Squalebear's Account Talk

If I didn't then I would be removed from this MB.

They would have to drag my stiff, dead body off this Mother ! :nuts:

Guess what, I'm two spots below EBB and one spot below The World Market.
My next goal is to reach the L2040 (LoL). Hey I'm greatful for what I
have. But not content ! I'm gonna beat that (G) Fund if it kills me ! :nuts:
 
Just for historical records I printed and framed the Tracker this morning. Top 20 baby.
But I am stuck in risk until Monday COB. It was fun to be up so high but you can tell this thing does not have good footing.
 
They would have to drag my stiff, dead body off this Mother ! :nuts:

Guess what, I'm two spots below EBB and one spot below The World Market.
My next goal is to reach the L2040 (LoL). Hey I'm greatful for what I
have. But not content ! I'm gonna beat that (G) Fund if it kills me ! :nuts:

I have come to the conclusion that I can not let my position in the tracker dictate how I am going to manipulate my TSP money. With that said, in my real world TSP I am up 4.8% for the month. Depending on what the markets do on Monday I may very well get my funds under 5% and play <1% for the rest of the month or just sit in the (G)arage.
 
I agree you can not let it dictate your moves but it is a good indicator of performance if used in conjunction with your real world account.
Also it feels good to come back from the under world.
If tracked side by side with your real world account it does not feel good to be down to far. (Experience) I am sure however that should I sit in risk to heavy for to long I will revisit that place.
 
Access to Account Balances was granted 5 minutes ago.
I wasn't expecting access until tomorrow after 7am,
however, I just logged on both "Acct Balance Only" and
"Full Access" areas of the TSP Website. I don't know if
this is temporary, but it was accomplished moments ago.
 
I was listening to a radio station on the way home today. For the life of
me, I can't remember the man being interviewed. He wrote a book that
was entitled,,,, something like,,,, The Next Great Depression. He claims
that the current economic situation the US finds itself in will become
clear by the year 2010 thru 2011. He believed the Dow could drop to the
2000 level. It all seemed unbelievable until he claimed the Government
was fudging figures and the Administration was hog tied. It was those
claims which rang true for me. We've seen it before. Are we on the
threshhold of another Depression ? Is Jim Cramer wrong again ? Are the
babyboomers going to see the worse that the Economy has to offer ?
Heck, I don't know and my hope overrides much of the fear I had just
a few months ago. For those who believe there is truth in numbers (like
me) I will be watching closely and questioning everything. It sure does
feel good to see the Market rally and recoup some losses. But the reality
of the future is still unclear, thus, caution must be a part of our decision
making process. Looking forward to Monday and I'll see you then. ;)
 
Well Boo the trade deficit did fall for the 7th straight month in February - that means the 1Q GDP will be revised up some on the final revision. 2Q GDP may actually be positive. I believe the market will ignore these earnings and look to the future. Already the Transports are up nearly 40% since early March - that's a sign of economic growth coming. I'm inclined to pay attention to Raymond Merriman because there is a shift in investor sentiment changing from fear to greed.
 
I was listening to a radio station on the way home today. For the life of
me, I can't remember the man being interviewed. He wrote a book that
was entitled,,,, something like,,,, The Next Great Depression. He claims
that the current economic situation the US finds itself in will become
clear by the year 2010 thru 2011. He believed the Dow could drop to the
2000 level. It all seemed unbelievable until he claimed the Government
was fudging figures and the Administration was hog tied. It was those
claims which rang true for me. We've seen it before. Are we on the
threshhold of another Depression ? Is Jim Cramer wrong again ? Are the
babyboomers going to see the worse that the Economy has to offer ?
Heck, I don't know and my hope overrides much of the fear I had just
a few months ago. For those who believe there is truth in numbers (like
me) I will be watching closely and questioning everything. It sure does
feel good to see the Market rally and recoup some losses. But the reality
of the future is still unclear, thus, caution must be a part of our decision
making process. Looking forward to Monday and I'll see you then. ;)

My take is that trying to read our economy moving forward is darn near impossible. The challenge to our economy has to include markets outside of our own.

The Government doesn't fudge numbers, do they? Jim Cramer would tell us right? :rolleyes:
 
My take is that trying to read our economy moving forward is darn near impossible. The challenge to our economy has to include markets outside of our own.

The Government doesn't fudge numbers, do they? Jim Cramer would tell us right? :rolleyes:

I guess thats where the Global part comes in, when you hear about the
Global Economy. The Author I was referring to, on the radio, spoke of
utilizing models they've developed etc... etc... When it comes right down
to it, I agree that its mostly spectulation and few have any clue as to how
this economy with turn out. I'm still leaning on better then expected Earnings
being reported and HOPEFULLY better future outlooks (though tough).;)
 
is it harry s dent? http://www.hsdent.com/

I'm located in southern nazi jersey under the rule of Czarzine.
was it 1210am u were listening to?

