Here's14U's Account Talk

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
With today’s price the C-fund 5dyma has moved above its 20dyma. This is a buy signal. I will be going 25C, 25S, 50G. If there is a small pullback I’ll invest more into the stock funds.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It is quite overbought at this point on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think sometime. If stocks remain weak this fund may continue higher.

I’m currently 100G in the tracker, going 25C, 25S today. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/01 C 09.4002 09.92 10.13 SDS 103.40 095.7197.61
12/02 C 09.7748 09.92 10.06 SDS 095.45 094.78 98.13
12/03 C 10.0320 09.95 09.99 SDS 090.57 093.54 98.72
12/04 C 09.7393 09.85 09.93 SDS 095.80 094.69 99.22
12/05 C 10.0927 09.81 09.91 SDS 089.08 094.86 98.95

12/01 S 10.4051 11.03 11.48 SDD 133.89 121.12 121.42
12/02 S 10.9014 11.07 11.37 SDD 118.83 119.13 122.56
12/03 S 11.1811 11.13 11.25 SDD 111.74 116.57 123.50
12/04 S 10.8064 10.99 11.16 SDD 118.27 118.10 124.24
12/05 S 11.2807 10.91 11.11 SDD 109.80 113.69 124.42

12/01 I 12.2414 12.98 13.29 EFU 162.88 149.73 150.87
12/02 I 12.8277 12.95 13.22 EFU 144.80 146.11 151.32
12/03 I 12.9203 12.89 13.11 EFU 142.01 145.82 151.91
12/04 I 12.5426 12.75 13.01 EFU 148.10 159.51 152.76
12/05 I 12.7507 12.66 12.97 EFU 145.15 149.29 152.38


12/01 F 12.1775 12.14 11.98 5dyma above 20
12/02 F 12.2086 12.15 12.00 5dyma above 20
12/03 F 12.2147 12.17 12.02 5dyma above 20
12/04 F 12.2715 12.20 12.03 5dyma above 20
12/05 F 12.2333 12.22 12.05 5dyma above 20
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the 20 day moving average we buy. When price then the 5 day moving average move below the 20 day moving average we sell. How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Okay, yesterday’s prices caused the C and S funds 5dyma’s to get above their respective 20dyma’s, so I entered the C and S funds, 25% each. Now the fun begins.
I’ve decided, because we are in a bear market, to have the sell signal more responsive for the C and S funds now that they are on Hold signals. Rather than use the 5 and 20 day moving averages I will be using the upper Bollinger band as a target for a sell point. Currently for the $spx © that band currently at about 939 which is about 30 points away or about 3.2% higher. The good news is the C fund is now above its 20 dayma but it is short term overbought so if it can move up another 3% remains to be seen. Another sell point will be to watch the 3dyma. If price cannot stay above it than it will be time to sell too.
As of now I will be staying in with 25C, 25S, 50G.
I will keep SDS, SDD, and EFU on 5 and 20 day moving averages for now. Their 5dyma’s are currently below their respective declining 20dyma’s which may mean further weakness in the future.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It is quite overbought at this point on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think.
I’m currently 25C, 25S in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/02 C 09.7748 09.92 10.06 SDS 095.45 094.78 98.13
12/03 C 10.0320 09.95 09.99 SDS 090.57 093.54 98.72
12/04 C 09.7393 09.85 09.93 SDS 095.80 094.69 99.22
12/05 C 10.0927 09.81 09.91 SDS 089.08 094.86 98.95
12/08 C 10.4820 10.02 09.90 SDS 082.53 095.7197.61

12/02 S 10.9014 11.07 11.37 SDD 118.83 119.13 122.56
12/03 S 11.1811 11.13 11.25 SDD 111.74 116.57 123.50
12/04 S 10.8064 10.99 11.16 SDD 118.27 118.10 124.24
12/05 S 11.2807 10.91 11.11 SDD 109.80 113.69 124.42
12/08 S 11.7721 11.19 11.08 SDD 100.20 111.77 123.94

12/02 I 12.8277 12.95 13.22 EFU 144.80 146.11 151.32
12/03 I 12.9203 12.89 13.11 EFU 142.01 145.82 151.91
12/04 I 12.5426 12.75 13.01 EFU 148.10 159.51 152.76
12/05 I 12.7507 12.66 12.97 EFU 145.15 149.29 152.38
12/08 I 13.3441 12.88 12.93 EFU 132.61 143.15 152.24


12/02 F 12.2086 12.15 12.00 5dyma above 20
12/03 F 12.2147 12.17 12.02 5dyma above 20
12/04 F 12.2715 12.20 12.03 5dyma above 20
12/05 F 12.2333 12.22 12.05 5dyma above 20
12/08 F 12.2373 12.23 12.06 5dyma above 20
I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, and S 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. Let’s see if the markets can muster any more strength. Still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell target.
I will keep SDS, SDD, and EFU on 5 and 20 day moving averages for now. Their 5dyma’s are currently below their respective declining 20dyma’s which may mean further weakness in the future. The I-fund 5dyma has moved above its 20dyma yesterday which provided a buy signal.

