Squalebear's Account Talk

[Guest2]

I wonder if that -491K includes my wife. She got laid off April 24th.

Since the number is pure fiction, I doubt it. What I believe in is opportunity.
Sorry about the layoff. Its a test and I'm sure the both of you will pass
with flying colors. Maybe that opportunity will come in the way of a new
job, with better benefits and a huge raise. Or maybe it'll be temporary and
she'll look back at this as a well deserved vacation. Either way, your both
included in my prayers.

 

[Guest2]

I'm seeing this puppy losing strength and taking
a break to the downside. But not if we keep getting better then expected
Economic News and Earnings.

Well, well, well ! The Mad Money man woke me up shouting that the Bear
is dead. Maybe that correction will come sooner then I thought ! :nuts: With
yet another positive day under our belts, its hard to say that this isn't
a Official Bull Run and I'm in for just a bit longer.

The (I) Fund will determine if my day ended Good or Great. We have some
conflicting results and it could go either way. Let me explain;

The EFA end up today +2.42% and is currently up +0.44% YTD.
The EAFE end up +0.83% and is currently down -0.74% YTD.
If the (I) Fund results reflected todays EAFE it would be left "Unchanged".
If the (I) Fund results reflected the EFA, the overpayment would be emmence.
I'm guessing that the overpayment will increase, but by only .04 tsp cents.
That would give us a +1.07% day in the (I) Fund. We'll find out soon enough.

 

[Guest2]

Overpayment goes to 0.28 TSP Cents and the (I) Fund gains +2.10%
What a great ending for the (I) Fund. Just remember, that Overpayment
must come down. We can only hope it's at a slow pace and over a few days.
Would one more day be too greedy before spreading out and lowering my risk ?
Hope not, I'm almost even YTD. :worried:

 

[Boghie]

Mad Money Man is a Bull

So, Cramer is a Bull now... :nuts:

Uuuuggggghhhhh...

Watching the market on the 4th caused me move to safety on the 5th. Thus, I missed about half of today's gains. My moves are always to early...

But, with the overwhelming contrarian influence presented by the 'Mad Money Man' my trade may have been prescient.

Anyway, SqualeBear, I see you have another IFT in your sleave. I like your high risk allocation. Might use it in the future.

 

[Guest2]

Re: Mad Money Man is a Bull

So, Cramer is a Bull now... :nuts:

Uuuuggggghhhhh...

Watching the market on the 4th caused me move to safety on the 5th. Thus, I missed about half of today's gains. My moves are always to early...

But, with the overwhelming contrarian influence presented by the 'Mad Money Man' my trade may have been prescient.

Anyway, SqualeBear, I see you have another IFT in your sleave. I like your high risk allocation. Might use it in the future.

Eventually, the European and Asian Market might come through. But 2009
will likely be the year of the US Market. I went light on the (S) Fund as
a precaution, just in case there was a correction at hand. Today, the S&P
kicked some (S) booty. :nuts: I'll be lowering my risk eventually, but not until
I give some back to the market. If that doesn't occur, then I just might
get to see positive territory YTD. Good Luck !

p.s. thanks for the invite, it was my pleasure to accomodate.

 

[Boghie]

SqualeBear,

I really don't know how to use the Friends list, but since I poke around here so often - and I like your commentary - I figured I'd try it.

It might be an easier way to get to the blogs that I enjoy if the blogger hasn't posted that day as well.

Good luck on your aggressive approach. If you get through the politicians yakking it up tomorrow and Friday you should be good to go. If not, I'm certain you know what to do:cheesy:. The lame thing is that you will have to use a valuable IFT to bail out. I despise that limitation.

 

[Guest2]

SqualeBear,

I really don't know how to use the Friends list, but since I poke around here so often - and I like your commentary - I figured I'd try it.

It might be an easier way to get to the blogs that I enjoy if the blogger hasn't posted that day as well.

Good luck on your aggressive approach. If you get through the politicians yakking it up tomorrow and Friday you should be good to go. If not, I'm certain you know what to do:cheesy:. The lame thing is that you will have to use a valuable IFT to bail out. I despise that limitation.

Correction !!!!! "WE" DESPISE THE LIMIT.

