Here's14U's Account Talk

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved above their respective 5dyma’s yesterday. The C-fund 20dyma has turned back up with its 5dyma now below its 20dyma but starting to climb again. The S fund is holding up a little better, with its 5dyma also heading back up as well as its 20dyma. Yesterday’s rally was badly needed to get these 5dyma going back up to prevent them from crossing under their respective 20dyma’s.
The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma and has also started to move back up. This fund is stronger than the C and S funds. The weak US dollar has been benefiting the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma (which it currently is) the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. Their 20dyma’s are falling and they also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.
The F-fund continues to chug along, and has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks (lower volatility) providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently (with today’s rally) the index percent has moved back above its 5dyma, a good sign if it can continue.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck Everyone and Happy Holidays!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/23 C 09.9545 10.18 10.11 SDS 77.43 83.31 88.07
12/24 C 10.0170 10.09 10.12 SDS 76.83 82.35 87.07
12/26 C 10.0704 10.07 10.11 SDS 76.11 80.64 86.37
12/29 C 10.0426 10.03 10.09 SDS 76.13 78.79 85.77
12/30 C 10.288510.07 10.14SDS 72.71 75.8484.23

12/23 S 11.5214 11.76 11.41 SDD 70.70 90.41 105.67
12/24 S 11.5411 11.67 11.45 SDD 69.73 85.67 102.93
12/26 S 11.6768 11.65 11.46 SDD 68.10 79.96 100.81
12/29 S 11.5013 11.57 11.45 SDD 70.31 75.25098.93
12/30 S 11.8475 11.62 11.52 SDD 65.77 68.92 095.53

12/23 I 13.5765 13.90 13.40 EFU 100.52 115.17 131.36
12/24 I 13.6398 13.74 13.42 EFU 097.92 112.48 129.09
12/26 I 13.7453 13.71 13.45 EFU 097.11 108.11 126.93
12/29 I 13.8814 13.72 13.48 EFU 096.86 103.15 124.81
12/30 I 14.2392 13.82 13.58 EFU 090.56 096.59 121.50

12/23 F 12.5474 12.55 12.33 $VIX 45.02 46.34 55.57
12/24 F 12.5487 12.56 12.35 $VIX 44.21 45.21 54.74
12/26 F 12.5713 12.56 12.37 $VIX 43.38 44.42 54.16
12/29 F 12.5924 12.56 12.40 $VIX 43.90 44.21 53.56
12/30 F 12.6157 12.58 12.42 $VIX 41.63 43.63 52.22



12/23 GLD 82.63 83.60 79.96 USO 30.00 32.25 36.59
12/24 GLD 83.46 83.21 80.09 USO 29.02 31.09 35.97
12/26 GLD 85.60 83.56 80.35 USO 29.10 30.36 35.20
12/29 GLD 86.35 84.30 80.65 USO 30.92 29.93 34.64
12/30 GLD 85.90 84.79 81.16 USO 30.20 29.85 34.15

12/23$USD 81.24 80.38 83.97 $BPNYA 52.97 55.68 42.15
12/24$USD 81.15 80.89 84.54 $BPNYA 52.27 54.82 43.99
12/26$USD 80.90 81.11 83.56 $BPNYA 52.32 53.87 45.42
12/29$USD 81.15 81.11 83.29 $BPNYA 51.02 52.52 46.56
12/30$USD 80.88 81.06 82.99 $BPNYA 52.32 52.18 47.84

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved above their respective 5dyma’s yesterday. The C-fund 20dyma has turned back up with its 5dyma now below its 20dyma but starting to climb again. The S fund is holding up a little better, with its 5dyma also heading back up as well as its 20dyma. Yesterday’s rally was badly needed to get these 5dyma going back up to prevent them from crossing under their respective 20dyma’s.
C-fund targets, 1st 915.00 (upper Bollinger Band) 2cnd (if breaks thru 1st) 970.00.
The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma and has also started to move back up. This fund is stronger than the C and S funds. The weak US dollar has been benefiting the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma (which it currently is) the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks.
The F-fund continues to chug along, and has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks (lower volatility) providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma, however its 5dyma has turned up but it is still below its falling 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish with its 5dyma above its 20dyma.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/24 C 10.0170 10.09 10.12 SDS 76.83 82.35 87.07
12/26 C 10.0704 10.07 10.11 SDS 76.11 80.64 86.37
12/29 C 10.0426 10.03 10.09 SDS 76.13 78.79 85.77
12/30 C 10.288510.07 10.14SDS 72.71 75.8484.23
12/31 C 10.4343 10.17 10.17 SDS 70.94 74.54 83.01

12/24 S 11.5411 11.67 11.45 SDD 69.73 85.67 102.93
12/26 S 11.6768 11.65 11.46 SDD 68.10 79.96 100.81
12/29 S 11.5013 11.57 11.45 SDD 70.31 75.25098.93
12/30 S 11.8475 11.62 11.52 SDD 65.77 68.92 095.53
12/31 S 12.2069 11.75 11.58 SDD 61.36 67.05 092.65

12/24 I 13.6398 13.74 13.42 EFU 097.92 112.48 129.09
12/26 I 13.7453 13.71 13.45 EFU 097.11 108.11 126.93
12/29 I 13.8814 13.72 13.48 EFU 096.86 103.15 124.81
12/30 I 14.2392 13.82 13.58 EFU 090.56 096.59 121.50
12/31 I 14.2550 13.95 13.65 EFU 088.17 094.12 118.37

12/24 F 12.5487 12.56 12.35 $VIX 44.21 45.21 54.74
12/26 F 12.5713 12.56 12.37 $VIX 43.38 44.42 54.16
12/29 F 12.5924 12.56 12.40 $VIX 43.90 44.21 53.56
12/30 F 12.6157 12.58 12.42 $VIX 41.63 43.63 52.22
12/31 F 12.5807 12.58 12.44 $VIX 40.00 42.62 51.07


12/24 GLD 83.46 83.21 80.09 USO 29.02 31.09 35.97
12/26 GLD 85.60 83.56 80.35 USO 29.10 30.36 35.20
12/29 GLD 86.35 84.30 80.65 USO 30.92 29.93 34.64
12/30 GLD 85.90 84.79 81.16 USO 30.20 29.85 34.15
12/31 GLD 86.52 85.57 81.64 USO 33.10 30.47 33.88

12/24$USD 81.15 80.89 84.54 $BPNYA 52.27 54.82 43.99
12/26$USD 80.90 81.11 83.56 $BPNYA 52.32 53.87 45.42
12/29$USD 81.15 81.11 83.29 $BPNYA 51.02 52.52 46.56
12/30$USD 80.88 81.06 82.99 $BPNYA 52.32 52.18 47.84
12/31$USD 81.21 81.06 82.71 $BPNYA 55.08 52.60 49.26

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved above their respective 5dyma’s yesterday. Their 5dyma’s are now above their 20dyma’s which is bullish.
C-fund targets, 1st 915.00 (upper Bollinger Band) 2cnd (if breaks thru 1st) 970.00.
The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma and has also started to move back up. This fund is stronger than the C and S funds. The weak US dollar has been benefiting the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma (which it currently is) the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.
The F-fund has peaked in my opinion. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. The price has managed to turn the 5dyma up however. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks (lower volatility) providing it keeps falling.
GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
USO has just triggered a buy signal. Its 5dyma has finally moved above its falling 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish with its 5dyma above its 20dyma.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/26 C 10.0704 10.07 10.11 SDS 76.11 80.64 86.37
12/29 C 10.0426 10.03 10.09 SDS 76.13 78.79 85.77
12/30 C 10.288510.07 10.14SDS 72.71 75.8484.23
12/31 C 10.4343 10.17 10.17 SDS 70.94 74.54 83.01
01/02 C 10.7682 10.32 10.21 SDS 66.57 72.49 81.81

12/26 S 11.6768 11.65 11.46 SDD 68.10 79.96 100.81
12/29 S 11.5013 11.57 11.45 SDD 70.31 75.2598.93
12/30 S 11.8475 11.62 11.52 SDD 65.77 68.92 95.53
12/31 S 12.2069 11.75 11.58 SDD 61.36 67.05 92.65
01/02 S 12.4952 11.95 11.65 SDD 60.77 65.26 90.10

