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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!clester's Account Talk
- Thread starter clester
- Start date
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
S fund RSI is still below 70 (barely) and the I and C funds are well below it. All markets are in a Bull market being above their 50 DMA and the 50 above the 200. So, I'm 100% in stocks. I fund is lagging though and I may end up getting out of it but the S fund is close to overbought. I guess I could go 50% C 50% G when the time comes (S fund gets overbought). F fund is in a bull market but has hit the overbought area and is on the downtrend.
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
Got most of the I fund fair valuation back today.
Things are still looking good as far as my system goes. S fund is not overbought but close to it. C fund may get to 1909 before it gets overbought based on RSI indicator. I'll keep riding the trend for now.
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
Long term should be good. The EU are trailing our recovery and should play catch up and Japan is doing well. The I fund can be tricky though so I tend to be careful with it. The currency translations and just so many countries to consider. So, I like to just look at the charts and use my system on each fund.
Right now all funds are nearing overbought areas (RSI). S fund is most overbought, followed by the C fund and then the I fund. F fund looks to have topped out but its still in a bull market. They all are! Stock funds tend to move together so when a sell off happens they all will sell off.
The C fund and I fund are playing catch up to the S fund today. No warning flags yet but we are getting close. The C fund could go to 1900 before we get a pull back to the 50 dma. I don't try to play short term wiggles in the market, just long term wiggles.Clester thanks for the commentary. i just hate the FV that is tied to the I fund. who the hell is in charge of saying what the Fv is going to be from day to day? whoever it is seems to take away on positive days but you don't get a "adjustment" on negative days. just seems one sided to me, but what do i know.
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
It's just different than the EFA ticker and it's adjusted for fair value to keep folks from timing it I think. Anyway, we are behind the EFA ticker again. I think they owe us about .3%
nnuut
Moderator | TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 210
I know everyone knows this but the I Fund is international, our close is before everyone west of us and many are in the I fund so the final value is way past in time of what we have here. So it continues after our close, that is the reason for the FV changes.
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
The I fund should catch up today so we can add about .3 onto EFA ticker IMO.
The S fund just can't get over that 70 RSI hump. It keeps pulling back from there. We've hit it intraday a couple of times. We could just be consolidating gains or there could be a little profit taking ahead of the weekend.
Still no signal on any funds. The F fund still looks to be in a downtrend which should help stocks.
JTH
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 769
Great points, this market has been trending so much my oscillating indicators won't trigger.
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
I'm not too happy with the I fund but it hasn't triggered a sell yet. In fact, nothing has.
I think we will finish positive today and sometime this week I'll get my sell signal because the market has gone into overbought area. Its time. We've had a consolidation time and now its time to go to new highs. Then we can get a good pullback IMO.
We are still in a bull market and all funds are above their 50 DMA's. The F fund is in a downturn which should translate into gains for stocks.
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
Almost! :
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
Almost! :
I hope we can get that RSI on S&P up to 70 soon. I was thinking maybe this week. Thats my sell signal.
ravensfan
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 146
Slow Stochastic had a negative crossover, but MACD is still showing a positive bias, so IMHO it may still be awhile before we hit 70.
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
Could be. The S fund has been letting the C fund catch up too. They're about the same RSI now.
Valkyrie
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 158
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
That is about the area I'm figuring will cause a sell.
The I fund made up for all the fair value it owed us plus some today.
weatherweenie
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 101
I know, and you know, it doesn't mean much, but Japan isn't bouncing in their early trading. Down 2.33%
clester
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 37
I haven't been happy with the I fund for a while. Today, efa is testing it's 50 dma. S fund is retesting the breakout point. C fund is following. The thing is... for C and S funds we are just now getting to that big up day earlier this month. It's taken over a week to give that back. That tells me there is still momenum. They are both above the 50dma. I think we are at a crucial point though.
For my system only the i fund is in danger of triggering a sell.Similar threads
