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burrocrat's Account Talk
- Thread starter burrocrat
- Start date
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burrocrat
Well-known member
well, i'm going to try to get a jump on things this year and start the reconciliation/resolution process a month early.
i've bagged +3-1/4% on two round trip trades with a total of 17 days in the market so far this year. boooo! i picked the wrong year to hone my hit and git skills. not a good year for swing traders. i would have done about 10 times better just finding a warm pile of sand and sticking my head in it. but i still haven't had a losing trade in almost 2 years. and with 2012's +16% i'm on track to average about 10% annually and there's lots of public pension funds that can't say that and would appear solvent on paper if they could, so there.
in the outside accounts i have a brokerage and roth ira account where i buy commission free etf's every two weeks, whichever is down most at the point of purchase. i plan to buy and hold the roth shares until i die or retire whichever comes first so i got the dca thing going on to some extent. schh (reit), sche (emerging markets), shcd (u.s. dividend payers), and schp (inflation protected treasuries) in the roth account only. in the brokerage i buy tsp fund equivalent schx (C), scha (S) schf (I), and a money market for cash. i plan to trade those all-in the same as tsp funds but i am still building a minimum position in each.
this year for christmas i am opening a coverdale education account for my kid because he better dam well go to college and get smart and rich or else my retirement easy street dreams are going up in smoke. that's another $2k per year i intend to do the same CSI swing trade all-in pound with when i think the iron is hot, what the hell it's not my money anyways.
other than hit the lotto, that's pretty much my investment strategy. oh yeah, and don't get sick or fired. pretty simple.
i've bagged +3-1/4% on two round trip trades with a total of 17 days in the market so far this year. boooo! i picked the wrong year to hone my hit and git skills. not a good year for swing traders. i would have done about 10 times better just finding a warm pile of sand and sticking my head in it. but i still haven't had a losing trade in almost 2 years. and with 2012's +16% i'm on track to average about 10% annually and there's lots of public pension funds that can't say that and would appear solvent on paper if they could, so there.
in the outside accounts i have a brokerage and roth ira account where i buy commission free etf's every two weeks, whichever is down most at the point of purchase. i plan to buy and hold the roth shares until i die or retire whichever comes first so i got the dca thing going on to some extent. schh (reit), sche (emerging markets), shcd (u.s. dividend payers), and schp (inflation protected treasuries) in the roth account only. in the brokerage i buy tsp fund equivalent schx (C), scha (S) schf (I), and a money market for cash. i plan to trade those all-in the same as tsp funds but i am still building a minimum position in each.
this year for christmas i am opening a coverdale education account for my kid because he better dam well go to college and get smart and rich or else my retirement easy street dreams are going up in smoke. that's another $2k per year i intend to do the same CSI swing trade all-in pound with when i think the iron is hot, what the hell it's not my money anyways.
other than hit the lotto, that's pretty much my investment strategy. oh yeah, and don't get sick or fired. pretty simple.
Last edited:
DreamboatAnnie
Well-known member
I like the part of your strategy where you talk about hitting the lottery. Um hum... But you do have to play. When I worked at HHS I was part of a pool....stayed in it for years after leaving for current job for fear of getting out and them winning and I would then be left kicking myself but finally got out. ...not much chance of winning now though as I keep forgetting to buy the dang tickets! :suspicious:
burrocrat
Well-known member
anybody else having trouble viewing the tsptalk mugshots thread? i love that place.
View attachment 26173
View attachment 26173
Seems to be working for me as admin, but also tested it as "testuser" and I can see the posts. Have you tried a different browser just to see if it's any different?
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/tsp-talk-mug-shots/12236-tsp-talk-mug-shots.html
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/tsp-talk-mug-shots/12236-tsp-talk-mug-shots.html
burrocrat
Well-known member
i get the same error when clicking the link you just posted. i can see in the lounge the mugshot thread says moved, but same error when i click it too.
i'm on a samsumg s3 with only one browser option. i will fire up the laptop and try from there in a little bit when i get the rest of the chili fixins in the slow cooker and finish shoveling the driveway.
i miss not be able to see the mugshots already. it's my favorite part of this site. except for anything admin or mods post, of course.
hey, is there something on my nose?
i'm on a samsumg s3 with only one browser option. i will fire up the laptop and try from there in a little bit when i get the rest of the chili fixins in the slow cooker and finish shoveling the driveway.
i miss not be able to see the mugshots already. it's my favorite part of this site. except for anything admin or mods post, of course.
hey, is there something on my nose?
burrocrat
Well-known member
Clear Cache, Cookies and History on Samsung Galaxy S3 - howik
that didn't work either, and i think i deleted all my cookies. now i suppose i'll have to input my measurements all over again next time i browse victoria's secret. that's ok though, i lied to her the first time anyways.
if the mugshots thread is moved from the lounge, where is it now? maybe i could try there? i don't see it in site news or bulletin board areas.
that didn't work either, and i think i deleted all my cookies. now i suppose i'll have to input my measurements all over again next time i browse victoria's secret. that's ok though, i lied to her the first time anyways.
if the mugshots thread is moved from the lounge, where is it now? maybe i could try there? i don't see it in site news or bulletin board areas.
burrocrat
Well-known member
the subforum shows in lounge but indicates it has been moved. when i click it the link dead ends.
View attachment 26174
View attachment 26174
burrocrat
Well-known member
ok, why not? nothing can stop this thing until the wheels come off. all in.
