Here's14U's Account Talk

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, I prices moved below their respective 20 day moving averages. So much for the pre-election rally for now. Not a good sign. The only good thing is the very short term has turned from overbought to neutral for the 3 funds. We can still move quite a bit lower (S&P 860) so its to early to buy if you still have some dry powder left. It’s also possible we could move back to the 980 level then back down so pick your poison.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately but overbought on a very short term basis. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher longer term but is due for a pullback short term.
I’m currently 10C, 10S, 80G. Since I do not have to much on the line I’m going to stay the same for now and see what develops. It could go either way.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/05 C 10.9457 11.13 10.78 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought
11/06 C 10.3993 11.02 10.73 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral

11/05 S 12.7443 13.02 12.64 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought
11/06 S 12.1716 12.92 12.58 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral

11/05 I 14.5174 14.45 14.08 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought
11/06 I 13.6020 14.33 14.01 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral

11/05 F 11.9593 11.83 11.86 Price above 20dyma but VST* overbought
11/06 F 11.9505 11.87 11.85 Price above 20dyma but VST* overbought
*VST- Very Short Term
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S and I funds, 5dyma above 20dyma, but prices need to move above their respective 5dyma’s for the up trend to continue.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately but overbought on a very short term basis. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher longer term but is due for a pullback short term.
I’m currently 10C, 10S, 80G. Since I do not have to much on the line I’m going to stay the same for now and see what develops. It could go either way.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/06 C 10.3993 11.02 10.73 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral
11/07 C 10.7031 10.94 10.74 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought

11/06 S 12.1716 12.92 12.58 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral
11/07 S 12.4456 12.78 12.58 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought

11/06 I 13.6020 14.33 14.01 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral
11/07 I 14.2075 14.33 14.00 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought

11/06 F 11.9505 11.87 11.85 5dyma above 20dyma but VST* overbought
11/07 F 11.9223 11.90 11.85 5dyma above 20dyma but VST* overbought
*VST- Very Short Term
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
‘C, S and I funds, 5dyma above 20dyma, but prices need to move above their respective 5dyma’s for the up trend to continue“ is what I said yesterday. It is not happening today as prices plummet further away from the 5dy ma‘s. Looks like a retest of the lows in the making and it looks like we may break down. This recession will be much worse than expected in my opinion simply because the consumer is all tapped out. They can’t use their homes as “banks” anymore for those home equity loans. Recession coming long and deep.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately but overbought on a very short term basis. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher longer term but is due for a pullback short term.
I’m currently 10C, 10S, 80G moving back to 100% G today.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/07 C 10.7031 10.94 10.74 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought
11/10 C 10.5686 10.83 10.76 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral

11/07 S 12.4456 12.78 12.58 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought
11/10 S 12.1443 12.59 12.55 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral

11/07 I 14.2075 14.33 14.00 5dayma above 20 but VST* overbought
11/10 I 14.0564 14.31 14.02 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral

11/07 F 11.9223 11.90 11.85 5dyma above 20dyma but VST* overbought
11/10 F 11.9570 11.94 11.86 5dyma above 20dyma but VST* overbought
*VST- Very Short Term
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C and S funds, 5dyma now below 20dyma, I-fund will be in the same boat soon. Looks like a retest of the lows in the making and it looks like we may break down. This recession will be much worse than expected in my opinion simply because the consumer is all tapped out. They can’t use their homes as “banks” anymore for those home equity loans. There are just to many problems with everything to bolster investor confidence. Recession coming long and deep.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately (compared to its 20 day moving average) but overbought on a very short term basis. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher longer term but is due for a pullback short term.
I’m currently 10C, 10S, 80G moving back to 100% G today.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/10 C 10.5686 10.83 10.76 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral
11/11 C 10.5686 10.64 10.71 5dayma below 20 but VST* neutral

11/10 S 12.1443 12.59 12.55 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral
11/11 S 12.1443 12.33 12.48 5dayma below 20 but VST* neutral

11/10 I 14.0564 14.31 14.02 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral
11/11 I 14.0564 14.09 13.96 5dayma above 20 but VST* neutral

11/10 F 11.9570 11.94 11.86 5dyma above 20dyma but VST* overbought
11/11 F 11.9570 11.95 11.86 5dyma above 20dyma but VST* overbought
*VST- Very Short Term
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Looks like a retest of the lows in the making, will they hold? This recession will be much worse than expected in my opinion simply because the consumer is all tapped out. They can’t use their homes as “banks” anymore for those home equity loans. There are just to many problems with everything to bolster investor confidence. Recession coming long and deep.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately (compared to its 20 day moving average) but overbought on a very short term basis. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher longer term but is due for a pullback short term.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/11 C 10.5686 10.64 10.71 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral +.01
11/12 C 09.8031 10.41 10.68 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.61

