-
Please read our AutoTracker policy on the IFT deadline and remaining active. Thanks!
-
$ - Premium Service Content (Info) | AutoTracker Monthly Winners | Is Gmail et al, Blocking Our emails?
Find us on: Facebook & X | Posting Copyrighted Material
-
Join the TSP Talk AutoTracker: How to Get Started | Login | Main AutoTracker Page
-
The Forum works well on MOBILE devices without an app: Just go to: https://forum.tsptalk.com ...
Or you can now use TapaTalk again!
Nordic's Account Talk
- Thread starter Nordic
- Start date
Nordic
Member
Emerging overseas markets
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/SuperModels/markman-go-east-and-south-young-man.aspx
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/SuperModels/markman-go-east-and-south-young-man.aspx
Nordic
Member
"Ready to have a good cry?
Overseas, overseas, overseas...
- If you had invested $10,000 in the S&P 500, as many people did, you would have been left with just $9,090.52 after 10 years.
- A $10,000 investment in T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets would have grown to $31,225.27.
- And a $10,000 investment in Matthews China would have grown to $53,097.29."
Overseas, overseas, overseas...
Nordic
Member
Possible dollar recovery?
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/Extra/the-dollars-down-decade.aspx
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/Extra/the-dollars-down-decade.aspx
Nordic
Member
Nordic
Member
Nordic
Member
jobless claims lower
In sign that the battered labor market might be close to turning around, new applications for unemployment benefits have dropped significantly from March's high levels. However they are still above the 400,000 mark that analysts say would signal payrolls growth.
http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=OBR&date=20091203&id=10827478
In sign that the battered labor market might be close to turning around, new applications for unemployment benefits have dropped significantly from March's high levels. However they are still above the 400,000 mark that analysts say would signal payrolls growth.
http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=OBR&date=20091203&id=10827478
coolhand
Well-known member
Re: jobless claims lower
I'm still not buying the argument that the labor market may be turning around. The numbers are deceiving. For the most part our economy is moving sideways. Perhaps labor is moving sideways too, but any serious decline in those numbers requires businesses to begin spending again. And for that the banks need to start lending instead of using their funds to play in the market casino.
I'm still not buying the argument that the labor market may be turning around. The numbers are deceiving. For the most part our economy is moving sideways. Perhaps labor is moving sideways too, but any serious decline in those numbers requires businesses to begin spending again. And for that the banks need to start lending instead of using their funds to play in the market casino.
Nordic
Member
Re: jobless claims lower
I'd have to agree CH, small businesses really seem reluctant to hire anybody right now due to the uncertainties and lack of direction out there. Also, the manipulation of the jobs "saved/created" numbers is pretty transparent and damaging to the administration's credibility...neither party seems interested in staying in office for more than one term the way they sabotage their policies. Will be interesting to see if the Fed. will be forced to raise interest rates earlier than they would prefer. :suspicious:
I'm still not buying the argument that the labor market may be turning around. The numbers are deceiving. For the most part our economy is moving sideways. Perhaps labor is moving sideways too, but any serious decline in those numbers requires businesses to begin spending again. And for that the banks need to start lending instead of using their funds to play in the market casino.
I'd have to agree CH, small businesses really seem reluctant to hire anybody right now due to the uncertainties and lack of direction out there. Also, the manipulation of the jobs "saved/created" numbers is pretty transparent and damaging to the administration's credibility...neither party seems interested in staying in office for more than one term the way they sabotage their policies. Will be interesting to see if the Fed. will be forced to raise interest rates earlier than they would prefer. :suspicious:
Silverbird
Well-known member
"Saved or created" jobs calculations have never worked, even though everyone THINKS they can be done. It's like one of my favorite 
calculations, when I get asked how many jobs lost/gained from imports and exports, how many jobs could be gained in if a trade barrier is removed - good luck coming up with anything except finger in the air calculations (up to you which finger).
People can drop off the list of receiving unemployment benefits for a myriad of reasons. Beware of conclusions extrapolated from data that doesn't measure *exactly* what you are trying to measure.
calculations, when I get asked how many jobs lost/gained from imports and exports, how many jobs could be gained in if a trade barrier is removed - good luck coming up with anything except finger in the air calculations (up to you which finger). People can drop off the list of receiving unemployment benefits for a myriad of reasons. Beware of conclusions extrapolated from data that doesn't measure *exactly* what you are trying to measure.
Nordic
Member
One of many 2010 forecasts
"But recent numbers suggest that instead of accelerating off that fourth-quarter growth, the economy might be headed for a slowdown in 2010. Not all the way back to negative numbers but definitely a deceleration at a time when just about every stock is priced for acceleration in revenue and earnings."
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/JubaksJournal/3-reasons-2010s-economy-looks-iffy.aspx
"But recent numbers suggest that instead of accelerating off that fourth-quarter growth, the economy might be headed for a slowdown in 2010. Not all the way back to negative numbers but definitely a deceleration at a time when just about every stock is priced for acceleration in revenue and earnings."
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/JubaksJournal/3-reasons-2010s-economy-looks-iffy.aspx
Nordic
Member
Expecting Upside Breakout
According to Carl Swenlin, "At this point, I think a new 20-Week Cycle began on November 1. The next major cycle-related correction low is projected for April 10, 2010 when the 9-Month Cycle is due to bottom."
And, "Let's look at the chart again. What I see is a flag pole (the rally from the November low) and flag (the recent three-week consolidation). The technical expectation from this formation is an upside breakout with an initial target of about 1180. We are in a bull market with the market behaving extremely well, so I have high confidence in this outlook. If prices drop below the bottom of the flag, breakout expectations would be negated."
http://www.decisionpoint.com/ChartSpotliteFiles/091204_cspot.html
According to Carl Swenlin, "At this point, I think a new 20-Week Cycle began on November 1. The next major cycle-related correction low is projected for April 10, 2010 when the 9-Month Cycle is due to bottom."
And, "Let's look at the chart again. What I see is a flag pole (the rally from the November low) and flag (the recent three-week consolidation). The technical expectation from this formation is an upside breakout with an initial target of about 1180. We are in a bull market with the market behaving extremely well, so I have high confidence in this outlook. If prices drop below the bottom of the flag, breakout expectations would be negated."
http://www.decisionpoint.com/ChartSpotliteFiles/091204_cspot.html
Nordic
Member
"As unpleasant as most of the past decade has been, the next decade is setting up with extraordinary promise and could fulfill many of the aspirations that investors believed would be theirs 10 years ago. Only not in the places that they expected and not in the way they once thought they would prefer."
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.co...ls/markman-get-ready-for-the-roaring-10s.aspx
Nice to read some optimism in some corners, will be interesting to see what the next decade brings.
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.co...ls/markman-get-ready-for-the-roaring-10s.aspx
Nice to read some optimism in some corners, will be interesting to see what the next decade brings.
Birchtree
Well-known member
Thanks for the pleasant read - Jon Markman is always prescient in my opinion. What I got from your link..."and two modest bull markets failed to ignite widespread wealth because they were disbelieved". It seems the same thing is happening now and it's classic. This I particularly liked from the same link. "our government has decided to spend the nation's rebounding abundance on a cockeyed concept of fairness - trying to make everyone even, regardless of merit, rather than letting the smart and ambitious use their funds to create jobs and wealth." Sounds like more liberal agenda of multiculturalism at work.
