Ebb's Account Talk

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 06, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.19%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.56%; EFA (I-fund): -0.19%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.35% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). If we add Friday's FV baggage of -0.74%, then the I-fund should be down -1.09%. The I-fund is a bargain for the ones who jumped in before noon today, especially with the Nikkei coming back tonight. But, with the I-fund being too cheap and the Nikkei expected to surge a couple of percent, are the TSP overlords preparing to tack on another +FV? :suspicious:

TNA: +2.05% (YTD: +41.62%). Waiting to exhale.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 06, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.19%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.56%; EFA (I-fund): -0.19%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.35% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). If we add Friday's FV baggage of -0.74%, then the I-fund should be down -1.09%. The I-fund is a bargain for the ones who jumped in before noon today, especially with the Nikkei coming back tonight. But, with the I-fund being too cheap and the Nikkei expected to surge a couple of percent, are the TSP overlords preparing to tack on another +FV? :suspicious:

It's official (May 06, 2013): G+0.01%, F -0.10%, C +0.19%, S +0.58%, I -0.21%.

For the I-fund: Friday's FV (fair value) baggage of -0.74% was added to Monday's MSCI EAFE of -0.35% (loss -1.09%). But with Japan's Nikkei back tonight and expected to surge at least a couple of percent higher, another FV of +0.88% got tacked onto the I-fund's final price. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.88% at the get-go.

Friday's I-fund jumpers didn't get screwed today because the TSP overlords rectified the situation with another positive FV.

 

[Cactus]

I'm sure glad you know how that all works. It's enough to make my head spin. :blink: Do you think Blackrock adjusts the FV based on our funds going in/out or is it only on stuff like the Nikkei futures?

 

[ebbnflow]

It's official (May 06, 2013): G+0.01%, F -0.10%, C +0.19%, S +0.58%, I -0.21%.

For the I-fund: Friday's FV (fair value) baggage of -0.74% was added to Monday's MSCI EAFE of -0.35% (loss -1.09%). But with Japan's Nikkei back tonight and expected to surge at least a couple of percent higher, another FV of +0.88% got tacked onto the I-fund's final price. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.88% at the get-go.

Unofficial results for May 07, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.52%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.71%; EFA (I-fund): +0.14%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.92% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). If we add Monday's FV baggage of -0.88%, then the I-fund should be up +0.04%. A price adjustment of +0.04% a day (Friday, Monday and Tuesday) and the I-fund probably ends up with a gain of +0.16%. :blink:

TNA: +2.36% (YTD: +46.40%). Buy-and-beholders rejoice.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

I'm sure glad you know how that all works. It's enough to make my head spin. :blink: Do you think Blackrock adjusts the FV based on our funds going in/out or is it only on stuff like the Nikkei futures?

They probably factor everything in to get the fair value, and make corrections or adjustments when needed.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 07, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.52%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.71%; EFA (I-fund): +0.14%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.92% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). If we add Monday's FV baggage of -0.88%, then the I-fund should be up +0.04%. A price adjustment of +0.04% a day (Friday, Monday and Tuesday) and the I-fund probably ends up with a gain of +0.16%. :blink:

It's official (May 07, 2013): G +0.00%, F -0.04%, C +0.53%, S +0.72%, I +0.10%.

For the I-fund: Monday's FV (fair value) baggage of -0.88% was added to Tuesday's MSCI EAFE of +0.92% (gain +0.04%). A price adjustment of +0.06% made it to the I-fund's final price. Today, the I-fund is all squared up.

I thought the TSP overlords would be more generous with their price adjustment. :cheesy:

 

[crommie]

How the frig is that considered a "fair value" after every market in the frigging world gained today?!!!
Well Asia is continuing up up and away as I type, so perhaps tomorrow will be a fairer value...:notrust:

 

[Cactus]

How the frig is that considered a "fair value" after every market in the frigging world gained today?!!!
Well Asia is continuing up up and away as I type, so perhaps tomorrow will be a fairer value...:notrust:

The way things are starting this morning it looks like it will be a fairer value today.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 08, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.41%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.42%; EFA (I-fund): +1.07%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +1.18% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

TNA: +0.93% (YTD: +46.44%). Market is on fire (in the tuckus).

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 09, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.37%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.42%; EFA (I-fund): -0.96%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.74% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

TNA: -1.35% (YTD: +44.47%). Nice welcome to the latecomers. :suspicious:

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 10, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.43%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.74%; EFA (I-fund): +0.13%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.48% for the I-fund (no FV). We usually don't get +FVs with the dollar up half a percent.

TNA: +2.55% (YTD: +48.16%). Thinking about getting in? Well, think some more.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 13, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.00%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.13%; EFA (I-fund): -0.02%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.30% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

TNA: -0.32% (YTD: +47.72%). Market seems tentative. Don't get caught in the undertow. :worried:

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[nnuut]

Thanks for the updates Ebb!

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 14, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.01%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.15%; EFA (I-fund): +0.19%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.09% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). Stocks rose as the dollar climbed higher.

TNA: +3.85% (YTD: +53.44%). Bears need to sacrifice and capitulate in order to turn this around.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 15, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.51%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.34%; EFA (I-fund): +0.43%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.24% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

TNA: +0.61% (YTD: +54.44%). Everybody jump in the pool! :nuts:

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

 

[tsptalk]

Everybody jump in the pool! :nuts:

Is there water in it?

 

[coolhand]

Is there water in it?

Uh, yeah, it's filled with "liquidity". :cheesy:

 

[Scout333]

Uh, yeah, it's filled with "liquidity". :cheesy:

QE 3?

 

[coolhand]

QE 3?

I believe so.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for May 16, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.50%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.49%; EFA (I-fund): -0.73%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.16% for the I-fund (no FV tonight). Movement from noon to close (FV usually needs 0.50% to be triggered): Dow -0.33%; EFA -0.36%; DWCPF & S&P -0.50%. Too close to call, but if I'm guessing, I'd say no -FV.

TNA: -0.73% (YTD: +53.31%). Finally, the pooh bears find some sweet honey.

Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.