tsptalk's Market Talk

The Transportation Index is down hard this morning, opening a new gap. It seems to be trying to complete a bearish head and shoulders pattern with a descending neckline. If 112 breaks on the IYT Transports ETF, the downside target would be somewhere between 106 and 104.

Looking for a silver lining, many times pre-holiday action is reversed after the holiday.

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It's so hard to keep from selling on today's downward action that's going on...but I think we're seeing panic selling and will probably be approaching oversold by COB today.

I'll be watching for a run into the close into next week...:D
 
The question is, what will the reaction be to missiles flying into Syria? It could be a "sell the rumor", "buy the news" reaction, unless Russia and China get involved.

I see oil is finally moving up on this news.
 
You very well might be right...if bombs do drop!

But...isn't it suppose to be the opposite typically...Buy the rumor...sell the news!

This year has been so screwy!...LoL!:D
 
Tom, Your Transport ETF IYT, as you noted below, is at 13.38 area right now... Sure hope it may hold there for the rest of the day!
 
But...isn't it suppose to be the opposite typically...Buy the rumor...sell the news!
Good question. Basically pros and the smart money react to rumors, then do the opposite (take profits) when the herd (dumb money) overreacts. So, it works both ways. In this case it would be, sell short on the rumor, buy to cover on the news.
 
OMG...this is getting frazzling...But that's what they do...The shake the market like this from time to time just to turn it for a huge profit as people sell off! You see it with individual micro caps alot! They use a little bad news or uncertain news to unhinge the market and spark a panic sell....then goble everything up and sell at a higher price once the dust settles, or they do what TSPTalk was suggesting...sell the rumor and buy the news!


Either way it's difficult to hold onto your shares while watching the whole thing take a nose dive like this!!!
 
Not sure I want to trust he action of a pre-holiday Friday (which is normally bullish) but the leaders (small caps and Transports) are testing some dangerous levels. This could all reverse on Tuesday, but the chart formations don't look very good.

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The dollar moved up to the 200-day EMA, found resistance and backed off. This early strength in the dollar probably means the I-fund will feel the brunt of this - even if the dollar closes even, or even down on the day. And any late weakness wouldn't benefit the I-fund until next week - but it's up to the folks who make the I-fund share price each night.

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Getting a little bounce here after Kerry talked. The market just wants clarity. Of course it's the close that matters, not intraday rallies or breakdowns.
 
bearish engulfing candles on the weekly chart for both spx and iwm, not a pretty close (unless something miraculous happens in the next 13 minutes)
 
Both the S&P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq have filled their open gaps, and the SPY is testing and backing off a little from the 20 EMA, 50 EMA and the descending resistance line... Where will it close?

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The 10-year is at 2.98%. I'm surprised stocks are holding up so well, although they are getting a little heavy this morning. Let's see if the dip buyers are still interested if / when we see 3.0%.
 
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