12/26 I 13.7453 13.71 13.45 EFU 97.11 108.11 126.93
12/29 I 13.8814 13.72 13.48 EFU 96.86 103.15 124.81
12/30 I 14.2392 13.82 13.58 EFU 90.56 096.59 121.50
12/31 I 14.2550 13.95 13.65 EFU 88.17 094.12 118.37
01/02 I 14.5482 14.13 13.73 EFU 86.41 091.82 115.59

12/26 F 12.5713 12.56 12.37 $VIX 43.38 44.42 54.16
12/29 F 12.5924 12.56 12.40 $VIX 43.90 44.21 53.56
12/30 F 12.6157 12.58 12.42 $VIX 41.63 43.63 52.22
12/31 F 12.5807 12.58 12.44 $VIX 40.00 42.62 51.07
01/02 F 12.5164 12.58 12.45 $VIX 39.19 41.62 49.99


12/26 GLD 85.60 83.56 80.35 USO 29.10 30.36 35.20
12/29 GLD 86.35 84.30 80.65 USO 30.92 29.93 34.64
12/30 GLD 85.90 84.79 81.16 USO 30.20 29.85 34.15
12/31 GLD 86.52 85.57 81.64 USO 33.10 30.47 33.88
01/02 GLD 86.23 86.12 82.15 USO 35.63 31.79 33.76

12/26$USD 80.90 81.11 83.56 $BPNYA 52.32 53.87 45.42
12/29$USD 81.15 81.11 83.29 $BPNYA 51.02 52.52 46.56
12/30$USD 80.88 81.06 82.99 $BPNYA 52.32 52.18 47.84
12/31$USD 81.21 81.06 82.71 $BPNYA 55.08 52.60 49.26
01/02$USD 81.86 81.20 82.46 $BPNYA 60.19 54.19 50.84

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved above their respective 5dyma’s yesterday. Their 5dyma’s are now above their 20dyma’s which is bullish.
C-fund target 970.
The I fund has been hurt a little lately with a rising US dollar. I have decided to move out of the I fund to the S fund today because of a possible uptrend starting in the US dollar.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.
The F-fund has peaked in my opinion. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.
$USD may be changing trend from down to up. It’s price has moved above its 20dyma yesterday. Because of this possibility I will be moving my I holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks (lower volatility) providing it keeps falling.
GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma. The problem is the 5dyma has turned down for possible change in trend to down.
USO has just triggered a buy signal. Its 5dyma has finally moved above its falling 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 63.23% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker but moving to 100%S today (1st IFT for January). Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/29 C 10.0426 10.03 10.09 SDS 76.13 78.79 85.77
12/30 C 10.288510.07 10.14SDS 72.71 75.8484.23
12/31 C 10.4343 10.17 10.17 SDS 70.94 74.54 83.01
01/02 C 10.7682 10.32 10.21 SDS 66.57 72.49 81.81
01/05 C 10.7202 10.45 10.26 SDS 66.51 70.57 80.34

12/29 S 11.5013 11.57 11.45 SDD 70.31 75.2598.93
12/30 S 11.8475 11.62 11.52 SDD 65.77 68.92 95.53
12/31 S 12.2069 11.75 11.58 SDD 61.36 67.05 92.65
01/02 S 12.4952 11.95 11.65 SDD 60.77 65.26 90.10
01/05 S 12.5433 12.12 11.74 SDD 61.08 63.86 87.25

12/29 I 13.8814 13.72 13.48 EFU 96.86 103.15 124.81
12/30 I 14.2392 13.82 13.58 EFU 90.56 096.59 121.50
12/31 I 14.2550 13.95 13.65 EFU 88.17 094.12 118.37
01/02 I 14.5482 14.13 13.73 EFU 86.41 091.82 115.59
01/05 I 14.3648 14.26 13.82 EFU 89.25 090.25 112.47

12/29 F 12.5924 12.56 12.40 $VIX 43.90 44.21 53.56
12/30 F 12.6157 12.58 12.42 $VIX 41.63 43.63 52.22
12/31 F 12.5807 12.58 12.44 $VIX 40.00 42.62 51.07
01/02 F 12.5164 12.58 12.45 $VIX 39.19 41.62 49.99
01/05 F 12.5230 12.57 12.47 $VIX 39.08 40.76 48.77


12/29 GLD 86.35 84.30 80.65 USO 30.92 29.93 34.64
12/30 GLD 85.90 84.79 81.16 USO 30.20 29.85 34.15
12/31 GLD 86.52 85.57 81.64 USO 33.10 30.47 33.88
01/02 GLD 86.23 86.12 82.15 USO 35.63 31.79 33.76
01/05 GLD 84.48 85.90 82.59 USO 37.30 33.43 33.86

12/29$USD 81.15 81.11 83.29 $BPNYA 51.02 52.52 46.56
12/30$USD 80.88 81.06 82.99 $BPNYA 52.32 52.18 47.84
12/31$USD 81.21 81.06 82.71 $BPNYA 55.08 52.60 49.26
01/02$USD 81.86 81.20 82.46 $BPNYA 60.19 54.19 50.84
01/05$USD 82.75 81.57 82.27 $BPNYA 63.23 56.37 52.42

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund 5dyma’s remain above their climbing 20dyma’s which is bullish.
C-fund target 970.00. Dow needs to break above 9,125 for another 300 pt. run. I see better performance going forward from the S fund so I moved out of the C into the S fund yesterday.

The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma. The US dollar has been getting stronger lately, hindering the performance of the I fund somewhat. I have moved out of the I fund yesterday into the S fund.

SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.

The F-fund has peaked in my opinion. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.

$USD may be changing trend from down to up. It’s price has moved above its 20dyma. Because of this possibility I have moved my I fund holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop in the US$, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks (lower volatility) providing it keeps falling.

GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma. The problem is the 5dyma has turned down for possible change in trend to down. Looking toppy here for a possible correction IMO especially with the US$ moving up now..

USO has just triggered a buy signal. Its 5dyma has finally moved above its falling 20dyma. This buy signal may not last long however with global economies very weak.

I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put, it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 67.90% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. Getting close to the 70% overbought zone though.
I have boldened certain numbers below, such as when a low or high is met, or when a moving average crosses another, or when price crosses a moving average.
I’m currently 100S in the tracker. 2 more IFT‘s left for January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/30 C 10.288510.07 10.14SDS 72.71 75.8484.23
12/31 C 10.4343 10.17 10.17 SDS 70.94 74.54 83.01
01/02 C 10.7682 10.32 10.21 SDS 66.57 72.49 81.81
01/05 C 10.7202 10.45 10.26 SDS 66.51 70.57 80.34
01/06 C 10.8027 10.60 10.29 SDS 67.50 68.85 79.27

12/30 S 11.8475 11.62 11.52 SDD 65.77 68.92 95.53
12/31 S 12.2069 11.75 11.58 SDD 61.36 67.05 92.65
01/02 S 12.4952 11.95 11.65 SDD 60.77 65.26 90.10
01/05 S 12.5433 12.12 11.74 SDD 61.08 63.86 87.25
01/06 S 12.7747 12.37 11.81 SDD 58.97 61.5984.70

12/30 I 14.2392 13.82 13.58 EFU 90.56 96.59 121.50
12/31 I 14.2550 13.95 13.65 EFU 88.17 94.12 118.37
01/02 I 14.5482 14.13 13.73 EFU 86.41 91.82 115.59
01/05 I 14.3648 14.26 13.82 EFU 89.25 90.25 112.47
01/06 I 14.5642 14.39 13.91 EFU 87.04 88.29 109.56

12/30 F 12.6157 12.58 12.42 $VIX 41.63 43.63 52.22
12/31 F 12.5807 12.58 12.44 $VIX 40.00 42.62 51.07
01/02 F 12.5164 12.58 12.45 $VIX 39.19 41.62 49.99
01/05 F 12.5230 12.57 12.47 $VIX 39.08 40.76 48.77
01/06 F 12.5616 12.56 12.48 $VIX 38.56 39.69 47.70


