FundSurfer account talk

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Fundsurfer,

Thanks for sharing your thoughts and charts. I thought I understood what you were saying and charts just reinforced them. Thank goodness for osmosis, there's hope for me yet. :D

Good luck on your strategy.

Rus
 
BIRCHTREE Sell SIGNAL CONFIRMED!!!! Run for the hills!....

Just kidding...

I'm moving to G because I expect profit selling to kick in soon and give us a little pull back. We've gone pretty far pretty fast. We are above the channels I have for S and at the top for C & I. If I was to stick to my plan/system, I'd wait till I saw actual red day before bailing.
 
Went 100% I. I-fund started out in a big hole. The dollar is getting bumped up right now which could counter a late rally of OSM. I'm hoping it at least holds off a positive FV. The USM has advanced nicely. I wish I was more confident it would stay that way. A late day reversal would put those of us that jumped to I fund in a hurting way for tommorrow. I see a bunch of folks are jumping on the same indicators as me this morning. I may not stay long. But for now I'm jumpin'.
 
Defensive move to 30C, 40S, 30I. I'm not sure if I'll have internet access till the weekend. I don't want to be caught 100% I and unable to move. I'm planning on going to G on Friday if I have access. Happy Thanksgiving!
 
You really should learn how to use the thriftline to make an IFT. It can save you a lot of money when you don't have access and you get that funny feeling the floor is crumbling. It has saved my a$$ plenty.
 
sugarandspice said:
You really should learn how to use the thriftline to make an IFT. It can save you a lot of money when you don't have access and you get that funny feeling the floor is crumbling. It has saved my a$$ plenty.
Click to expand...

Where do I sign-up for this thrift line course? I am in dire need of a$$ saving strategery.:o
 
sugarandspice said:
You really should learn how to use the thriftline to make an IFT. It can save you a lot of money when you don't have access and you get that funny feeling the floor is crumbling. It has saved my a$$ plenty.
Click to expand...
The problem is looking at how the market is doing prior to the deadline. That ain't thrift. I used to use the thriftline a bunch prior to the web access. I probably should write down the number.
 
... i subscribe to web access on the mobile phone for the sole purpose of being away from a PC or TV. Since I'm on the golf course or road sometimes near IFT deadlines, i'll look of the main indices and call the thriftline for an ift. It's only paid off a few times, but its nice having a little extra security.
 
I've given the mobile phone thingy some thought. Not sure I'm that addicted to the market ... yet....

I went out of I fund to 20%G, 40% C, 40% S. Basically I think the dollar will bounce after the big drop. The OSM may also bounce, but I'd rather keep what I got today. I'm staying in C&S today, and planning on going to G after noon today so I'll have a pending transfer for Friday.
 
Went 100% G. This is stepping away from my system/plan. I should be staying 100% invested. I am just feeling like people are seeing this as a no-brainer time to be in the market. I just have a feeling I don't want to be in the market over the weekend. Maybe it was dinner... burp...but I'd just feel a little better on the sidelines. There have been folks calling for a correction for a while now, eventually they will be right.
 
I agrre with you. Today I am going 100% G. Good Luck!

FundSurfer said:
Went 100% G. This is stepping away from my system/plan. I should be staying 100% invested. I am just feeling like people are seeing this as a no-brainer time to be in the market. I just have a feeling I don't want to be in the market over the weekend. Maybe it was dinner... burp...but I'd just feel a little better on the sidelines. There have been folks calling for a correction for a while now, eventually they will be right.
Click to expand...
 
I use cell phone almost exclusivly for tsp trading. With my provider(cingular) Mobile Mail is much cheaper than web access or Media Mail as Cingular calls it. I subscribe to a handfull of threads on this site and get emails when posts are made. I use that info along with my own sentiment to make decisions. I have gotten very quick navigating the Thriftline menu and can get a change in usually about 2 mins. Its a good idea to practice navigating the Thriftline if you would be calling close to the deadline. I believe I have found one glitch in my system though. You get an email from this site when a message is posted to a thread you have subscribed to. I think, but I am not sure, that you wont get a second email for that same thread untill you actually visit that thread on this site. So the problem for me comes when someone makes a move and then edits the move or posts a second time in the same thread. I dont get an email of the second move. It doesnt happen often but it is a minor glitch of the cell phone email operation tactic I use.
 
I'm staying G-fund for another day at least. I don't want to jump back into a dead cat bounce like I did last May... I know that this is a different season with expectations of the seasonal Santa Rally however, which make the probability of a sustained decline smallish.

I can afford to wait another day or two.
 
Looking at the charts, I think S-fund is in the best shape to continue another 1%-1.5%. C and I both can go up but may go up a little slower than S. I'm also worried about a dollar bounce slowing down he I-fund. There always seems to be someone who will bail out the dollar. I think it is the big dollar holders that buy dollars to protect their investment. Of course China is getting tired of doing that and we knew that would happen. We may be able to get them to go for it again but no gurantee. I think the dollar is headed back to the lows of 2005, but we could see a small bounce first.

All this to say I'm leaning toward getting back into S-fund. I may diversify into C and I as well. Probably will not make up my mind till closer to the deadline. I'm sure there will be people jumping into the I-fund thinking the I will benefit tommorrow from this bounce. The problem is that OSM led this bounce not vice versa.
 
Small stocks have gone back to beating large company shares so far in the fourth quarter despite headline-grabbing rallies in major market measures. Such outsize performance by small stocks runs counter to the scenario that most of Wall Street has been pushing lately: that big names are best-positioned to weather slowing U.S. economic growth. Many of the factors that have helped the Dow and S&P 500 recently have helped small stocks, too. Last week, small stocks in particular were helped by a wave of merger activity on Wall Street. And for my negative bias: Stocks in the small cap indexes face big risks from falling housing prices. Financial companies, including many regional banks, now make up more than a third of these indexes and may see big declines in fourth quarter profits once those results begin to be released early next year. I'm peeling some off over time.
 
Bought back in at 100% S. I decided against spreading the risk. I think S will out perform I short term. We could be seeing a transition of the trading ranges. I expect this is being caused by preparation for end of year.
 
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