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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!Market Talk / Jan. 8 - 14
- Thread starter Spaf
- Start date
James48843
Well-known member
IFT timing last week
the last couple of moves, I DID expereince a lag. Usually it has been that if you had an IFT entered before noon EST that it would get executed that day. But last week I had a 9 am IFT not execute that same day- lagged until the next. So they aren't always able to complete it same day. Not all that unusual, but ou have to be aware that it might end up that way.
Day before yesterday I moved over into 60% G, then 10%C, 20%S, and 10% I, because I was seeing signs of the Santa rally ending, and I wanted to beef of the G side of my account. Looks like timing was almost perfect. I expect to be at 60% G for the next week or two while I think the market drifts back down a bit and gives me another opportunity to plunge back in at lower prices.
Viva la up and down.WWizard
Guest
Thanks James.
This has not happened to me for awhile. The timing thou on this one appears not to be very good to say the least. Funny how it never works out in my favor?
Maybe next time. The odds can not stay at 0% forever. 
WWizard
Guest
And to think I was worried about getting "massaged" on the MSCI conversion.
That turned out to be the least of my worries.
OK, I am going to drop this now. I know I am boring everyone to tears, including myself.
Good to see I fund closed at the low of the day. That was the cherry on the top of this adventure.
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
Daily Yak
The Kingdom of TSPYak, Doodles, Tea Leaves, and The Tin Can.
Daily Edition
Jan. 12, 2006
Kingdom Yak.
Market Yak............ Iran scares socks off! Jitters and downgrades ruled the day.
Other Yak.............. Krude spiked 65, but settled down.
Doodles.
Socks.................. S&P 500 ($SPX)
Closed at............. 1286.06, dn -8.12
Money flow........... +0.105, declining.
Stops.................. Alert: 1282, Trailing: 1270.
Averages.............. +9.57, flat.
Slow STO............. 92.71, declining.
Overbought/sold.... [70] 62.5 [30]
Lube.................... Light Crude (NYM)
Closed at.............. 64.49, up +0.04
Markers:............... <60 = ok, 60-64 = worry, >64 = critical.
Tea leaves.
Charts and Stuff.... Yellow, possible transition.
The Tin Can.
Position................ 100GWWizard
Guest
Love your avator.
I would need to know more about you to really help you. However, just start one. That is my best advice. More then likely future fed tax rates will go much higher. Meaning your TSP will be more expensive to take the money out of. I know, I know I am crazy. These are the same people that said social security would never be taxable.
I would recommend you look at Vanguard.com. It will be very hard for Congress to change ROTHs to being fed taxed. But the good thing about a ROTH if they do you can take the money you contributed out with no penalities.
You want low cost, good options and NO LOADs.
PM me if you want to discuss further. I do not want to ask personal questions on the general board. Hope this helps some. Take care.
The_Technician
Active member
Wizard said:Love your avator.
I would need to know more about you to really help you. However, just start one. That is my best advice. More then likely future fed tax rates will go much higher. Meaning your TSP will be more expensive to take the money out of. I know, I know I am crazy. These are the same people that said social security would never be taxable.
I would recommend you look at Vanguard.com. It will be very hard for Congress to change ROTHs to being fed taxed. But the good thing about a ROTH if they do you can take the money you contributed out with no penalities. You want low cost, good options and NO LOADs.
PM me if you want to discuss further. I do not want to ask personal questions on the general board. Hope this helps some. Take care.
Personally I'm expecting the Dollar to gain strength even if it is for a short term of a month or so.....WWizard
Guest
30 year treasury bond auctions start next month. Wonder how they will be received?
Birchtree
Well-known member
Don't tickle my Elmo
The Technician,
There are many, many reasons to be bullish on the current trend leading to an explosive upside volley. But in order to avoid redundancy please indulge yourself into my Birchtree account talk postings for the last three months - you will find ample bull manure that will inundate your senses.
And I'm with you - the dollar rebounds back to at least 92 - that would actually be good for the I fund - keeps them exports rolling.
Dennis
FundSurfer
Well-known member
I-fund suc ssss
KAPLOWD said:
Even worse the dollar was UP! also. And this was all well before the deadline, not like a late in the day move.
The I-fund should have been down today big. My bet is that it will catch-up with the drop tommorrow after I'm already in the fund. I went 100% I COB today from G.
I fund bites. I need to swear it off.
robo
Well-known member
Birchtree said:
Birchtree,
Looks like a couple of days of consolidation before another run at your BIG ONE! GO GO Birchtree!!!!
I'm thinking the dollar will hold its own this quarter. Plenty of bears on the dollar for 2006. Some are talking 20% or more. I would not bet big against the dollar until after the 1st quarter. The dollar is around the 200 day and could get support or rally from here.
Birchtree
Well-known member
Melt up type event
Robo,
This IMHO is the most important rally since the 2002 kick off, may be at the center point of an Elliott third wave - we are getting the technical statistics in which center points are truly made of. The NYSE A/D lines for breath and volume are at all time highs. In July 2002, off the first bottom of an eventual triple bottom, there were back to back multiple 400 point DJIA gains - and I wasn't surprised because I remembered the initial thrust off the 1982 bottom. And frankly, the more nonbelievers there are in the choir the more comfortable I feel. I just can't decide if this is 1995 or 2003 - doesn't really matter though - it will be very rewarding for the few and the brave. I think the ominous 4-year cycle has shifted - I just don't know how far.
All I have to do is convince myself - and my money is where my mouth is.
DennisWWizard
Guest
Will not even comment on the "chart work".
I fund paid .02 and the index was down .82.
Only gave back .13 per share.
There is a bright side, I guess. Those still in I fund will probably get "massaged" tomorrow.FundSurfer said:
The MSCI EAFE was up .099% today (that is already adjusted for the dollar). The I fund went up exactly what it was supposed to. There should be no adjustment tomorrow. Tom keeps a link to the EFA on the bottom of this page with a header that says "EAFE (I fund)" but this is a link to the index "fund", not the index itself. There is no way to track the index itself on an intraday basis. I think this causes a little confusion. Morgan Stanley posts the results of the actual index each day at around 3:00pm at this address
www.msci.com/equity/index2.html
You'll find this post to accurately predict the price of the I fund over 95% of the time, except on the days that the TSP board does their little fair valuation thing, but again, today wasn't one of those days.
Dave
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