Please read our AutoTracker policy on the IFT deadline and remaining active. Thanks!
$ - Premium Service Content (Info) | AutoTracker Monthly Winners | Is Gmail et al, Blocking Our emails?
Find us on: Facebook & X | Posting Copyrighted Material
Join the TSP Talk AutoTracker: How to Get Started | Login | Main AutoTracker Page
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com ...
Or you can now use TapaTalk again!
It's because interest rates were falling.They ain't fallin anytime soon, dear. Buckle your safety belt. We're in for a rocky interest rate ride. I'd only be interested in the F fund right now if we could short it..
Not too soon swsop, you know what they say, go against the masses. Rising interest rates where "suppose" to be bad for the S fund last year also.
Hi Grandma, I'm sitting in the F Fund watching for stocks to bottom out then I'll jump back in. Lots of us lost money in early Jan. I'm thinking Feb won't be any better based on historic data. I might be in the F for another 5 weeks or so. = TimerSitting in G fund againhas me feelingI am back where Iwas when I found this site and got started moving out. Then I find the market is changing its directions.What I gained since first of Dec, I have given back. I certainly don't have the Midas Touch, and could even nuture the thought I caused the slump for everyone else by joining up here!
Only a few have mentioned using F, some a whole lot, others just some. I would like to feel I am making some progress in these months before retirement, but don't want to move just because of hyperactivity-ness. I had some in F, then at the last minute moved it out the end of the week. Since then I see others have gone in, so unless I hear some Real `Oh No' s, I will replace it Monday before noon.
Thanx -
MT,The overnight rate is 2.5% and the 30 year is (I believe) around 4.50%...why take 30 years of risk for 2% of yield? Only a fool would do that or fools that are SCREAMING AT YOU stocks are overvalued. Once again the charts and data tell you what is going on...not the talking heads on tv. The talking heads on tv are not allowed toown stocks...so all they care about is ratings...we all know when the market goes down their ratings (and in turn their bonuses) suffer.
That is the big picture.
MT
I think you're both correct..just reacting over different timeframes.. ST is more short focus. MT very long focus.MarketTimer wrote:MT,The overnight rate is 2.5% and the 30 year is (I believe) around 4.50%...why take 30 years of risk for 2% of yield? Only a fool would do that or fools that are SCREAMING AT YOU stocks are overvalued. Once again the charts and data tell you what is going on...not the talking heads on tv. The talking heads on tv are not allowed toown stocks...so all they care about is ratings...we all know when the market goes down their ratings (and in turn their bonuses) suffer.
That is the big picture.
MT
I understand where you're coming from, but I'm not saying to buy and hold the F Fund or anybond/bond fund indefinitely.Thebond timing model I useis pretty sensitive tochanges in the bond market/monetary climate.If bonds start sinking, the model will give a sell signal before any majorbond losses.
From what I've seen,it's better to move to the F Fund when you're not in stocksif the bond trend is up. Yes, you'll lose a few $$ at times. But in the long run, it's more profitable than always moving to the G Fund.
As for the talking heads, I only listen to them for entertainment.
~John
Sarah,SystemTrader wrote:I think you're both correct..just reacting over different timeframes.. ST is more short focus. MT very long focus.MarketTimer wrote:MT,The overnight rate is 2.5% and the 30 year is (I believe) around 4.50%...why take 30 years of risk for 2% of yield? Only a fool would do that or fools that are SCREAMING AT YOU stocks are overvalued. Once again the charts and data tell you what is going on...not the talking heads on tv. The talking heads on tv are not allowed toown stocks...so all they care about is ratings...we all know when the market goes down their ratings (and in turn their bonuses) suffer.
That is the big picture.
MT
I understand where you're coming from, but I'm not saying to buy and hold the F Fund or anybond/bond fund indefinitely.Thebond timing model I useis pretty sensitive tochanges in the bond market/monetary climate.If bonds start sinking, the model will give a sell signal before any majorbond losses.
From what I've seen,it's better to move to the F Fund when you're not in stocksif the bond trend is up. Yes, you'll lose a few $$ at times. But in the long run, it's more profitable than always moving to the G Fund.
As for the talking heads, I only listen to them for entertainment.
~John