bearish
S-STO (signal)...bullish
P-SAR (signal)...bearish
ROC (change)....bearish

Light Crude (NYM)
Closed at...........65.07, dn -0.75

Tea Leaves:.................Red.


Yak.

Remarks:.....Holding 65/35
S&P Stops:...Alert: NA, Trail: NA
Oil Markers:.<64= ok, 64-69= worry, >69= panic.

 

[Birchtree]

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Grandma,

The movie I mentioned was actually "Primary Colors".

According to the latest issue of Vickers Weekly Insider Report, indexes of insider behavior took " a meaningful jump into bullish territory" last week. In the face of the markets modest decline last week, the ratio of insider selling to insider buying dropped from 6.98 in the week before last to 3.14 last week. Buy'em boys.

 

[FundSurfer]

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Better dry them pine boards or else you'll go negative when they warp like crazy. I can't imagine cutting a straight line that far with a chain saw.

OK conspiracy theorist, why in heck is the dollar still going up? If you look at the chart there are fairly regular big buys of dollars occuring about 11 am. Hmmmm...

Anybody know how inflation affects the dollars value against other currencies? My thought is that inflation means it takes more dollars to buy the same thing meaning the value of the dollar has gone down. I don't get it, the dollar should be heading south. I heard some analysis say inflation helps T-bills? Need to do some more research I guess.

Oh well, I look at today as a buying opportunity. I'm moving more money into I-fund.

TSPGO has accidently timed moves in and out of I-fund perfectly the last several days. The dip in I fund should cause his model to give a sell signal. If we get a bounce tommorrow he will have timed it right again.

 

[teknobucks]

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Rita didn't do a lot of damage.....wink... wink.


http://news.ft.com/cms/s/034a384e-2f8a-11da-8b51-00000e2511c8.html

 

[Spaf]

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OK Tekno! U started it!

And! I just couldn't resist it!

..................................................................................................................................

Found lost oil rig !. Contact Spaf ! Have it tied up in back yard !

 

[Quips]

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Greg wrote:

Rolo wrote:

Quips wrote:

If one wants to put all their savings -- present and future -- into their house/mortgage at the expense of their 401k, well, that is their perogative.

You are right, but unfortunately, that irresponsibility affects us all...crap like that is why we have crap like Social Security and other welfare programs.

I'm starting to think is that a nice home is a better investment for the future/retirement than these phoney-baloney plastic-banana bad-time tsp accounts.

Well, it depends how one defines "irresponisbility" and how it "affects" us all; one may also say that the abundance of gas guzzlers on the road is also a matter of the American consumer's choice and "how it affects us all" in the form of gasoline consumption and the price we all pay at the pump.

"That is why we have crap like" $3 a gallon for regular gasoline now...lots of luck ... and a stock market that is directionless.

And besides that, we have seen how both investors and corporate America created the tech bubble in 2000, that resulted in a crash that wiped out half of most people's portfolios. And Wall Street is the answer? lots of luck

 

[The_Technician]

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Not quite Quips, big cars have little to do with it, it all a farst....high gas prices isall in the market.........only thing is if its the only game in town, you're going to get price hikes....

I love to see those little bitty cars tow a boat, house trailer, camper, or other heavy loads and then seeing them stop.....it can't be done........ for some reason I bet better than 50% of car owners have a need for large towing capacity....with that kind of market, low costs associated with it will always exist with temporary excesses in expense....

Gotta hand it to those liberals, they could talk a dog off fresh kill....but their facts are always falsly certified....

:^

 

[Quips]

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Oh, now I see the light; crude oil is an unlimited natural resource. Thank you for that Technician.

And the stock market bubble of 2000 where multitudes saw their portfolios cut in half in a matter of a couple of yearsis another falsely certified fact.

Oh, okay.

 

[The_Technician]

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Don't get me wrong Quips....oil has got a definite end to it....but if we were using hydrogen or whatever, we would still see fluctuations in energy prices like todays increases....

Energy is really cheap, its all around us, its the conversion to usage that is the high cost....we have plenty of energy....just look through the universe and its never ending as far as we are concerned....

