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Playing the I fund
- Thread starter clester
- Start date
Show-me
Well-known member
EZ is bouncing off of its lows. Sounds like the Euro will get stronger.
European shares fall as energy, bank stocks weigh
Thursday November 23, 7:57 am ET
By Marie Maitre
PARIS (Reuters) - Weak energy and banking stocks pushed European shares lower on Thursday, while Air France shares fell on news it was in tentative merger talks with ailing Italian airline Alitalia. But takeover talk lifted shares in Imperial Chemical Industries and French drinks group Remy Cointreau and a positive broker note on Spanish clothing retailer Inditex helped limit market losses.
The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was 0.4 percent lower at 1,460 points by 1150 GMT, having slipped from Wednesday's 5-1/2-year intra-day high of 1,476.5, but still 14.6 percent higher since the start of the year.
Volumes were lighter than usual as bank holidays in Japan and the United States kept many investors out of the markets, while a relatively thin earnings and economic agenda made investors reluctant to open new positions.
Hawkish comments by a European Central Bank official weighed on sentiment, adding to investors' worries about the toll that higher interest rates would take on euro zone economies.
ECB Governing Council member Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez said inflation risks were on the rise in the single currency bloc and that interest rates were still favorable for growth. The ECB is widely expected to raise rates to 3.5 percent next month -- which would be the sixth increase since December last year -- in a bid to keep inflation in check.
European shares fall as energy, bank stocks weigh
Thursday November 23, 7:57 am ET
By Marie Maitre
PARIS (Reuters) - Weak energy and banking stocks pushed European shares lower on Thursday, while Air France shares fell on news it was in tentative merger talks with ailing Italian airline Alitalia. But takeover talk lifted shares in Imperial Chemical Industries and French drinks group Remy Cointreau and a positive broker note on Spanish clothing retailer Inditex helped limit market losses.
The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was 0.4 percent lower at 1,460 points by 1150 GMT, having slipped from Wednesday's 5-1/2-year intra-day high of 1,476.5, but still 14.6 percent higher since the start of the year.
Volumes were lighter than usual as bank holidays in Japan and the United States kept many investors out of the markets, while a relatively thin earnings and economic agenda made investors reluctant to open new positions.
Hawkish comments by a European Central Bank official weighed on sentiment, adding to investors' worries about the toll that higher interest rates would take on euro zone economies.
ECB Governing Council member Miguel Angel Fernandez Ordonez said inflation risks were on the rise in the single currency bloc and that interest rates were still favorable for growth. The ECB is widely expected to raise rates to 3.5 percent next month -- which would be the sixth increase since December last year -- in a bid to keep inflation in check.
tspgo_com
Active member
What's Ahead ...
Considere moving to the I-Fund. From here till December 31, 2006, there seems to be no other way to go but up.
See graph
www.tspgo.com/images/ifund1111season2.gif
Legend:
JD03 = I-Fund return from July - December 2003
JD04 = I-Fund return from July - December 2004
JD05 = I-Fund return from July - December 2005
JD06 = I-Fund return from July - Present 2006
Disclaimier: Past performance ...
Happy Thanksgiving to all
TSPGO!