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It is quite overbought at this point on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think.
I’m currently 25C, 25S in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/03 C 10.0320 09.95 09.99 SDS 090.57 093.54 98.72
12/04 C 09.7393 09.85 09.93 SDS 095.80 094.69 99.22
12/05 C 10.0927 09.81 09.91 SDS 089.08 094.86 98.95
12/08 C 10.4820 10.02 09.90 SDS 082.53 090.6998.58
12/09 C 10.2413 10.12 09.89 SDS 085.40 088.68 98.29

12/03 S 11.1811 11.13 11.25 SDD 111.74 116.57 123.50
12/04 S 10.8064 10.99 11.16 SDD 118.27 118.10 124.24
12/05 S 11.2807 10.91 11.11 SDD 109.80 113.69 124.42
12/08 S 11.7721 11.19 11.08 SDD 100.20 111.77 123.94
12/09 S 11.4993 11.31 11.05 SDD 104.40 108.88 123.59

12/03 I 12.9203 12.89 13.11 EFU 142.01 145.82 151.91
12/04 I 12.5426 12.75 13.01 EFU 148.10 159.51 152.76
12/05 I 12.7507 12.66 12.97 EFU 145.15 149.29 152.38
12/08 I 13.3441 12.88 12.93 EFU 132.61 143.15 152.24
12/09 I 13.2732 12.97 12.89 EFU 133.74 140.93 151.96


12/03 F 12.2147 12.17 12.02 5dyma above 20
12/04 F 12.2715 12.20 12.03 5dyma above 20
12/05 F 12.2333 12.22 12.05 5dyma above 20
12/08 F 12.2373 12.23 12.06 5dyma above 20
12/09 F 12.2918 12.25 12.08 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. Let’s see if the markets can muster any more strength. Still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell target. The I-fund 5dyma has moved above its 20dyma which has provided a buy signal.
I will keep SDS, SDD, and EFU on 5 and 20 day moving averages for now. Their 5dyma’s are currently below their respective declining 20dyma’s which may mean further weakness in the future (good to be long now).

The F-fund has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It is quite overbought at this point on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think.
I’m currently 25C, 25S in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/04 C 09.7393 09.85 09.93 SDS 095.80 094.69 99.22
12/05 C 10.0927 09.81 09.91 SDS 089.08 094.86 98.95
12/08 C 10.4820 10.02 09.90 SDS 082.53 090.6998.58
12/09 C 10.2413 10.12 09.89 SDS 085.40 088.68 98.29
12/10 C 10.3629 10.18 09.87 SDS 083.80 087.32 97.71

12/04 S 10.8064 10.99 11.16 SDD 118.27 118.10 124.24
12/05 S 11.2807 10.91 11.11 SDD 109.80 113.69 124.42
12/08 S 11.7721 11.19 11.08 SDD 100.20 111.77 123.94
12/09 S 11.4993 11.31 11.05 SDD 104.40 108.88 123.59
12/10 S 11.7424 11.42 11.03 SDD 100.95 106.72 122.82

12/04 I 12.5426 12.75 13.01 EFU 148.10 159.51 152.76
12/05 I 12.7507 12.66 12.97 EFU 145.15 149.29 152.38
12/08 I 13.3441 12.88 12.93 EFU 132.61 143.15 152.24
12/09 I 13.2732 12.97 12.89 EFU 133.74 140.93 151.96
12/10 I 13.5000 13.08 12.86 EFU 127.05 137.94 150.95


12/04 F 12.2715 12.20 12.03 5dyma above 20
12/05 F 12.2333 12.22 12.05 5dyma above 20
12/08 F 12.2373 12.23 12.06 5dyma above 20
12/09 F 12.2918 12.25 12.08 5dyma above 20
12/10 F 12.3158 12.27 12.10 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
C, S, and I 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. Let’s see if the markets can muster any more strength after this mornings sell off. Still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell target. The US dollar has moved below its 50dyma and may be getting ready for a fall. I believe this will benefit the I-fund in the future so I’m going to move the rest of my funds to the I fund today.
I will keep SDS, SDD, and EFU on 5 and 20 day moving averages for now. Their 5dyma’s are currently below their respective declining 20dyma’s which may mean further weakness in the future (good to be long now).

The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think.
I’m currently 25C, 25S in the tracker. Going 25C, 25S, 50I for tomorrow. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/05 C 10.0927 09.81 09.91 SDS 089.08 094.86 98.95
12/08 C 10.4820 10.02 09.90 SDS 082.53 090.6998.58
12/09 C 10.2413 10.12 09.89 SDS 085.40 088.68 98.29
12/10 C 10.3629 10.18 09.87 SDS 083.80 087.32 97.71
12/11 C 10.0712 10.25 09.89 SDS 095.80 085.74 96.85

12/05 S 11.2807 10.91 11.11 SDD 109.80 113.69 124.42
12/08 S 11.7721 11.19 11.08 SDD 100.20 111.77 123.94
12/09 S 11.4993 11.31 11.05 SDD 104.40 108.88 123.59
12/10 S 11.7424 11.42 11.03 SDD 100.95 106.72 122.82
12/11 S 11.2024 11.50 11.03 SDD 111.00 105.27 121.89

12/05 I 12.7507 12.66 12.97 EFU 145.15 149.29 152.38
12/08 I 13.3441 12.88 12.93 EFU 132.61 143.15 152.24
12/09 I 13.2732 12.97 12.89 EFU 133.74 140.93 151.96
12/10 I 13.5000 13.08 12.86 EFU 127.05 137.94 150.95
12/11 I 13.5675 13.29 12.90 EFU 127.64 133.15 149.18


12/05 F 12.2333 12.22 12.05 5dyma above 20
12/08 F 12.2373 12.23 12.06 5dyma above 20
12/09 F 12.2918 12.25 12.08 5dyma above 20
12/10 F 12.3158 12.27 12.10 5dyma above 20
12/11 F 12.3437 12.28 12.11 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[JTH]

Thank you for your daily updates, I always look forward to reading your morning analysis.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
Thanks JTH, glad you enjoy the posts. Hope they help you in your thinking.

