Ebb's Account Talk

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 31, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -1.43%; DWCPF (S-fund): -1.02%; EFA (I-fund): -1.98%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -1.22% for the I-fund (-FV expected).

TNA: -3.13% (YTD: +52.19%). Ok, who let the air out of the balloon? :blink:

Official results for the TSP funds (May 31, 2013): G +0.00%; F -0.16%; C -1.43%; S -1.02%; I -2.00%.

For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of -0.78% was added to Friday’s MSCI EAFE of -1.22%, due to late market movement to the downside. So today, the I-funders will have an FV buffer of +0.78% against the overseas markets. :worried:

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Official results for the TSP funds (May 31, 2013): G +0.00%; F -0.16%; C -1.43%; S -1.02%; I -2.00%.

For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of -0.78% was added to Friday’s MSCI EAFE of -1.22%, due to late market movement to the downside. So today, the I-funders will have an FV buffer of +0.78% against the overseas markets. :worried:

Unofficial results for June 03, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.59%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.06%; EFA (I-fund): +0.45%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.54% for the I-fund (+FV expected). If we add Friday's FV buffer of +0.78%, then the I-fund shows a gain of +0.24%. But due to late market movement to the upside, a possible +FV could be tacked on. Note: All the major indices (Dow, S&P, Nasdaq) moved more than half a percent between noon and closing time. On the other hand, the EFA only moved +0.13%, so it would be interesting to see if a +FV goes through as expected.

TNA: +2.57% (YTD: +56.10%). Looks like the S-funders got left at the gate.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 03, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.59%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.06%; EFA (I-fund): +0.45%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.54% for the I-fund (+FV expected). If we add Friday's FV buffer of +0.78%, then the I-fund shows a gain of +0.24%. But due to late market movement to the upside, a possible +FV could be tacked on. Note: All the major indices (Dow, S&P, Nasdaq) moved more than half a percent between noon and closing time. On the other hand, the EFA only moved +0.13%, so it would be interesting to see if a +FV goes through as expected.

TNA: +2.57% (YTD: +56.10%). Looks like the S-funders got left at the gate.

At least we know why the I-fund didn't get the +FV on Monday (EFA move was too small). Nonetheless, there should have been one - today's MSCI EAFE says it all.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 04, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.55%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.72%; EFA (I-fund): +0.35%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.86% for the I-fund (no FV expected). There was no -FV baggage to deal with.

TNA: -3.04% (YTD: +51.34%). Getting ready to barbecue some spareribs on the grill.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 05, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -1.38%; DWCPF (S-fund): -1.38%; EFA (I-fund): -2.26%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -1.74% for the I-fund (-FV expected). It's pretty close, but I heard Japan's Nikkei futures were really bad last night, so I'm leaning on the -FV.

TNA: -4.09% (YTD: +45.12%). TNA using the ebbchart patterns: +34.56%. Still catching up.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[MrBowl]

Unofficial results for June 05, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -1.38%; DWCPF (S-fund): -1.38%; EFA (I-fund): -2.26%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -1.74% for the I-fund (-FV expected). It's pretty close, but I heard Japan's Nikkei futures were really bad last night, so I'm leaning on the -FV.

TNA: -4.09% (YTD: +45.12%). TNA using the ebbchart patterns: +34.56%. Still catching up.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

Although I'm not happy about people losing money, I do appreciate you posting this every afternoon. Its great info. I just didn't want to hit "Like" on a down day

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 06, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.85%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.18%; EFA (I-fund): +0.56%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.50% for the I-fund (+FV expected). Leaned wrong the last time, but there should be one this time.

TNA: +3.47% (YTD: +50.16%). Stepping aside is not in a bull's dictionary.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 06, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.85%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.18%; EFA (I-fund): +0.56%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.50% for the I-fund (+FV expected). Leaned wrong the last time, but there should be one this time.

TNA: +3.47% (YTD: +50.16%). Stepping aside is not in a bull's dictionary.