11/11 S 12.1443 12.33 12.48 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral -.05
11/12 S 11.1592 12.01 12.42 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.84

11/11 I 14.0564 14.09 13.96 5dayma above 20 VST* neutral +.29
11/12 I 12.8746 13.76 13.90 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.71

11/11 F 11.9570 11.95 11.86 5dyma above 20 VST* overbot +.09
11/12 F 12.0093 11.96 11.88 5dyma above 20 VST* overbot +.12
*VST- Very Short Term = 1 to 5 days
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
I really messed up going to the G fund in the tracker, now I’ll be in there till December. It looked like the bottom wasn’t going to hold with a descending triangle forming in the S&P so I went to safety just in case we had a major sell off. Instead we had a huge up day yesterday. My TSP however was rolled over to a brokerage account (I’m retired) a few months ago so yesterday I was buying a lot of SSO (Proshares Ultralong S&P500) once I saw that tail form on yesterday’s candle. Hopefully this rally will last a few more days. The stock funds are short term neutral now from yesterday’s advance after being very oversold on 11/12/08.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately (compared to its 20 day moving average) but was overbought at the close on 11/12/08. Yesterday it did pull back to a neutral VST reading. If stocks remain strong this fund may continue lower.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December, bah!.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/12 C 09.8031 10.41 10.68 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.61
11/13 C 10.4798 10.42 10.66 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral +.14

11/12 S 11.1592 12.01 12.42 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.84
11/13 S 11.9770 11.97 12.38 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral +.12

11/12 I 12.8746 13.76 13.90 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.71
11/13 I 13.7687 13.79 13.87 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral +.23

11/12 F 12.0093 11.96 11.88 5dyma above 20 VST* overbot +.12
11/13 F 11.9251 11.95 11.88 5dyma above 20 VST* neutral +.02
*VST- Very Short Term = 1 to 5 days
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Well, not to much help today, buyers strike for now. The C, S and I VST readings are even more oversold than stated below for 11/14/08. I think once this 2 or 3 day consolidation finishes we should have a move back up to S&P 1000 or so, then watch out, possibly another retest of the lows. Prices remain well below their respective 20dyma’s so weakness still remains, rallies cannot be trusted for long.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately (compared to its 20 day moving average) but was overbought at the close on 11/12/08. Yesterday it did pull back to a neutral VST reading. If stocks remain strong this fund may continue lower and vice versa.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/13 C 10.4798 10.42 10.66 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral +.14
11/14 C 10.0423 10.29 10.62 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.18

11/13 S 11.9770 11.97 12.38 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral +.12
11/14 S 11.3091 11.75 12.30 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.34

11/13 I 13.7687 13.79 13.87 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral +.23
11/14 I 13.0416 13.56 13.81 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.37

11/13 F 11.9251 11.95 11.88 5dyma above 20 VST* neutral +.02
11/14 F 11.9376 11.96 11.89 5dyma above 20 VST* neural +.01
*VST- Very Short Term = 1 to 5 days
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I funds remain oversold Very Short Term. Can a rally be far behind? All eyes and ears are on the hearings with Fed Chairman Bernanke and Hank Paulson. Maybe once these hearings are finished the markets will lift, we’ll see.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately (compared to its 20 day moving average) but was overbought at the close on 11/12/08. Yesterday it did pull back to a neutral VST reading. If stocks remain strong this fund may continue lower and vice versa.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December. Thought I made a mistake, but the last two trading days stocks have been down.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Status and Recommendation
11/14 C 10.0423 10.29 10.62 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.18
11/17 C 09.7857 10.14 10.55 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.24
11/14 S 11.3091 11.75 12.30 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.34
11/17 S 11.1089 11.54 12.18 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.28

11/14 I 13.0416 13.56 13.81 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.37
11/17 I 12.8353 13.32 13.69 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.32

11/14 F 11.9376 11.96 11.89 5dyma above 20 VST* neutral +.01
11/17 F 11.9389 11.95 11.89 5dyma above 20 VST* neutral +.01
*VST- Very Short Term = 1 to 5 days
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages. So here we go and good luck!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I are neutral Very Short Term. All eyes and ears are on the hearings with the automakers. My fear is that if the automakers do not get there bridge to nowhere loan the stock market will fall apart (which it most likely will eventually anyway). The S&P needs to rally here badly, none of these one day wonder things to get the 5dyma’s above their falling 20dyma’s. Maybe I’m just a pessimist but I can’t see that happening without some kind of good news in the offing.
The F-fund has been holding up very well lately (compared to its 20 day moving average) but is about neutral with it’s Very Short Term reading. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December.

