Ebb's Account Talk

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 25, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.95%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.20%; EFA (I-fund): +1.28%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.57%. Sizing up the +FV: Dow, Nasdaq, S&P, DWCPF (no +FV); EFA (+FV of half a percent). Which carries more weight?

TNA: +2.97% (YTD: +40.90%). Relief rally or the start of a new leg up for stocks?

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 25, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.95%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.20%; EFA (I-fund): +1.28%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.57%. Sizing up the +FV: Dow, Nasdaq, S&P, DWCPF (no +FV); EFA (+FV of half a percent). Which carries more weight?

TNA: +2.97% (YTD: +40.90%). Relief rally or the start of a new leg up for stocks?

June 25, 2013

TSP stock funds rebound: G +0.00%; F -0.17%; C +0.96%; S +1.21%; I +1.27%.

For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of +0.70% was added to Tuesday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.57% (gain +1.27%), due to late market movements to the upside. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.70% from the get-go.

Japan's Nikkei (-0.86%) has turned on a dime during its morning session and is now in negative territory. It may be up to the European markets to make up for the FV baggage of -0.70% facing the I-fund.

 

[ebbnflow]

June 25, 2013

TSP stock funds rebound: G +0.00%; F -0.17%; C +0.96%; S +1.21%; I +1.27%.

For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of +0.70% was added to Tuesday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.57% (gain +1.27%), due to late market movements to the upside. So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.70% from the get-go.

Unofficial results for June 26, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.96%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.67%; EFA (I-fund): +0.36%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.92% (no FV expected tonight). If we add Tuesday's FV baggage of -0.70%, then the I-fund is up +0.22%. Add a two-day price adjustment of +0.06% and the I-fund could end up with a gain of +0.28%. :blink:

TNA: +1.29% (YTD: +42.71%). The bulls are back in town. But are they staying?

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 26, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.96%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.67%; EFA (I-fund): +0.36%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.92% (no FV expected tonight). If we add Tuesday's FV baggage of -0.70%, then the I-fund is up +0.22%. Add a two-day price adjustment of +0.06% and the I-fund could end up with a gain of +0.28%. :blink:

TNA: +1.29% (YTD: +42.71%). The bulls are back in town. But are they staying?

June 26, 2013

TSP stock funds advance: G +0.00%; F +0.26%; C +0.98%; S +0.72%; I +0.25%.

For the I-fund: Tuesday’s FV (fair value) baggage of -0.70% was added to Wednesday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.92% (gain +0.22%). A price adjustment of +0.03% made it to the I-fund’s final price. Today, the I-fund is all squared up.

 

[burrocrat]

i went all in from G last friday, so i have one trade left to go anywhere i want, then can retreat to G still.

with the I fund fair value even now, if tomorrow was a good day to slam into I by 10am for the down closing price and then sell out to G by friday's deadline for the I close up, what would i watch for and when might it show?

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

The Ebbchart Premium Service will retire at the end of July so we won't be taking any new subscribers, or renewing monthly subscriptions come July 1. I want to thank ebbnflow for his years of dedicated reports and service. It has been a pleasure working with him. He is moving onto another endeavor and I wish him the best of luck!

Ebb, sorry to see you go, but good luck in your next venture!!

 

[Birchtree]

burrocrat,

When your ears begin to bleed you'll know the I fund rocket is in motion. Wait for it to happen.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 27, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.62%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.46%; EFA (I-fund): +1.08%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.91% (no FV expected tonight).

TNA: +4.67% (YTD: +49.50%). Three days of bliss for the bulls.

 

[ebbnflow]

Ebb, sorry to see you go, but good luck in your next venture!!

RMI, thanks! I wanted to leave the premium service last year. A friend wants the ebbchart on his website, but I haven't decided yet if I'd go that route, experience running my own, or just go very private with the system. The things I discovered last year (triple patterns timeline) will take time to unfold. We can't do fast-forwards, so there's no telling where it's going to lead the system.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for June 27, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.62%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.46%; EFA (I-fund): +1.08%.

Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.91% (no FV expected tonight).

TNA: +4.67% (YTD: +49.50%). Three days of bliss for the bulls.

June 27, 2013

TSP stock funds in rally mode: G +0.00%; F +0.38%; C +0.63%; S +1.50%; I +1.51%.

