burrocrat's Account Talk

ouch! this hurts, i'm totally going negative on the tracker today, first time in a year and a half i lost a market bet. crap.
 
Maybe if you knew, you'd vote differently. :toung: :)

Welll...maybe I would but I can't vote on what I don't know .... Plus I am too busy sewing those darn sock monkeys... lost that bet. Who knows what I will think up for that... will see about being "creative" !!! :rolleyes::nuts::D
 
ouch! this hurts, i'm totally going negative on the tracker today, first time in a year and a half i lost a market bet. crap.

Think hard before you bail. I'm in 50% and still sticking it out.

Actually, in all seriousness, could it be another 2008---maybe. But I don't believe this is based on actual financial climate and economy.

This is fear driven because of the "to the death" fight doing on in DC. Haven't seen one this bad before.

Now can the economy be hurt if debt ceiling is breeched and they don't resolve it---absolutely---that will definitely happen if they do not cut spending and get financial house in order, or if they do not deal on the debt ceiling (to extend) before we stop paying foreign lenders....keep in mind even if that is breeched, I heard on news that there was enough to pay foreign lenders a bit longer.

Also, polling done yesterday showed folks are pissed off at all of the politicos (Dems, Repubs, President) so with that showing up in polls, I doubt they are going to go down with a sinking ship. If they are all getting the blame they will deal sooner rather than later. Hopefully that will happen before any real damage is done. If they do not deal by the end of this week, prices will drop even more. But, I think it is going to pop back up as long as we do not go into default on debts. Just my thoughts.

One more thing ...maybe somebody can comment.... if we default, will the G fund value go down???
 
Think hard before you bail. I'm in 50% and still sticking it out.

Actually, in all seriousness, could it be another 2008---maybe. But I don't believe this is based on actual financial climate and economy.

This is fear driven because of the "to the death" fight doing on in DC. Haven't seen one this bad before.

Now can the economy be hurt if debt ceiling is breeched and they don't resolve it---absolutely---that will definitely happen if they do not cut spending and get financial house in order, or if they do not deal on the debt ceiling (to extend) before we stop paying foreign lenders....keep in mind even if that is breeched, I heard on news that there was enough to pay foreign lenders a bit longer.

Also, polling done yesterday showed folks are pissed off at all of the politicos (Dems, Repubs, President) so with that showing up in polls, I doubt they are going to go down with a sinking ship. If they are all getting the blame they will deal sooner rather than later. Hopefully that will happen before any real damage is done. If they do not deal by the end of this week, prices will drop even more. But, I think it is going to pop back up as long as we do not go into default on debts. Just my thoughts.

One more thing ...maybe somebody can comment.... if we default, will the G fund value go down???
Well, yes. But you are protected on investment and earnings....
https://www.tsp.gov/investmentfunds/fundsheets/fundPerformance_G.shtml

However, I have talked to a few people that said it would be like all of current shares would be frozen seperately until a resolution could be obtained. Future G fund shares could be affected to a lower value....but I'm in the "it ain't going to happen" club.
 
who said anything about bailing? i'm a birchtee investor now. it's not a loss until you book it. wheeeee!


Think hard before you bail. I'm in 50% and still sticking it out.

Actually, in all seriousness, could it be another 2008---maybe. But I don't believe this is based on actual financial climate and economy.

This is fear driven because of the "to the death" fight doing on in DC. Haven't seen one this bad before.

Now can the economy be hurt if debt ceiling is breeched and they don't resolve it---absolutely---that will definitely happen if they do not cut spending and get financial house in order, or if they do not deal on the debt ceiling (to extend) before we stop paying foreign lenders....keep in mind even if that is breeched, I heard on news that there was enough to pay foreign lenders a bit longer.

Also, polling done yesterday showed folks are pissed off at all of the politicos (Dems, Repubs, President) so with that showing up in polls, I doubt they are going to go down with a sinking ship. If they are all getting the blame they will deal sooner rather than later. Hopefully that will happen before any real damage is done. If they do not deal by the end of this week, prices will drop even more. But, I think it is going to pop back up as long as we do not go into default on debts. Just my thoughts.

One more thing ...maybe somebody can comment.... if we default, will the G fund value go down???
 
whew, annual tracker at +0.15% after yesterday so my head's still above water. maybe today i'll gain a little breathing room.
 
oh yeah, after today i should be positive relative to my buyin last week. wheee, this investing stuff is exciting!
 
uh huh, that's what i'm talkin' 'bout. my recent trade went positive by 0.41% on friday. that is good.

unfortunately, all my dollars won't buy me a pot to pee in come next thursday's default. that is bad.
 
ok, i'm out. 100G cob today.

i'm getting really good at spotting the chaos spikes, unfortunately i still jump in a bit too early. this time i ate -2% before it turned, but if i can get out with a overall +1% gain on the trade i'll be happy.

prediction: senate comes up with a great deal this afternoon, yay. house doesn't like the deal and resubmits tomorrow, boo. senate doesn't like resubmitted deal thursday, boo, boo.

everybody sees what is going on here, right? without some serious change, at some point we are going to have to default and the market doesn't believe the hogwash that mr. lew can't prioritize interest and debt payments over alpo for mom and pop. so they're giving him a little sea trial here so he can shake out the bugs and get their priorities straight for the next one, which might be the big one.
 
oh no, not good. it looks like they moved up the timetable a little bit on me. this is not what harry told me he was going to talk to john about today. dangit.
 
whew, got out of that trade with a +0.08% for the month so far. i could have had +0.09% if i had just stayed in the G fund but that wouldn't have been near as much fun.
 
yay me! i think i just passed birchtree on the 'top posters in 90 days' column on the top 20 stats menu, i've been working on that goal fo the last, umm, 90 days. that's good for 2nd place but no worries, i have no plans to take nnuuts top spot, there just isn't time for that, i'm already in my 40's.
 
Well, nice job burro....you did pass me for overall last month.....but hey! Reach those goals........:toung: (And I got two years on ya!)
 
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