It's official (June 06, 2013):

TSP stock funds rebound (G +0.00%, F +0.10%, C +0.86%, S +1.20%, I +0.12%). For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of +0.62% was added to Thursday’s MSCI EAFE of -0.50%, due to the falling dollar and late market movement to the upside. So this Friday, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.62% from the get-go.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

It's official (June 06, 2013):

TSP stock funds rebound (G +0.00%, F +0.10%, C +0.86%, S +1.20%, I +0.12%). For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of +0.62% was added to Thursday’s MSCI EAFE of -0.50%, due to the falling dollar and late market movement to the upside. So this Friday, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.62% from the get-go.

Unofficial results for June 07, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.28%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.99%; EFA (I-fund): +1.31%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.79% for the I-fund (no FV expected). If we add Thursday's FV baggage of -0.62%, then the I-fund is only up +0.17% (add a price adjustment of +0.06% and it's up +0.23%).

TNA: +2.20% (YTD: +53.47%). What the kerfuffle is going on with the I-fund?

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 07, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.28%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.99%; EFA (I-fund): +1.31%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.79% for the I-fund (no FV expected). If we add Thursday's FV baggage of -0.62%, then the I-fund is only up +0.17% (add a price adjustment of +0.06% and it's up +0.23%).

TSP stock funds rally (F -0.33%, C +1.28%, S +0.97%, I +0.83%). For the I-fund: Thursday’s FV baggage of -0.62% was added to Friday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.79%. But due to late market movement to the upside, a new FV of +0.66% got tacked onto the I-fund’s final price. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.66% at the get-go.

Note: Last Friday's market movement from noon to closing time didn't warrant a +FV, but the TSP overlords must have seen the overseas futures spike (Japan's Nikkei is up over +3% in it's morning session), so they decided to tack one on.

 

[ebbnflow]

TSP stock funds rally (F -0.33%, C +1.28%, S +0.97%, I +0.83%). For the I-fund: Thursday’s FV baggage of -0.62% was added to Friday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.79% (gain +0.17%). But due to late market movement to the upside, a new FV of +0.66% got tacked onto the I-fund’s final price. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.66% at the get-go.

Note: Last Friday's market movement from noon to closing time didn't warrant a +FV, but the TSP overlords must have seen the overseas futures spike (Japan's Nikkei is up over +3% in it's morning session), so they decided to tack one on.

Unofficial results for June 10, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.03%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.23%; EFA (I-fund): +0.08%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.49% for the I-fund (no FV expected). If we add Friday's FV baggage of -0.66%, then the I-fund is down -0.13% (add a 3-day price adjustment of +0.10% and it's down -0.03% or close to it).

TNA: +1.90% (YTD: +56.29%). We must be inside the eye of the storm. :suspicious:

Note: Yahoo's FTSE was off by one day, so the gain was not over 1% (it's actually -0.19%).

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 10, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.03%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.23%; EFA (I-fund): +0.08%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.49% for the I-fund (no FV expected). If we add Friday's FV baggage of -0.66%, then the I-fund is down -0.13% (add a 3-day price adjustment of +0.10% and it's down -0.03% or close to it).

TNA: +1.90% (YTD: +56.29%). We must be inside the eye of the storm. :suspicious:

Mixed results for the TSP stock funds (G +0.01%, F -0.16%, C -0.03%, S +0.24%, I +0.43%). For the I-fund: Friday’s FV baggage of -0.66 was added to Monday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.49% (loss -13%). But due to late market movement to the upside, a new FV of +0.56% got tacked onto the I-fund’s final price. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.56% at the get-go. That being said, this may not be the case at all (see below).

This is just wrong. I know there’s no possible way they could have given Monday a +FV. At any rate, Monday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.49% was too low considering I had it at over 1%. So, I’m suspecting that they took the -0.62% from the MSCI. I’ve never seen it done like that before (very odd). Note: If they give a +FV (+0.62%), they always take it back (-0.62%) the next day.

