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ebbnflow's Account Talk
- Thread starter ebbnflow
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caymanbrac12
Member
That's true. It's easy to come up with a system that worked for a year or two. How about buying at Friday's close and selling at Monday's close. You would have made out like a bandit in 2007 but not so good in 2006. Only time will tell if a system actually works or is simply reading tea leaves. On the other hand if you waited 5 or 10 years for investing in Warren Buffet or Peter Lynch you would have missed their biggest years.
As for me I'll probably sign up once the kinks are worked out.
Not quite. Those guys have been successful for a helluva alot longer than 5 to 10 years and following them after a proven track record is the only intelligent way to approach it in IMHO (and you still would have made alot of money with those guys). Only a fool follows someone with less than a year of performance again imho. And quoting you "using making out like a bandit in 07 as opposed to the transaction on 06 - I have no idea what that proves or doesn't prove or what you even mean. Did Ebb make the call on both dates?
charmed855
Member
camper65
Member
I/m in (I think! Computer glitch!!!) with some reservation. I have to ask, “is the system flexible enough to keep up with a changing market." Seems I’ve seen this before. There are times, and this appears to be one of those times that the market will advance regardless of the news. Did you noticed how little the market reacted to the last terrorist attack in London? The housing problem is now a dead issue and with the news coming for the financial sector today, chances are the credit problem will follow the same route.
Jobs report may hold the market back, (and I intend to be sitting in G on that day) but if it is anything like last month your talking about a one day disruption. (Just my opinion you understand)
Jobs report may hold the market back, (and I intend to be sitting in G on that day) but if it is anything like last month your talking about a one day disruption. (Just my opinion you understand)
Bigdave125
Member
EBB, I notice that we seem to be off by a day, lately. Does that have anything to do with the fed rate cut almost 2 weeks ago and could it have throw off your cycles? Just curious.
BeaverState
Member
I was agreeing with you on your premise that a year or two of backtesting is not sufficient. What I was trying to say is it is easy to come up with a system that works over the past year, or more. There is even software that will do this backtesting for you. My example was a system where you buy on Friday and sell on Monday. In 2007 you would have made good money. But if you go back and did that system in 2006 it would have been a disaster.Not quite. Those guys have been successful for a helluva alot longer than 5 to 10 years and following them after a proven track record is the only intelligent way to approach it in IMHO (and you still would have made alot of money with those guys). Only a fool follows someone with less than a year of performance again imho. And quoting you "using making out like a bandit in 07 as opposed to the transaction on 06 - I have no idea what that proves or doesn't prove or what you even mean. Did Ebb make the call on both dates?
charmed855
Member
I think it has something to do with the equinox.
Bigdave125
Member
Hope this doesn't sound like complaining, because I don't mean to be. I am a believer and will continue to be!
BeaverState
Member
He still handily beat the C & S fund last month.Hope this doesn't sound like complaining, because I don't mean to be. I am a believer and will continue to be!
cap32
New member
okay I'll bite who is the cooler?:blink:
nnuut
Moderator | TSP Legend
BIRCHTREE!!!! LOL :laugh:
Top StoriesAs of 1 minute ago
Wall Street Soars As Credit Concerns Ebb- AP
Wall Street began the fourth quarter with a huge rally Monday, sending the Dow Jones industrial average to a record close. Stocks were buoyed by a growing belief that the worst of the credit crisis has passed.
Citigroup, UBS Warn of Loan Losses- AP Lenny to Retire As Hershey Chief- AP Palm Swings to 1Q Loss- AP Walgreen Shares Fall As 4Q Profit Slips- AP » View more top stories
Ebb,
Your everywhere.
Wall Street Soars As Credit Concerns Ebb- AP
Wall Street began the fourth quarter with a huge rally Monday, sending the Dow Jones industrial average to a record close. Stocks were buoyed by a growing belief that the worst of the credit crisis has passed.
Citigroup, UBS Warn of Loan Losses- AP Lenny to Retire As Hershey Chief- AP Palm Swings to 1Q Loss- AP Walgreen Shares Fall As 4Q Profit Slips- AP » View more top stories
Ebb,
Your everywhere.
Birchtree
Well-known member
The "Cooler" is the guy by reputation that has the worst luck ever. Kind of like the character Pig Pen with all that dirt following where ever he goes. The "Cooler" is hired in Las Vegas to stand next to you when you are having a run of good luck - he's the houses edge to turn you off. So someone on the board summoned the "Cooler" - a paid assassin of bad luck to wreak havoc. He's not someone you necessarily want to associate with. Now do you understand? Have bad luck - will travel.
Bigdave125
Member
Is it just me, or is there a problem with some of the text not having spaces between words on the ebbcharts page (subscription)?
This is part of what I see:
Hereistheupdatedtallyforeachpattern(1-8)ontheebbchartfromJanuary16throughOct.1,2007. Thetallyforpatterns1,2, 4and7showsthenumberofupdaysandtotalgainswhenusingtheC, SorI-fund. Thetallyforpatterns3,5, 6and8showsthenumberofdowndaysandtotallosssavedfortheC, SorI-fund. Theebbcharthastwosetsofpatterns: Oneset(1,2, 4and7)goestostocks(I-fund)andtheotherset(3,5, 6and8)goestosafehaven(G/F)
Veryhardtoread!!!
This is part of what I see:
Hereistheupdatedtallyforeachpattern(1-8)ontheebbchartfromJanuary16throughOct.1,2007. Thetallyforpatterns1,2, 4and7showsthenumberofupdaysandtotalgainswhenusingtheC, SorI-fund. Thetallyforpatterns3,5, 6and8showsthenumberofdowndaysandtotallosssavedfortheC, SorI-fund. Theebbcharthastwosetsofpatterns: Oneset(1,2, 4and7)goestostocks(I-fund)andtheotherset(3,5, 6and8)goestosafehaven(G/F)
Veryhardtoread!!!
Bigdave125
Member
Also, the link to the September charts doesn't work.
http://www.tsptalk.com/ebbchart/images/ebbtracker_0907.gif
http://www.tsptalk.com/ebbchart/images/ebbtracker_0907.gif
Bigdave125
Member
EBB,
Are you going to be posting the trading system returns as you did on your old page?
It was always nice to see how you (and we) are doing in relation to the other funds. Please post it on your new pages, if possible.
Thanks,
Bigdave
Are you going to be posting the trading system returns as you did on your old page?
EbbChart Trading System Return as of - 9/28/07 EbbChartSystemG FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund20% Each2007 Totals:27.39% 3.67% 4.04% 10.64% 10.98% 14.85% 8.84% L 2040L 2030L 2020L 2010L INC 10.71% 9.91% 8.99% 7.02% 5.41%
It was always nice to see how you (and we) are doing in relation to the other funds. Please post it on your new pages, if possible.
Thanks,
Bigdave
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
BigDave125, I'm sure Tom would be fixing that as soon as he finds out about it.
Yeah, I noticed that too, Bigdave125.
Most likely, BigDave and you're welcome!
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