12/30 GLD 85.90 84.79 81.16 USO 30.20 29.85 34.15
12/31 GLD 86.52 85.57 81.64 USO 33.10 30.47 33.88
01/02 GLD 86.23 86.12 82.15 USO 35.63 31.79 33.76
01/05 GLD 84.48 85.90 82.59 USO 37.30 33.43 33.86
01/06 GLD 85.13 85.65 83.12 USO 37.25 34.70 34.01

12/30$USD 80.88 81.06 82.99 $BPNYA 52.32 52.18 47.84
12/31$USD 81.21 81.06 82.71 $BPNYA 55.08 52.60 49.26
01/02$USD 81.86 81.20 82.46 $BPNYA 60.19 54.19 50.84
01/05$USD 82.75 81.57 82.27 $BPNYA 63.23 56.37 52.42
01/06$USD 82.83 81.91 82.07 $BPNYA 67.90 59.75 54.17

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund 5dyma’s remain above their climbing 20dyma’s which is bullish. Prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s however which could mean a few more days of consolidation.
C-fund target 970.00. Dow needs to break above 9,125 for another 300 pt. run. Looks like it will take more time than originally thought.

The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma. The price has moved below the rising 5dyma however. The US dollar has been getting stronger lately, hindering the performance of the I fund somewhat.

SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s however the prices have finally closed above their respective 5dyma‘s which hasn‘t happened in quite some time. I think they need to have more time basing out before they will run again with the stock market falling. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.

The F-fund has peaked in my opinion although it takes time for the top to form. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.

$VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma, however, like SDS, SDD, and EFU its price has finally moved above its 5dyma. Lower volatility should benefit stocks providing $VIX keeps falling.

GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma however, its price has been below its 5dyma the past few days. The problem is the 5dyma has turned down for possible change in trend to down. Looking toppy here for a possible correction IMO especially with the US$ moving up now..

USO has just triggered a buy signal on 1/6/09. Its 5dyma has finally moved above its falling 20dyma. This buy signal may not last long however with global economies very weak. It appears the price will do a retest of the low before moving up again at this time.
$USD may be changing trend from down to up. It’s price has moved above its 20dyma. Because of this possibility I have moved my I fund holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop in the US$, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

$BPNYA, NYSE Bullish Percent Index. Simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 67.35% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. It is getting close to the 70% overbought zone though. Yesterday’s sell off barely budged the index which was a surprise.
I have boldened certain numbers below, such as when a low or high is met, or when a moving average crosses another, or when price crosses a moving average.

I’m currently 100S in the tracker. 2 more IFT‘s left for January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/31 C 10.4343 10.17 10.17 SDS 70.94 74.54 83.01
01/02 C 10.7682 10.32 10.21 SDS 66.57 72.49 81.81
01/05 C 10.7202 10.45 10.26 SDS 66.51 70.57 80.34
01/06 C 10.8027 10.60 10.29 SDS 67.50 68.85 79.27
01/07 C 10.4853 10.64 10.29SDS 69.55 68.21 78.62

12/31 S 12.2069 11.75 11.58 SDD 61.36 67.05 92.65
01/02 S 12.4952 11.95 11.65 SDD 60.77 65.26 90.10
01/05 S 12.5433 12.12 11.74 SDD 61.08 63.86 87.25
01/06 S 12.7747 12.37 11.81 SDD 58.97 61.5984.70
01/07 S 12.3632 12.48 11.84 SDD 62.91 61.02 82.84

12/31 I 14.2550 13.95 13.65 EFU 88.17 94.12 118.37
01/02 I 14.5482 14.13 13.73 EFU 86.41 91.82 115.59
01/05 I 14.3648 14.26 13.82 EFU 89.25 90.25 112.47
01/06 I 14.5642 14.39 13.91 EFU 87.04 88.29 109.56
01/07 I 14.3592 14.42 13.96 EFU 90.04 88.18 107.46

12/31 F 12.5807 12.58 12.44 $VIX 40.00 42.62 51.07
01/02 F 12.5164 12.58 12.45 $VIX 39.19 41.62 49.99
01/05 F 12.5230 12.57 12.47 $VIX 39.08 40.76 48.77
01/06 F 12.5616 12.56 12.48 $VIX 38.56 39.69 47.70
01/07 F 12.5956 12.56 12.50 $VIX 43.39 40.04 46.94


12/31 GLD 86.52 85.57 81.64 USO 33.10 30.47 33.88
01/02 GLD 86.23 86.12 82.15 USO 35.63 31.79 33.76
01/05 GLD 84.48 85.90 82.59 USO 37.30 33.43 33.86
01/06 GLD 85.13 85.65 83.12 USO 37.25 34.70 34.01
01/07 GLD 82.75 85.02 83.45 USO 33.27 35.3133.87

12/31$USD 81.21 81.06 82.71 $BPNYA 55.08 52.60 49.26
01/02$USD 81.86 81.20 82.46 $BPNYA 60.19 54.19 50.84
01/05$USD 82.75 81.57 82.27 $BPNYA 63.23 56.37 52.42
01/06$USD 82.83 81.91 82.07 $BPNYA 67.90 59.75 54.17
01/07$USD 82.25 82.18 81.89 $BPNYA 67.35 62.7555.21

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund 5dyma’s remain above their climbing 20dyma’s which is bullish. Prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s however which could mean a few more days of consolidation.
C-fund target 937 (upper Bollinger Band).

The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma. The price has moved below the rising 5dyma however. The US dollar has been getting stronger lately, hindering the performance of the I fund somewhat.

SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s however the prices have finally closed above their respective 5dyma‘s which hasn‘t happened in quite some time. I think they need to have more time basing out before they will run again. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.

The F-fund has peaked in my opinion although it takes time for the top to form. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.

$VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma, however, like SDS, SDD, and EFU its price has finally moved above its 5dyma. Lower volatility should benefit stocks providing $VIX keeps falling.

GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma however, its price has been below its 5dyma the past few days. The problem is the 5dyma has turned down for possible change in trend to down. Looking toppy here for a possible correction IMO especially with the US$ moving up now..

USO has just triggered a buy signal on 1/6/09. Its 5dyma has finally moved above its falling 20dyma. This buy signal may not last long however with global economies very weak. It appears the price will do a retest of the low before moving up again at this time.
$USD may be changing trend from down to up. It’s price has moved above its 20dyma. Because of this possibility I have moved my I fund holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop in the US$, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

$BPNYA, NYSE Bullish Percent Index. Simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 67.03% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. It is getting close to the 70% overbought zone though.

I have boldened certain numbers below, such as when a low or high is met, or when a moving average crosses another, or when price crosses a moving average.

I’m currently 100S in the tracker. 2 more IFT‘s left for January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
01/02 C 10.7682 10.32 10.21 SDS 66.57 72.49 81.81
01/05 C 10.7202 10.45 10.26 SDS 66.51 70.57 80.34
01/06 C 10.8027 10.60 10.29 SDS 67.50 68.85 79.27
01/07 C 10.4853 10.64 10.29SDS 69.55 68.21 78.62
01/08 C 10.5209 10.66 10.31 SDS 69.07 67.84 77.80

01/02 S 12.4952 11.95 11.65 SDD 60.77 65.26 90.10
01/05 S 12.5433 12.12 11.74 SDD 61.08 63.86 87.25
01/06 S 12.7747 12.37 11.81 SDD 58.97 61.5984.70
01/07 S 12.3632 12.48 11.84 SDD 62.91 61.02 82.84
01/08 S 12.5059 12.54 11.89 SDD 62.07 61.16 80.72

01/02 I 14.5482 14.13 13.73 EFU 86.41 91.82 115.59
01/05 I 14.3648 14.26 13.82 EFU 89.25 90.25 112.47
01/06 I 14.5642 14.39 13.91 EFU 87.04 88.29 109.56
01/07 I 14.3592 14.42 13.96 EFU 90.04 88.18 107.46
01/08 I 14.5176 14.47 14.03 EFU 87.38 88.02 105.14

