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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!JTH's Account Talk
- Thread starter JTH
- Start date
JTH
TSP Legend
Sorry friend, I do not track the F-Fund, just the S&P 500. In past times when I've done comparisons of AGG with the SPX I've had mixed results. I estimate AGG runs inverse to SPX about 66% of the time, but many of my systems that work on SPX do not work on AGG, it is its own unique animal.
Bquat
TSP Talk Royalty
$INDU - Graphical P&F - Charting Tools - StockCharts.com What do you think about this? I know you don't really go by it.
JTH
TSP Legend
$INDU - Graphical P&F - Charting Tools - StockCharts.com What do you think about this? I know you don't really go by it.
Large caps have been taking the brunt of this hit during the pullback.
JTH
TSP Legend
I know I'm going against the institutional grain when I say this. The markets are looking great, they will break to the upside and flip the script on the far-leaning bears. I was going to put a hedge on my TNA with TZA, but I just don't like the setup, meaning I can't bring myself to get bullish on TZA. Don't get me wrong, we are definitely in a "Fade the rally" situation, but I'm not going to let this prevent me from making money. High risk = High reward or supreme stupidity...
View attachment 26971
I wimped out, put in for it, then cancelled. Another notable autotracker, SIGJ, went 100% S today as well. Something doesn't feel right. I also have a damned stubborn streak. Back in Dec. I got in when the W4500 was around 944, S&P at 1782 and the I fund (EFA) around 64.58. EFA pulled back nicely, but I think there may be more downside, S&P is now around that price level, but the W4500 is still about 30 points higher. I have a hard time getting back in at levels higher than when I last got in when the market is this volatile.
I'm sure Monday I'll be kicking myself for missing the short-term rally. Buy-and-holders probably sleep better and live longer...:laugh:
Tsunami
TSP Pro
Yep, everyone that piled into shorts this morning is piling out now. Look what happened the last few times this MACD indicator got this low. This morning it was down at -11 and is already curling up ready for a bullish crossover....
Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com
The S fund index is threatening to go green momentarily as well.... If it does I'll move even higher in the tracker to #4.
$EMW - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com
What's so hot?
You've got the Hot Hand with a good grasp at stuff so far this month...smartly staying out early and not getting sucked into the big dip.
I'll follow you....100% S
Lol...wish I had followed your lead, all I'm actually doing today is shifting half of my assets out of I...into S.
What's so hot and/or good grasping about those moves? IMO, it remains to be seen:
Were the leaders who properly picked F-fund chopped liver? Frankly - I'm half inclined to follow them into F to start out february, rather than hope for some sharp V in S (or I). In fact, it's starting to look like an inverted teacup handle instead of a right shoulder.JTH, obviously you think short turn bounce will happen (100% S). Seems like tech fellows like yerself hedge with tech analysis (duh). Does not seem as much like gambling (Vegas with bad odds) when i see your graphs and dialogue that makes sense. Yet do you bias with emotion at all (yer human not a machine). My last several years with TSP have lead to bad choices by emotion, and yet i continue to do so... any thoughtsSimilar threads
