goforit's Account Talk

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glad you found them i will try to look at them if this gov computor lets me. well today sucks!! its May and guess i get burned again maybe for one day we will seeheres hoping this is really short lived. i took a chance and now i will sit to see if in the near long term it pays off. everyone have a great day and thank a military person for what they do it will make you feel good inside.
 
been busy the last week did not have real chance to look at TSP. glad i didn't because i would have said "i knew May would burn me again". but this time it wasn't to bad. started to get some back. still waiting for that five day or so in a row GREEN days stretch. holding tight right where i am until last minute. will most likely pull out before JUN 1. have a feeling that when that QE2 expires JUN 1 we will see an adverse reaction in the stock market. besides June's seasonality looks like overall a flat month.
 
it seems today is an indication that the seasonality is catching up to its history by the way the markets are playing out the last couple of days so i am thinking we may have a couple of ok days ahead and the a down turn. i still dont like the I fund but i am still going to gamble for a few more days. like i said before with the QE2 coming to a close i got a gut feeling that the market will sell off 2-3% before june. i have no data to back this up its just a gut feeling. hit and run is still how i am playing May. waiting for a spot to run.
 
Some out there believe because monetary policy works with a lag that QE2 hasn't yet hit the economy, but it will in the coming months. I'm staying fully invested for the entire year.
 
if QE2 hasn't hit yet then why is there time and money wasted on talks for a QE3? i also think that we will see a boost Mid june when more of the construction projects that came under the original Obama stimulus start up again. but June is a flat month according to the seasonality and it may be one of those buy a low dip and sell in a high spike month. how do we know if QE2 hasn't hit yet?
 
With a GDP under 2% there hasn't been much economic growth. Monitor VCI and when it stops increasing in price you'll know that stimulus is starting to work.
 
thanks again. i see that according to Bloomberg we could start out on the down side. oh well i will just keep holding tight. 50/20/30 CSI only one IFT left and i am going to use it when we get closer. i will jump out when we get a day that looks like it will break up a % or so. then i will wait for a day in june to hit it when it goes back down 2-3%. just a stab in the dark at this.
 
three strikes and May is out. got burned by May but this time it was on me(well everytime is). note to self don't gamble with May. i am sitting tight because i see the gap got filled but i am not liking the dollar getting stronger. like many of the veterens on these boards who do more homework then me, its the long term that i have to be looking at and try to stay calm.
 
whoa first look at the new format WOW blow me away. hopefully i can find my way around. i take a little to get use to new ideas. anyway it looks like may is going out with a positive. june historically is negative but if timed IFT's right could play the dips. not sure what to do. may hold on right where i am.
 
goforit said:
june historically is negative
Click to expand...

Bad June
spank.gif
 
i am seeing and don't like. is this the official signal of QE2 ending? or is this a chance to step back watch it fall and buy in lower yet? i think i will take my lumps(again) see if it can find its way back to minumize the hit i have taken since i gambled in May and now June. jump to bonds and G with small amounts in C/S? just my thoughts. everyone else seems to think this is going to even lower before it "continues its bullish run".
 
looked at bloomberg and it doesn't look good today. the question is do we stay the course or bail out to the garage. note to self: throw every thing into F fund for the summer before May it wont hurt as much. i may need to change my goal of hitting 300k by years end. i think 275k will be more reality. 5-8 years to go before retire like to hit 500k by then but if i dont get smart on this stuff and quick taking to many chances it wont happen. if this is the correction (again) then i am bailing to protect what i do have.
 
still hanging in for this ride. really not sure what to do. i do know that this is the same old story this time of year and by years end the market will be up. it seems it is in its 3-5 year upswing so hanging on will be ok for me. this is what my gut is saying. we will just keep on riding the up draft for a long haul. this is not saying that i won't try to buy low and sell high just to make a few extra pocket change. plus when i am not sure i learned from the past don't move from where you are because it will come back.
 
i see a week hasn't really changed anything. yesterday was nice but today accorcing to bloomberg is starting out down. we are still in a rollar coaster reaction market (i like to call it). i am hanging tight and will wait for the market to get back to small rises and declines but show a long term rising. i really don't think that all the charts in the world can give us direction because it seems if your bearish or bullish everyone is saying the market is reacting to the news and this is a consildation or correction. i am saying that this is normal for this time of year according to seasonality history so this should not be unexpected. we should just hope to by low, sell high, jump to safety and hold until it blows over. then wait for the latter part of the year which is always stronger. if the latter part of the year is giving us fits and pullbacks i think we should then be very cautious of this market and economy.
 
YEE-HAA looks like another react to all the news investing stratagy day. i will call this "newsvesting". i am looking hard at the I fund right now because of the whole greece thing and i may take my 30% and shove it to the F fund. the I fund could be effected by those events and then the events from italy,portgugal and spain that could have a ripple effect from greece. soo... what i am saying YES i too may react to the news and due some newsvesting.
 
pulled the trigger. the mid day looks like the I fund is going to react to the greece turmoil so i decided to pull that 30% and secure more shares in the C/S fund. dont really want to jump out completely and miss the road up. currently 70/30 C/S
 
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