C, S, and I 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. Let’s see if the markets can muster any more strength. I am still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell range. The US dollar has moved below its 50dyma and may be ready for a fall. I believe this will benefit the I-fund in the future so I moved the rest of my funds to the I fund Friday for today.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. This may mean further weakness is due near term in their share prices. It could also mean C, S and I funds may move up near term..

The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/08 C 10.4820 10.02 09.90 SDS 082.53 090.6998.58
12/09 C 10.2413 10.12 09.89 SDS 085.40 088.68 98.29
12/10 C 10.3629 10.18 09.87 SDS 083.80 087.32 97.71
12/11 C 10.0712 10.25 09.89 SDS 087.91 085.74 96.85
12/12 C 10.1433 10.26 09.87 SDS 087.11 085.35 96.67

12/08 S 11.7721 11.19 11.08 SDD 100.20 111.77 123.94
12/09 S 11.4993 11.31 11.05 SDD 104.40 108.88 123.59
12/10 S 11.7424 11.42 11.03 SDD 100.95 106.72 122.82
12/11 S 11.2024 11.50 11.03 SDD 111.00 105.27 121.89
12/12 S 11.5206 11.55 11.01 SDD 103.32 103.97 121.67

12/08 I 13.3441 12.88 12.93 EFU 132.61 143.15 152.24
12/09 I 13.2732 12.97 12.89 EFU 133.74 140.93 151.96
12/10 I 13.5000 13.08 12.86 EFU 127.05 137.94 150.95
12/11 I 13.5675 13.29 12.90 EFU 127.64 133.15 149.18
12/12 I 13.6238 13.46 12.89 EFU 125.94 129.31 148.67


12/08 F 12.2373 12.23 12.06 5dyma above 20
12/09 F 12.2918 12.25 12.08 5dyma above 20
12/10 F 12.3158 12.27 12.10 5dyma above 20
12/11 F 12.3437 12.28 12.11 5dyma above 20
12/12 F 12.3550 12.31 12.14 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C, S, and I 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. I am still looking at S&P 937-950 for a possible sell range. As expected the US dollar has moved below its 50dyma and is falling which should benefit the I-fund in coming days. The $VIX is below its 50dyma also and is topping which is a good sign. Should the stock markets move upward the $VIX will experience a good downside break (bullish for stocks).

SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. This may mean further weakness is due near term in their share prices. It could also mean C, S and I funds may move up near term..

The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/09 C 10.2413 10.12 09.89 SDS 85.40 88.68 98.29
12/10 C 10.3629 10.18 09.87 SDS 83.80 87.32 97.71
12/11 C 10.0712 10.25 09.89 SDS 87.91 85.74 96.85
12/12 C 10.1433 10.26 09.87 SDS 87.11 85.35 96.67
12/15 C 10.014710.17 09.87 SDS 88.44 86.53 96.17

12/09 S 11.4993 11.31 11.05 SDD 104.40 108.88 123.59
12/10 S 11.7424 11.42 11.03 SDD 100.95 106.72 122.82
12/11 S 11.2024 11.50 11.03 SDD 111.00 105.27 121.89
12/12 S 11.5206 11.55 11.01 SDD 103.32 103.97 121.67
12/15 S 11.2174 11.44 11.00 SDD 109.65 105.86 120.82

12/09 I 13.2732 12.97 12.89 EFU 133.74 140.93 151.96
12/10 I 13.5000 13.08 12.86 EFU 127.05 137.94 150.95
12/11 I 13.5675 13.29 12.90 EFU 127.64 133.15 149.18
12/12 I 13.6238 13.46 12.89 EFU 125.94 129.31 148.67
12/15 I 13.6809 13.53 12.92 EFU 125.17 127.91 147.33


12/09 F 12.2918 12.25 12.08 5dyma above 20
12/10 F 12.3158 12.27 12.10 5dyma above 20
12/11 F 12.3437 12.28 12.11 5dyma above 20
12/12 F 12.3550 12.31 12.14 5dyma above 20
12/15 F 12.3755 12.34 12.16 5dyma above 20

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Gumby]

Good Morning;

C, S, and I 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. I am still looking at S&P 937-950 for a possible sell range. As expected the US dollar has moved below its 50dyma and is falling which should benefit the I-fund in coming days. The $VIX is below its 50dyma also and is topping which is a good sign. Should the stock markets move upward the $VIX will experience a good downside break (bullish for stocks).

Here's14U

Great call........maybe we will get the pop to 950. I hope it waits until at least tomorrow....to late to IFT today.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;
After yesterday’s Fed action, doesn’t it remind you of a “Hail Mary” pass on the football field? The pass has been thrown high and far, the big hope is whether the 1) receiver will be there, and 2) will he catch it. The key word for the Fed and our economy is “hope”. Hope that lending will resume, Hope the consumer rises from the dead. Isn’t it ironic we are doing the same thing that got us in this mess in the first place? (easy money). The markets liked what they saw and rallied yesterday. As for myself, I have to remain bullish as long as 5dyma’s can stay above their respective 20dyma’s.

C, S, and I 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in a table below I am still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell range but if we move above that level than 1,000 could be in the cards. Santa rally anyone?

SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. This may mean further weakness is due near term in their share prices. It could also mean C, S and I funds continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks.