German corporate optimism jumps unexpectedly
BERLIN - German corporate sentiment unexpectedly rose in November to equal a 15-year high as business expectations and firms' assessment of current conditions improved, a key survey showed on Thursday. The Munich-based Ifo research institute said its business climate index, based on a monthly poll of around 7,000 firms, rose to 106.8 from 105.3 in October. The survey posted its second consecutive rise to equal its June reading, which was the highest since February 1991. Euro zone government bond futures fell and the euro hit its highest level since early June on the back of the index, bolstering the view that interest rates are headed higher. Analysts were stunned by the improvement in sentiment, which came just weeks before a three percentage point increase in value added tax (VAT) on January 1 is set to dampen German growth at the start of next year.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20061123/bs_nm/economy_germany_ifo_dc_1
Hmmm?:notrust:
BERLIN - German corporate sentiment unexpectedly rose in November to equal a 15-year high as business expectations and firms' assessment of current conditions improved, a key survey showed on Thursday. The Munich-based Ifo research institute said its business climate index, based on a monthly poll of around 7,000 firms, rose to 106.8 from 105.3 in October. The survey posted its second consecutive rise to equal its June reading, which was the highest since February 1991. Euro zone government bond futures fell and the euro hit its highest level since early June on the back of the index, bolstering the view that interest rates are headed higher. Analysts were stunned by the improvement in sentiment, which came just weeks before a three percentage point increase in value added tax (VAT) on January 1 is set to dampen German growth at the start of next year.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20061123/bs_nm/economy_germany_ifo_dc_1
Hmmm?:notrust:
Last edited:
The S-Fund clocked the I-Fund in 2001; 5.31% -vs- .52% (Buy & Hold for the entire month). If Santa came early this year, we'll all need to keep a close eye on things. :suspicious: All pits are playable; always keep an exit strategy (IFT) on the table ready to go.
In 2002, all the pits suddenly dried up in December!
C-Fund -5.85%
S-Fund -4.32%
I-Fund -3.27%
The F- fund was the place to be; 2.08%.
Like I said... All pits are playable; always keep an exit strategy (IFT) on the table ready to go.
C-Fund -5.85%
S-Fund -4.32%
I-Fund -3.27%
The F- fund was the place to be; 2.08%.
Like I said... All pits are playable; always keep an exit strategy (IFT) on the table ready to go.
pyriel
Active member
Funny, i'm seeing the same thing... Several days ago, I posted to rethink my 30c30s40i allocation to be changed for 100i for Dec timeframe. I fund seems to lag although making a profit for Nov seems to lag behind C&S during Nov timeframe but takes off on Dec. Happy thanksgiving. P
I guess the Dollar index is yesterdays numbers? Gotta check that out!
tspgo_com
Active member
If we look at it from that point we could say that the C-Fund is already dry.
www.tspgo.com/images/cfund1111season2.gif
the S-Fund is half empty
www.tspgo.com/images/sfund1111season2.gif
and the I-Fund is still full
www.tspgo.com/images/ifund1111season2.gif
Just a thought
Show-me
Well-known member
EZ market finished weak today but the currency market may have offset this. Yen was the real winner, hope it does not drag the Nikkei down. Big night tonight! We need to see the Nikkei follow through and I'd be willing to bet that the EZ will wait for the USM to open again.
Perhaps you'd care to elaborate on the particular point you are viewing. I (as possibly other readers) am having difficulty following / understanding your data.
Thanks.
Thanks.
Gilligan
Member
O my, the Dollar just washed out. This will make the news.
It dropped about .75% but did you see that gap at 84.3, I think it will rebound and fill that in before it falls anymore.
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=s
This gap-down in the USD and the decline in OSMs is being analysed and reanalysed at CNBC with a passion!
James48843
Well-known member
One small reminder to all those here who think the "I" fund can go up indefinately-
-------------------
This is the truth:
Stocks go up.
And stocks go down.
------------------------
Anything is possible. Many people lost a LOT in the 2000 down cycle, in the post Sept 11th crash, in the 1987 crash, etc.
Don't ever think that there is only one direction- up. Yes, they can, and do, go down from time to time.
So always be prepared to jump ship, always know your own plan for what constitutes a sell signal for yourself. One of the hardest things to do is to know when to sell, vs. when to hang on.
-------------------
This is the truth:
Stocks go up.
And stocks go down.
------------------------
Anything is possible. Many people lost a LOT in the 2000 down cycle, in the post Sept 11th crash, in the 1987 crash, etc.
Don't ever think that there is only one direction- up. Yes, they can, and do, go down from time to time.
So always be prepared to jump ship, always know your own plan for what constitutes a sell signal for yourself. One of the hardest things to do is to know when to sell, vs. when to hang on.
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