June 5: +0.86% (MSCI); +0.87% (TSP). No FV.
June 6: -0.50% (MSCI); +0.12% (TSP). +FV of +0.62%.
June 7: +0.79% (MSCI); +0.83% (TSP). No FV and no -0.62%.
June 10: +0.49% (MSCI); +0.43% (TSP). No FV and still no -0.62

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 11, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -1.02%; DWCPF (S-fund): -1.17%; EFA (I-fund): -1.23%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of only -0.09% for the I-fund. Between noon and closing time, the market indices lost: -0.67% (Dow); -0.70% (S&P); -0.61% (DWCPF). But the EFA only moved -0.28% due to the falling dollar. A gain or loss of half a percent usually triggers an FV, so which index has more weight? I don't even want to hazard a guess.

TNA: -3.30% (YTD: +51.09%). Better batten down the hatches. :worried:

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 12, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.84%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.94%; EFA (I-fund): -0.12%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.23%. Until we know for certain about the FV, I think it would be better to just let the chips fall where they may.

TNA: -2.84% (YTD: +46.95%). The streets are flooded and so is the basement. :blink:

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 13, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.48%; DWCPF (S-fund): 1.72%; EFA (I-fund): +1.55%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.99% (+FV expected).

TNA: +5.24% (YTD: +54.50%). Who let the bulls out?

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[JimmyJoe]

Unofficial results for June 13, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.48%; DWCPF (S-fund): 1.72%; EFA (I-fund): +1.55%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.99% (+FV expected).

TNA: +5.24% (YTD: +54.50%). Who let the bulls out?

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

So I'm curious. Is the FV going to kick the I funders in the pants tonight?

 

[ebbnflow]

So I'm curious. Is the FV going to kick the I funders in the pants tonight?

JimmyJoe, the overseas markets better be exploding tonight.

TSP stock funds rebound (F +0.26%, C +1.49%, S +1.74%, I +1.27%). For the I-fund: Wednesday’s FV (fair value) buffer of +0.89% was added to Thursday’s MSCI EAFE of -0.99% (loss -0.10%). But due to late market movement to the upside, a new FV of +1.37% got tacked onto the I-fund’s final price. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -1.37% at the get-go.

 

[ebbnflow]

TSP stock funds rebound (F +0.26%, C +1.49%, S +1.74%, I +1.27%). For the I-fund: Wednesday’s FV (fair value) buffer of +0.89% was added to Thursday’s MSCI EAFE of -0.99% (loss -0.10%). But due to late market movement to the upside, a new FV of +1.37% got tacked onto the I-fund’s final price. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -1.37% at the get-go.

Unofficial results for June 14, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.59%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.44%; EFA (I-fund): -1.14%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.76% (no FV expected). If we add Thursday' FV baggage of -1.37%, then the I-fund is down -0.61%.

TNA: -2.33% (YTD: +50.91%). Have a safe and fun weekend!

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[JimmyJoe]

Unofficial results for June 14, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.59%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.44%; EFA (I-fund): -1.14%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.76% (no FV expected). If we add Thursday' FV baggage of -1.37%, then the I-fund is down -0.61%.

TNA: -2.33% (YTD: +50.91%). Have a safe and fun weekend!

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

We could say that on Monday the I fund owes us .61%. So we could be on the plus side .61% right off the bat. Perhaps?

 

[ebbnflow]

June 14, 2013

TSP stock funds stumble: G +0.00%; F +0.28%; C -0.59%; S -0.46%; I -0.53%.
For the I-fund: Thursday's FV (fair value) baggage of -1.37% was added to Friday's MSCI EAFE of +0.76% (loss -0.61%). A three-day price adjustment of +0.08% made it to the I-fund's final price. Today, the I-fund is all squared up.

We could say that on Monday the I fund owes us .61%. So we could be on the plus side .61% right off the bat. Perhaps?

Nope, the I-fund is all squared up.