Playing the I fund

Thanks john,

I too hope the USM holds. With the I fund up over 1% today, it would take a huge rally in the USM(1% more) for us to see a +FV. I think the dollar will rise on Monday only to fall on Tuesday. I have a feeling the traders are about to take profit. I just hope it's not this afternoon. Today's rise in the USM, despite very disappointing news from AMD, is very disturbing.

If I had gotten off position in time, I probably would have used your logic to bail on the I fund. On the other hand, Ayla posted some TA in his thread that "convinced" me to stay in the I fund for a few days. I think I told you a couple of days ago that if the S went up "one" more day, that I was going to bail and I haven't done that yet either. Maybe being stuck on position is a good thing. Keeps me from having to make decisions, which has been very profitable thelast couple of days.
 
A great day for the "I", so far. Congratulations to all you "I" fund dogs!!!!:D "S" isn't doing so bad either!!:D I thank the good old Oil Slick for not acting up!:cheesy: Catch up TIME!!!!!!!:D
 
If I had gotten off position in time, I probably would have used your logic to bail on the I fund. On the other hand, Ayla posted some TA in his thread that "convinced" me to stay in the I fund for a few days. I think I told you a couple of days ago that if the S went up "one" more day, that I was going to bail and I haven't done that yet either. Maybe being stuck on position is a good thing. Keeps me from having to make decisions, which has been very profitable thelast couple of days.

I read his post also prior to the deadline. For the I fund, I believe he uses the I fund price(Fabijo is doing the same with his spreadsheet I think). Inmho, the price of the I fund should not be used because of fundamental reasons. There are just too many variables. I can go into it more but I would rather not unless they ask me to. Besisdes I have to get ready for work..:D
 
A great day for the "I", so far. Congratulations to all you "I" fund dogs!!!!:D "S" isn't doing so bad either!!:D I thank the good old Oil Slick for not acting up!:cheesy: Catch up TIME!!!!!!!:D

I didn't say much this morning about the I, thought that the C and S were going to top out a bit for a couple of days, but its catch up time for the I....looking for it to gain a few more to around 22.5 before it backs off on this clim'mer
 
MSCI EAFE is 1.078%.

350, as they say on the golf course, "you've got skills to burn."

I wish I had skills on the golf course. When I retire, 23 years from now, I will play golf all day, every day. That reminds me, I should be practicing with my Medicus 5 iron during the winter.:D
 
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I wish I had skills on the golf course. When I retire, 23 years from now, I will play golf all day, every day. That reminds me, I should be practicing with my Medicus 5 iron during the winter.:D

The trick is to tighten it down so it won’t break during your swing :D Actually a great tool, it really slowed down my back swing.
 
I looked at some beautiful land and associated golf courses over the summer in north western North Carolina. Simply gorgeous and with a high step up price to participate. But you are never over crowded.
 
Do you guys think the I fund is still on correction?Are we still goin to see 30 cents drop from time to time?

The simple answer is yes. The big question is when. Right now I still have the MSCI EAFE as oversold and with the $ dropping it still looks like a hold. But the I Fund is far from simple to predict with a tech analysis; we got a whole world of things that can put it off. I tend to bail out when it’s overbought, $ is at the bottom of its channel and some geopolitical stirrings occur. As I learned last year…when something is overbought it can stay overbought for quite awhile. Oh yeah, there are some negative things on the charts, MACD has a large divergence now and the parabolic SAR shows a down trend. (Short term)

So yeah, it’s going to drop from time to time, last year we had a 8% drop it recovered and lead all the funds to the end of the year.

I’m going to hang on a little longer….but who knows what could happen over the weekend.
 
I'll bet the dollar will fall by Tuesday. Inflation report for BOE comes out on Tuesday, and it might be higher than expected, hense the surprise rate hike yesterday. But the FTSE might tank on that news. The Europeans shot up too high yesterday and up again today. The Nasdaq is way overbought. The G will pay on Tuesday. I type too slowwwww........

I have the remedy for that. I used to be fast, now I'm extremely fast thanks to TyperShark! You don't have to download the game, just click on the 'Play Web Game' button. X-treme is the only mode I'm playing. I got to level 16, but the game went turbo on me. :mad:

TyperSharkHS.jpg
http://get.games.yahoo.com/proddesc?gamekey=typershark

Cut me some slack people, it's my only claim to fame (idiot savant right here). :D
 
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http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H10/hist/dat00_eu.txt

How difficult would it be for one of you computer gurus to take this data from the Euro/USD historical prices, input it, along with historical data of the I fund share prices, massage it and analyze it, and develop some useful information?

There is also a link for USD/Yen historical data.

GA

I'm not the dollar expert (but I would like to be). From what I know, I think the US Dollar Index would be more useful. I think that is what 350Z uses when he predicts the daily quote prior to noon for the I fund. All I can find for free on the web is prices for the past week at:
http://quote.barchart.com/quote.asp?sym=$DXY&code=BSTK

If you can find historical data for the Dollar Index also quoted other places such as at http://www.nybot.com/ (see "USDX" upper right hand corner of page), I think it would be much more meaningful. I tried saving it regularly but I lost a couple of weeks around Christmas time. Kind of a hassle, trying to remember to go get the info each day.

Maybe the other data at the link you provided would be helpful but I'll probably only use that if/when I exhaust my search for free historical USDX data. Seems like there would be other factors that would keep the analysis from being straightforward if you use the Dollar/Euro or Dollar/Yen conversion rates. Anyone agree/disagree?

Am in a steep learning curve here so I am open to any corrections or additions to my understanding of the Dollar Index and which values are most useful for analysis.
 
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