FundSurfer account talk

I swear to god, I'm not crazy (entirley :D ) Here's the CPI report, go to the first paragraph after Table A.

http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

Here's the quote :"For the first three months of 2007, consumer prices increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 4.7 percent. This compares with an increase of 2.5 percent for all of 2006."


I'm showing core PCI at .6% total in the Q1. Which inflation numbers were you referring to.



You are funny!!:D
 
I swear to god, I'm not crazy (entirley :D ) Here's the CPI report, go to the first paragraph after Table A.

http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

Here's the quote :"For the first three months of 2007, consumer prices increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 4.7 percent. This compares with an increase of 2.5 percent for all of 2006."

Griffin,

That's the "compounded annual rate" for the CPI. It was 1.2% total for Q1. And yes, I do agree with you that it's high. But, the market and the Fed seems to be more concerned with the core CPI, which was .6% total for Q1 or 2.4% annual rate.
 
We are past the weekend. Stocks moving solidly upward. I'm wary of a pull back due to seasonality and would quickly bail on weakness. I moved into 50% C due to weak dollar benefiting big S&P type biz. I moved into 50% I due to possible follow of OSM of USM today plus weak dollar has surprised by going lower. China again talking of diversifying holdings away from dollar (this should signal a rebound using contrarian thinking.)
 
I'm in the same boat with you. I think its preplanning for the fed tomorrow. Nobody wants to be long ahead of the meeting (planning for bad news). Therefore we may get a relief rally tomorrow (may be down in the morning) after the meeting. Plus we needed a day of proffit taking. If I had some dry powder, I'd buy today, so I'm also going to let it ride.
 
Been considering moving my C-fund to I-fund. I-fund getting a real beating today.
Fundsurfer, here is my 2 cents. The I fund will not go anywhere tomorrow until 215pm when the FED minutes come out. Tonight the Nikkei should pull-back along with OSMs until they see the USM's reaction. It should be good based on a more friendly FED. The FED has to be more dovish then last time based on these bad unemployment reports and sluggish real estate sales. My thinking is to stay in the S, based on CSCO reporting tonight and NASDAQ running, then switch to the I Fund for the Thursday reaction. Should be good.
 
12% - How do you see today's dollar index spike to the 82.0 resistance line playing into the equation?

Fundsurfer, here is my 2 cents. The I fund will not go anywhere tomorrow until 215pm when the FED minutes come out. Tonight the Nikkei should pull-back along with OSMs until they see the USM's reaction. It should be good based on a more friendly FED. The FED has to be more dovish then last time based on these bad unemployment reports and sluggish real estate sales. My thinking is to stay in the S, based on CSCO reporting tonight and NASDAQ running, then switch to the I Fund for the Thursday reaction. Should be good.
 
You can access your account thru the thrift line.

Telephone: 1-TSP-YOU-FRST (1-877-968-3778)

Having trouble accessing tsp.gov?

The OSM lead this slide. Otherwise I'd completely agree. The spike in the dollar is short term. I think it falls tommorrow. I think this boost the I. Also a possible +FV if USM does take off makes getting in the I today important.
 
All three funds are in the bottom of there channels. I'm riding the wave till it shows weakness. This transfer is diversification. I'm bullish for now but cautious (go away in May).

Has anyone else noticed that Milk_man seems to have found his S-fund mojo again?

Last week I got stuck traveling to a site that cost $12 a night for internet access. I got enough on the evening news to know to just ride out those couple rough days. I couldn't see paying $12 for about an hours worth of internet.
 
Your living better then me....I was staying at a place that was $8 a night for a room (with free internet if you were willing to get in line to wait for an open port on the one modem) :D .

Last week I got stuck traveling to a site that cost $12 a night for internet access. I got enough on the evening news to know to just ride out those couple rough days. I couldn't see paying $12 for about an hours worth of internet.
 
All three funds are in the bottom of there channels. I'm riding the wave till it shows weakness. This transfer is diversification. I'm bullish for now but cautious (go away in May).
Thats what I'm looking at also. The C fund has outperformed the last month., so thats where I'm at. What is you sell point on the C fund? 20DMA?

Thanks
 
Your living better then me....I was staying at a place that was $8 a night for a room.

$8 per night? Campground? Doghouse?

Yeah, its funny how some of the most expensive hotels go cheap on the internet. I would not have stayed there if given a choice.
 
What is you sell point on the C fund? 20DMA?

My sell point is actually 2-3 days of flat to down movement. It depends on how the charts look as to how fast I bail. If it falls off the table, I'll usually wait an extra day for a dead cat bounce before getting out.
 
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