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- Thread starter ebbnflow
- Start date
- Status
FUTURESTRADER
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 17
M_M's buddy
he used to be on here and had a pretty good handle on when they would put a FV on, based on EAFE. FV would be +/- ~.50% over/under I fund, per day. Sometimes FV would be as much as +/- 1.50% over/under and he would table this on a daily basis to show a very clear pattern. Very helpful but he was/is kind of a hot head (among other things, I can only speculate and he did scold me a few times.Last edited:Thanks for the clarification! --M_M's buddy
he used to be on here and had a pretty good handle on when they would put a FV on, based on EAFE. FV would be +/- ~.50% over/under I fund, per day. Sometimes FV would be as much as +/- 1.50% over/under and he would table this on a daily basis to show a very clear pattern. Very helpful but he was/is kind of a hot head (among other things, I can only speculate and he did scold me a few times.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
I'm ready to play the ebb tracker's down cycle seasonality. I started it for tomorrow by going against the ebb tracker. When I mentioned that I haven't won on the second week of every month since being tracked in June, someone (Griffin) said something about the full moon being on the 2nd week. I checked the ebb tracker's backtested results for 2005 and found most (70%) of my losing weeks came on the 3rd and 4th week. At first I felt relieved, but then I got hold of the phases of the moon chart for 2005. I guess you know where I'm going with this, the full moon for 2005 fell between the 3rd and 4th week of every month. :nuts:
Right now the trend cycles are a bit off for the ebb tracker with the full moon right smack dab in the middle of the 1st and 2nd week. I know that without going through all this I'd still end up with great gains, but I just couldn't pass up on turning the losses into more gains. Dang, I got to ask forgiveness for sounding more like an astrologer today than a market timer.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
During the last couple of years with the market's volume up, we went red. Yep, that's a total of $1.06 in the red for the I-fund on every full moon so far this year. The ebb tracker is supposed to be on the I-fund for Monday and Tuesday next week, so if I play this right I should be on the G-fund for Monday to pick up the G-penny and then back on the F-fund for Tuesday.
Note: If the full moon lands on a weekend (July 7), then the next market day (July 10) is affected. The phase of the moon calendar using Universal Time was used for the dates above.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
Sorry Vectorman, I missed your post! I was on the F-fund for today and tomorrow (Friday). But I will be on the G-fund for Tuesday to pick up the G-penny.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
During the last couple of years with the market's volume up, we went red. Yep, that's a total of $1.06 in the red for the I-fund on every full moon so far this year. The ebb tracker is supposed to be on the I-fund for Monday and Tuesday next week, so if I play this right I should be on the G-fund for Monday to pick up the G-penny and then back on the F-fund for Tuesday.
Note: If the full moon lands on a weekend (July 7), then the next market day (July 10) is affected. The phase of the moon calendar using Universal Time was used for the dates above.
I forgot Monday is Thanksgiving! Please substitute Tuesday and Wednesday for Monday and Tuesday. Sorry. :cheesy:
grandma
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 38
If we make an IFT before noon Friday, we would be in for Monday, since the market is open, right? But won't be able to switch funds until Tuesday, right? We would be stuck for a couple of days on the same fund Monday and Tuesday then.
My understanding, Ebbnflow, is that when market closes Friday, that is where you are untill you make a new ift on Tuesday....as tho we have three Saturday's.
But - you know how confusing all this can be -
for example - are we having Thanksgiving on Monday to thank Columbus, or are we changing November's Thanksgiving from Thursday to Mondays?
_quote:___________I forgot Monday is Thanksgiving! Please substitute Tuesday and Wednesday for Monday and Tuesday. Sorry. :cheesy:
________________________This mix-up is very funny! Ebbnflow thanks to Grandma we aren't having Turkey again so soon! --
Grandma, thanks for the IFT info and sorry for the Columbus/Thanksgiving mix-up. I was looking at a free supermarket calendar that just happened to have October 9 for Thanksgiving, but upon closer inspection turned out to be Canadian day for Thanksgiving.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
During the last couple of years with the market's volume up, we went red. Yep, that's a total of $1.06 in the red for the I-fund on every full moon so far this year. The ebb tracker is supposed to be on the I-fund for Monday and Tuesday next week, so if I play this right I should be on the G-fund for Monday to pick up the G-penny and then back on the F-fund for Tuesday.
Note: If the full moon lands on a weekend (*July 7), then the next market day (*July 10) is affected. The phase of the moon calendar using Universal Time was used for the dates above.
* Should read October and apparently October 9 (Monday), the market is open. And no IFTs allowed because of holiday. So, I'd be sticking with the G-fund come Monday.
grandma
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 38
EB- I might should have picked up on that considering all of us kids are 1st generation American USA -.... but I don't recall us ever celebrating it - must have been declared After the exit! Hee!! Hee !!but upon closer inspection turned out to be Canadian day for Thanksgiving.
Fiercely USA American & Proud OF it!!!!
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
EB- I might should have picked up on that considering all of us kids are 1st generation American USA -.... but I don't recall us ever celebrating it - must have been declared After the exit! Hee!! Hee !!
Fiercely USA American & Proud OF it!!!!
USA! USA! USA! Here's to you, Grandma!
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
Just by looking at this price chart for the I-fund, I'd say we're due for a big drop on Monday and Tuesday. Check out Mondays (-.29,-.47,-.35,-.31) and Tuesdays (-.25,-.33,-.54) for May and June, and nothing much for the next three months of July, August and September. Besides, it is Octoberfest, dontcha know.
I should have started the full moon episode two days earlier. As it turned out I sidestepped a drop on the I-fund (-.14 cents) last friday only to get hit by the F-train (-.05 cents). I have warned on this thread about the effects of the full moon on our beloved I-fund, so we should see that reflected on Tuesday's prices.
FUTURESTRADER
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 17
lol..I was looking too. Looks like he's still in G though from last week.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
Sorry guys for not posting (still on G-fund), been busy lately. Anyways, I figured the ebb tracker doesn't do well on the 2nd week of this year, so I was just letting it slip by quietly. I'm already gearing up myself for next week. The full moon seasonality didn't pan out for this month (Tuesday gained +.04 cents). I'd be acting as chicken little again when the next full moon comes around (Nov 5th, I-fund still $1.02 in the red).
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
Chicken Little is back! I say if we're going to have a pullback, it would happen on Monday and Tuesday. In more than three months we haven't had a drop bigger than 21 cents in those days (check I-fund price chart above). I know it's not scientifically based, just my sense of balance and distribution talking.
Anyways, since I'm still on the G-fund, I'm glad the I-fund didn't stick it to me again today (-.08 cents). I'm back to using the ebb tracker for next week and would remain with the G-fund for a couple of days (forget the F-train). I should be back on the I-fund for Wednesday. Good luck to all!- Status
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