Date Fund Price 5dyma 20dyma Current Very Short Term Status
11/14 C 10.0423 10.29 10.62 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.18
11/17 C 09.7857 10.14 10.55 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.24
11/18 C 09.8863 10.00 10.50 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral-.01
11/14 S 11.3091 11.75 12.30 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.34
11/17 S 11.1089 11.54 12.18 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.28
11/18 S 11.0762 11.33 12.09 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral -.11

11/14 I 13.0416 13.56 13.81 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.37
11/17 I 12.8353 13.32 13.69 5dayma below 20 VST* oversold -.32
11/18 I 12.8654 13.08 13.62 5dayma below 20 VST* neutral -.10

11/14 F 11.9376 11.96 11.89 5dyma above 20 VST* neutral +.01
11/17 F 11.9389 11.95 11.89 5dyma above 20 VST* neutral +.01
11/18 F 11.9777 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20 VST* neutral +.05
*VST- Very Short Term = 1 to 5 days
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.
At the far left I’ve added very short term condition numbers. High positives would be overbought conditions, low negatives would be oversold conditions. Numbers not to far from 0 would be neutral conditions. Buys would only last until overbought conditional numbers return during this bear market.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
I have decided to list the C, S and I shorting instruments (Ultra Pro Shares) with their respective 5dyma’s and 20dyma’s to demonstrate what happens when a 5dyma can remain above its 20dyma. Those of you who have self directed brokerage accounts can buy SDS, SDD, or EFU which are Ultra-Short Pro Shares which go up in value when the C, S or I funds go down in value. Imagine if TSP had these instruments rather than those Life Cycle funds!

Obviously SDS, SDD, and EFU are holds at this time, whereas the C, S, and I funds are avoids. I think listing the shorting instruments will help you to understand where your money should be invested so that you are currently on the right side of the market. No system is fool proof, and there will be whipsaws, but most of the time if the 5dyma is above the 20 dyma you will make money. During this bear market however, I think the less you are in the C, S, and I (long) funds the better off you are. Trying to pick a bottom is very hard to do, and even if you are right, getting out whole can even be trickier.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December.

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/14 C 10.0423 10.29 10.62 SDS 098.50 096.18 93.74
11/17 C 09.7857 10.14 10.55 SDS 103.29 098.62 94.55
11/18 C 09.8863 10.00 10.50 SDS 101.55 099.81 95.02
11/19 C 09.2824 09.90 10.44 SDS 112.94 101.41 95.54

11/14 S 11.3091 11.75 12.30 SDD 125.41 118.35 112.00
11/17 S 11.1089 11.54 12.18 SDD 128.19 121.73 113.53
11/18 S 11.0762 11.33 12.09 SDD 129.04 124.24 114.88
11/19 S 10.1934 11.13 11.98 SDD 140.00 132.53 117.22

11/14 I 13.0416 13.56 13.81 EFU 151.96 147.56 153.66
11/17 I 12.8353 13.32 13.69 EFU 157.29 151.15 154.48
11/18 I 12.8654 13.08 13.62 EFU 157.33 153.13 154.57
11/19 I 12.0957 12.92 13.56 EFU 177.11 155.95 154.46

11/14 F 11.9376 11.96 11.89 5dyma above 20
11/17 F 11.9389 11.95 11.89 5dyma above 20
11/18 F 11.9777 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/19 F 11.9530 11.95 11.90 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
I have decided to list the C, S and I shorting instruments SDS, SDD, & EFU (Ultra Pro Shares) with their respective 5dyma’s and 20dyma’s to demonstrate what happens when a 5dyma can remain above its 20dyma. Those of you who have self directed brokerage accounts can buy SDS, SDD, or EFU which are Ultra-short Pro Shares which go up in value when the C, S or I funds go down in value. Imagine if TSP had these instruments rather than those Life Cycle funds!

