goforit's Account Talk

[goforit]

my timing was ok this time got a few up days in a row. still 50/50 CS today isn't good but gut tells me its just those guys that forgot to consolidate before 12apr. it seems that it leveled out for the day and is trying to climb at the end of the day and that tells me hold on this may only hurt for a little while and we all will be positive by months end. again seasonallity says that the end of april is two steps foward one step back. just hope that the foward is bigger then the back.

 

[goforit]

nothing really new. it does seem like the market is again reacting to the news hence forth yesterday and now today. good call to those that jumped in I Fund before deadline yesterday. hopefully we all get some back. like i said yesterday two steps foward one step back just pray the back is not to big.

 

[goforit]

went 60G 20C 20S hit the up swing this last 8 days so i will play this like the poker game IN BETWEEN and take a little at a time and not be greedy. although because i am out of IFT i will stay in with a little incase the trend does go up. my gut says no it won't but it still isn't going to hurt real bad. the seasonality says we have a 50/50 positive/negative finish to the month and i want to be in G to see how May plays at the begining. if i remember right May is not a very positive month. i will most likely move completely G on the 28 of APR. everyone have a wonderful EASTER its a time for forgiveness.

 

[goforit]

it was a good easter weekend. it felt good to only care about what really matters. now back to business. again i still think that this week will be a break even type week. with todays action i think that i will get out early and sit on the sidelines for awhile and play into a dip in May. i am not getting a warm fuzzy feeling about may so it might be one of those hit and run months and try to find a spot to get two or three days of earnings and bail out. 100%G before deadline(maybe???) really not sure gut is not over reacting yet.

 

[goforit]

decided to go 80G 10 each C/S staying like this for awhile. wanted to stay a little in to see if i can break into the top ten for the month currently sitting 3.27% (even i can get lucky once in awhile)

 

[goforit]

it started to look like i timed it ok again but now it looks like it is fighting to stay positive. with two trading days left for the month i am staying put (80/10/10 GCS). i will wait for May because like i said before, i waited to long to bail in years past and got burned by May. if everything holds true to the past i will look at a low spot to put some in so i too can get more from the ride up. is 1500 S&P the top?? i think there is a drop coming but not to far. i also noticed i said that i thought May was a positive month awhile back and now i am saying it is not very good so that tells you that i have a bad memory. i really dont know what May will bring but i do know i dont want to get burned again. sorry if i gave anyone illusions of May.

 

[Birchtree]

If you have no objections I'll gather the gains from May that you don't want.

 

[goforit]

goforit i will be waiting for a dip to put some back to see if i can hit the middle. i just dont trust this market right now short term. i too want to take what i can. got to wait for new month and a dip to play an IFT. will look at going mostly C and a maybe I conservitively. thanks

 

[goforit]

well i didn't make the top ten for the month but posted a nice gain close to 4% after today. looked at the history in the TSP Fund monthly returns and like i said before i have been burned by May and it shows May for the C/S funds a negative 6-8% for the month for both 2009 and 2010. so i am going to approach May with caution and watch the first week and see if it will play out like the seasonality chart shows and hit the dip at the end of next week so i can be in for the middle part of the month that shows a long string of green days. kinda hit and run approach.

 

[TSPIntel]

well i didn't make the top ten for the month but posted a nice gain close to 4% after today. looked at the history in the TSP Fund monthly returns and like i said before i have been burned by May and it shows May for the C/S funds a negative 6-8% for the month for both 2009 and 2010. so i am going to approach May with caution and watch the first week and see if it will play out like the seasonality chart shows and hit the dip at the end of next week so i can be in for the middle part of the month that shows a long string of green days. kinda hit and run approach.

goforit: you did very good that return is almost 50% a year. I would consider the expiration day (3er Friday) in additional to the seasonality chart. I am planning to cash profit sometimes during the first few days of May and go Away till the next dip too.

 

[goforit]

thanks intel. i just watch, read, learn from the people on the MB and listen to nighltly business news. most of my moves are really based on seasonality and gut. i take into account the experts on the MB because most of them know how to read the charts and put them into words i can understand them. by the way what are you saying when you said

"I would consider the expiration day (3er Friday)" i am not sure and i dont want to put words in your mouth.

i am however going to stay put and look for the opening later this week or nest week and gather in some gains during the positive part of May(according to the seasonality chart)

 

[goforit]

well it looks like May doesn't want to start out on three up days. is this the begining month dip according to seasonality. my gut says no, that it wants to go a little lower yet. but, it looks like a lot of dip buyers at the end of the day. volume increased in the C/S funds just before the close. i will wait just a little longer and see what the rest of the week brings. i am not in to much right now anyway and it shouldn't hurt to much but i do not want to miss any upswing that is out there even if it is for a short time. hit and run type play for this month from me.

 

[goforit]

looking at the bloomeberg stock site it looks like it will be another down day. but maybe not real heavy. i want to jump back in a little more but am thinking of waiting till tomorrow. may use IFT for a small move in. curently 80/10/10 - GCS. would like to hit and run

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

looking at the bloomeberg stock site it looks like it will be another down day. but maybe not real heavy. i want to jump back in a little more but am thinking of waiting till tomorrow. may use IFT for a small move in. curently 80/10/10 - GCS. would like to hit and run

I had thought of doing that, but that would take an IFT. I am hoping there are indicators of an up market soon so I can jump in fully...

 

[goforit]

the volume seems to be picking up starting yesterday just before close and now today. my gut says to jump in a little before the deadline so i can grab shares at a lower price from when i got out. i am a bit leary of MAY because i have been burned pretty good in the past and with only max 8 years left before retirement(minimum 5) i am trying to reach the half mill mark(halfway there now) and i dont invest outside of TSP. i would rather not use my IFT's and stay put then get burned.

 

[goforit]

couldn't muster the courage to jump in even a little. we will see what tomorrow brings. not really liking how this is going today. hopefully it will try to level out and be flat and then jump back on friday.

 

[nnuut]

I'm waiting for a turn around, it's just too dangerous for me to call a bottom before it happens, that comes from experience.

 

[mayday]

I'm waiting for a turn around, it's just too dangerous for me to call a bottom before it happens, that comes from experience.

Ditto;

 

[goforit]

thanks guys you made me more comfortable with my decision. this is why i joined the MB. to hear from those that have the experience and learn from their winner and loser type moves.

heres one out to all that are on these MB:

experience is good, listen, learn, teach if you have it but most of all only you can control your moves.

thanks again!

 

[goforit]

i missed out on jumping in before the deadline yesterday just got to busy. todays start makes me wish i did but i am asking mysekf is this a sell/buy the news thing? with the unemployment up it may have sparked yesterday and today because a better then expected jobs report could be what is happening today. i think the oil price per barrel and the dollar rally is what is going to hold water for the long term. gut says stay put for me. but the next two weeks on the seasonality show positive results. may transfer some in at deadline today so i can be sitting in more on monday. we will see what it looks like around that time today.