100G to 75C 25S cob today.
please mr. market take a dive this afternoon for the discounted buy in, and then give me a shot to get out with a +1.75% on the trade in the next couple weeks for a +5% year. thanks santa, i'll take it.
100G to 75C 25S cob today.
please mr. market take a dive this afternoon for the discounted buy in, and then give me a shot to get out with a +1.75% on the trade in the next couple weeks for a +5% year. thanks santa, i'll take it.
burrocrat
Well-known member
so ok, if the investing world ended today or else it was cob 12/31/2013 then this is where i stand.
2013: +3.98%
2012: +16.36%
2011: -3.12%
2010: +9.55%
2009: +16.14%
i'm just going to drop 2009 because it was a partial year and i was still hurting from 2008 and the beatings i took early 2009. the number looks good but i know i didn't really do that well in reality. since the beginning of 2010 i have moved my actual tsp allocation in tandem with the autotracker so that is the best representation for planning purposes.
some observations:
2013: ~+4% (but that could change drastically if my latest hunch doesn't pan out). i have tried to hone my 'hit and git' skills, minimizing time in the market, and only jumping in when i feel a big volatility move coming. obviously i try to time that when i think the big move is up, but what the hell it either goes up or down so that's a 50/50 deal, right? strategy is to limit exposure to the market most of the time and grab some quick scores. that does not work out so well in a raging bull market.
2012: ~+16%. whooo doggy, i was hitting it then. minimal days in the market and no losses. dam dude, i'm hot.
two year average then is +10%. hell, i'll take that any day.
2011: ~-3%. whatever. the game is rigged anyways. and it lied to me.
three year average then is +5.5%. suck this mofo.
2010: +9%. yeah that's right, this is good, tole you so.
four year average then is 6.5%. ok, i'll take that. that's what bankrupt pension plans project they'll get but they really don't and i did so that's way better. plus i loan or withdrawal all my contributions as often as i can and only play with the free 5% match house money.
so with all my skills and talents and a whole bunch of luck, the best i can do is an optimistic 7%? crap. i think i'm way better than that. but the numbers don't lie.
next year i'm going to smoke the market and it knows it. that's why it will give me a couple more percent this year and then run away like a red headed step child that just spilled the milk.
that's my plan anyways. what is your new year's resolution?
2013: +3.98%
2012: +16.36%
2011: -3.12%
2010: +9.55%
2009: +16.14%
i'm just going to drop 2009 because it was a partial year and i was still hurting from 2008 and the beatings i took early 2009. the number looks good but i know i didn't really do that well in reality. since the beginning of 2010 i have moved my actual tsp allocation in tandem with the autotracker so that is the best representation for planning purposes.
some observations:
2013: ~+4% (but that could change drastically if my latest hunch doesn't pan out). i have tried to hone my 'hit and git' skills, minimizing time in the market, and only jumping in when i feel a big volatility move coming. obviously i try to time that when i think the big move is up, but what the hell it either goes up or down so that's a 50/50 deal, right? strategy is to limit exposure to the market most of the time and grab some quick scores. that does not work out so well in a raging bull market.
2012: ~+16%. whooo doggy, i was hitting it then. minimal days in the market and no losses. dam dude, i'm hot.
two year average then is +10%. hell, i'll take that any day.
2011: ~-3%. whatever. the game is rigged anyways. and it lied to me.
three year average then is +5.5%. suck this mofo.
2010: +9%. yeah that's right, this is good, tole you so.
four year average then is 6.5%. ok, i'll take that. that's what bankrupt pension plans project they'll get but they really don't and i did so that's way better. plus i loan or withdrawal all my contributions as often as i can and only play with the free 5% match house money.
so with all my skills and talents and a whole bunch of luck, the best i can do is an optimistic 7%? crap. i think i'm way better than that. but the numbers don't lie.
next year i'm going to smoke the market and it knows it. that's why it will give me a couple more percent this year and then run away like a red headed step child that just spilled the milk.
that's my plan anyways. what is your new year's resolution?
The last couple years I've tried a few different strategies that incorporated more of a timing flavor. I don't think it's really done much good either way. In 2014 I'm leaning toward going back to a buy-and-hold mode.
My PIP for the past five years:
2009 +29.86%
2010 +13.31%
2011 -0.74%
2012 +11.42%
2013 +11/12%
My PIP for the past five years:
2009 +29.86%
2010 +13.31%
2011 -0.74%
2012 +11.42%
2013 +11/12%
Boghie
Well-known member
Burro,
Since the long term trend in the equities market is for the damn thing to go up, why not adjust your strategy a bit. Like, try to market time yourself out of the market for major corrections. Be in the market as the norm. Check out when things seem to be tanking. You will have time to see it.
They don't pay the rich plutocrat 1%er CEOs and their friends in the hedge funds for losing money. They do what they can to increase their profits. If that is the goal than the earnings part (as a whole) will go up. Only the gubmint gets all cheery about sending money to dead people and projects. The other 1%ers try to scrape the waste from the bottom of their shoes...
Since the long term trend in the equities market is for the damn thing to go up, why not adjust your strategy a bit. Like, try to market time yourself out of the market for major corrections. Be in the market as the norm. Check out when things seem to be tanking. You will have time to see it.
They don't pay the rich plutocrat 1%er CEOs and their friends in the hedge funds for losing money. They do what they can to increase their profits. If that is the goal than the earnings part (as a whole) will go up. Only the gubmint gets all cheery about sending money to dead people and projects. The other 1%ers try to scrape the waste from the bottom of their shoes...
