coolhand's Account Talk

Good luck. I'm still undecided.

The market is just not acting like yesterday's rally was anything but a quick bear market, short covering rally. We are headed back down towards the lower bollinger band now. Gotta play it, even if it's not the bottom. Just need a little luck in getting the sell-off I'm looking for.
 
That's sounds like a great reason to clear the table to me. lol

going 25/40/35 CSI. Hope it holds lower to the close.
I bought today too. 50C/50S. I am hoping this retracemen today is a gift. Did you see in my commentary today that 8 of 10 options expiration weeks have been positive this year? Pretty surprising considering the carnage. I will sell again if we get close to 1000 on the S&P.
 
I bought today too. 50C/50S. I am hoping this retracemen today is a gift. Did you see in my commentary today that 8 of 10 options expiration weeks have been positive this year? Pretty surprising considering the carnage. I will sell again if we get close to 1000 on the S&P.

Are you reading my notes? We have the same plan Tom.:)
 
I bought today too. 50C/50S. I am hoping this retracemen today is a gift. Did you see in my commentary today that 8 of 10 options expiration weeks have been positive this year? Pretty surprising considering the carnage. I will sell again if we get close to 1000 on the S&P.

I always read your commentary Tom. Very good stuff. Two trades a month can force IT decisions when we take a position. That's the way I look it. Shorter term is better in a bear market, but only if it all plays out in one's favor. Hopefullly, OPEX will be good to us again. 1,000 sounds like a good target.
 
I'm thinking I should have joined you and added some I-fund with the dollar balking at resistance lately.
 
The G-20’s Secret Debt Solution
by Larry Edelson 11-13-08

This guys senario kind of scares me. Lets look a an example, my wedding ring. It is very simple, 14Kt gold and weighs 6.2 grams. Since 14kt gold is 58.3% real gold 6.2 X .583 = 3.61 gms gold in the ring. At todays spot gold price $735 a troy ounce (31.1 gms/T ounce) it is worth $85.32. If you use this plan and get rid of 20% of the US debt gold goes to $10,600 an ounce. My wedding ring would then be worth $1230. Retail is currently around $200. Would the dollar be instantly devalued when this happened? Or is every scrap of gold worldwide going to disappear off the shelf? Or did I miss the point? That does happen frequently.:D
 
This guys senario kind of scares me. Lets look a an example, my wedding ring. It is very simple, 14Kt gold and weighs 6.2 grams. Since 14kt gold is 58.3% real gold 6.2 X .583 = 3.61 gms gold in the ring. At todays spot gold price $735 a troy ounce (31.1 gms/T ounce) it is worth $85.32. If you use this plan and get rid of 20% of the US debt gold goes to $10,600 an ounce. My wedding ring would then be worth $1230. Retail is currently around $200. Would the dollar be instantly devalued when this happened? Or is every scrap of gold worldwide going to disappear off the shelf? Or did I miss the point? That does happen frequently.:D

I think you've got it right, but remember it's only a scenario. And it appears to be plausible too. Major currencies would be devalued under this scenario, but I don't think gold would disappear. I would be very surprised if any sweeping changes are made in short order though.
 
No problem. Keep us posted on the iMac learning curve. I'm not quite ready for a new PC, but I have considered a Mac in the past and had decided against it out of fear of change / software compatibility.
 
I do like the technical analysis. Saved to my Favorites. Thanks..:)

I see he is doing this video at approx 12:40p.m. I hope this triple bottom Holds.. :blink:

He's not bullish, but does say the lower bollie has to be respected, which is about where the triple bottom is. That's also part of the reason why I decided get back in Friday (I got the sell-off I was looking for, but boy did it come late).
 
He's not bullish, but does say the lower bollie has to be respected, which is about where the triple bottom is. That's also part of the reason why I decided get back in Friday (I got the sell-off I was looking for, but boy did it come late).


I Agree, I did like seeing the bollinger bands, and like that they are respected 95% of the time.

Yea, The sell off did come late. I was very happy to get in 337 points lower but Man, We are at Dire Straights..:blink:

When are you going to join the Auto Tracker? We need You... :)
 
Been there, done that.

Honestly, it's a distraction that puts unnecessary pressure on some folks imo. I don't use it to judge anyone else's success or lack thereof either. We all have our ups and downs.

No, I just want to read what others are doing in their accounts and what they see going on in the markets.

Oh, and also to provide my own perspective of course.
 
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Been there, done that.

Honestly, it's a distraction that puts unnecessary pressure on some folks imo. I don't use it to judge anyone else's success or lack thereof either. We all have our ups and downs.

No, I just want to read what others are doing in their accounts and what they see going on in the markets.

I understand. Not all member's want to join it. I look at it as "How am I thinking vs other's every day of the week". It's a very important tool IMO. Quite possibly the #1 reason I remain committed.

We have some very intelligent people here and ranking is not always what's most important but "what are they doing". I respect your decision.

JMO
 
Been there, done that.

Honestly, it's a distraction that puts unnecessary pressure on some folks imo. I don't use it to judge anyone else's success or lack thereof either. We all have our ups and downs.

No, I just want to read what others are doing in their accounts and what they see going on in the markets.

Oh, and also to provide my own perspective of course.