The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/10 C 10.3629 10.18 09.87 SDS 83.80 87.32 97.71
12/11 C 10.0712 10.25 09.89 SDS 87.91 85.74 96.85
12/12 C 10.1433 10.26 09.87 SDS 87.11 85.35 96.67
12/15 C 10.014710.17 09.87 SDS 88.44 86.5396.17
12/16 C 10.5273 10.22 09.91 SDS 80.24 85.50 95.01

12/10 S 11.7424 11.42 11.03 SDD 100.95 106.72 122.82
12/11 S 11.2024 11.50 11.03 SDD 111.00 105.27 121.89
12/12 S 11.5206 11.55 11.01 SDD 103.32 103.97 121.67
12/15 S 11.2174 11.44 11.00 SDD 109.65 105.86 120.82
12/16 S 11.8976 11.52 11.04 SDD 096.40 104.26 119.23

12/10 I 13.5000 13.08 12.86 EFU 127.05 137.94 150.95
12/11 I 13.5675 13.29 12.90 EFU 127.64 133.15 149.18
12/12 I 13.6238 13.46 12.89 EFU 125.94 129.31 148.67
12/15 I 13.6809 13.53 12.92 EFU 125.17 127.91 147.33
12/16 I 14.4953 13.78 13.00 EFU 110.29 123.22 144.98


12/10 F 12.3158 12.27 12.10
12/11 F 12.3437 12.28 12.11
12/12 F 12.3550 12.31 12.14
12/15 F 12.3755 12.34 12.16
12/16 F 12.4470 12.37 12.18 $USD 80.23 83.03 85.71

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S funds have made it above their respective 50 day moving averages, a good sign, but we continue to be in a bear market. Their 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s. I am still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell but if we plow thru that range than 1,000 could be in the cards. Santa rally anyone?

The I fund continues to be priced above its moving average which is bullish. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as its 5dyma can remain below its 20dayma than that will be good for the I-fund.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks.

The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/11 C 10.0712 10.25 09.89 SDS 87.91 85.74 96.85
12/12 C 10.1433 10.26 09.87 SDS 87.11 85.35 96.67
12/15 C 10.014710.17 09.87 SDS 88.44 86.5396.17
12/16 C 10.5273 10.22 09.91 SDS 80.24 85.50 95.01
12/17 C 10.4269 10.24 09.93 SDS 81.65 85.07 94.02

12/11 S 11.2024 11.50 11.03 SDD 111.00 105.27 121.89
12/12 S 11.5206 11.55 11.01 SDD 103.32 103.97 121.67
12/15 S 11.2174 11.44 11.00 SDD 109.65 105.86 120.82
12/16 S 11.8976 11.52 11.04 SDD 096.40 104.26 119.23
12/17 S 11.9922 11.57 11.09 SDD 093.45 102.76 117.45

12/11 I 13.5675 13.29 12.90 EFU 127.64 133.15 149.18
12/12 I 13.6238 13.46 12.89 EFU 125.94 129.31 148.67
12/15 I 13.6809 13.53 12.92 EFU 125.17 127.91 147.33
12/16 I 14.4953 13.78 13.00 EFU 110.29 123.22 144.98
12/17 I 14.4265 13.96 13.08 EFU 111.47 120.10 142.69


12/11 F 12.3437 12.28 12.11
12/12 F 12.3550 12.31 12.14
12/15 F 12.3755 12.34 12.16
12/16 F 12.4470 12.37 12.18 $USD 80.23 83.03 85.71
12/17 F 12.5226 12.41 12.21 $USD 78.62 81.66 85.28

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[XL-entLady]

Hi 14U, thanks for adding the USD stuff to the list of information you provide. That's excellent information to have. I've increased my holdings in I Fund lately. And the fallling dollar is the reason for that. And like you, I am watching F Fund with a wary eye, although I still have a small amount in F.

Thanks for providing this information. I don't tell you often enough, but it is very appreciated!

Lady

 

[KevinD]

I wish I had left some in F...

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S funds have made it above their respective 50 day moving averages, a good sign, but we continue to be in a bear market. Their 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s which is bullish. I am still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell but if we plow thru that range than 1,000 could be in the cards. Santa rally please.

The I fund continues to be bullish as its 5dyma is above its 20dyma. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the dollars 5dyma remains below its 20dayma the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.

SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. They also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.

The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.

Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!

I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks providing it keeps falling.

I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.

I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma.

I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Come on Santa, he’s checking his list, let’s get this rally going please! Good Luck Everyone!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/12 C 10.1433 10.26 09.87 SDS 87.11 85.35 96.67
12/15 C 10.014710.17 09.87 SDS 88.44 86.5396.17
12/16 C 10.5273 10.22 09.91 SDS 80.24 85.50 95.01
12/17 C 10.4269 10.24 09.93 SDS 81.65 85.07 94.02
12/18 C 10.2102 10.26 09.98 SDS 84.65 84.42 92.60

12/12 S 11.5206 11.55 11.01 SDD 103.32 103.97 121.67
12/15 S 11.2174 11.44 11.00 SDD 109.65 105.86 120.82
12/16 S 11.8976 11.52 11.04 SDD 096.40 104.26 119.23
12/17 S 11.9922 11.57 11.09 SDD 093.45 102.76 117.45
12/18 S 11.7846 11.68 11.17 SDD 096.63 099.89 114.81

12/12 I 13.6238 13.46 12.89 EFU 125.94 129.31 148.67
12/15 I 13.6809 13.53 12.92 EFU 125.17 127.91 147.33
12/16 I 14.4953 13.78 13.00 EFU 110.29 123.22 144.98
12/17 I 14.4265 13.96 13.08 EFU 111.47 120.10 142.69
12/18 I 13.9413 14.03 13.17 EFU 118.97 118.37 139.78