Obviously SDS, SDD, and EFU are holds at this time, whereas the C, S, and I funds are avoids. I think listing the shorting instruments below, will help you to understand where your money should be invested so you are currently on the right side of the market. No system is fool proof, and there will be whipsaws, but most of the time if the price as well as the 5dyma is above the 20 dyma you will make money. During this bear market however, I think the less you are in the C, S, and I (long) funds the better off you are at least until prices and the 5dyma can get above the 20dyma‘s. Trying to pick a bottom during a bear market, is very hard to do, and even if you are right, getting out whole can even be trickier.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. I would be a buyer of this fund should the price move above 12.02. Why, because it will have broken resistance to the upside and will have clear sailing upward.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/14 C 10.0423 10.29 10.62 SDS 098.50 096.18 93.74
11/17 C 09.7857 10.14 10.55 SDS 103.29 098.62 94.55
11/18 C 09.8863 10.00 10.50 SDS 101.55 099.81 95.02
11/19 C 09.2824 09.90 10.44 SDS 112.94 101.41 95.54
11/20 C 08.6601 09.53 10.36 SDS 127.97 108.85 96.91

11/14 S 11.3091 11.75 12.30 SDD 125.41 118.35 112.00
11/17 S 11.1089 11.54 12.18 SDD 128.19 121.73 113.53
11/18 S 11.0762 11.33 12.09 SDD 129.04 124.24 114.88
11/19 S 10.1934 11.13 11.98 SDD 140.00 128.21 116.72
11/20 S 09.4250 10.62 11.85 SDD 168.00 140.00 119.08

11/14 I 13.0416 13.56 13.81 EFU 151.96 147.56 153.66
11/17 I 12.8353 13.32 13.69 EFU 157.29 151.15 154.48
11/18 I 12.8654 13.08 13.62 EFU 157.33 153.13 154.57
11/19 I 12.0957 12.92 13.56 EFU 177.11 155.95 154.46
11/20 I 11.4821 12.46 13.45 EFU 197.04 168.15 155.78

11/14 F 11.9376 11.96 11.89 5dyma above 20
11/17 F 11.9389 11.95 11.89 5dyma above 20
11/18 F 11.9777 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/19 F 11.9530 11.95 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/20 F 11.9749 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Welcome to the world of government investing. Citi (owned largely by foreigners) is now being bailed out with your hard earned tax dollars. Do you get the feeling this isn’t going to stop until trillions more is spent (invested) to prop up corporations. I do. Desperation is rampant at the Treasury and Fed. They are pulling out all the stops to prevent a depression. Make no mistake about it. They will continue this insanity (bailing out corps) until this country is bled dry. This will only make the coming depression that much worse with a totally bankrupted government.

LIBOR rates still remain high, consumers can’t buy cars (no credit available). House values will plummet further, as no one wants to buy a depreciating asset. We are in a downward vortex like none other. So if you think a rally like Friday’s and today’s are going to continue, think again. Eventually we will descend again, maybe not this week but this is far from over.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. I would be a buyer of this fund should the price move above 12.02. Why, because it will have broken resistance to the upside and will have clear sailing upward.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/17 C 09.7857 10.14 10.55 SDS 103.29 098.62 94.55
11/18 C 09.8863 10.00 10.50 SDS 101.55 099.81 95.02
11/19 C 09.2824 09.90 10.44 SDS 112.94 101.41 95.54
11/20 C 08.6601 09.53 10.36 SDS 127.97 108.85 96.91
11/21 C 09.2069 09.36 10.31 SDS 112.94 111.74 97.16

11/17 S 11.1089 11.54 12.18 SDD 128.19 121.73 113.53
11/18 S 11.0762 11.33 12.09 SDD 129.04 124.24 114.88
11/19 S 10.1934 11.13 11.98 SDD 140.00 128.21 116.72
11/20 S 09.4250 10.62 11.85 SDD 168.00 140.00 119.08
11/21 S 09.9674 10.35 11.77 SDD 148.00 144.52 120.05

11/17 I 12.8353 13.32 13.69 EFU 157.29 151.15 154.48
11/18 I 12.8654 13.08 13.62 EFU 157.33 153.13 154.57
11/19 I 12.0957 12.92 13.56 EFU 177.11 155.95 154.46
11/20 I 11.4821 12.46 13.45 EFU 197.04 168.15 155.78
11/21 I 12.1847 12.29 13.43 EFU 169.61 171.68 154.61