:^

 

[robo]

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Dollar down again and International markets are up..... Should be a good day for the I fund!

 

[The_Technician]

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Some one turn off the lights when its over!!!!

:^

 

[Shaggy]

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Sorry I have to disagree with you Tech. Most people in my part of the country anyways that drive large vehicles have never pulled anything in there life. It is more of a status thing then anything else. Most midsized SUV's will pull the average toy i.e. boat, small camper etc. for the average middle class citizen. But most of the large SUV's you see in large metropolitan areas are strictly status.

 

[Spaf]

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Well you gotta give the Media some credit to!

At the gas pump they interview the guy with the Cutlass volunteering to take meals on wheels. The mom in her dodge van going home after picking up the kids.

They didn't interview the lawyer with his Hummer, or the dentist with the Escalade!

 

[Spaf]

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The Kingdom of TSP

Daily Edition

Market News, Doodles, Tea Leaves & Yak Date: Sept. 28, Closing


Market News.

Kingdom Talk:. Rising Lube puts lid on Stox!


Doodles and Tea Leaves - Daily.

Doodles:
S&P 500 (Index)
Closed at............1216.89, up +1.23
CMF (money flow) at.0.007, dn
RSI (strength) at.....45.6, up
MACD (trend).....bearish
S-STO (signal)....bullish
P-SAR (signal)....bearish
ROC (change).....bearish at -1.91 O.S.

Light Crude (NYM)
Closed at............66.35, up +1.28

Tea Leaves:..................Red.


Yak.

Remarks:.....Holding 65/35
S&P Stops:...Alert: NA, Trail: NA
Oil Markers:.<64= ok, 64-69= worry, >69= panic.

 

[teknobucks]

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Greenspan Cautions Investors About Rising Rates

Surf credit to Jim Sinclair's site.

http://aolsvc.news.aol.com/news/article.adp?id=20050927145609990001&_ccc=5&cid=842

By JEANNINE AVERSA, AP

WASHINGTON (Sept. 27) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan issued a fresh warning on Tuesday that investors shouldn't be lulled into a false sense of security by the economy's long stretch of low interest rates.

"History cautions that extended periods of low concern about credit risk have invariably been followed by reversal, with an attendant fall in the prices of risky assets," Greenspan said in a speech delivered via satellite to a meeting of the National Association for Business Economics in Chicago.

Greenspan, in Tuesday's speech, didn't specify what risky assets he was referring to. But the Fed chief has been sounding an alarm for months - including an emphatic warning on Monday - about the perils to home owners and lenders using risky and exotic types of mortgages.

In his remarks Tuesday, Greenspan repeated worries he has expressed in the past - that a rise in interest rates may spell trouble for some investors who are counting on rates to stay low for an extended period of time.

 

[Rolo]

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Quips wrote:

Well, it depends how one defines "irresponisbility" and how it "affects" us all; one may also say that the abundance of gas guzzlers on the road is also a matter of the American consumer's choice and "how it affects us all" in the form of gasoline consumption and the price we all pay at the pump.

"That is why we have crap like" $3 a gallon for regular gasoline now...lots of luck ...

I don't complain about $3/gal. because I know what other countries pay. Also, it's like $60/mo. increase for me for every $1 increase per gallon. Chump change. Besides, we had a free ride with gasoline prices for about 15 years now; they haven't gone up like everything else has.

Enjoying the sound of my turbos suckin' in air to burn more gas hardly compares to irresponsibly retiring in poverty and expecting the the other, responsible people, to pay for it.

Quips wrote:

and a stock market that is directionless.

My 38% return over the past 12 months hardly seems directionless. Dahell are you talking about?

Quips wrote:

And besides that, we have seen how both investors and corporate America created the tech bubble in 2000, that resulted in a crash that wiped out half of most people's portfolios. And Wall Street is the answer? lots of luck

Fooey! The investors that lost their a$$ in the bubble were greedy. Why were they greedy? Because they bought on greed at/near the top thinking it was a "sure thing" and never got out for the same reason. At least the Dutch got to plant tulipsafter their bust. It is your money, you are responsible for it.