01/02 F 12.5164 12.58 12.45 $VIX 39.19 41.62 49.99
01/05 F 12.5230 12.57 12.47 $VIX 39.08 40.76 48.77
01/06 F 12.5616 12.56 12.48 $VIX 38.56 39.69 47.70
01/07 F 12.5956 12.56 12.50 $VIX 43.39 40.04 46.94
01/08 F 12.6172 12.56 12.52 $VIX 42.56 40.56 46.13


01/02 GLD 86.23 86.12 82.15 USO 35.63 31.79 33.76
01/05 GLD 84.48 85.90 82.59 USO 37.30 33.43 33.86
01/06 GLD 85.13 85.65 83.12 USO 37.25 34.70 34.01
01/07 GLD 82.75 85.02 83.45 USO 33.27 35.3133.87
01/08 GLD 84.46 84.61 83.86 USO 33.20 35.33 33.80

01/02$USD 81.86 81.20 82.46 $BPNYA 60.19 54.19 50.84
01/05$USD 82.75 81.57 82.27 $BPNYA 63.23 56.37 52.42
01/06$USD 82.83 81.91 82.07 $BPNYA 67.90 59.75 54.17
01/07$USD 82.25 82.18 81.89 $BPNYA 67.35 62.7555.21
01/08$USD 81.57 82.25 81.68 $BPNYA 67.03 65.14 56.12

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund 5dyma’s remain above their climbing 20dyma’s which is bullish. Prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s however which could mean a few more days of consolidation.
C-fund target 937 (upper Bollinger Band).

The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma. The price has moved below the rising 5dyma however. The US dollar has been getting stronger lately, hindering the performance of the I fund somewhat.

SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s however the prices have finally closed above their respective 5dyma‘s which hasn‘t happened in quite some time. I think they need to have more time basing out before they will run again. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.

The F-fund has peaked in my opinion although it takes time for the top to form. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one.

$VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma, however, like SDS, SDD, and EFU its price has finally moved above its 5dyma. Lower volatility should benefit stocks providing $VIX keeps falling.

GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma however, its price has been below its 5dyma the past few days. The problem is the 5dyma has turned down for possible change in trend to down. Looking toppy here for a possible correction IMO especially with the US$ moving up now..

USO has just triggered a buy signal on 1/6/09. Its 5dyma has finally moved above its falling 20dyma. This buy signal may not last long however with global economies very weak. It appears the price will do a retest of the low before moving up again at this time.
$USD may be changing trend from down to up. It’s price has moved above its 20dyma. Because of this possibility I have moved my I fund holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop in the US$, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

$BPNYA, NYSE Bullish Percent Index. Simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 67.03% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. It is getting close to the 70% overbought zone though.
I have boldened certain numbers below, such as when a low or high is met, or when a moving average crosses another, or when price crosses a moving average.

I’m currently 100S in the tracker. 2 more IFT‘s left for January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
01/05 C 10.7202 10.45 10.26 SDS 66.51 70.57 80.34
01/06 C 10.8027 10.60 10.29 SDS 67.50 68.85 79.27
01/07 C 10.4853 10.64 10.29SDS 69.55 68.21 78.62
01/08 C 10.5209 10.66 10.31 SDS 69.07 67.84 77.80
01/09 C 10.2964 10.57 10.30 SDS 71.95 68.92 77.21

01/05 S 12.5433 12.12 11.74 SDD 61.08 63.86 87.25
01/06 S 12.7747 12.37 11.81 SDD 58.97 61.5984.70
01/07 S 12.3632 12.48 11.84 SDD 62.91 61.02 82.84
01/08 S 12.5059 12.54 11.89 SDD 62.07 61.16 80.72
01/09 S 12.1201 12.46 11.91 SDD 67.00 62.41 79.03

01/05 I 14.3648 14.26 13.82 EFU 89.25 90.25 112.47
01/06 I 14.5642 14.39 13.91 EFU 87.04 88.29 109.56
01/07 I 14.3592 14.42 13.96 EFU 90.04 88.18 107.46
01/08 I 14.5176 14.47 14.03 EFU 87.38 88.02 105.14
01/09 I 14.0893 14.38 14.05 EFU 93.14 89.37 103.44

01/05 F 12.5230 12.57 12.47 $VIX 39.08 40.76 48.77
01/06 F 12.5616 12.56 12.48 $VIX 38.56 39.69 47.70
01/07 F 12.5956 12.56 12.50 $VIX 43.39 40.04 46.94
01/08 F 12.6172 12.56 12.52 $VIX 42.56 40.56 46.13
01/09 F 12.6265 12.58 12.53 $VIX 42.82 41.28 45.48


01/05 GLD 84.48 85.90 82.59 USO 37.30 33.43 33.86
01/06 GLD 85.13 85.65 83.12 USO 37.25 34.70 34.01
01/07 GLD 82.75 85.02 83.45 USO 33.27 35.3133.87
01/08 GLD 84.46 84.61 83.86 USO 33.20 35.33 33.80
01/09 GLD 83.92 84.15 84.07 USO 32.37 34.68 33.63

01/05$USD 82.75 81.57 82.27 $BPNYA 63.23 56.37 52.42
01/06$USD 82.83 81.91 82.07 $BPNYA 67.90 59.75 54.17
01/07$USD 82.25 82.18 81.89 $BPNYA 67.35 62.7555.21
01/08$USD 81.57 82.25 81.68 $BPNYA 67.03 65.14 56.12
01/09$USD 82.71 82.42 81.54 $BPNYA 65.67 66.24 56.84

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund 5dyma’s remain above their climbing 20dyma’s which is bullish. Prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s however which could mean a few more days of consolidation.
C fund support about 850 (Lower Bollinger Band), C-fund target 937 (upper Bollinger Band).

The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma. The price has moved below the rising 5dyma however. The US dollar has been getting stronger lately, hindering the performance of the I fund somewhat. EFA support 41.77 (Lower Bollinger Band), EFA target 46.07 (Upper Bollinger Band).

SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s however the prices have moved above their respective 5dyma‘s which hasn‘t happened in quite some time. I think they need to have more time basing out before they will run again. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.

The F-fund has peaked in my opinion although it takes time for the top to form. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future.

$VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma, however, like SDS, SDD, and EFU its price has moved above its 20yma. Lower volatility should benefit stocks providing $VIX keeps falling.

GLD. Trend has changed to down. 5dyma has crossed beneath the 20dyma. Looking toppy here for a possible correction IMO especially with the US$ moving up now..

USO is on the verge of a sell signal. The 5dyma is about to cross the 20dyma to the downside.
$USD is in an uptrend. It’s 5dyma remains above its 20dyma. Because of this possibility I have moved my I fund holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop in the US$, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

$BPNYA, NYSE Bullish Percent Index. Simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 61.74% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. The index has moved beneath its 5dyma however.
I have boldened certain numbers below, such as when a low or high is met, or when a moving average crosses another, or when price crosses a moving average.