With that said, my next move would probably be to lower my risk in the
stock funds and sprinkle alittle Bond Action for diversification. I'll be on
the look out for that 10% Correction the Bears keep trying to send us.
But until then, Its "Hammer Time" and I'm hoping it's "To Legit To Quit".
(Sorry, stuck in the 80's)

 

[Guest2]

NASDAQ Futures are lagging behind the Dow and the S&P.
Yesterday, we saw the same thing and the (S) Fund lagged
behind the other risk funds. Today might very well hold the
same for the (S) Fund, but look at how far ahead it is YTD
against the (C) and (I) Funds. I'm hoping it's not a reversal
and just a Pit Stop so the other funds can catch up. I'm
Crossing my fingers, legs and toes on that one !

 

[Guest2]

The MSCI EAFE INDEX has been up most of the night and is currently
up +2.90%. But don't forget about the (1.95%) Overpayment that
needs to be addressed. If we paid it all back in one day, that would
leave the (I) Fund up +0.95%. Thats nothing to sneeze at, but we
would prefer to do a payback over time and reap better gains.

 

[eccougar]

Birchtree, you just blew my doors off, when you passed me and Squalebear
is getting close to the plus side. As two of my favorite posters it's great to see both of you doing well and
I hope the upward trend continues for everyone. As I'm nearing 65 years of age (August) I don't post a lot
but read all the posts on this board. I'm still holding around 60% Stable value and 40% stocks in my total portfolio, while
buying C-Fund every two weeks.

 

[Birchtree]

eccouger,

As a senior you have the benefit of hindsight experience where as some of our younger gloom and doomers have trouble seeing two feet ahead. I'm sure we could definitely benefit as a whole any time you want to post - after all experience is earned and history often rhymes.

 

[Guest2]

Birchtree, As two of my favorite posters it's great to see both of you doing well and I hope the upward trend continues for everyone.

ECC, As they say in South Philly; "Yo, Your the best !"

If this Rally is as tired as some say it is, then today will continue to drop
and end miserably. If it's that tired, it will try to rally back to the opening
only to fail and drop down again. Should that happen today, I'll likely pull
50% off the table come tomorrow. However, if I see a sustained reversal,
from their current returns, towards the upside (even if the day ends down)
I'll be leaning towards staying at full risk for at least another day.

 

[Guest2]

Gee, I make the Easter Bunny look like the Lion King ! :nuts::worried::nuts:

 

[Guest2]

I saw very little in the way of strength, however, we're still within the
up trend channel and no Sell Signal just yet. Tomorrow will tell the tale.

One last thing, that $0.28 TSP Cent Overpayment is now a $0.08 TSP Cent Deficit.
The EAFE ended up +1.43% @ 1245.78 ,,,, from 1pm until 4pm ,,,, the Fund Mgrs.
decided to allow the (I) Fund to underperform against the EAFE and resulted in a
-1.10% loss.

 

[WorkFE]

I like that news SB. Atleast we are closer to 0 and on the under side. Reserves in the event we (I) bail.
I have not read CH thread about the SS yet.

 

[Guest2]

Stock futures point to shares rising; jobs data eyed
http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=OBR&date=20090508&id=9799549

 

[Birchtree]

Could today be one of those infamous days of 400 points and 12 billion shares? I'll certainly be waiting for my share. Long live the new bull leg.

 

[Guest2]

Could today be one of those infamous days of 400 points and 12 billion shares? I'll certainly be waiting for my share. Long live the new bull leg.

Gee Birch, you've been wrong for so long, you just gotta be right ! :nuts:

Seriously though, I see nothing stopping the train until the 13th, 14th
and 15th. Even then, we may end up pleasantly surprised. A 400 point
day would be nice to behold. And I'll beholding some cha-ching.

 

[XL-entLady]

Just a drive-by hi, my friend. Looks like you're back and in fine form! Take care,
Lady

 

[Guest2]

Gee Birch, you've been wrong for so long, you just gotta be right ! :nuts:

Seriously though, I see nothing stopping the train until the 13th, 14th
and 15th. Even then, we may end up pleasantly surprised. A 400 point
day would be nice to behold. And I'll beholding some cha-ching.

How many times do I need to be wrong before I realize that I should hold
a Contrarian View of my own thinking. With that said, I made a IFT today.
I didn't bail, however, I spread out my risk and put some gun powder into
the (G)arage and (F)rog Pond. I'm still at risk with 45% in stocks and 25%
in Bonds. Here are my allocations;

(G)30%
(F)25%
(C)15%
(S)15%
(.I)15%

Its only the 8th of May and everyone's calling this a Bull Market. I'm not
convinced. The S.S.'s had a short term sell signal yesterday and Coolhand
doesn't see it changing. I see it turning into a full fledged Sell soon enough.
I'll accept small gains in order to lower my risk if I'm wrong.
Good Luck Everyone !