-
Please read our AutoTracker policy on the IFT deadline and remaining active. Thanks!
-
$ - Premium Service Content (Info) | AutoTracker Monthly Winners | Is Gmail et al, Blocking Our emails?
Find us on: Facebook & X | Posting Copyrighted Material
-
Join the TSP Talk AutoTracker: How to Get Started | Login | Main AutoTracker Page
-
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com ...
Or you can now use TapaTalk again!
tsptalk's Market Talk
- Thread starter tsptalk
- Start date
Whatever the Fed said, flipped this over and it is now down on the day.
Basically the same. No inflation. Zero rates and free money til the end. In spite of record stock highs and explosive growth. Fed has your back.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
papahotel66
Member
Anyone have a chart of the daily May seasonality or know where to find one? Curious what the "Sell in May" idea looks like on the first few days.
I find it interesting, that no matter how much concern there is about inflation - and the Fed said he sees growth and inflation out there - that bond yields always seem to close off their intraday highs, and opening price. That's evident with the black candlesticks below. Growth and inflation = higher yields, so who keeps pushing yields lower during the day after early spikes, when they should be moving higher based on the data?
Bullitt
Well-known member
Deflationary pressures is my guess. I'm skeptical the US will be able to hit and stay above those inflation goals of 2% especially since everyone is talking about it now. It's easy to say runaway inflation with gas prices, but we're back to where we should be with gas prices. Supply chain disruption will only be a temporary thing and that's leading to most of the inflationary pockets we see today.
The lumber and housing inflation is due to cut lumber plant shutdowns and a near complete halt in home building/homes for sale due to pandemic. Those pressures are slowly easing.
40% of the most recent stimulus was stashed in savings, so that money isn't out there chasing goods.
As of Feb 2021, most everyone was a seller of US debt except for UK. The numbers were still net higher than December 2020. Unfortunately there is a big delay in this reporting.
https://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/mfh.txt
The lumber and housing inflation is due to cut lumber plant shutdowns and a near complete halt in home building/homes for sale due to pandemic. Those pressures are slowly easing.
40% of the most recent stimulus was stashed in savings, so that money isn't out there chasing goods.
As of Feb 2021, most everyone was a seller of US debt except for UK. The numbers were still net higher than December 2020. Unfortunately there is a big delay in this reporting.
https://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/mfh.txt
As weatherweenie reported, Yellen was talking this morning about potentially having to raise rates to keep the economy from overheating. Yields are coming off their lows, after support was tested again and trying to hold. It looks bear "flaggy", but I can't see them breaking down... why would they?
The S-fund (DWCPF) fell through one rising support line on Tuesday and is again testing the 50-day EMA. Below that is the Russell 2000, and if you read my commentary you know I've called it a "mothman" formation. 
You can see some important support levels being tested now, including the 50-day EMA which can easily hold, but if it doesn't, I marked potential downside targets if it fails.
You can see some important support levels being tested now, including the 50-day EMA which can easily hold, but if it doesn't, I marked potential downside targets if it fails.
weatherweenie
Well-known member
Market climbing on a bad jobs report, what the flagnog?
Similar threads
- Article