11/17 F 11.9389 11.95 11.89 5dyma above 20
11/18 F 11.9777 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/19 F 11.9530 11.95 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/20 F 11.9749 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/21 F 11.9771 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Hank waves his magic wand again this morning giving fresh evidence of the dire straits this country is in. Markets are entitled to a relief rally, no doubt, but when its over, another retest of the lows may occur so be careful if you are invested. C, S, and I. 5dyma’s are still below their respective 20dyma’s so we are not out of the woods yet. Even if the 5dyma’s can get above their 20dyma’s could that occurrence be a shorting opportunity? Time will only tell.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. I would be a buyer of this fund should the price move above 12.02. Why, because it will have broken resistance to the upside and will have clear sailing upward.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/18 C 09.8863 10.00 10.50 SDS 101.55 099.81 95.02
11/19 C 09.2824 09.90 10.44 SDS 112.94 101.41 95.54
11/20 C 08.6601 09.53 10.36 SDS 127.97 108.85 96.91
11/21 C 09.2069 09.36 10.31 SDS 112.94 111.74 97.16
11/24 C 09.8053 09.37 10.32 SDS 103.29 111.10 96.45

11/18 S 11.0762 11.33 12.09 SDD 129.04 124.24 114.88
11/19 S 10.1934 11.13 11.98 SDD 140.00 128.21 116.72
11/20 S 09.4250 10.62 11.85 SDD 168.00 140.00 119.08
11/21 S 09.9674 10.35 11.77 SDD 148.00 144.52 120.05
11/24 S 10.6717 10.27 11.75 SDD 128.19 144.63 119.51

11/18 I 12.8654 13.08 13.62 EFU 157.33 153.13 154.57
11/19 I 12.0957 12.92 13.56 EFU 177.11 155.95 154.46
11/20 I 11.4821 12.46 13.45 EFU 197.04 168.15 155.78
11/21 I 12.1847 12.29 13.43 EFU 169.61 171.68 154.61
11/24 I 13.0181 12.33 13.47 EFU 157.29 169.66 151.32

11/18 F 11.9777 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/19 F 11.9530 11.95 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/20 F 11.9749 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/21 F 11.9771 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/24 F 11.9570 11.97 11.91 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Although prices are above their respective 5dyma’s for C, S, and I, the 5dyma’s are still below their respective declining 20 dyma’s. This means more work has to be done base building (if this in fact is a bottom). Bad news will continue to roil the markets for a long time so rallies will remain suspect. If the dollar moves down, commodities may get a lift (oil and gold). I have highlighted the lows and highs for this cycle in the table below.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. I would be a buyer of this fund should the price move above 12.02. This happened yesteday by the way. Why, because it will have broken resistance to the upside and will have clear sailing upward.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December. Good Luck and Happy Thanksgiving to all!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/19 C 09.2824 09.90 10.44 SDS 112.94 101.41 95.54
11/20 C 08.6601 09.53 10.36 SDS 127.97 108.85 96.91
11/21 C 09.2069 09.36 10.31 SDS 112.94 111.74 97.16
11/24 C 09.8053 09.37 10.32 SDS 103.29 111.10 96.45
11/25 C 09.8711 09.37 10.27 SDS 096.77 110.14 96.78

11/19 S 10.1934 11.13 11.98 SDD 140.00 128.21 116.72
11/20 S 09.4250 10.62 11.85 SDD 168.00 140.00 119.08
11/21 S 09.9674 10.35 11.77 SDD 148.00 144.52 120.05
11/24 S 10.6717 10.27 11.75 SDD 128.19 144.63 119.51
11/25 S 10.8942 10.23 11.70 SDD 124.53 143.73 119.63

11/19 I 12.0957 12.92 13.56 EFU 177.11 155.95 154.46
11/20 I 11.4821 12.46 13.45 EFU 197.04 168.15 155.78
11/21 I 12.1847 12.29 13.43 EFU 169.61 171.68 154.61
11/24 I 13.0181 12.33 13.47 EFU 147.20 169.66 151.32
11/25 I 13.1924 12.39 13.46 EFU 143.48 166.89 150.64

11/19 F 11.9530 11.95 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/20 F 11.9749 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/21 F 11.9771 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/24 F 11.9570 11.97 11.91 5dyma above 20
11/25 F 12.1048 11.99 11.92 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Although prices are above their respective 5dyma’s for C, S, and I, the 5dyma’s are still below their respective declining 20 dyma’s. This means more work has to be done base building (if this in fact is a bottom). Bad news will continue to roil the markets for a long time so rallies will remain suspect. If the dollar moves down, commodities may get a lift (oil and gold).