12/12 F 12.3550 12.31 12.14 $VIX 54.28 56.64 63.31
12/15 F 12.3755 12.34 12.16 $VIX 56.76 56.29 62.83
12/16 F 12.4470 12.37 12.18 $VIX 52.37 54.98 61.99
12/17 F 12.5226 12.41 12.21 $VIX 49.84 53.81 61.10
12/18 F 12.5723 12.45 12.24 $VIX 47.34 52.12 59.76

12/12 GLD 80.81 78.75 76.90 USO 38.10 36.62 40.07
12/15 GLD 82.60 80.03 77.37 USO 36.84 36.77 39.60
12/16 GLD 84.46 81.65 77.96 USO 36.44 37.17 39.17
12/17 GLD 85.43 82.79 78.60 USO 34.81 36.97 38.67
12/18 GLD 83.87 83.43 79.18 USO 32.73 35.78 38.14

12/16 $USD 80.23 83.03 85.71
12/17 $USD 78.62 81.66 85.28
12/18 $USD 79.80 80.87 84.88


I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S funds have made it above their respective 50 day moving averages, a good sign, but we continue to be in a bear market. Their 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s which is bullish. I am still looking at S&P 937-950 for a sell but if we plow thru that range than 1,000 could be in the cards. Santa rally please.
The I fund continues to be bullish as its 5dyma is above its 20dyma. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the dollars 5dyma remains below its 20dayma the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. They also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.
The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. Above 50% is bullish, Below 50% is bearish. Above 70% is overbought, Below 30% is oversold. Currently it is rising and in bullish territory.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Come on Santa, he’s checking his list, let’s get this rally going please! Good Luck Everyone!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/15 C 10.014710.17 09.87 SDS 88.44 86.5396.17
12/16 C 10.5273 10.22 09.91 SDS 80.24 85.50 95.01
12/17 C 10.4269 10.24 09.93 SDS 81.65 85.07 94.02
12/18 C 10.2102 10.26 09.98 SDS 84.65 84.42 92.60
12/19 C 10.2359 10.28 10.06 SDS 85.40 84.08 90.48

12/15 S 11.2174 11.44 11.00 SDD 109.65 105.86 120.82
12/16 S 11.8976 11.52 11.04 SDD 096.40 104.26 119.23
12/17 S 11.9922 11.57 11.09 SDD 093.45 102.76 117.45
12/18 S 11.7846 11.68 11.17 SDD 096.63 099.89 114.81
12/19 S 11.8933 11.76 11.29 SDD 093.87 098.00111.11

12/15 I 13.6809 13.53 12.92 EFU 125.17 127.91 147.33
12/16 I 14.4953 13.78 13.00 EFU 110.29 123.22 144.98
12/17 I 14.4265 13.96 13.08 EFU 111.47 120.10 142.69
12/18 I 13.9413 14.03 13.17 EFU 118.97 118.37 139.78
12/19 I 13.8134 14.07 13.29 EFU 121.67 117.51 136.01

12/15 F 12.3755 12.34 12.16 $VIX 56.76 56.29 62.83
12/16 F 12.4470 12.37 12.18 $VIX 52.37 54.98 61.99
12/17 F 12.5226 12.41 12.21 $VIX 49.84 53.81 61.10
12/18 F 12.5723 12.45 12.24 $VIX 47.34 52.12 59.76
12/19 F 12.5635 12.50 12.27 $VIX 44.93 50.25 57.96



12/15 GLD 82.60 80.03 77.37 USO 36.84 36.77 39.60
12/16 GLD 84.46 81.65 77.96 USO 36.44 37.17 39.17
12/17 GLD 85.43 82.79 78.60 USO 34.81 36.97 38.67
12/18 GLD 83.87 83.43 79.18 USO 32.73 35.78 38.14
12/19 GLD 82.63 83.80 79.64 USO 33.06 34.78 37.82

12/16$USD 80.23 83.03 85.71
12/17$USD 78.62 81.66 85.28
12/18$USD 79.80 80.87 84.88 $BPNYA 57.08 53.21 35.40
12/19$USD 81.12 80.38 84.54 $BPNYA 57.78 54.91 37.80


I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s. Not a good sign. Their 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s which is still bullish however. The Santa rally is very slow in coming. Maybe after Christmas?
The I fund price has moved below its 5dyma, not a good sign. but its 5dyma is above its 20dyma. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. They also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.
The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. Above 50% is bullish, Below 50% is bearish. Above 70% is overbought, Below 30% is oversold. Currently its index has moved below its 5dyma, not good, so we need a rally badly to keep this index bullish.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Come on Santa, he’s checking his list, let’s get this rally going please! Good Luck Everyone!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/16 C 10.5273 10.22 09.91 SDS 80.24 85.50 95.01
12/17 C 10.4269 10.24 09.93 SDS 81.65 85.07 94.02
12/18 C 10.2102 10.26 09.98 SDS 84.65 84.42 92.60
12/19 C 10.2359 10.28 10.06 SDS 85.40 84.08 90.48
12/22 C 10.051310.29 10.10SDS 87.44 83.8889.20

12/16 S 11.8976 11.52 11.04 SDD 096.40 104.26 119.23
12/17 S 11.9922 11.57 11.09 SDD 093.45 102.76 117.45
12/18 S 11.7846 11.68 11.17 SDD 096.63 099.89 114.81
12/19 S 11.8933 11.76 11.29 SDD 093.87 098.00111.11
12/22 S 11.6083 11.84 11.37 SDD 097.41 095.55 108.58