For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of +0.60% was added to Thursday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.91% (gain +1.51%). So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.60% at the get-go.

Note: There were no indications of a +FV from the major indices, but the TSP overlords decided on one anyway. Why? Because they can! Okay, maybe the overseas futures had a little something to do with it (Japan’s Nikkei is up over 2% during its early morning session).

 

[konakathy]

Sorry to see you go. I sure made some beaucoup bucks in the I fund with your premium service; back in the day when we could day trade.

Good Luck and Aloha - Kathy

 

[ebbnflow]

June 27, 2013

TSP stock funds in rally mode: G +0.00%; F +0.38%; C +0.63%; S +1.50%; I +1.51%.

For the I-fund: A new FV (fair value) of +0.60% was added to Thursday’s MSCI EAFE of +0.91% (gain +1.51%). So today, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.60% at the get-go.

Note: There were no indications of a +FV from the major indices, but the TSP overlords decided on one anyway. Why? Because they can! Okay, maybe the overseas futures had a little something to do with it (Japan’s Nikkei is up over 2% during its early morning session).

Unofficial results for June 28, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.43%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.17%; EFA (I-fund): -0.19%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.10% (no FV expected tonight). Add Thursday's FV baggage of -0.60%, and the I-fund is down -0.50%.

TNA: -1.51% (YTD: +47.25%). Have a safe and fun weekend!

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for July 01, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.54%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.23%; EFA (I-fund): +0.92%.

Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +1.04% (no FV expected tonight).

TNA: +4.67% (YTD: +54.13%). The bulls keep on partying before the punch bowl runs out.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for July 02, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.05%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.11%; EFA (I-fund): -0.50%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.18% (-FV expected tonight). Market indices moved enough (half a percent) to warrant a -FV. If we don't get one, then the late rise in the dollar (from +0.40% to +0.68%) would roll over and put a crimp on the I-fund tomorrow (market closes at 1:00 PM ET).

TNA: -0.41% (YTD: +53.69%). The bulls have left the building.

 

[rcknfrewld]

there better be a big -negative fair value for tomorrow after today's happy horseshat

 

[rcknfrewld]

ebbnflow...you will always be evenflow to me...I love your daily updates ...always on time...I will go back and like every post you have posted...for what it's worth

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for July 02, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.05%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.11%; EFA (I-fund): -0.50%.

Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a gain of +0.18% (-FV expected tonight). Market indices moved enough (half a percent) to warrant a -FV. If we don't get one, then the late rise in the dollar (from +0.40% to +0.68%) would roll over and put a crimp on the I-fund tomorrow (market closes at 1:00 PM ET).

TNA: -0.41% (YTD: +53.69%). The bulls have left the building.

Unofficial results for July 03, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +0.08%; DWCPF (S-fund): +0.09%; EFA (I-fund): +0.03%.

Wednesday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.83% (no FV expected tonight). The loss was a bit higher due to the dollar-rollover.

TNA: +0.87% (YTD: +55.03%). Have a happy 4th of July celebration!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

RMI, thanks! I wanted to leave the premium service last year. A friend wants the ebbchart on his website, but I haven't decided yet if I'd go that route, experience running my own, or just go very private with the system. The things I discovered last year (triple patterns timeline) will take time to unfold. We can't do fast-forwards, so there's no telling where it's going to lead the system.

Please let us know where it goes. I'm fairly new to site but have seen some older posts and this system seems very interesting. I love numbers and the patterns of this system. Thanks!

 

[ebbnflow]

Please let us know where it goes. I'm fairly new to site but have seen some older posts and this system seems very interesting. I love numbers and the patterns of this system. Thanks!

DreamboatAnnie, I will keep you updated where it goes in the future.

 

[ebbnflow]

Unofficial results for July 05, 2013:

S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.02%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.23%; EFA (I-fund): +0.47%.

Friday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -1.07%. Add holiday Thursday's MSCI EAFE of +1.25% and the I-fund has a gain of only +0.18%. Can we expect a +FV tonight? Sure, but with the dollar index so high and yesterday's US futures already up when Japan's Nikkei rallied, I doubt it. The European markets are expected to get a pop from this, though.

TNA: +3.93% (YTD: +61.13%). The bears must be shell-shocked by now. Whatever happened to good news is bad news?