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. I would be a buyer of this fund should the price move above 12.02. This has happened by the way. Why, because it will have broken resistance to the upside and will have clear sailing upward.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker till December. Hope you all had a nice Thanksgiving!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/20 C 08.6601 09.53 10.36 SDS 127.97 108.85 96.91
11/21 C 09.2069 09.36 10.31 SDS 112.94 111.74 97.16
11/24 C 09.8053 09.37 10.32 SDS 103.29 111.10 96.45
11/25 C 09.8711 09.37 10.27 SDS 096.77 110.14 96.78
11/26 C 10.2245 09.55 10.25 SDS 097.99 105.57 96.60

11/20 S 09.4250 10.62 11.85 SDD 168.00 140.00 119.08
11/21 S 09.9674 10.35 11.77 SDD 148.00 144.52 120.05
11/24 S 10.6717 10.27 11.75 SDD 128.19 144.63 119.51
11/25 S 10.8942 10.23 11.70 SDD 124.53 143.73 119.63
11/26 S 11.5015 10.49 11.67 SDD 110.62 135.99 119.37

11/20 I 11.4821 12.46 13.45 EFU 197.04 168.15 155.78
11/21 I 12.1847 12.29 13.43 EFU 169.61 171.68 154.61
11/24 I 13.0181 12.33 13.47 EFU 147.20 169.66 151.32
11/25 I 13.1924 12.39 13.46 EFU 143.48 166.89 150.64
11/26 I 13.2300 12.62 13.44 EFU 140.22 159.51 149.90

11/20 F 11.9749 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/21 F 11.9771 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/24 F 11.9570 11.97 11.91 5dyma above 20
11/25 F 12.1048 11.99 11.92 5dyma above 20
11/26 F 12.1247 12.03 11.94 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Although prices are above their respective 5dyma’s for C, S, and I, the 5dyma’s are still below their respective declining 20 dyma’s. This means more work has to be done base building (if this in fact is the bottom). Bad news will continue to roil the markets for a long time so rallies will remain suspect. If the dollar moves down, commodities may get a lift (oil and gold). I’m expecting a push back down to retest lows.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. I would be a buyer of this fund should the price move above 12.02. This has happened by the way. Why, because it will have broken resistance to the upside and will have clear sailing upward. Weak stocks should help this fund now.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/21 C 09.2069 09.36 10.31 SDS 112.94 111.74 97.16
11/24 C 09.8053 09.37 10.32 SDS 103.29 111.10 96.45
11/25 C 09.8711 09.37 10.27 SDS 096.77 110.14 96.78
11/26 C 10.2245 09.55 10.25 SDS 090.07 105.57 96.60
11/28 C 10.3237 09.89 10.22 SDS 088.21 097.62 96.65

11/21 S 09.9674 10.35 11.77 SDD 148.00 144.52 120.05
11/24 S 10.6717 10.27 11.75 SDD 128.19 144.63 119.51
11/25 S 10.8942 10.23 11.70 SDD 124.53 143.73 119.63
11/26 S 11.5015 10.49 11.67 SDD 110.62 135.99 119.37
11/28 S 11.661710.94 11.61 SDD 107.78123.94 119.47

11/21 I 12.1847 12.29 13.43 EFU 169.61 171.68 154.61
11/24 I 13.0181 12.33 13.47 EFU 147.20 169.66 151.32
11/25 I 13.1924 12.39 13.46 EFU 143.48 166.89 150.64
11/26 I 13.2300 12.62 13.44 EFU 140.22 159.51 149.90
11/28 I 13.2411 12.97 13.39 EFU 139.18 147.94 149.66

11/21 F 11.9771 11.96 11.90 5dyma above 20
11/24 F 11.9570 11.97 11.91 5dyma above 20
11/25 F 12.1048 11.99 11.92 5dyma above 20
11/26 F 12.1247 12.03 11.94 5dyma above 20
11/28 F 12.1278 12.06 11.96 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I prices have moved below their respective 5dyma‘s showing weakness from yesterday’s rout. The 5 dyma's remain below their respective 20 dyma's (bearish). The shorting instruments on the other hand, SDS, SDD, and EFU prices have moved above their respective 5dyma’s. Their 5dyma's are below their 20 dyma's but I don't expect them to remain there long and view this as a buying opportunity. The $VIX moved up sharply yesterday as fears grew about the severity of this recession. Yesterday I mentioned a possible test of the lows coming for C, S and I and it still looks that way to me. Yesterday I purchased SDS at the open and will most likely remain with it for a few more days until the C fund is oversold again. I’ll be looking to get into SSO or SAA to go long in my Rollover IRA and (C and S) in the tracker.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. Weak stocks should help this fund now as money flows into bonds.