I’m currently 100S in the tracker. 2 more IFT‘s left for January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
01/06 C 10.8027 10.60 10.29 SDS 67.50 68.85 79.27
01/07 C 10.4853 10.64 10.29SDS 69.55 68.21 78.62
01/08 C 10.5209 10.66 10.31 SDS 69.07 67.84 77.80
01/09 C 10.2964 10.57 10.30 SDS 71.95 68.92 77.21
01/12 C 10.0651 10.43 10.30 SDS 75.35 70.68 76.58

01/06 S 12.7747 12.37 11.81 SDD 58.97 61.5984.70
01/07 S 12.3632 12.48 11.84 SDD 62.91 61.02 82.84
01/08 S 12.5059 12.54 11.89 SDD 62.07 61.16 80.72
01/09 S 12.1201 12.46 11.91 SDD 67.00 62.41 79.03
01/12 S 11.7723 12.31 11.94 SDD 70.48 64.29 77.00

01/06 I 14.5642 14.39 13.91 EFU 87.04 88.29 109.56
01/07 I 14.3592 14.42 13.96 EFU 90.04 88.18 107.46
01/08 I 14.5176 14.47 14.03 EFU 87.38 88.02 105.14
01/09 I 14.0893 14.38 14.05 EFU 93.14 89.37 103.44
01/12 I 13.8177 14.27 14.07 EFU 97.60 91.04 101.94

01/06 F 12.5616 12.56 12.48 $VIX 38.56 39.69 47.70
01/07 F 12.5956 12.56 12.50 $VIX 43.39 40.04 46.94
01/08 F 12.6172 12.56 12.52 $VIX 42.56 40.56 46.13
01/09 F 12.6265 12.58 12.53 $VIX 42.82 41.28 45.48
01/12 F 12.660312.61 12.55 $VIX 45.84 42.63 44.98


01/06 GLD 85.13 85.65 83.12 USO 37.25 34.70 34.01
01/07 GLD 82.75 85.02 83.45 USO 33.27 35.3133.87
01/08 GLD 84.46 84.61 83.86 USO 33.20 35.33 33.80
01/09 GLD 83.92 84.15 84.07 USO 32.37 34.68 33.63
01/12 GLD 80.76 83.40 84.07 USO 30.65 33.35 33.23

01/06$USD 82.83 81.91 82.07 $BPNYA 67.90 59.75 54.17
01/07$USD 82.25 82.18 81.89 $BPNYA 67.35 62.7555.21
01/08$USD 81.57 82.25 81.68 $BPNYA 67.03 65.14 56.12
01/09$USD 82.71 82.42 81.54 $BPNYA 65.67 66.24 56.84
01/12$USD 83.0882.49 81.51$BPNYA 61.74 65.94 57.35

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[TerpTrader]

Great job...I appreciate the daily analysis!

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Thanks TerpTrader for the kind words. I would be doing this for myself anyway, so why not share it with you folks. If it helps TSP'ers to make sensible decisions than my purpose has been fulfilled.

C fund 5dyma has moved below its 20dyma whereas the S fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma showing more strength than C.
C fund support about 850 (Lower Bollinger Band), C-fund target 937 (upper Bollinger Band).

The I fund 5dyma is dead even with its 20dyma, very close to a sell signal. The US dollar has been getting stronger lately, hindering the performance of the I fund . EFA support 41.77 (Lower Bollinger Band), EFA target 46.07 (Upper Bollinger Band).

SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s however the prices have moved above their respective 5dyma‘s which hasn‘t happened in quite some time. I think they need to have more time basing out before they will run again. Also they have fallen beneath their respective 50dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, with minor pullbacks.

The F-fund has peaked in my opinion although it takes time for the top to form. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future.

$VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. Lower volatility should benefit stocks providing $VIX keeps falling.

GLD. Trend has changed to down. 5dyma has crossed beneath the 20dyma. Looking toppy here for a possible correction IMO especially with the US$ moving up now..

USO has just triggered a sell signal, 5dyma has moved beneath the 20dyma.
$USD is in an uptrend. It’s 5dyma remains above its 20dyma. Because of this possibility I have moved my I fund holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop in the US$, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

$BPNYA, NYSE Bullish Percent Index. Simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 60.05% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. The index has moved beneath its 5dyma however and the 5dyma has started to fall.
I have boldened certain numbers below, such as when a low or high is met, or when a moving average crosses another, or when price crosses a moving average.

I’m currently 100S in the tracker. 2 more IFT‘s left for January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
01/07 C 10.4853 10.64 10.29SDS 69.55 68.21 78.62
01/08 C 10.5209 10.66 10.31 SDS 69.07 67.84 77.80
01/09 C 10.2964 10.57 10.30 SDS 71.95 68.92 77.21
01/12 C 10.0651 10.43 10.30 SDS 75.35 70.68 76.58
01/13 C 10.0831 10.29 10.30 SDS 75.28 72.24 75.99

01/07 S 12.3632 12.48 11.84 SDD 62.91 61.02 82.84
01/08 S 12.5059 12.54 11.89 SDD 62.07 61.16 80.72
01/09 S 12.1201 12.46 11.91 SDD 67.00 62.41 79.03
01/12 S 11.7723 12.31 11.94 SDD 70.48 64.29 77.00
01/13 S 11.8936 12.13 11.96 SDD 69.19 66.3375.29

01/07 I 14.3592 14.42 13.96 EFU 90.04 88.18 107.46
01/08 I 14.5176 14.47 14.03 EFU 87.38 88.02 105.14
01/09 I 14.0893 14.38 14.05 EFU 93.14 89.37 103.44
01/12 I 13.8177 14.27 14.07 EFU 97.60 91.04 101.94
01/06 I 13.5116 14.06 14.06 EFU 101.15 93.86 100.70

01/07 F 12.5956 12.56 12.50 $VIX 43.39 40.04 46.94
01/08 F 12.6172 12.56 12.52 $VIX 42.56 40.56 46.13
01/09 F 12.6265 12.58 12.53 $VIX 42.82 41.28 45.48
01/12 F 12.660312.61 12.55 $VIX 45.84 42.63 44.98
01/13 F 12.6490 12.63 12.56 $VIX 43.27 43.58 44.43


01/07 GLD 82.75 85.02 83.45 USO 33.27 35.3133.87
01/08 GLD 84.46 84.61 83.86 USO 33.20 35.33 33.80
01/09 GLD 83.92 84.15 84.07 USO 32.37 34.68 33.63
01/12 GLD 80.76 83.40 84.07 USO 30.65 33.35 33.23
01/13 GLD 80.88 82.55 84.08 USO 31.84 32.27 32.92

01/07$USD 82.25 82.18 81.89 $BPNYA 67.35 62.7555.21
01/08$USD 81.57 82.25 81.68 $BPNYA 67.03 65.14 56.12
01/09$USD 82.71 82.42 81.54 $BPNYA 65.67 66.24 56.84
01/12$USD 83.0882.49 81.51$BPNYA 61.74 65.94 57.35
01/13$USD 84.20 82.76 81.54 $BPNYA 60.05 64.37 57.89

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C & S funds 5dyma have moved below their respective 20dyma’s. These are sell signals Support at 850 was broken, next support around 830? Or lower, for S&P500. Although we may get a bounce (overdue) I don’t like the looks of this so I’m moving out of the S fund to G today for tomorrow.

The I fund 5dyma has moved below its 20dyma. This is a sell signal. The US dollar has been getting stronger lately, hindering the performance of the I fund .

SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) 5dyma’s will most likely cross their respective 20dyma’s today to the upside. The $VIX has also triggered a buy signal in the same way yesterday. It appears the shorting instruments are going to rally going forward as the C, S, and I funds tumble.

The F-fund continues to defy gravity. It may continue to do well as stocks continue down. It has been very overbought on a very short term basis for quite some time. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses after January 20th (Obama day) where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks with the thought of hope for the future.

$VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bullish, the 5dyma has just crossed above its 20dyma. A buy signal which could mean more volatility for stocks going forward. Fear levels are rising.

GLD. Down Trend continues. 5dyma remains below 20dyma. Looking toppy here for a possible correction IMO especially with the US$ moving up now..

USO continues downtrend. 5dyma beneath the 20dyma.
$USD is in an uptrend. It’s 5dyma remains above its 20dyma. Because of this possibility I have moved my I fund holdings to the S fund. Should there be a bad drop in the US$, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

$BPNYA, NYSE Bullish Percent Index. Simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bullish at 54.46% with its 5dyma above its 20dyma. The index has moved beneath its 5dyma however and the 5dyma has started to fall. If the market continues to fall today this index may well turn bearish (below 50%).
I have boldened certain numbers below, such as when a low or high is met, or when a moving average crosses another, or when price crosses a moving average.

