Steadygain's Account Talk

[Steadygain]

Has anyone ever had the feeling that the Markets are like a living entity and you may have linked up when things were really good and health was thriving......

and after you've decided to really commit everything and were quite content with that decision .....

..it seems like the Markets are 'dumping' on you?

Maybe at first it doesn't feel that way ...

but as time goes on it sinks in a little deeper??




Well those are my closing thoughts for this evening

 

[mayday]

Staying in is like what Tom told me years ago.

" It's like trying to catch falling red daggers."

 

[Steadygain]

Staying in is like what Tom told me years ago.

" It's like trying to catch falling red daggers."

Well thanks for the visit my friend.

Tom is 'right' when you look at things from a short term perspective and all the more on the day to day basis by which we all interact.

In that since I would never let my friends 'buy and hold' :worried:

In the deepest sincereity I no longer see things from the short term but see them totally from the 'Long Term'.

At this point I would tell anyone to BUY everything you can and consider the present 'down turn' your LAST opportunity to get the best prices you'll have the chance to buy for years to come.

I could never surpass my brother because there is only ONE PermaBULL #1.

But at this point I'm pretty close to that


Well good night all

 

[Steadygain]

Wow - it's feeling more and more like Christmas to me.


These 'buying opportunities' are like wonderful treasures.

The LOWER -- the BETTER !!!



But who will be ready when it takes off ? hummmm

And who will hold on as it keeps going higher and higher ?


When do we 'BUY' ?? that is the question and how long do we hold on ?

 

[Steadygain]

I'm finding the Markets are responding well to the song I'm singing:


Lady WILLPOWER ~~ It's now or NEVER give your love to me

and I'll SHOWER ...



Works for me --- okay -- back to the grinding stone

 

[Birchtree]

Bull markets do not like company, the market will do everything it can to make the majority gun shy and keep the bears from recognizing the prevailing trend. This bull market will continue to power higher as long as people don't start buying into it in droves and as long as the prevailing belief is that it's a cyclical bull within a secular bear. All rallies are preceded by declines - the bigger the decline the bigger the rally.

 

[Steadygain]

Bull markets do not like company, the market will do everything it can to make the majority gun shy and keep the bears from recognizing the prevailing trend. This bull market will continue to power higher as long as people don't start buying into it in droves and as long as the prevailing belief is that it's a cyclical bull within a secular bear. All rallies are preceded by declines - the bigger the decline the bigger the rally.

Trust me Big Brother -- there is absolutely no fear with me.

I know a BULL when I see it and I've been making a point of following everything.

What really gets me is -- when you look at all the underlying fundamentals and the real dynamics on which a BULL is grounded it's ridiculous that this is even happening. It's nothing but Dumb Money -- Birch -- so I'm enjoying the lower buys.

Now on the other hand -- when the Markets took off in 3/09 and kept going -- was just the opposite and all the more I thought WTF.

Sooo what I love the MOST about this is: Just as in 3/09 and this more expands on what you're saying. Those who have been driven by fear and are timid will most certainly miss the drive back up. More than likely their ride will be short lived -- and only the ONES that held on -- will reap in everything.

You see Birch, it's like mom and dad keep telling you. It's not your position on the AT that counts.... it's how much you have in your account.

 

[Steadygain]

Well this may go on for months and months - if not another year.

In a way I guess I'm giving up -- by staying IN -- but at this point the only possible advantage to moving to G Fund is simply to preserve my current balance.

Without having that balance fully invested everyday the Markets Gain would be an even greater loss. That is the greatest difficulty with Market Timing -- and our current limitations make it all the more impossible to not feel under enormous pressure.

By staying IN - there is no pressure and I can never miss when things turn to the good. As long as things are bad -- I get more shares.

So when the Markets get old -- I simply have to remember I did not sell at a loss and in the long run when we do reach new highs I will have a lot more shares to cash in on.

That is my 'pep talk' for all who are IN and stick it out.

 

[irish.car.bomb]

Well this may go on for months and months - if not another year.

In a way I guess I'm giving up -- by staying IN -- but at this point the only possible advantage to moving to G Fund is simply to preserve my current balance.

Without having that balance fully invested everyday the Markets Gain would be an even greater loss. That is the greatest difficulty with Market Timing -- and our current limitations make it all the more impossible to not feel under enormous pressure.

By staying IN - there is no pressure and I can never miss when things turn to the good. As long as things are bad -- I get more shares.

So when the Markets get old -- I simply have to remember I did not sell at a loss and in the long run when we do reach new highs I will have a lot more shares to cash in on.

That is my 'pep talk' for all who are IN and stick it out.

Thank you! I am right there with you.

 

[jdphx]

That is my 'pep talk' for all who are IN and stick it out.

Can you pass the O2 mask???


I need a little hit

 

[Steadygain]

Thank you! I am right there with you.

My pleasure ! Thank you for stopping by.

My friend at times like this you honestly have to remember that nothing happens overnight -- but that everything to do with both the US Economy and the European Economy -- which are the limitations of our TSP Investments -- are most assuredly being very aggressively and actively dealt with.

Transitions are part of LIFE and therefore a never ending part of the MARKETS. The current 'weakness' is nothing more than fine tuning the overall structure more Stronger and for More Enduring Stabiity.

