ebbnflow's Account Talk

[ebbnflow]

I just finished looking at the ebb tracker for next week. Everything is coming up red except for Tuesday, and even then the ebb tracker is only giving it a small chance for a gain. I'm sounding the retreat call for the whole week! Methinks this is the week for that pullback we were expecting. I hope I'm wrong for those staying in. Good luck all.

 

[ebbnflow]

As much as I hate to do it, I'll take the one day plunge for tomorrow (Tuesday) on the I-fund. I'm making an IFT now before I forget. I'll be back on the G-fund for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Good luck all!

 

[fabijo]

Sounds like your tracker gives some sort of probability number. You said tomorrow's chance is small. How small is that chance?

 

[ebbnflow]

Hi fabijo! The ebb tracker's got it at 60% probability for a gain. It matches patterns and trends for the dollar and I-fund's price, and Tuesday is the only day for the whole week that showed up with more uptrend than downtrend patterns. I hope it's right about the dollar falling some tomorrow.

 

[GUCHI]

lets hope so, alot of people got on the I train to depart tuesday including myself. at least i won't be sitting on that train alone!!!

 

[ebbnflow]

That's right, GUCHI. It's the communal thing to do!

 

[fabijo]

Hi fabijo! The ebb tracker's got it at 60% probability for a gain. It matches patterns and trends for the dollar and I-fund's price, and Tuesday is the only day for the whole week that showed up with more uptrend than downtrend patterns. I hope it's right about the dollar falling some tomorrow.

60% ain't too bad. It's better than 50/50, which is how I feel about my moves.

 

[ebbnflow]

60% ain't too bad. It's better than 50/50, which is how I feel about my moves.

It sure was touch and go for a while with the dollar. Last night it was way up, now I see it has fallen some. Made an IFT back to the G-fund.

 

[ebbnflow]

I just finished looking at the ebb tracker for next week. Everything is coming up red except for Tuesday, and even then the ebb tracker is only giving it a small chance for a gain. I'm sounding the retreat call for the whole week! Methinks this is the week for that pullback we were expecting. I hope I'm wrong for those staying in. Good luck all.

Wow, something's rotten in October! Every day of this week on the I-fund had a gain except for Tuesday, the complete opposite of the ebb tracker's picks. Anyways, I have put up a for sale sign on my new signature. The F-train is back on track. As of now, I'm still staying on the G-fund for next Monday and Tuesday.

For Sale:

 

[ebbnflow]

I forgot I'm using the F-fund again. I will be on the F-fund for tomorrow and will be on the I-fund for Wednesday and Thursday.

 

[ebbnflow]

It's moving day. Just made an IFT to the I-fund.

 

[ebbnflow]

I forgot I'm using the F-fund again. I will be on the F-fund for tomorrow and will be on the I-fund for Wednesday and Thursday.

Just in time to make the timely switch to the F-fund (+.04 cents). I would be staying on the I-fund for Friday, too.

 

[ebbnflow]

Made an IFT to the F-fund. I will stay there for Monday and Tuesday for now. Full moon is on the 5th of November, and we're still in the red $1.02 this year on market days during (or day after if the market is close) a full moon.

 

[Pilgrim]

Made an IFT to the F-fund. I will stay there for Monday and Tuesday for now. Full moon is on the 5th of November, and we're still in the red $1.02 this year on market days during (or day after if the market is close) a full moon.

Have you ever posted your "full moon" data? I have to say I am somewhat skeptical, but willing to look at it. There have always been claims of this or that happening with more frequency at a full moon but most such correlations have been debunked. It sounds like scientific nonsense, but data is data and if there really is any predictive power I'll use it. Let's see the data.

 

[ebbnflow]

2003.................................................................................Jun 16 (+.13)...Jul 14 (+.13)...Aug 12 (+.04)...Sep 10 (-.09)...Oct 10 (+.07)...Nov 10 (-.04)...Dec 08 (-.03)
2004 Jan 07 (-.10)...Feb 06 (+.16)...Mar 08 (-.05)...Apr 05 (+.05)...May 04 (+.16)...Jun 03 (-.08)...Jul 02 (+.01)...Aug 30 (-.02)...Sep 28 (+.04)...Oct 28 (+.10)...Nov 26 (+.15)...Dec 27 (+.15)
2005 Jan 25 (-.05)...Feb 24 (even)...Mar 28 (-.04)...Apr 25 (-.02)...May 23 (+.14)...Jun 22 (+.01)...Jul 21 (+.03)...Aug 19 (+.07)...Sep 19 (-.03)...Oct 17 (-.18)...Nov 16 (-.05)...Dec 15 (-.16)
2006 Jan 17 (-.28)...Feb 13 (-.06)...Mar 14 (+.15)...Apr 13 (+.03)...May 15 (-.29)...Jun 12 (-.31)...Jul 11 (-.02)...Aug 09 (even)...Sep 07 (-.28)...Oct 10 (+.04)...Nov 06 ?

2003 +0.21
2004 +0.57
2005 -0.28
2006 -1.02

It's the last couple of years we've been in the red. Just trend, not science.

 

[ebbnflow]

I forgot to mention that the price chart above is for the I-fund only. The phase of the moon calendar using Universal Time was used for the dates.

 

[ebbnflow]

Going to be laying low all week. Staying on the F-fund. Hate to do it, but my hands are tied.

 

[ebbnflow]

Looks like the resurrected F-train (+.01 cent) just keeps on chugging along. Let's see, it beat the C-ship and the S-car yesterday. Today, it's the I-plane's turn! With nearly zero chance for rate hikes between now and the end of the year, it's definitely the place to park once again. Didn't know sitting on the sidelines could still be profitable.

 

[ebbnflow]

Going for the sure thing, made an IFT to the G-fund today to get the G-penny Friday.

 

[ebbnflow]

Fastening my seatbelt for next week. Just made an IFT back to the I-fund for Monday through Wednesday. The F-train can wait till Thursday.