XL-entLady's Account Talk

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You are being presented with the opportunity to make a great deal of retirement money in the next several years with this bull market - but you will have to step up.

Dennis - permabull #1
 
Long Time - Long Time !

Hope this drive-by hello finds you in good health and just a bit richer !

Missing you always !

SB
 
Thanks, guys, for stopping by! Steady, thanks for the warm welcome back. Frixxxx ol' friend, your empathy for me is always appreciated. And Birch, sometimes I can step up and sometimes I just

Slow it down now, And take a step back, take a step back ...It's a shot in the dark, against all odds .... Life is what you make of it.... :toung:
:laugh:
Lady
 
squalebear said:
Ditto !
Click to expand...


Squalebear,
Reading through the past few posts was so heart warming and beautiful I once again realized how vital many of these posts are because they are like beautiful decorations that make the place nice and cozy -- give it that 'home' feel.

Well anyway I thought this one was from Lady to you ~~ so decided not to make a post. Squale my friend, my delightful little brother, you could be an 'interior decorator' -- you really have style.

Lady,
It's always a pleasure to hear from you -- I'm glad you've got the grandkids near by (without being cramped :cheesy:). We'll hope for a solid 2 today -- 2 would be good. :):cool:
 
Steadygain said:
Squalebear,
Reading through the past few posts was so heart warming and beautiful I once again realized how vital many of these posts are because they are like beautiful decorations that make the place nice and cozy -- give it that 'home' feel.

Well anyway I thought this one was from Lady to you ~~ so decided not to make a post. Squale my friend, my delightful little brother, you could be an 'interior decorator' -- you really have style.

Lady,
It's always a pleasure to hear from you -- I'm glad you've got the grandkids near by (without being cramped :cheesy:). We'll hope for a solid 2 today -- 2 would be good. :):cool:
Click to expand...

Our TSPTalk family has stood the test of time. Since 2007, I have been blessed to know all of you. I have learned first hand that Love can flow just as easily as the bits and bytes that make up this very special website. Happy Holidays One and All ! :)
 
I'm going all in. I'd like to wait to see if tomorrow is "Turnaround Tuesday" so I could buy at lower prices but I'm not going to be able to watch the market tomorrow. So I'm just going to do it.

At close of business today I'll take the 50% that was in the Garage and put it into some C and mostly S. I'll be 50% C, 35% S and 15% I.

I'm making my decision because of seasonality, because of the charts and because, if I remember correctly, CH's 7 sentinals are on a buy.

That means the rest of you should head to G as quickly as you can:toung:,
Lady
 
I'm moving my allocation to 50/50 C and S tomorrow. It appears that the I Fund will continue to take a hit because of dollar strength. Among other things I've read today, here is a quote from today's Wall Street Journal:

"...The dollar has closed above its 50-day moving average for three consecutive days for the first time since March, when it was still the globe's safe-haven currency. Such technical indicators can mislead, but this suggests the buck has upward momentum...."

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704825504574584373807356320.html

Lady
 
Lady, its goood to have you back on a more visible basis. Your presence is being felt all around the MB. Loved the line about why let unnecessary items use up so much mental space and energy today. Keep the good energy going, my dear, as much as you can afford to expend in a given day. We truly need it around here.
 
I'm still 50/50 C and S and holding.

I'm headed home (to Redneck Central :nuts:) for a Christmas visit so I don't know if I'll dare keep fully invested in the market after this Thursday. I'll have to see what the charts look like. Still hoping for that Santa rally!

Lady
 
Merrill-Lynch has a bullish outlook on 2010. Don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing. :cheesy:

"We believe the global economy will gather momentum in 2010. We think that the unprecedented mix of near-zero interest rates and high budget deficits will engineer an economic recovery that is real and sustainable. We aren’t forecasting a swift return to robust growth. In fact, the recovery will likely lag behind those of previous recessions – but we believe that the world economy will perform far better than the economic consensus would indicate."

http://seekingalpha.com/article/178...-a-burst-of-the-pessimism-bubble?source=hp_wc

Lady
 
Do you believe in Santa Claus?

Today's Seeking Alpha contained an article with the following information:

"Recently, I looked up the closing prices for the S&P 500 from December 15th (or the 14th or 13th in some cases due to weekends) through the last trading day of the year which usually occurred on December 31st and then calculated the returns for those periods....If the trend from the past 50 years continues this year, then the S&P 500 has a 78% chance of returning an average of 1.5%. If the trend over the most recent 20 years holds, then there is an 80% chance that the S&P 500 will return about 1.7%. At least on Wall Street, Santa Claus does seem to exist."

http://seekingalpha.com/article/178588-yes-virginia-there-really-is-a-santa-claus-rally?source=hp_wc

Pre-market is looking down today. Will it be Santa or the Grinch? :o

Lady
 




Study: Twas 3 Nights Before Christmas

By Rob Hanna | December 22, 2009 | 8:47 AM



At Tuesday's close we will enter the next strongly bullish seasonal period. Last year I showed the "Twas 3 Night's Before Christmas" study. I have updated that study below.


​



(This is Lady speaking now :)) I must believe in Santa Claus because I'm still fully invested, 50% each in C and S.

Getting ready for a big family dinner at my house Christmas Eve. Turkey, ham and all the trimmings. Hope you and yours have a safe and happy Yuletide!

Lady
 
My most interesting read of the morning:

"...The yield curve may be the best single forecasting predictor there is. When it was inverted or flat for most of 2006, 2007, and the early part of 2008, it correctly predicted big trouble ahead. Right now it is forecasting a much stronger economy in 2010 than most people think possible.

So there could be a mini boom next year, with real GDP growing at 4 to 5 percent, perhaps with a 6 percent quarter in there someplace. And the unemployment rate is likely to come down, perhaps moving into the 8 percent zone from today's 10 percent.

The normalization of the Treasury curve is corroborated by the rising stock market and a normalization of credit spreads in the bond market. I note that as the curve has widened in recent weeks, gold prices have corrected lower and the dollar has increased somewhat. So the edge may be coming off the inflation threat. If market investors expect the economy to grow, inflation at the margin will be that much lower as better growth absorbs at least some of the money-supply excess created by the Fed. My hunch is that inflation will range 2 to 3 percent next year. ...

But really, pessimists have missed the big rise in corporate profits, the resiliency of our mostly free-market capitalist economy, and the monetarist experiment from the easy-money Fed. The optimal policy mix on the supply-side is low tax rates and King Dollar. We don't have that. So as good as 2010 may be, with investors moving to beat the tax man, it could be a false prosperity at the expense of 2011.

But let's cross that bridge when we get there. Right now, rising stocks and a wide and positive yield curve are spelling strong economic growth in the new year. "

http://www.greenfaucet.com/economy/the-yield-curve-is-signaling-bigger-growth/24477

And I just wanted to take a second to thank each of you, my MB friends, for how much you bring to each day. May each of us be blessed with the love of good friends at this special time of the year! :)

Lady
 
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