The GOAL at this point is to acquire the Maximum Shares possible and that is always best achieved by Dollar Cost Averaging.

So the lower we go --- the more shares we gather -- but we will always and without exception be ready when the MARKETS take off; and they will take off and they will most certainly go way further than wherever you bought them over the past few years.

Can you pass the O2 mask???

I need a little hit

:laugh: That's great !!!

You must know me from waaaay back.

Wish I could oblidge

 

[Handballer]

"In a way I guess I'm giving up -- by staying IN -- but at this point the only possible advantage to moving to G Fund is simply to preserve my current balance."

You should grab it now while you still have a balance. The next up day(s) will not cover your loses.

You've been in and out of the G fund this year and earlier. Why not move to the G fund and quit worry about it. We know its eating at you so do what you think is best. Many of us not as smart as you have made the move to the G fund and sleep better now.

 

[Steadygain]

You should grab it now while you still have a balance. The next up day(s) will not cover your loses.




You've been in and out of the G fund this year and earlier. Why not move to the G fund and quit worry about it. We know its eating at you so do what you think is best. Many of us not as smart as you have made the move to the G fund and sleep better now.

Thank you, my delightful friend.

I think you give me too much credit - especially with Smart.


The only way I (personally) could be 'smart' is investing in hindsight. That's the only way I would know when to get in 100% and out 100% each month.

My 'smartness' cost me dearly for going in and out so much over the past year or so. By maintaining that habit I am so hugely driven to escape a downturn that I miss very huge gains.

The longer I'm in -- the more at Peace I really am. I know I'm always ready either way -- to buy more shares and to catch every gain.

Ideally I would stay in G Fund -- long term
or C,S,I -- long term

But for me it's one or the other -- G Fund is good for times like these but C,S,I will many times over have greater gains down the line.

No I've honestly turned a leaf and am pretty content.

Thanks though and I hope you the best !!

 

[Steadygain]

You should grab it now while you still have a balance. The next up day(s) will not cover your loses.

Hey I thought about this message this morning before coming to work.

Seriously !!! and even expected the MARKETS to keep going down.

But anyway --- thought it would be fun to show you how quick it would happen.

I'll call this morning's Balance the $100K Mark

I'll let you know when I've exceeded it --- or come back to it.

 

[Steadygain]

I'll call this morning's Balance the $100K Mark

I'll let you know when I've exceeded it --- or come back to it.

WOW - ain't that a Trip.

The Game ended as soon as it started. :nuts:

Listen, I'll mark this morning's balance -- seriously -- and if we lose another 10 or 15% -- I would love for you to see how long it takes me to reach this balance again; especially with what I will add over time.

Well -- have a great weekend everyone -- and hey don't be too shocked by Birchtree's move to G Fund; after all he's retired and doesn't have to 'freedom' to laugh at Market Weakness and enjoy it as much as me.

But I still love him and he's still the best.

 

[Steadygain]

The Blackrock Global Chief Exec went over lots of details about the Economy over the weekend. He stressed why emerging Markets are so much stronger and will continue to be.

He stressed the 'Historical Trends' of the US Markets are more than likely something we 'will not' be able to count on in the years to come. But did seem to think American Companies still had plenty of strength. Politics will likely interfere with Market Growth.

European Stocks - he felt were 'Cheap' but they are too closely linked to the USA - and therefore will have a lot of difficulty compared to the stronger Markets.

Anyway -- I'm still hopeing for the Positive Factors to kick in and hopefully we will have ONE more good BULL RUN before it's over.


Happy trading everyone

 

[Birchtree]

Here my raconteur friend is a read from our guy Adam Hamilton.

http://www.safehaven.com/article/16877/euro-panic-buying-op

 

[Steadygain]

Here my raconteur friend is a read from our guy Adam Hamilton.

http://www.safehaven.com/article/16877/euro-panic-buying-op

Thanks Birch !!

That's exactly what I needed



Will shift some to I Fund soon -- mainly to diversify.

I wish we had investments for Brazil (or a wider variety). But for what we have -- I have to lean towards C and S with all the conditions presently at hand.

I Fund has often proved to be more 'bang' for the buck and if that proves to be a trend then I'll make appropriate adjustments.

For now we're still largely in 'Volitility Land' so it's just crap we need to deal with. Overall I think Hamilton is right on target and the 'Media' at large will just talk junk to 'support' why things are going bad.

If the Markets had been doing great -- the same 'Media' people would be writting why things are going so good.

 

[Steadygain]

Make no mistake friends and members of the MB

This is a BULL MARKET !!! and I'm enjoying it.


Grab what you can while the BULL is lowering his head to the ground and get ready for the ride of your life.



If you are not in 'condition' and your bowels are weak then stay on the toilet.


BUT -- ALL OF US -- Should enjoy this 'celebration' :toung:

 

[Birchtree]

Now that is what I like to hear. We are placing our third capitulation intraday low - all this nonsense is fear based. Already the news has clarified that Noirth Korea is not moving any troops - just blowing noise. Because this is a panic based fear move we could easily blast up with a vengence because the fundamentals are still improving for our economy - I don't see much chance of a contagion based double dip slow down. Snort.