Squalebear's Account Talk

One last thing. I'm changing my "FUTURE" Contributions from 100% (G)
Fund to 100% (I) Fund to get some money back into the (I) Game. So
come this Wednesday or Thursday, don't be surprised to see the Auto
Tracker showing me with a magical 1% or 2% within the (I) Fund that
doesn't exist at this time. I'm on a mission ! :D
 
Based on the recent (G) Fund Rate increase (it was 2.125%)
I think we'll see a .0024 TSP Cent gain in the (G) today. The
current rate is at 2.75% which equals to 0.0528846% daily.
Just how the Fund Managers wish to spread it out is anyones
guess, but I thought you'd like to know that the (G) payout
is abit better then it has been. ;)

So much for my predictions. ($0.0010 tsp cents) :confused:
 
Friday - February 06, 2009
The Fund Managers brought down the Deficit by adding $0.14 TSP
Cents to the kitty and the (I) Funders should be loving it. The Deficit
sits within single digits (their goal) at $0.0301 TSP Cents. Should we
have a good day on Monday, we must hope that they leave the Deficit
alone and we pocket every penny. Should the Market turn for the
worse, then we must hope that the fund managers flow into the
Overpayment area of the O/D Tracker (not likely). Good Luck and
have a Great Weekend.

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/01/09) -0.0000 tsp cents
(01/02/09) -0.0315 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/05/09) -0.2193 tsp cents
(01/06/09)+0.0027 tsp cents
(01/07/09) -0.4067tsp cents
(01/08/09) -0.1243 tsp cents
(01/09/09) -0.3787 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/12/09) -0.3663 tsp cents
(01/13/09) -0.1949 tsp cents
(01/14/09) -0.3111 tsp cents
(01/15/09)+0.0170 tsp cents
(01/16/09) -0.1785 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/19/09) -0.0040 tsp cents
(01/20/09) -0.3872 tsp cents
(01/21/09)+0.0993 tsp cents
(01/22/09) -0.1688 tsp cents
(01/23/09)+0.0226 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/26/09) -0.1724 tsp cents
(01/27/09) -0.1727 tsp cents
(01/28/09) -0.1729 tsp cents
(01/29/09) -0.3744 tsp cents
(01/30/09) -0.2566 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/02/09) -0.0966 tsp cents
(02/03/09) -0.0500 tsp cents
(02/04/09) -0.2773 tsp cents
(02/05/09) -0.1558 tsp cents
(02/06/09) -0.0301 tsp cents :)

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met) :)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Mid-Range Level)
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Friday - February 06, 2009

YTD IDX returns: YTD TSP returns: YTD SB current returns:
$SPX= -03.84%.....C=...-03.54%...-6.9193% (my figures)
DWC.= -02.25%.....S=...-02.65%...
EAFE= -07.86%......I=...-08.09%...
.............................F=...-01.15%...
.............................G=...+00.23%...

MTD IDX returns: MTD TSP returns:MTD SB current returns:
$SPX=+05.23%.....C=...+05.31%...-0.0766%(my figures)
DWC.=+05.16%.....S=...+06.03%..
EAFE=+04.87%......I=...+04.36%..
.............................F=...-00.29%...
.............................G=...+00.04%..
 
All three Indexes are showing a poor opening.

Dow Futures= -0.65%
Nas Futures = -0.69%
S&P Futures = -0.80%

Japan +1.99%

Fear not the Futures this early in the game. They
are not always indicative of what the market will
do during the trading day and they could turn to
the green even before the market opens. I'll be
back in the morning to see how things have changed. ;)
 
Monday - February 09, 2009

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/05/09) -0.2193 tsp cents
(01/06/09)+0.0027 tsp cents
(01/07/09) -0.4067tsp cents
(01/08/09) -0.1243 tsp cents
(01/09/09) -0.3787 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/12/09) -0.3663 tsp cents
(01/13/09) -0.1949 tsp cents
(01/14/09) -0.3111 tsp cents
(01/15/09)+0.0170 tsp cents
(01/16/09) -0.1785 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/19/09) -0.0040 tsp cents
(01/20/09) -0.3872 tsp cents
(01/21/09)+0.0993 tsp cents
(01/22/09) -0.1688 tsp cents
(01/23/09)+0.0226 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/26/09) -0.1724 tsp cents
(01/27/09) -0.1727 tsp cents
(01/28/09) -0.1729 tsp cents
(01/29/09) -0.3744 tsp cents
(01/30/09) -0.2566 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/02/09) -0.0966 tsp cents
(02/03/09) -0.0500 tsp cents
(02/04/09) -0.2773 tsp cents
(02/05/09) -0.1558 tsp cents
(02/06/09) -0.0301 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/09/09) -0.1648 tsp cents :confused:

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Mid-Range Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin) :confused:
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Tuesday - February 10, 2009