Why yes it was ! It was Dent on the program.
Thanks so much for helping me out. I live in
Camden County, but drive to Salem/Cumber
County for work. 1210 AM keeps my tired
brain occupied during the 55 minute trip. :)

Love the analogy. We should have seperated from North Jersey
years ago, when we had the chance. :)
 
EFA goes positive +0.22% and the EAFE hasn't moved since 9:40am? +0.27%

Glad I lowered my (S) percentages as I felt the (S) would lead downward
if we saw some major consolidation. (AGG) is up +0.45% but that means
little in the way of returns that the (F) may show come 4pm. Fingers are
crossed. :confused:
 
Monday - April 13, 2009
The EAFE INDEX closed up +0.94% and the EFA closed up

+0.99%. The (I) Fund closed up +1.16%. The swings we've
seen to the Overpayment Side makes a Long Term reversal
increasingly possible, as time marches by. And yet, we still
are situated in the single digit (goal) area of the O/D Tracker
and the Fund Managers seem to like there. ;)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/16/09) -0.1584 tsp cents
(03/17/09)+0.0236 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/18/09)+0.2385 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/19/09) -0.1790 tsp cents
(03/20/09) -0.1812 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/23/09)+0.0949 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(03/24/09) -0.2058 tsp cents
(03/25/09) -0.1030 tsp cents
(03/26/09) -0.0695 tsp cents
(03/27/09) -0.0723 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/30/09) -0.0694 tsp cents
(03/31/09) -0.0732 tsp cents
(04/01/09)+0.0337 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(04/02/09) -0.0764 tsp cents
(04/03/09)+0.0274 tsp cents (Overpaid)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(04/06/09) -0.0775 tsp cents
(04/07/09) -0.1543 tsp cents
(04/08/09) +0.0026 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(04/09/09) +0.0332 tsp cents (Overpaid)
(04/10/09) +0.0332 tsp cents (Holiday)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(04/13/09) +0.0605 tsp cents (Overpaid):suspicious:


THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Elevated Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip - A - Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met) :suspicious:
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
We should have seperated from North Jersey
years ago, when we had the chance. :)

So, when I lived in Burlington County years ago would I have been with ya or agin ya? Some folks told me I should refer to it as "exit 5". I never figured out where North and South was, guess it depended on where you lived.
 
So, when I lived in Burlington County years ago would I have been with ya or agin ya? Some folks told me I should refer to it as "exit 5". I never figured out where North and South was, guess it depended on where you lived.

Howdy X-neighbor (ag'in ya) ! :D While traveling south down the
NJ Parkway from the Asbury Park area (grew up in) you'll notice
where the trees turn from Oak to Pine. It's the Ocean County area
(high school) and thats the location I always believed was the true
border between North and South. One other thing. North of that
border you'll find NY Stations and Giants Fans, South into Ocean
County you see Philly TV and Eagles Fans. Before moving to Camden
County, I thought this was Cow and Tomato Country as I never
truly understood why (coming from up north) everyone called N.J.
the Garden State. Heck, working in Salem County, now I know how
to chew tobaccy and tip cows. (LoL). Thanks for the memories ! ;)
 
Monday - April 13, 2009
I've added + and - signs at the end of each day to easily see if the
(I) Fund closed "Up" or "Down" for that day. ;)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/16/09) -0.1584 tsp cents +
(03/17/09)+0.0236 tsp cents (Overpaid) +
(03/18/09)+0.2385 tsp cents (Overpaid) +
(03/19/09) -0.1790 tsp cents +
(03/20/09) -0.1812 tsp cents -

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/23/09)+0.0949 tsp cents (Overpaid) +
(03/24/09) -0.2058 tsp cents -
(03/25/09) -0.1030 tsp cents +
(03/26/09) -0.0695 tsp cents +
(03/27/09) -0.0723 tsp cents -

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(03/30/09) -0.0694 tsp cents -
(03/31/09) -0.0732 tsp cents +
(04/01/09)+0.0337 tsp cents (Overpaid) +
(04/02/09) -0.0764 tsp cents +
(04/03/09)+0.0274 tsp cents (Overpaid) +

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(04/06/09) -0.0775 tsp cents -
(04/07/09) -0.1543 tsp cents -
(04/08/09) +0.0026 tsp cents (Overpaid) +
(04/09/09) +0.0332 tsp cents (Overpaid) +
(04/10/09) +0.0332 tsp cents (Holiday) ~

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(04/13/09) +0.0605 tsp cents (Overpaid) +:suspicious:


THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Elevated Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip - A - Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met) :suspicious:
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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