I’m currently 100S moving to 100G for now, in the tracker. January could be a real problem once the Obama honeymoon is over. 1 more IFT‘s left for January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
01/08 C 10.5209 10.66 10.31 SDS 69.07 67.84 77.80
01/09 C 10.2964 10.57 10.30 SDS 71.95 68.92 77.21
01/12 C 10.0651 10.43 10.30 SDS 75.35 70.68 76.58
01/13 C 10.0831 10.29 10.30 SDS 75.28 72.24 75.99
01/14 C 09.7467 10.14 10.29SDS 79.83 74.30 75.56

01/08 S 12.5059 12.54 11.89 SDD 62.07 61.16 80.72
01/09 S 12.1201 12.46 11.91 SDD 67.00 62.41 79.03
01/12 S 11.7723 12.31 11.94 SDD 70.48 64.29 77.00
01/13 S 11.8936 12.13 11.96 SDD 69.19 66.3375.29
01/14 S 11.4116 11.94 11.97 SDD 75.09 68.77 73.56

01/08 I 14.5176 14.47 14.03 EFU 087.38 88.02 105.14
01/09 I 14.0893 14.38 14.05 EFU 093.14 89.37 103.44
01/12 I 13.8177 14.27 14.07 EFU 097.60 91.04 101.94
01/13 I 13.5116 14.06 14.06 EFU 101.15 93.86 100.70
01/14 I 13.0201 13.79 14.03 EFU 109.38 97.73 099.91

01/08 F 12.6172 12.56 12.52 $VIX 42.56 40.56 46.13
01/09 F 12.6265 12.58 12.53 $VIX 42.82 41.28 45.48
01/12 F 12.660312.61 12.55 $VIX 45.84 42.63 44.98
01/13 F 12.6490 12.63 12.56 $VIX 43.27 43.58 44.43
01/14 F 12.6661 12.64 12.58 $VIX 49.14 44.73 44.05

01/08 GLD 84.46 84.61 83.86 USO 33.20 35.33 33.80
01/09 GLD 83.92 84.15 84.07 USO 32.37 34.68 33.63
01/12 GLD 80.76 83.40 84.07 USO 30.65 33.35 33.23
01/13 GLD 80.88 82.55 84.08 USO 31.84 32.27 32.92
01/14 GLD 79.79 81.96 83.94 USO 31.23 31.8632.64

01/08$USD 81.57 82.25 81.68 $BPNYA 67.03 65.14 56.12
01/09$USD 82.71 82.42 81.54 $BPNYA 65.67 66.24 56.84
01/12$USD 83.0882.49 81.51$BPNYA 61.74 65.94 57.35
01/13$USD 84.20 82.76 81.54 $BPNYA 60.05 64.37 57.89
01/14$USD 84.45 83.20 81.66 $BPNYA 54.46 61.7958.12

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
I’ve decided to do some tinkering. Rather than use the 5dyma and 20dyma, I will be using the 2dyma with the 13dyma for buy and sell signals. This system will be more responsive to market fluctuations and will throw buy and sell signals more quickly than previously. Let’s see how it works. Signals are in bold in the table below.

C fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
S fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
The I bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) bullish, 2dyma’s above their respective 13dyma’s.
F-fund bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
$VIX (Volatility Index) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
GLD (Gold) bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma.
USO bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma.
$USD bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
$BPNYA (NYSE Bullish Percent Index) bearish now below 50% and 2dyma below 13dyma. NYSE Bullish Percent Index. simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bearish at 48.80%.
Buy and Sell signals are in bold below. 2dyma moves below 13dyma Sell, 2dyma moves above 13dyma Buy.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker. Looks like I’ll be staying in the G fund the rest of January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 2dma 13dma Stock Price 2dma 13dma
01/09 C 10.2964 10.41 10.57 SDS 71.95 70.51 72.98
01/12 C 10.0651 10.18 10.43 SDS 75.35 73.65 72.05
01/13 C 10.0831 10.07 10.29 SDS 75.28 75.32 71.88
01/14 C 09.7467 09.91 10.14SDS 79.83 77.56 72.12
01/15 C 09.7595 09.75 09.99 SDS 78.28 79.78 72.39

01/09 S 12.1201 12.31 12.05 SDD 67.00 64.54 67.40
01/12 S 11.7723 11.95 12.07 SDD 70.48 68.74 65.33
01/13 S 11.8936 11.83 12.10 SDD 69.19 69.8465.21
01/14 S 11.4116 11.65 12.09 SDD 75.09 72.14 65.62
01/15 S 11.5857 11.50 12.08 SDD 72.61 73.85 65.97

01/09 I 14.0893 14.30 14.12 EFU 093.14 090.26 94.44
01/12 I 13.8177 13.95 14.12 EFU 097.60 095.37 92.46
01/13 I 13.5116 13.66 14.12 EFU 101.15 099.38 92.51
01/14 I 13.0201 13.27 14.07 EFU 109.38 105.27 93.39
01/15 I 13.0431 13.03 14.02 EFU 107.67 108.53 94.20

01/09 F 12.6265 12.62 12.57 $VIX 42.82 42.69 42.18
01/12 F 12.660312.64 12.58 $VIX 45.84 44.33 42.28
01/13 F 12.6490 12.65 12.59 $VIX 43.27 44.56 42.14
01/14 F 12.6661 12.66 12.60 $VIX 49.14 46.21 42.52
01/15 F 12.6543 12.66 12.60 $VIX 51.00 50.07 43.11

01/09 GLD 83.92 84.19 84.68 USO 32.37 32.79 32.46
01/12 GLD 80.7682.34 84.48 USO 30.65 31.51 32.46
01/13 GLD 80.88 80.82 84.34 USO 31.84 31.25 32.60
01/14 GLD 79.79 80.34 84.06 USO 31.23 31.5432.77
01/15 GLD 80.39 80.09 83.66 USO 30.18 30.71 32.86

01/09$USD 82.71 82.14 81.66 $BPNYA 65.67 66.35 58.57
01/12$USD 83.0882.90 81.81$BPNYA 61.74 63.71 59.16
01/13$USD 84.20 83.64 82.04 $BPNYA 60.05 60.90 59.71
01/14$USD 84.45 84.33 82.29 $BPNYA 54.46 57.26 59.87
01/15$USD 84.48 84.47 82.57 $BPNYA 48.80 51.63 59.60

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
I’ve decided to do some tinkering. Rather than use the 5dyma and 20dyma, I will be using the 2dyma with the 13dyma for buy and sell signals. This system will be more responsive to market fluctuations and will throw buy and sell signals more quickly than previously. Let’s see how it works. Signals are in bold in the table below.

C fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma but the 2dyma is starting to climb.
S fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma but the 2dyma is starting to climb.
I fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma but the 2dyma is starting to climb..
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) bullish, 2dyma’s above their respective 13dyma’s but the 2dyma‘s are starting to fall..
F-fund bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma but the 2dyma is starting to fall..
$VIX (Volatility Index) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma but the 2dyma is starting to fall..
GLD (Gold) bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma but the 2dyma has started to climb..
USO bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma.
$USD bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma but the 2dyma has started to fall..
$BPNYA (NYSE Bullish Percent Index) bearish now below 50% and 2dyma below 13dyma. NYSE Bullish Percent Index. simply put, it is a percentage of all NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bearish at 48.99%.
Buy and Sell signals are in bold below. 2dyma moves below 13dyma Sell, 2dyma moves above 13dyma Buy.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker. Looks like I’ll be staying in the G fund the rest of January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 2dma 13dma Stock Price 2dma 13dma
01/12 C 10.0651 10.18 10.34 SDS 75.35 73.65 72.05
01/13 C 10.0831 10.07 10.35 SDS 75.28 75.32 71.88
01/14 C 09.7467 09.91 10.33 SDS 79.83 77.56 72.12
01/15 C 09.7595 09.75 10.31 SDS 79.73 79.78 72.39
01/16 C 09.8341 09.80 10.29 SDS 78.74 79.24 72.59

01/12 S 11.7723 11.95 12.07 SDD 70.48 68.74 65.33
01/13 S 11.8936 11.83 12.10 SDD 69.19 69.8465.21
01/14 S 11.4116 11.65 12.09 SDD 75.09 72.14 65.62
01/15 S 11.5857 11.50 12.08 SDD 72.61 73.85 65.97
01/16 S 11.6941 11.64 12.09 SDD 70.86 71.74 66.01