I have boldened the recent high prices and low prices below in the table.

I’m currently 100G in the tracker, waiting for a buy signal for stocks. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/24 C 09.8053 09.37 10.32 SDS 103.29 111.10 96.45
11/25 C 09.8711 09.37 10.27 SDS 096.77 110.14 96.78
11/26 C 10.2245 09.55 10.25 SDS 090.07 105.57 96.60
11/28 C 10.3237 09.89 10.22 SDS 088.21 097.62 96.65
12/01 C 09.4002 09.92 10.13 SDS 112.94 095.7197.61

11/24 S 10.6717 10.27 11.75 SDD 128.19 144.63 119.51
11/25 S 10.8942 10.23 11.70 SDD 124.53 143.73 119.63
11/26 S 11.5015 10.49 11.67 SDD 110.62 135.99 119.37
11/28 S 11.6617 10.94 11.61 SDD 107.78 123.94 119.47
12/01 S 10.4051 11.03 11.48 SDD 133.89 121.12 121.42

11/24 I 13.0181 12.33 13.47 EFU 147.20 169.66 151.32
11/25 I 13.1924 12.39 13.46 EFU 143.48 166.89 150.64
11/26 I 13.2300 12.62 13.44 EFU 140.22 159.51 149.90
11/28 I 13.2411 12.97 13.39 EFU 139.18 147.94 149.66
12/01 I 12.2414 12.98 13.29 EFU 162.88 149.73 151.78


11/24 F 11.9570 11.97 11.91 5dyma above 20
11/25 F 12.1048 11.99 11.92 5dyma above 20
11/26 F 12.1247 12.03 11.94 5dyma above 20
11/28 F 12.1278 12.06 11.96 5dyma above 20
12/01 F 12.1775 12.14 11.98 5dyma above 20
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I 5dyma’s are inching closer to their respective falling 20dyma’s. No buy signal is given yet. Equity analysts are very divided, predicting a push back down, or bullish. I’m neutral also, until I see further evidence of a breakout either way. I expect this volatility will keep many investors sidelined as these up/down days are hard to predict. The shorting instruments on the other hand, SDS, SDD, and EFU prices have moved above their respective 5dyma’s this morning. Yesterday I got stopped out of SDS with a profit. Today I’m sidelined myself to see what develops. I’m still not ruling out a retest of the lows.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. Weak stocks should help this fund now as money flows into bonds.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker, waiting for a buy signal. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/25 C 09.8711 09.37 10.27 SDS 096.77 110.14 96.78
11/26 C 10.2245 09.55 10.25 SDS 090.07 105.57 96.60
11/28 C 10.3237 09.89 10.22 SDS 088.21 097.62 96.65
12/01 C 09.4002 09.92 10.13 SDS 103.40 095.7197.61
12/02 C 09.7748 09.92 10.06 SDS 095.45 094.78 98.13

11/25 S 10.8942 10.23 11.70 SDD 124.53 143.73 119.63
11/26 S 11.5015 10.49 11.67 SDD 110.62 135.99 119.37
11/28 S 11.6617 10.94 11.61 SDD 107.78 123.94 119.47
12/01 S 10.4051 11.03 11.48 SDD 133.89 121.12 121.42
12/02 S 10.9014 11.07 11.37 SDD 118.83 119.13 122.56

11/25 I 13.1924 12.39 13.46 EFU 143.48 166.89 150.64
11/26 I 13.2300 12.62 13.44 EFU 140.22 159.51 149.90
11/28 I 13.2411 12.97 13.39 EFU 139.18 147.94 149.66
12/01 I 12.2414 12.98 13.29 EFU 162.88 149.73 150.87
12/02 I 12.8277 12.95 13.22 EFU 144.80 146.11 151.32


11/25 F 12.1048 11.99 11.92 5dyma above 20
11/26 F 12.1247 12.03 11.94 5dyma above 20
11/28 F 12.1278 12.06 11.96 5dyma above 20
12/01 F 12.1775 12.14 11.98 5dyma above 20
12/02 F 12.2086 12.15 12.00 5dyma above 20
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I 5dyma’s are inching closer to their respective falling 20dyma’s. No buy signal is given yet. Equity analysts are very divided, predicting a push back down, or bullish. I’m neutral also, until I see further evidence of a breakout either way. I expect this volatility will keep many investors sidelined as these up/down days are hard to predict. The shorting instruments on the other hand, SDS, SDD, and EFU prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s yesterday. Today I’m sidelined myself to see what develops. I’m still not ruling out a retest of the lows.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its 20dyma. It is quite overbought at this point. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher and vice versa. Weak stocks should help this fund now as money flows into bonds.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker, waiting for a buy signal. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/26 C 10.2245 09.55 10.25 SDS 090.07 105.57 96.60
11/28 C 10.3237 09.89 10.22 SDS 088.21 097.62 96.65
12/01 C 09.4002 09.92 10.13 SDS 103.40 095.7197.61
12/02 C 09.7748 09.92 10.06 SDS 095.45 094.78 98.13
12/03 C 10.0320 09.95 09.99 SDS 090.57 093.54 98.72