12/16 I 14.4953 13.78 13.00 EFU 110.29 123.22 144.98
12/17 I 14.4265 13.96 13.08 EFU 111.47 120.10 142.69
12/18 I 13.9413 14.03 13.17 EFU 118.97 118.37 139.78
12/19 I 13.8134 14.07 13.29 EFU 121.67 117.51 136.01
12/22 I 13.7507 14.09 13.37 EFU 123.32 117.14 133.70

12/16 F 12.4470 12.37 12.18 $VIX 52.37 54.98 61.99
12/17 F 12.5226 12.41 12.21 $VIX 49.84 53.81 61.10
12/18 F 12.5723 12.45 12.24 $VIX 47.34 52.12 59.76
12/19 F 12.5635 12.50 12.27 $VIX 44.93 50.25 57.96
12/22 F 12.5557 12.53 12.30 $VIX 44.56 47.81 56.56



12/16 GLD 84.46 81.65 77.96 USO 36.44 37.17 39.17
12/17 GLD 85.43 82.79 78.60 USO 34.81 36.97 38.67
12/18 GLD 83.87 83.43 79.18 USO 32.73 35.78 38.14
12/19 GLD 82.63 83.80 79.64 USO 33.06 34.78 37.82
12/22 GLD 83.46 83.96 79.68 USO 30.63 33.53 37.30

12/16$USD 80.23 83.03 85.71
12/17$USD 78.62 81.66 85.28
12/18$USD 79.80 80.87 84.88 $BPNYA 57.08 53.21 35.40
12/19$USD 81.12 80.38 84.54 $BPNYA 57.78 54.91 37.80
12/22$USD 81.13 80.18 84.21 $BPNYA 54.01 55.76 40.11

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s. Not a good sign. Their 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s which is still bullish however. The Santa rally is very slow in coming. Maybe after Christmas?
The I fund price has moved below its 5dyma, not a good sign. but its 5dyma is above its 20dyma. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. They also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.
The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. Above 50% is bullish, Below 50% is bearish. Above 70% is overbought, Below 30% is oversold. Currently its index has moved below its 5dyma, not good, so we need a rally badly to keep this index bullish.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Come on Santa, he’s checking his list, let’s get this rally going please! Good Luck Everyone and Merry Christmas!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/17 C 10.4269 10.24 09.93 SDS 81.65 85.07 94.02
12/18 C 10.2102 10.26 09.98 SDS 84.65 84.42 92.60
12/19 C 10.2359 10.28 10.06 SDS 85.40 84.08 90.48
12/22 C 10.051310.29 10.10SDS 87.44 83.8889.20
12/23 C 09.9545 10.18 10.11 SDS 77.43 83.31 88.07

12/17 S 11.9922 11.57 11.09 SDD 93.45 102.76 117.45
12/18 S 11.7846 11.68 11.17 SDD 96.63 099.89 114.81
12/19 S 11.8933 11.76 11.29 SDD 93.87 098.00111.11
12/22 S 11.6083 11.84 11.37 SDD 97.41 095.55 108.58
12/23 S 11.5214 11.76 11.41 SDD 70.70 090.41 105.67

12/17 I 14.4265 13.96 13.08 EFU 111.47 120.10 142.69
12/18 I 13.9413 14.03 13.17 EFU 118.97 118.37 139.78
12/19 I 13.8134 14.07 13.29 EFU 121.67 117.51 136.01
12/22 I 13.7507 14.09 13.37 EFU 123.32 117.14 133.70
12/23 I 13.5765 13.90 13.40 EFU 100.52 115.17 131.36

12/17 F 12.5226 12.41 12.21 $VIX 49.84 53.81 61.10
12/18 F 12.5723 12.45 12.24 $VIX 47.34 52.12 59.76
12/19 F 12.5635 12.50 12.27 $VIX 44.93 50.25 57.96
12/22 F 12.5557 12.53 12.30 $VIX 44.56 47.81 56.56
12/23 F 12.5474 12.55 12.33 $VIX 45.02 46.34 55.57



12/17 GLD 85.43 82.79 78.60 USO 34.81 36.97 38.67
12/18 GLD 83.87 83.43 79.18 USO 32.73 35.78 38.14
12/19 GLD 82.63 83.80 79.64 USO 33.06 34.78 37.82
12/22 GLD 83.46 83.97 79.87 USO 30.63 33.53 37.30
12/23 GLD 82.63 83.60 79.96 USO 30.00 32.25 36.59

12/17$USD 78.62 81.66 85.28
12/18$USD 79.80 80.87 84.88 $BPNYA 57.08 53.21 35.40
12/19$USD 81.12 80.38 84.54 $BPNYA 57.78 54.91 37.80
12/22$USD 81.13 80.18 84.21 $BPNYA 54.01 55.76 40.11
12/23$USD 81.24 80.38 83.97 $BPNYA 52.97 55.68 42.15

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s. Not a good sign. Their 5dyma’s continue above their respective 20dyma’s which is still bullish however.
The I fund price has moved below its 5dyma, not a good sign. but its 5dyma is above its 20dyma. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. They also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.
The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. Above 50% is bullish, Below 50% is bearish. Above 70% is overbought, Below 30% is oversold. Currently its index has moved below its 5dyma, not good, so we need a rally badly to keep this index bullish.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck Everyone and Happy Holidays!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/18 C 10.2102 10.26 09.98 SDS 84.65 84.42 92.60
12/19 C 10.2359 10.28 10.06 SDS 85.40 84.08 90.48
12/22 C 10.051310.29 10.10SDS 87.44 83.8889.20
12/23 C 09.9545 10.18 10.11 SDS 77.43 83.31 88.07
12/24 C 10.0170 10.09 10.12 SDS 76.83 82.35 87.07

