Playing the I fund

[350zCommTech]

Early estimate: up .052% or 2 cents.

 

[The_Technician]

Early estimate: up .052% or 2 cents.

I'm currently showing 3 cent up 350z.....how about u....???

 

[350zCommTech]

Up .016% or 1 cent.

 

[sugarandspice]

EAFE says +.0060

 

[350zCommTech]

EAFE says +.0060

Might still be a penny.

 

[Rod]

Might still be a penny.

I'll take it!

 

[sugarandspice]

G--
F+.02
C-.05
S-.18
I---

 

[Griffin]

BOJ leaves rates untouched, and some problems in Japan's tech world.

http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?storyID=urn:newsml:reuters.com:20070119:MTFH21942_2007-01-19_07-03-03_T13208&type=comktNews&rpc=44

Mining causing some issues on the British front.

http://yahoo.reuters.com/news/articlehybrid.aspx?storyID=urn:newsml:reuters.com:20070119:MTFH24289_2007-01-19_08-52-12_L19261572&type=comktNews&rpc=44

 

[VirginiaBob]

A negative fair value today since the EFA dropped yesterday, but the I-fund stayed even?

 

[350zCommTech]

A negative fair value today since the EFA dropped yesterday, but the I-fund stayed even?

No FV yesterday and we won't know about today till later tonight. Remember, the EFA is an ETF of the EAFE. It's not the actual MSCI EAFE, which is our I fund. Does that sound funny or what?

 

[350zCommTech]

Early estimate: up .013% or 1 cent.

 

[FUTURESTRADER]

A negative fair value today since the EFA dropped yesterday, but the I-fund stayed even?

Bob,

I think fair value is based on MSCI EAFE, up + .006% yesterday, basically flat But I think your premise is correct that if I fund differs from MSCI EAFE +/- .5% or greater than a +/- 10 cent FV might be expected, not necessarily the next day however. I think this is the rationale. S&S, 350 and others on the board have a better grasp.

 

[350zCommTech]

Another estimate: up .286% or 7 cents. The trend is up.

 

[350zCommTech]

Up .423% or 10 cents.

 

[Wheels]

Up .423% or 10 cents.

Again 350, thanks for the timely, accurate, and faithful estimates. I still don't know what the heck I am doing for Monday, but it's great having your estimates to help me (confidently) make my decisions.

 

[350zCommTech]

Again 350, thanks for the timely, accurate, and faithful estimates. I still don't know what the heck I am doing for Monday, but it's great having your estimates to help me (confidently) make my decisions.

Your'e welcome Wheels,

I think we are getting a dead cat bounce in tech today. I see more selling come monday. I'm going for the penny.

 

[sugarandspice]

Up .423% or 10 cents.

What you provide here is an invaluable asset for anyone using the I fund. People with active interests in their TSP accounts and don't have the presence here to know this information are selling themselves short.

Thanks!

 

[Wheels]

Your'e welcome Wheels,

I think we are getting a dead cat bounce in tech today. I see more selling come monday. I'm going for the penny.

I decided to stand pat 50S/50I. I am pretty comfortable with that even over the weekend. The only thing that'll make me regret it is a huge run-up in the U.S. markets and a positive FV in the I.

 

[350zCommTech]

What you provide here is an invaluable asset for anyone using the I fund. People with active interests in their TSP accounts and don't have the presence here to know this information are selling themselves short.

Thanks!

You're welcome S&S,

I'm just giving back to the forum. I've learned a lot from you, Wheels, Griffin, Gilligan, Fundsurfer, and many others and I'm happy to be able to contirbute.

 

[350zCommTech]

I decided to stand pat 50S/50I. I am pretty comfortable with that even over the weekend. The only thing that'll make me regret it is a huge run-up in the U.S. markets and a positive FV in the I.

My big concern is the lack of rallies in the face of good news. It seems like they are looking for any excuse to sell. If good economic numbers like today's Michigan sentiment or good earnings don't entice a rally, then what's left? A Fed rate cut? That won't happen until we get a negative jobs number. I will probably stay out until then end of the month. I'm still bothered by the sell-off in tech (Thanks to Jim Cramer).

On the other hand, the dollar is hitting resistance and will drop big on any weak economic news. When I get back in, it will be I fund.