01/12 I 13.8177 13.95 14.12 EFU 097.60 095.37 92.46
01/13 I 13.5116 13.66 14.12 EFU 101.15 099.38 92.51
01/14 I 13.0201 13.27 14.07 EFU 109.38 105.27 93.39
01/15 I 13.0431 13.03 14.02 EFU 107.67 108.53 94.20
01/16 I 13.1173 13.08 13.96 EFU 105.98 106.83 94.91

01/12 F 12.660312.64 12.58 $VIX 45.84 44.33 42.28
01/13 F 12.6490 12.65 12.59 $VIX 43.27 44.56 42.14
01/14 F 12.6661 12.66 12.60 $VIX 49.14 46.21 42.52
01/15 F 12.6543 12.66 12.60 $VIX 51.00 50.07 43.11
01/16 F 12.6254 12.64 12.61 $VIX 46.11 48.56 43.28

01/12 GLD 80.7682.34 84.48 USO 30.65 31.51 32.46
01/13 GLD 80.88 80.82 84.34 USO 31.84 31.25 32.60
01/14 GLD 79.79 80.34 84.06 USO 31.23 31.5432.77
01/15 GLD 80.39 80.09 83.66 USO 30.18 30.71 32.86
01/16 GLD 82.71 81.55 83.38 USO 29.86 30.02 32.78

01/12$USD83.0882.90 81.81$BPNYA61.74 63.71 59.16
01/13$USD84.20 83.64 82.04 $BPNYA60.05 60.90 59.71
01/14$USD84.45 84.33 82.29 $BPNYA54.46 57.26 59.87
01/15$USD84.48 84.47 82.57 $BPNYA48.80 51.63 59.60
01/16$USD83.97 84.23 82.79 $BPNYA48.99 48.90 59.45

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
S fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
I fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) bullish, 2dyma’s above their respective 13dyma’s.
F-fund bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma only by a penny. 2dyma falling and threatening to cross under the 13dyma today. I’m bearish on this fund now as it appears the intermediate term trend is changing to down..
$VIX (Volatility Index) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma. Starting a new intermediate up trend, not good for stocks as volatility and fear will increase.
GLD (Gold) just turned bullish (buy signal yesterday), 2dyma now above its 13dyma.
USO bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma.
$USD bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
$BPNYA (NYSE Bullish Percent Index) bearish now below 50% and 2dyma below 13dyma. NYSE Bullish Percent Index. simply put, is the percentage of all NYSE stocks on current buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bearish at 45.57%.
Buy and Sell signals are in bold below. 2dyma moves below 13dyma Sell, 2dyma moves above 13dyma Buy.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker. Looks like I’ll be staying in the G fund the rest of January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 2dma 13dma Stock Price 2dma 13dma
01/13 C 10.0831 10.07 10.35 SDS 75.28 75.32 71.88
01/14 C 09.7467 09.91 10.33SDS 79.83 77.56 72.12
01/15 C 09.7595 09.75 10.31 SDS 79.73 79.78 72.39
01/16 C 09.8341 09.80 10.29 SDS 78.74 79.24 72.59
01/20 C 09.3159 09.5810.22 SDS 86.88 82.8173.68

01/13 S 11.8936 11.83 12.10 SDD 69.19 69.8465.21
01/14 S 11.4116 11.65 12.09 SDD 75.09 72.14 65.62
01/15 S 11.5857 11.50 12.08 SDD 72.61 73.85 65.97
01/16 S 11.6941 11.64 12.09 SDD 70.86 71.74 66.01
01/20 S 10.9369 11.32 12.02 SDD 80.15 75.5167.12

01/13 I 13.5116 13.66 14.12 EFU 101.15 099.38 92.51
01/14 I 13.0201 13.27 14.07 EFU 109.38 105.27 93.39
01/15 I 13.0431 13.03 14.02 EFU 107.67 108.53 94.20
01/16 I 13.1173 13.08 13.96 EFU 105.98 106.83 94.91
01/20 I 12.2542 12.69 13.80 EFU 121.72 109.18 99.64

01/13 F 12.6490 12.65 12.59 $VIX 43.27 44.56 42.14
01/14 F 12.6661 12.66 12.60 $VIX 49.14 46.21 42.52
01/15 F 12.6543 12.66 12.60 $VIX 51.00 50.07 43.11
01/16 F 12.6254 12.64 12.61 $VIX 46.11 48.56 43.28
01/20 F 12.606812.62 12.61 $VIX 56.65 51.38 44.43

01/13 GLD 80.88 80.82 84.34 USO 31.84 31.25 32.60
01/14 GLD 79.79 80.34 84.06 USO 31.23 31.5432.77
01/15 GLD 80.39 80.09 83.66 USO 30.18 30.71 32.86
01/16 GLD 82.71 81.55 83.38 USO 29.86 30.02 32.78
01/20 GLD 84.52 83.62 83.27 USO 28.66 29.2632.66

01/13$USD84.20 83.64 82.04 $BPNYA60.05 60.90 59.71
01/14$USD84.45 84.33 82.29 $BPNYA54.46 57.26 59.87
01/15$USD84.48 84.47 82.57 $BPNYA48.80 51.63 59.60
01/16$USD83.97 84.23 82.79 $BPNYA48.99 48.90 59.45
01/20$USD86.2585.11 83.20$BPNYA45.57 47.28 58.93

 

[CapeChem]

Question for all of you guys that understand the SMA and EMA's better than I.....I have noticed that the 10,20 and 50 SMA and EMA are all squished (for lack of a better term) together.....does this have any significance?......Even when we hit the low of 740 S&P the EMA's were still well above that...I was just wondering if there is any sgnificance to all these indicators converging......Thanks

 

[FogSailing]

I don't like it when we try to push too much data through a single line..when I do that on the computer, my system crashes...hope this is different..

FS

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
S fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
I fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) bullish, 2dyma’s above their respective 13dyma’s.
F-fund bearish, 2dyma now below 13dyma yesterday, (sell signal)..
$VIX (Volatility Index) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
GLD (Gold) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma. Very odd that gold is bullish when the $USD is bullish!
USO bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma.
$USD bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
$BPNYA (NYSE Bullish Percent Index) bearish now below 50% and 2dyma is below 13dyma. NYSE Bullish Percent Index. simply put, is the percentage of all NYSE stocks on current buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bearish at 43.83%.
Buy and Sell signals are in bold below. 2dyma moves below 13dyma Sell, 2dyma moves above 13dyma Buy.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker. Looks like I’ll be staying in the G fund the rest of January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 2dma 13dma Stock Price 2dma 13dma
01/14 C 09.7467 09.91 10.33SDS 79.83 77.56 72.12
01/15 C 09.7595 09.75 10.31 SDS 79.73 79.78 72.39
01/16 C 09.8341 09.80 10.29 SDS 78.74 79.24 72.59
01/20 C 09.3159 09.5810.22 SDS 86.88 82.8173.68
01/21 C 09.7210 09.52 10.16 SDS 79.43 83.16 74.34

01/14 S 11.4116 11.65 12.09 SDD 75.09 72.14 65.62
01/15 S 11.5857 11.50 12.08 SDD 72.61 73.85 65.97
01/16 S 11.6941 11.64 12.09 SDD 70.86 71.74 66.01
01/20 S 10.9369 11.32 12.02 SDD 80.15 75.5167.12
01/21 S 11.4497 11.19 11.97 SDD 73.16 76.6668.03

01/14 I 13.0201 13.27 14.07 EFU 109.38 105.27 93.39
01/15 I 13.0431 13.03 14.02 EFU 107.67 108.53 94.20
01/16 I 13.1173 13.08 13.96 EFU 105.98 106.83 94.91
01/20 I 12.2542 12.69 13.80 EFU 121.72 109.18 99.64
01/21 I 12.7273 12.49 13.69 EFU 110.16 115.94 98.99

01/14 F 12.6661 12.66 12.60 $VIX 49.14 46.21 42.52
01/15 F 12.6543 12.66 12.60 $VIX 51.00 50.07 43.11
01/16 F 12.6254 12.64 12.61 $VIX 46.11 48.56 43.28
01/20 F 12.606812.62 12.61 $VIX 56.65 51.38 44.43
01/21 F 12.5357 12.57 12.60 $VIX 46.42 51.54 44.93

