goforit's Account Talk

[Tsunami]

Here's a chart that proves what you're talking about. We continue to be told that inflation is not a problem but......

http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/4052/a-gold-tsunami-is-coming/

When the stock market finally tops at some point this year, these food staples, basic and precious metals, oil, etc., are going to fall hard for a while, but the endless money printing will keep the longer term trend higher and I hope it doesn't go hyperbolic Zimbabwe style. The government is trapped with it's huge deficit/debt though, and needs to keep a high inflation rate going for years to come.

 

[goforit]

thanks so if i read this right the companies that proces our food products are the ones getting the money. this doesnt show it but it would be nice to see how the farmers price per bushel has increased for the same prodeuct. i am sure that the farmers percentage increase is well below the companies increase for the same time period and product. if you look at the dollar value on this chart it shows a negative 2.8% while corn increased 85.4%. with corn being in everything we use and eat how is the American family going to have any buying power with the value of the dollar down so low?

thanks again Tsunami good chart for people to get a reality check on their day to day lifes needs.

 

[nnuut]

Don't forget the costs of transportation and feed, they are related, it costs much more to get products to the processors and retailers so up she goes.
Who do we have to thank for that?:suspicious:

 

[goforit]

it's a circle of life that should be shared evenly but in this day of commercialization and profit taking it goes to the strongest on the "food" chain. no pun intended.

 

[goforit]

well looking at the "bloomberg market report" it looks like today is starting out down slightly. gut feeling tells me that we could have a little down time. the seasonality tells me we are going into the bad part of Feb. with only one IFT left for the month i will hold on 70g15c15i and hope to add more into the csi funds or just one at the end of the month when the last week is slightly up according to the seasonality and the whole month of march is GREEN.

question: has anyone tried to test the seasonality chart to see what the earnings or losses % would be if a person would move to G when it shows mostly RED and move to CSI when mostly green? if not how does a person do something like that? i would think that fifty years of data should be reliable enough to at least give it a back test.

 

[goforit]

ok so far the seasonality has been a day ahead(or behind). i am staying where i am but it is going to hurt a little because i have a little in the C and I and with six of the next eight trading days looking red on the seasonality chart and the next three months usually positive and everybody else been talking a consildation or pullback is coming i am thinking by end of next week i will put into the CSI because fund prices should be down some and then a ride to higher highs would be great for a couple of months. (buy low sell high) besides i need to get more before my wife will let me retire(7-9 years) hopefully i can earn2.5 times what i have now.

 

[goforit]

nothing new. slow moving markets. ithink everybody is waiting to see what the effecs of OHbama's cut a trillion but spend three trillion is going to do. still waiting for a time to jump all in one of the CSI fund. again maybe by weeks end. only one IFT left

 

[goforit]

is this the begining of a slow decline. seasonality says that this should be a mostly green day but the next six are mostly red. i said it before it seems that the seasonality is either a day ahead or behind. i am still going to wait and maybe jump in on friday even though mon/tues are suppose to be red i dont think this market will string more then three days of lost in a row.

 

[goforit]

looks like people reacted to the lower then expected retail sales news. C/S fund show medium volume movement and I fund is very low volume movement. just keep going down for now so we can get that swing up after a couple of days down.

 

[goforit]

ok another "news" reaction so far today but this time to the up swing to start the day. i will be going 50C50I thursday. not sure if i will wait for the end of day or get it in before the cutoff. i am not going to sit and wait any more because as many have said on the MB it is just going to keep going for awhile. for me it will be a buy and hold for awhile because the seasonality is good for awhile (may,june??). last year i did the same thing except i stayed to long and spent the rest of the year trying to get positive. good luck to all with the spring months coming cabin fever is hitting hard so the common man is going to spend spend.

 

[goforit]

this should just about some it up go for it jump in

 

[goforit]

gonna take my own advice and go for it and jump in i am going to go into the C45 S10 I45 and see where it will take me. i know that the rest of this month is "suppose" to be on theslow down end but the next three months are usually good. besides i want to climb the tracker ladder just so i can say i did. by the way if you read this i have a habit of bad timing so expect a pull back for a couple of days. i just want to be in for when it comes back up. it is like two/three days up one day down two/three day up.... but it keeps a steady positive overall.

 

[goforit]

so like i said if you read my post you should have did the oppisite. look at today it is not looking good. but... one day doesnt make the market. when we get into march i will be looking to see what to do with my new IFT's. i put in late thursday so i did not get the buy until friday's closing prices. so again i timed it not so good. should have been a little more patient. i will hold 45C10S45I because i still think this market is in the two/three day up one day down. we will see how strong this market is by how well and soon it bounces back from this "sell the news" stuff.

 

[goforit]

ok that one hurt for now. if the government doesn't scream to loud about the shut down luming we could come back from this. the market looks like it wants to but people are a little shy of a 2% pullback like yesterday and seem to be waiting for their nieghbors to make a move. my gut tells me that this is only momentary and will make it up by weeks end to put us back into focus for the next three months. remember one day down versus two/three days up with a positive overall gain is ok we just have to be willing to hold tight.

 

[goforit]

no bounce yet!!! its coming this could just be that seasonality chart being off by a day or two. we are suppose to have a few bad days here at the end of the month of Feb historically. the one thing that does worry me is this Government shut down luming on the horizon. if like in the past (95,96?) we have one this could be real bad for the market. in my opinion i feel it will cause a "recession" type move in the market kind of like the housing crises except it wont take as long to get back.

 

[goforit]

i have been saying watch out for the government shut down talk for a couple days. i also have ben saying that being patient here may pay off in the long run but of course i am wondering if i should just pull out to G with leaving a little in the CSI funds? i have allready took a hit and am below what i started theyear out with(again bad timing)sooo... should we hit the Gfund?? anyone?

 

[goforit]

did not run to the G stayed put. just got to busy at my gov job(hahaha) to make a move. i am going to wait it out through the mid point of march. thats when the seasonality shows the best part is in the begining to the middle of march. but if the world keeps up rising and we get the shut down, coincided with the oil nations taking advantage and raising prices i will not hesitate to take my lumps and jump to the G to live to fight another day.

 

[goforit]

one day doesnt make the market. i said that once. like i said this morn wait and see. i am just concerned about the shut down thing i will pull out to the G asap if it happens and it affects the market

 

[goforit]

new week going into a new month. we have a couple of positive months coming ahead of us according to seasonality chart but march is not all good if you look at the last two weeks. plus we do have that gov shut down luming. i will be sitting tight in what i have and maybe even go 100% into one of the CSI funds just to get some positive percentage under me. not doin so well so far this year but still have plenty of year left.

 

[goforit]

that was a nice little give back to make up for the lost last week. ok bring on march. the first couple weeks are ok it looks up and down until the last coouple weeks then it is mostly down. going to stay put still.