12/18 S 11.7846 11.68 11.17 SDD 96.63 099.89 114.81
12/19 S 11.8933 11.76 11.29 SDD 93.87 098.00111.11
12/22 S 11.6083 11.84 11.37 SDD 97.41 095.55 108.58
12/23 S 11.5214 11.76 11.41 SDD 70.70 090.41 105.67
12/24 S 11.5411 11.67 11.45 SDD 69.73 085.67 102.93

12/18 I 13.9413 14.03 13.17 EFU 118.97 118.37 139.78
12/19 I 13.8134 14.07 13.29 EFU 121.67 117.51 136.01
12/22 I 13.7507 14.09 13.37 EFU 123.32 117.14 133.70
12/23 I 13.5765 13.90 13.40 EFU 100.52 115.17 131.36
12/24 I 13.6398 13.74 13.42 EFU 097.92 112.48 129.09

12/18 F 12.5723 12.45 12.24 $VIX 47.34 52.12 59.76
12/19 F 12.5635 12.50 12.27 $VIX 44.93 50.25 57.96
12/22 F 12.5557 12.53 12.30 $VIX 44.56 47.81 56.56
12/23 F 12.5474 12.55 12.33 $VIX 45.02 46.34 55.57
12/24 F 12.5487 12.56 12.35 $VIX 44.21 45.21 54.74



12/18 GLD 83.87 83.43 79.18 USO 32.73 35.78 38.14
12/19 GLD 82.63 83.80 79.64 USO 33.06 34.78 37.82
12/22 GLD 83.46 83.97 79.87 USO 30.63 33.53 37.30
12/23 GLD 82.63 83.60 79.96 USO 30.00 32.25 36.59
12/24 GLD 83.46 83.21 80.09 USO 29.02 31.09 35.97

12/18$USD 79.80 80.87 84.88 $BPNYA 57.08 53.21 35.40
12/19$USD 81.12 80.38 84.54 $BPNYA 57.78 54.91 37.80
12/22$USD 81.13 80.18 84.21 $BPNYA 54.01 55.76 40.11
12/23$USD 81.24 80.38 83.97 $BPNYA 52.97 55.68 42.15
12/24$USD 81.15 80.89 84.54 $BPNYA 52.27 54.82 43.99

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved below their respective 5dyma’s. The C-fund 20dyma has turned down with its 5dyma now below its 20dyma. Not good signs. The S fund is holding up a little better but its 5dyma has turned down threatening to cross the 20dyma to the downside..
The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma but threatening to cross under it. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. They also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.
The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. Above 50% is bullish, Below 50% is bearish. Above 70% is overbought, Below 30% is oversold. Currently its index has moved below its 5dyma, not good, so we need a rally badly to keep this index bullish.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck Everyone and Happy Holidays!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/19 C 10.2359 10.28 10.06 SDS 85.40 84.08 90.48
12/22 C 10.051310.29 10.10SDS 87.44 83.8889.20
12/23 C 09.9545 10.18 10.11 SDS 77.43 83.31 88.07
12/24 C 10.0170 10.09 10.12 SDS 76.83 82.35 87.07
12/26 C 10.0704 10.07 10.11 SDS 76.11 80.64 86.37

12/19 S 11.8933 11.76 11.29 SDD 93.87 98.00111.11
12/22 S 11.6083 11.84 11.37 SDD 97.41 95.55 108.58
12/23 S 11.5214 11.76 11.41 SDD 70.70 90.41 105.67
12/24 S 11.5411 11.67 11.45 SDD 69.73 85.67 102.93
12/26 S 11.6768 11.65 11.46 SDD 68.10 79.96 100.81

12/19 I 13.8134 14.07 13.29 EFU 121.67 117.51 136.01
12/22 I 13.7507 14.09 13.37 EFU 123.32 117.14 133.70
12/23 I 13.5765 13.90 13.40 EFU 100.52 115.17 131.36
12/24 I 13.6398 13.74 13.42 EFU 097.92 112.48 129.09
12/26 I 13.7453 13.71 13.45 EFU 097.11 108.11 126.93

12/19 F 12.5635 12.50 12.27 $VIX 44.93 50.25 57.96
12/22 F 12.5557 12.53 12.30 $VIX 44.56 47.81 56.56
12/23 F 12.5474 12.55 12.33 $VIX 45.02 46.34 55.57
12/24 F 12.5487 12.56 12.35 $VIX 44.21 45.21 54.74
12/26 F 12.5713 12.56 12.37 $VIX 43.38 44.42 54.16



12/19 GLD 82.63 83.80 79.64 USO 33.06 34.78 37.82
12/22 GLD 83.46 83.97 79.87 USO 30.63 33.53 37.30
12/23 GLD 82.63 83.60 79.96 USO 30.00 32.25 36.59
12/24 GLD 83.46 83.21 80.09 USO 29.02 31.09 35.97
12/26 GLD 85.60 83.56 80.35 USO 29.10 30.36 35.20

12/19$USD 81.12 80.38 84.54 $BPNYA 57.78 54.91 37.80
12/22$USD 81.13 80.18 84.21 $BPNYA 54.01 55.76 40.11
12/23$USD 81.24 80.38 83.97 $BPNYA 52.97 55.68 42.15
12/24$USD 81.15 80.89 84.54 $BPNYA 52.27 54.82 43.99
12/26$USD 80.90 81.11 83.56 $BPNYA 52.32 53.87 45.42

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.