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/05/09) -0.2193 tsp cents
(01/06/09)+0.0027 tsp cents
(01/07/09) -0.4067tsp cents
(01/08/09) -0.1243 tsp cents
(01/09/09) -0.3787 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/12/09) -0.3663 tsp cents
(01/13/09) -0.1949 tsp cents
(01/14/09) -0.3111 tsp cents
(01/15/09)+0.0170 tsp cents
(01/16/09) -0.1785 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/19/09) -0.0040 tsp cents
(01/20/09) -0.3872 tsp cents
(01/21/09)+0.0993 tsp cents
(01/22/09) -0.1688 tsp cents
(01/23/09)+0.0226 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/26/09) -0.1724 tsp cents
(01/27/09) -0.1727 tsp cents
(01/28/09) -0.1729 tsp cents
(01/29/09) -0.3744 tsp cents
(01/30/09) -0.2566 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/02/09) -0.0966 tsp cents
(02/03/09) -0.0500 tsp cents
(02/04/09) -0.2773 tsp cents
(02/05/09) -0.1558 tsp cents
(02/06/09) -0.0301 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/09/09) -0.1648 tsp cents
(02/10/09) -0.4122 tsp cents :nuts:

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming) :nuts:
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Mid-Range Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
We've been here before. Prices are low. Just two days ago, the Market
was ignoring Bad News. Today holds a possible rebound, but the selloff
was so outrageous yesterday, I feel comfortable with buy some cheap
shares and adding some more at risk dollars.

<1%IFT at COB today:

86%(G)
06%(F)
04%(C)
03%(S)
01%(I)

Good Luck Everyone ! :)
 
<1%IFT at COB today:

Good Luck Everyone ! :)


Good morning SB,
I thought this was a real stroke of genius and I sincerely commend you for it. At one point I wondered about the safety - and feared for the worst and I appologize for that. With deeper consideration of everything - especially the L Funds - I'm now convinced that either Transaction costs are not a factor at this level or if somehow it became an issue the L Funds would be eliminated before anyone here would be bothered.

So EXCELLENT JOB my friend - I hope you the best!

Steady
 
Good morning SB,
I thought this was a real stroke of genius and I sincerely commend you for it. At one point I wondered about the safety - and feared for the worst and I appologize for that. With deeper consideration of everything - especially the L Funds - I'm now convinced that either Transaction costs are not a factor at this level or if somehow it became an issue the L Funds would be eliminated before anyone here would be bothered.

So EXCELLENT JOB my friend - I hope you the best!

Steady

Thanks Steady, trying to be more right then wrong has been tough as
of late. Here's hoping the Stimulus is voted in the House on Thurs & the
Senate on Fri. Should that happen, I think I want to be in as much as
possible. Good Luck to you as well, my good friend. ;)
 
Wednesday - February 11, 2009

Nice payback against the EAFE Index today. The (I) Fund holds in
the "Blue" high deficit area and the previous entries in the O/D
Tracker shows a likely payback again tomorrow. Lets hope its not
on a down day and we see some extra pennies ontop of a good day.

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....

(01/05/09) -0.2193 tsp cents
(01/06/09)+0.0027 tsp cents
(01/07/09) -0.4067tsp cents
(01/08/09) -0.1243 tsp cents
(01/09/09) -0.3787 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/12/09) -0.3663 tsp cents
(01/13/09) -0.1949 tsp cents
(01/14/09) -0.3111 tsp cents
(01/15/09)+0.0170 tsp cents
(01/16/09) -0.1785 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/19/09) -0.0040 tsp cents
(01/20/09) -0.3872 tsp cents
(01/21/09)+0.0993 tsp cents
(01/22/09) -0.1688 tsp cents
(01/23/09)+0.0226 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/26/09) -0.1724 tsp cents
(01/27/09) -0.1727 tsp cents
(01/28/09) -0.1729 tsp cents
(01/29/09) -0.3744 tsp cents
(01/30/09) -0.2566 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/02/09) -0.0966 tsp cents
(02/03/09) -0.0500 tsp cents
(02/04/09) -0.2773 tsp cents
(02/05/09) -0.1558 tsp cents
(02/06/09) -0.0301 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/09/09) -0.1648 tsp cents
(02/10/09) -0.4122 tsp cents
(02/11/09) -0.2205 tsp cents :D

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Mid-Range Level) :D
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
FERS Sick Leave Benefit Introduced
February 11, 2009

Congressman Jim Moran (D-VA), and Congressman Frank Wolf (R-VA), introduced legislation yesterday authored by Moran, the "FERS Sick Leave Equity Act" that provides federal employees under the FERS retirement system a sick leave benefit equal to that of employees under the CSRS retirement system.

The so-called "sick leave" benefit adds any unused sick leave to the number of years an employee has worked for the purposes of determining their annuity during retirement.

"FERS 'use-it or lose-it' system for sick leave hampers productivity and increases training costs," said Moran. "We need to be incentivizing the accrual of sick leave, not encouraging employees to call in sick in the weeks leading up to retirement."

The FERS retirement system does not include a sick leave benefit. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) estimates that this policy is costing taxpayers $68 million per year. However, federal employees under the older CSRS retirement system are currently able to convert unused sick leave at retirement into an increase in their annual annuity.

