W
Wizard
Guest
Looks like interest rates world wide are going to explode.
Just look at gold and silver this week.
Something is afoot.
Just look at gold and silver this week.
Something is afoot.
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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!Direction of F Fund ?
- Thread starter GTO1970
- Start date
WWizard
Guest
Did you see the bond market in Japan last night?
That was not creeping. That was a blood bath.sugarandspice
Well-known member
Does anyone have an explanation for why we who were in the F fund yesterday somehow got "F"ed on our investment? I can't figure it out.
FundSurfer
Well-known member
I noticed it as well...
I noticed it, but have not followed the fund that closely to know the in's and out's.I can imagine the response when I say that "I don't quite understand the F fund."
If I look at the historical charts, AGG closed yesterday near its historical low at 98.75 while the F fund was at 10.60. The AGG seems (judging from low res chart) to have peaked around Feb 2004 at better than 104, while the F fund during this time was doing about 10.15. In exactly what sense does the F fund "track" the AGG???Interesting graph. If you use the YAHOO graph for TSP funds that we link to from the TSPTALK site and select 5 years, it clearly shows the minimum in 2004 at about 99 rather than the 96 you have above. The YAHOO graph also puts the all time maximum at 104 in the same year rather than 101.5 What can we believe if stock services vary so much??
Interesting. Barchart.com shows what Yahoo does ...
http://charts3.barchart.com/chart.asp?vol=Y&jav=adv&grid=Y&org=stk&sym=AGG&data=H&code=BSTK&evnt=adv
... but the decision point chart that I posted seems to be closer to what the F fund actually did. I'm not sure. Maybe we need to go straight to the source at Lehman.
The_Technician
Active member
Re: Direction of F Fund
I'm getting data that indicates its at a bottom....looking for some gains until possibly Jun......I just got into it again.....100%From Marketwatch.com on 4/4/2006:
"The benchmark 10-year Treasury note last was up 2/32 at 97-7/32 to 4.857%. On Monday the benchmark yield briefly topped 4.9% amid heavy selling. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lift the federal-funds rate to 5% at its May meeting, and investors are likely to send the benchmark yields up to that level in advance of the meeting."
If it plays out this way, prices must drop, so it would seem that the F-fund will track downward prior to the upcoming meeting.
The_Technician
Active member
Pilgrim said:
Yeah, I saw the news....expecting some rebound at the moment and then see if the Feds make that move....the F fund has made some low levels in various data that haven't been seen in a while....
biggdog1
Member
I can't for the life of me understand why anyone would be in the F-Fund right now. With the Fed still raising int. rates and the dollar going up/down, it's hard to rationalize buying into this fund for me. With small caps and the foreign markets still holding gains for now why not buy in even though shares are high priced. Just my opinion !
The_Technician
Active member
See article on inflation, bonds, dollar, and rate hikes expectations
http://money.cnn.com/2006/04/05/markets/bondcenter/bonds/index.htm
http://money.cnn.com/2006/04/05/news/economy/fed_hoenig.reut/index.htm
F fund will be doing what here...???:nuts:
Honestly, I think they mean that inflation will be contained because they will stop the printing presses that are printing dollars....they can on do so much before running us under u know....Last edited:
vectorman
Active member
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/markets/bonds.html
" The 10-day relative strength index, a gauge of momentum, for 10-year securities was at 24.2 today. A level below 30 or above 70 suggests the price may change direction. Treasuries rallied after the reading fell below 30 on March 6 and 13. "Similar threads