11/26 S 11.5015 10.49 11.67 SDD 110.62 135.99 119.37
11/28 S 11.6617 10.94 11.61 SDD 107.78 123.94 119.47
12/01 S 10.4051 11.03 11.48 SDD 133.89 121.12 121.42
12/02 S 10.9014 11.07 11.37 SDD 118.83 119.13 122.56
12/03 S 11.1811 11.13 11.25 SDD 111.74 116.57 123.50

11/26 I 13.2300 12.62 13.44 EFU 140.22 159.51 149.90
11/28 I 13.2411 12.97 13.39 EFU 139.18 147.94 149.66
12/01 I 12.2414 12.98 13.29 EFU 162.88 149.73 150.87
12/02 I 12.8277 12.95 13.22 EFU 144.80 146.11 151.32
12/03 I 12.9203 12.89 13.11 EFU 142.01 145.82 151.91


11/26 F 12.1247 12.03 11.94 5dyma above 20
11/28 F 12.1278 12.06 11.96 5dyma above 20
12/01 F 12.1775 12.14 11.98 5dyma above 20
12/02 F 12.2086 12.15 12.00 5dyma above 20
12/03 F 12.2147 12.17 12.02 5dyma above 20
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I 5dyma’s have turned down from yesterday’s sell off so no buy signals are given. The 20dayma’s continue to fall. I expect this volatility will keep many investors sidelined as these up/down days are hard to predict. These funds are moving sideways trapped between support and resistance, so its really hard to know which way they will eventually break. Economic fundamentals are terrible (except for lower oil prices) but then again there are a lot of stock bargains out there. My gut says this market will not go far without the financials and energy sectors participating to the upside which may still be a long way off.

The shorting instruments on the other hand, SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s have turned back up but still remain below their respective climbing 20 dayma’s. Tuesday morning I picked up some SDD on the belief this market was going to head down, so far so good. I’m still not ruling out a retest of the lows. I will have a stop loss on the SDD trade to protect most of my profit. I’ve highlighted the highs and lows of the prices and 5dyma’s in the table below

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It is quite overbought at this point on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think sometime. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher.

I’m currently 100G in the tracker, waiting for a buy signal. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
11/28 C 10.3237 09.89 10.22 SDS 088.21 097.62 96.65
12/01 C 09.4002 09.92 10.13 SDS 103.40 095.7197.61
12/02 C 09.7748 09.92 10.06 SDS 095.45 094.78 98.13
12/03 C 10.0320 09.95 09.99 SDS 090.57 093.54 98.72
12/04 C 09.7393 09.85 09.93 SDS 095.80 094.69 99.22

11/28 S 11.6617 10.94 11.61 SDD 107.78 123.94 119.47
12/01 S 10.4051 11.03 11.48 SDD 133.89 121.12 121.42
12/02 S 10.9014 11.07 11.37 SDD 118.83 119.13 122.56
12/03 S 11.1811 11.13 11.25 SDD 111.74 116.57 123.50
12/04 S 10.8064 10.99 11.16 SDD 118.27 118.10 124.24

11/28 I 13.2411 12.97 13.39 EFU 139.18 147.94 149.66
12/01 I 12.2414 12.98 13.29 EFU 162.88 149.73 150.87
12/02 I 12.8277 12.95 13.22 EFU 144.80 146.11 151.32
12/03 I 12.9203 12.89 13.11 EFU 142.01 145.82 151.91
12/04 I 12.5426 12.75 13.01 EFU 148.10 159.51 152.76


11/28 F 12.1278 12.06 11.96 5dyma above 20
12/01 F 12.1775 12.14 11.98 5dyma above 20
12/02 F 12.2086 12.15 12.00 5dyma above 20
12/03 F 12.2147 12.17 12.02 5dyma above 20
12/04 F 12.2715 12.20 12.03 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.