01/14 GLD 79.79 80.34 84.06 USO 31.23 31.5432.77
01/15 GLD 80.39 80.09 83.66 USO 30.18 30.71 32.86
01/16 GLD 82.71 81.55 83.38 USO 29.86 30.02 32.78
01/20 GLD 84.52 83.62 83.27 USO 28.66 29.2632.66
01/21 GLD 84.15 84.34 83.09 USO 31.03 29.85 32.50

01/14$USD84.45 84.33 82.29 $BPNYA54.46 57.26 59.87
01/15$USD84.48 84.47 82.57 $BPNYA48.80 51.63 59.60
01/16$USD83.97 84.23 82.79 $BPNYA48.99 48.90 59.45
01/20$USD86.2585.11 83.20$BPNYA45.57 47.28 58.93
01/21$USD85.42 85.84 83.52 $BPNYA43.83 44.70 58.06

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
S fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
I fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) bullish, 2dyma’s above their respective 13dyma’s.
F-fund bearish, 2dyma now below 13dyma..
$VIX (Volatility Index) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
GLD (Gold) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma. Very odd that gold is bullish when the $USD is bullish!
USO bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma.
$USD bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
$BPNYA (NYSE Bullish Percent Index) bearish now below 50% and 2dyma is below 13dyma. NYSE Bullish Percent Index. simply put, is the percentage of all NYSE stocks on current buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bearish at 43.18%.
Buy and Sell signals are in bold below. 2dyma moves below 13dyma Sell, 2dyma moves above 13dyma Buy.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker. Looks like I’ll be staying in the G fund the rest of January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 2dma 13dma Stock Price 2dma 13dma
01/15 C 09.7595 09.75 10.31 SDS 79.73 79.78 72.39
01/16 C 09.8341 09.80 10.29 SDS 78.74 79.24 72.59
01/20 C 09.3159 09.5810.22 SDS 86.88 82.81 73.68
01/21 C 09.7210 09.52 10.16 SDS 79.43 83.16 74.34
01/22 C 09.5740 09.65 10.07SDS 81.61 80.52 75.49

01/15 S 11.5857 11.50 12.08 SDD 72.61 73.85 65.97
01/16 S 11.6941 11.64 12.09 SDD 70.86 71.74 66.01
01/20 S 10.9369 11.32 12.02 SDD 80.15 75.51 67.12
01/21 S 11.4497 11.19 11.97 SDD 73.16 76.66 68.03
01/22 S 11.1614 11.31 11.86 SDD 77.56 75.36 69.32

01/15 I 13.0431 13.03 14.02 EFU 107.67 108.53 94.20
01/16 I 13.1173 13.08 13.96 EFU 105.98 106.83 94.91
01/20 I 12.2542 12.69 13.80 EFU 121.72 109.18 99.64
01/21 I 12.7273 12.49 13.69 EFU 110.16 115.94 98.99
01/22 I 12.4111 12.57 13.52 EFU 115.24 112.70 101.21

01/15 F 12.6543 12.66 12.60 $VIX 51.00 50.07 43.11
01/16 F 12.6254 12.64 12.61 $VIX 46.11 48.56 43.28
01/20 F 12.606812.62 12.61 $VIX 56.65 51.38 44.43
01/21 F 12.5357 12.57 12.60 $VIX 46.42 51.54 44.93
01/22 F 12.5273 12.53 12.60 $VIX 47.29 46.86 45.55

01/15 GLD 80.39 80.09 83.66 USO 30.18 30.71 32.86
01/16 GLD 82.71 81.55 83.38 USO 29.86 30.02 32.78
01/20 GLD 84.52 83.62 83.27 USO 28.66 29.26 32.66
01/21 GLD 84.15 84.34 83.09 USO 31.03 29.85 32.50
01/22 GLD 84.58 84.37 82.96 USO 30.02 30.53 32.07

01/15$USD84.48 84.47 82.57 $BPNYA48.80 51.63 59.60
01/16$USD83.97 84.23 82.79 $BPNYA48.99 48.90 59.45
01/20$USD86.2585.11 83.20 $BPNYA45.57 47.28 58.93
01/21$USD85.42 85.84 83.52 $BPNYA43.83 44.70 58.06
01/22$USD85.49 85.46 83.80 $BPNYA43.18 43.51 56.75

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
S fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
I fund bearish, 2dyma below 13dyma.
SDS, SDD, and EFU (the shorting instruments) bullish, 2dyma’s above their respective 13dyma’s.
F-fund bearish, 2dyma now below 13dyma..
$VIX (Volatility Index) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
GLD (Gold) bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma. Very odd that gold is bullish when the $USD is bullish!
USO bearish, 2dyma below its 13dyma.
$USD bullish, 2dyma above its 13dyma.
$BPNYA (NYSE Bullish Percent Index) bearish now below 50% and 2dyma is below 13dyma. NYSE Bullish Percent Index. simply put, is the percentage of all NYSE stocks on current buy signals from all NYSE Point and Figure charts. A reading above 50% is bullish, below 50% is bearish. A reading above 70% is overbought, below 30% is oversold. Currently the index is bearish at 41.87%.
Buy and Sell signals are in bold below. 2dyma moves below 13dyma Sell, 2dyma moves above 13dyma Buy.
I’m currently 100G in the tracker. Looks like I’ll be staying in the G fund the rest of January. Good Luck !

Date Fund Price 2dma 13dma Stock Price 2dma 13dma
01/16 C 09.8341 09.80 10.29 SDS 78.74 79.24 72.59
01/20 C 09.3159 09.58 10.22 SDS 86.88 82.81 73.68
01/21 C 09.7210 09.52 10.16 SDS 79.43 83.16 74.34
01/22 C 09.5740 09.65 10.07SDS 81.61 80.52 75.49
01/23 C 09.6237 09.60 09.99 SDS 81.11 81.36 76.62

01/16 S 11.6941 11.64 12.09 SDD 70.86 71.74 66.01
01/20 S 10.9369 11.32 12.02 SDD 80.15 75.51 67.12
01/21 S 11.4497 11.19 11.97 SDD 73.16 76.66 68.03
01/22 S 11.1614 11.31 11.86 SDD 77.56 75.36 69.32
01/23 S 11.2253 11.19 11.76 SDD 77.18 77.37 70.56

01/16 I 13.1173 13.08 13.96 EFU 105.98 106.83 94.91
01/20 I 12.2542 12.69 13.80 EFU 121.72 109.18 99.64
01/21 I 12.7273 12.49 13.69 EFU 110.16 115.94 98.99
01/22 I 12.4111 12.57 13.52 EFU 115.24 112.70 101.21
01/23 I 12.3497 12.38 13.37 EFU 116.53 115.89 103.31

01/16 F 12.6254 12.64 12.61 $VIX 46.11 48.56 43.28
01/20 F 12.606812.62 12.61 $VIX 56.65 51.38 44.43
01/21 F 12.5357 12.57 12.60 $VIX 46.42 51.54 44.93
01/22 F 12.5273 12.53 12.60 $VIX 47.29 46.86 45.55
01/23 F 12.5207 12.52 12.60 $VIX 47.27 47.28 46.18

01/16 GLD 82.71 81.55 83.38 USO 29.86 30.02 32.78
01/20 GLD 84.52 83.62 83.27 USO 28.66 29.26 32.66
01/21 GLD 84.15 84.34 83.09 USO 31.03 29.85 32.50
01/22 GLD 84.58 84.37 82.96 USO 30.02 30.53 32.07
01/23 GLD 88.53 86.56 83.27 USO 32.33 31.18 31.68

01/16$USD83.97 84.23 82.79 $BPNYA48.99 48.90 59.45
01/20$USD86.2585.11 83.20 $BPNYA45.57 47.28 58.93
01/21$USD85.42 85.84 83.52 $BPNYA43.83 44.70 58.06
01/22$USD85.49 85.46 83.80 $BPNYA43.18 43.51 56.75
01/23$USD85.52 85.51 84.02 $BPNYA41.87 42.53 55.11