Coolhand,

Yep -once again I agree with your comments and that’s why I stop by often. Also, how can anyone ever be sure that members are actually moving money? The real proof is in the end of year statement from TSP in the lower left corner. My goal every year is 7% to 10% -even in Bear Markets. Last year my YTD return on that statement was 12.09%. Not a great return, but it meets my goals based on my - age - risk tolerance - and diversification.

Some of the paid services I get even call the return they display a fictitious account. I do use the tracker to see how the folks at TSP are feeling based on moves and sentiment. Mark Young uses Sentiment from this board also.

I remember last year’s Top Dogs – not at the top now – I remember the Leaders from early this year - now down double digits. I ran my own fictitious accounts during the old days to see how I stacked up against other folks on the tracker. I had one aggressive and one conservative. The goal of the aggressive was to win the other was what an investor might due at my age and risk tolerance. Folks on the board moving 50k around might do things differently if they were moving 500k.

Anyway, I agree Coolhand and thanks for posting advice on investing and Market Timing. I was very disappointed in the board members when I stopped by 12% account talk the other day. If folks don’t like his thread then they should stay the heck out of it. He is a Bullish cheerleader as is Birchtree. Yep – nothing wrong with that. We also have The TSP Bad News Bear Cheerleaders. Hey – that’s also ok with me. However – don’t take offense or attack when they disagree with someone’s position. If I was Bichtree I wouldn’t even post here anymore, but he’s a little thicker skinned then I I’m. I have learned much from the members on this board over the years.

You can make money in a Bear Market, but by scaring the crap out of folks is not how to do it - or cheerleading when the trend is clearly down. Yep - things suck out there! Now, how do we catch the next 15% Bear market rally - thats what I'm trying to figure out.


Anyway, looking to hit my goal again this year – but this has been a tough market. Some folks are happier than a pig in shiit to average 7% over the long haul - that’s better than the stock market has performed the last ten years. My fictitious account this year in much higher than my real accounts, but I’m moving around over 500k and it's different with real money. I’m sure many folks actually do move money around as displayed by the tracker and that to me is even more troubling.

I’m an aggressive trader with my brokerage account and do things quite a bit different in my TSP account. I have talked with folks at work that have followed some folks on the tracker blindly and the results were not good. However, they were following the old leaders and they are now down double digits like many folks are now. Including many of my paid services!!!! Poolman is doing very nicely and controls his risk's.

Take Care and keep up the good posts…

All the above is my personal opinion and is not meant to inflame or tick folks off.


You are Coolhand with a very Coolhead...


It is still my opinion that we are in the bottom process and are due a rally back up to 1000 and higher in the S&P... I remain long for now..... and think the short-term is up and yes the economy sucks and things look very bad. However, since I'm not a buy and hold or long-term investor I don't move money based on either. I'm trying to catch a ride on the back of the crooks and manipulators controlling the market and catch the next Bear Market Rally!

Good trading and investing to all...
 
Coolhand,

Mark Young uses Sentiment from this board also.

I subscribe to his daily sentiment analysis.

It is still my opinion that we are in the bottom process and are due a rally back up to 1000 and higher in the S&P... I remain long for now..... and think the short-term is up and yes the economy sucks and things look very bad. However, since I'm not a buy and hold or long-term investor I don't move money based on either. I'm trying to catch a ride on the back of the crooks and manipulators controlling the market and catch the next Bear Market Rally!

We are in complete agreement here. :)

Yes, I've found that all the boards have their various characters. Even Trader's Talk. Thanks for the thumbs up. Appreciate it!
 
You're right coohand. Having the 2-3 trades per month available..."just when I thought it was safe to go back into the water" George W spoke; and my downward buy in thursday 11/13 (I guess) instead of ending down...for buying in low...hell it finished up. But oooh the next day after the hype...it did go down afterall. It's hard to pickup up or down....just know they will do doing both for some time!
 
This guy 'Larry' must be a seller of gold....sounds like the typical hype....gold is going to quadripple scenario! Must be into commodities! If so....I'll start buying some 22ct overhere. I know just where to get it. Pay cash and bring it home. I don't think that is the solution to resolve the words problems. Larry probably figures someone will b. i. t. e. and buy some gold stocks or gold investments or commodities. Sorry Charlie I mean Larry....your deals not for me!
 
This guy 'Larry' must be a seller of gold....sounds like the typical hype....gold is going to quadripple scenario! Must be into commodities! If so....I'll start buying some 22ct overhere. I know just where to get it. Pay cash and bring it home. I don't think that is the solution to resolve the words problems. Larry probably figures someone will b. i. t. e. and buy some gold stocks or gold investments or commodities. Sorry Charlie I mean Larry....your deals not for me!

This is understandably the reaction of most folks. But some European countries and Russia are discussing using gold as a standard right now.

Putting aside any perceived agenda by the writer it is still entirely within the realm of possibility that a gold standard is adopted. Can it play out the way Larry says it might? Maybe, but in the world economics there are always many scenarios, which is why it is called a soft science.

I am not advocating buying gold. I myself am not buying gold. I thought the article was interesting mainly because of current events (i.e. G20 meeting this weekend). I would not recommend taking action on anyone's opinion. It's all speculation and arguments can always be made counter to any given position.
 
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