 

[Heres14U]

Good Morning;

C and S fund prices have moved above their respective 5dyma’s today hopefully. The C-fund 20dyma has turned down with its 5dyma now below its 20dyma. The S fund is holding up a little better but its 5dyma has turned down threatening to cross the 20dyma to the downside..
The I fund 5dyma is still above its 20dyma but threatening to cross under it. This fund is stronger than the C and S funds. The weak US dollar should benefit the I fund so I am starting to watch it in the table below. As long as the US dollars’ 5dyma remains below its 20dayma the I-fund should benefit with this wind at its back.
SDS, SDD, and EFU 5dyma’s remain beneath their respective falling 20dyma’s. I think it helps to watch these to give you the opposite perspective. Since these funds are falling in value this could very well mean C, S and I funds will continue to move up near term, after minor pullbacks. They also have moved beneath their 50 day ma’s.
The F-fund continues to chug along, has been holding up very well lately with its price and 5dyma above its climbing 20dyma. It has been quite overbought on a very short term basis but these runs can last longer than you think. Bond bubble is on everyone’s mind as bond prices go thru the roof. If the bond market collapses where’s the money going to go? Hopefully into stocks. With a falling dollar, foreign equities seem to be a better bet. Let’s try to plan ahead on that one, any thoughts?.
Regarding the $USD which is bearish now. Should there be a bad drop, this could pop the bond bubble, so those of you in bonds (F) be careful!
I’ve started to list the $VIX (Volatility Index). Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below its 20dyma. This should benefit stocks providing it keeps falling.
I’ve started to list gold, GLD. Currently it is bullish, 5dyma above 20dyma.
I’ve also started to list oil, USO. Currently it is bearish, 5dyma below 20dyma
I’ve also started to list the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent Index. Simply put it is a percentage of NYSE stocks on buy signals from Point and Figure charts. Above 50% is bullish, Below 50% is bearish. Above 70% is overbought, Below 30% is oversold. Currently its index has moved below its 5dyma, not good, so we need a rally badly to keep this index bullish.
I’m currently 25C, 25S, 50I in the tracker. Good Luck Everyone and Happy Holidays!

Date Fund Price 5dma 20dma Stock Price 5dma 20dma
12/22 C 10.051310.29 10.10SDS 87.44 83.8889.20
12/23 C 09.9545 10.18 10.11 SDS 77.43 83.31 88.07
12/24 C 10.0170 10.09 10.12 SDS 76.83 82.35 87.07
12/26 C 10.0704 10.07 10.11 SDS 76.11 80.64 86.37
12/29 C 10.0426 10.03 10.09 SDS 76.13 78.79 85.77

12/22 S 11.6083 11.84 11.37 SDD 97.41 95.55 108.58
12/23 S 11.5214 11.76 11.41 SDD 70.70 90.41 105.67
12/24 S 11.5411 11.67 11.45 SDD 69.73 85.67 102.93
12/26 S 11.6768 11.65 11.46 SDD 68.10 79.96 100.81
12/29 S 11.5013 11.57 11.45 SDD 70.31 75.25 098.93

12/22 I 13.7507 14.09 13.37 EFU 123.32 117.14 133.70
12/23 I 13.5765 13.90 13.40 EFU 100.52 115.17 131.36
12/24 I 13.6398 13.74 13.42 EFU 097.92 112.48 129.09
12/26 I 13.7453 13.71 13.45 EFU 097.11 108.11 126.93
12/29 I 13.8814 13.72 13.48 EFU 096.86 103.15 124.81

12/22 F 12.5557 12.53 12.30 $VIX 44.56 47.81 56.56
12/23 F 12.5474 12.55 12.33 $VIX 45.02 46.34 55.57
12/24 F 12.5487 12.56 12.35 $VIX 44.21 45.21 54.74
12/26 F 12.5713 12.56 12.37 $VIX 43.38 44.42 54.16
12/29 F 12.5924 12.56 12.40 $VIX 43.90 44.21 53.56



12/22 GLD 83.46 83.97 79.87 USO 30.63 33.53 37.30
12/23 GLD 82.63 83.60 79.96 USO 30.00 32.25 36.59
12/24 GLD 83.46 83.21 80.09 USO 29.02 31.09 35.97
12/26 GLD 85.60 83.56 80.35 USO 29.10 30.36 35.20
12/29 GLD 86.35 84.30 80.65 USO 30.92 29.93 34.64

12/22$USD 81.13 80.18 84.21 $BPNYA 54.01 55.76 40.11
12/23$USD 81.24 80.38 83.97 $BPNYA 52.97 55.68 42.15
12/24$USD 81.15 80.89 84.54 $BPNYA 52.27 54.82 43.99
12/26$USD 80.90 81.11 83.56 $BPNYA 52.32 53.87 45.42
12/29$USD 81.15 81.11 83.29 $BPNYA 51.02 52.52 46.56

I’m trying something a little different but very simple. We are only going to deal with daily closing price, and two simple moving averages, a 5 day and a 20 day. The rules are simple, when price then the 5 day moving average move above the falling 20 day moving average we buy. To sell I will use the upper Bollinger Band as a target to sell (bear market now you know). How much you buy or sell is up to you depending on your risk tolerance. Keep in mind we are still in a bear market (primary trend is down) as the 200 day moving averages are still falling for the stock funds. I’ll be using closing prices to compute the moving averages.