"This bipartisan legislation will correct a longstanding inequity between the two federal retirement programs," Wolf said. "It also will increase efficiency by cutting down on use of sick leave prior to an employee's retirement, which has cost taxpayers $68 million each year."

In 1969, Congress added a sick leave benefit for CSRS employees after data showed that the use of sick leave went up dramatically nearing the time of retirement. The Civil Service Commission -- the forerunner to OPM -- estimated that half of all retiring federal employees had no sick leave; their reports showed that retiring employees prior to 1969 used an average of 40 sick leave days in their last year of employment.

"Congress ignored the lessons learned under CSRS and history is repeating itself," Moran added. "Our federal workforce is the best in the world; they deserve a benefit designed to reward, not punish, those who play by the rules."

"The cost of sick leave used by federal employees continues to rise, and the loss of productivity becomes more apparent as there is no incentive for FERS employees to conserve sick leave," commented Federal Managers Association National President Darryl Perkinson. "By placing a value on sick leave, FERS employees are encouraged to use their leave responsibly."

John Gage, President American Federation of Government Employees stated "AFGE strongly endorses Rep. Moran's legislation, which would correct a longstanding inequity between CSRS and FERS. The incentive to save sick leave for retirement credit later is good for the government while the employee is working, and is an appropriate reward for dedicated employees upon their retirement."

"Our organization firmly believes these retiring workers should receive the same benefits as those retirees covered under the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS)," stated Sue Webster, National President of Federally Employeed Women (FEW). "FEW asserts that we should not keep a system in place that strips federal workers of sick leave that they have earned over the years," Webster added. A Congressional Research Service report from August 2007, found that sick leave balances are lower for FERS employees than CSRS employees. Independent studies by the Bureau of Prisons have reached the same conclusion with OPM confirming it in their own analysis. In a recent survey of FERS and CSRS employees, 85% of CSRS employees said they conserved as much sick leave as possible. On the other hand, 75% of FERS employees said they would use as much sick leave as possible during their last years.

Today, federal columunist, Mike Causey, gives some history on the government's sick leave policy, stating "for many years feds couldn't credit sick leave toward retirement. There was evidence of sick leave abuse. Studies showed that a lot of people were using a lot of sick leave just before retirement. As a result, Congress decided to give feds an incentive not to use sick leave when they weren't ill."
(Read the full commentary on FederalNewsRadio.com here)

According to Moran's office, the bill has been endorsed by the following organizations:
• American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE)
• American Foreign Service Association (AFSA)
• American Postal Workers Union (APWU)
• FAA Managers Association (FAAMA)
• Federal Managers Association (FMA)
• Federally Employed Women (FEW)
• Government Managers Coalition (GMC)
• Senior Executives Association (SEA)
• National Council of Social Security Management Associations (NCSSMA)
• Professional Managers Association (PMA)
• National Association of Government Employees (NAGE)
• National Association of Postal Supervisors (NAPS)
• National Active and Retired Federal Employees Association (NARFE)
• National Federation of Federal Employees (NFFE)
• National Rural Letter Carriers Association (NRLCA)
• National Treasury Employees Union (NTEU)

 
My wife says; Without no stimulus, nothing goes up !
Hmmmm, maybe the House will vote for the pork and
we'll see upward momentum.

:nuts:(Keep thoughs minds out of the gutter) :nuts:
 
Thursday - February 12, 2009
"The O/D Tracker shows a likely payback again tomorrow. Lets hope
its not on a down day" Well, the EAFE Index was down a whopping
-2.20% and the $0.20 TSP Cent payback came at the best time
possible. The (I) Fund sits within its "Goal Area" (Black) of the O/D
Tracker. Tommorrow's possible rally could result in a "Deficit" and
the (I) Fund might underperform the EAFE Index. Let's hope its a
huge rally and the deficit leave us smiling non the less. :confused:

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/12/09) -0.3663 tsp cents
(01/13/09) -0.1949 tsp cents
(01/14/09) -0.3111 tsp cents
(01/15/09)+0.0170 tsp cents
(01/16/09) -0.1785 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/19/09) -0.0040 tsp cents
(01/20/09) -0.3872 tsp cents
(01/21/09)+0.0993 tsp cents
(01/22/09) -0.1688 tsp cents
(01/23/09)+0.0226 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(01/26/09) -0.1724 tsp cents
(01/27/09) -0.1727 tsp cents
(01/28/09) -0.1729 tsp cents
(01/29/09) -0.3744 tsp cents
(01/30/09) -0.2566 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/02/09) -0.0966 tsp cents
(02/03/09) -0.0500 tsp cents
(02/04/09) -0.2773 tsp cents
(02/05/09) -0.1558 tsp cents
(02/06/09) -0.0301 tsp cents

.....DATE..........YTD TSP CENTS.....
(02/09/09) -0.1648 tsp cents
(02/10/09) -0.4122 tsp cents
(02/11/09) -0.2205 tsp cents
(02/12/09) -0.0243 tsp cents :blink:

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
-.3000 thru-.3999 Elavated Deficit, (Windfall Coming)
-.2000 thru-.2999 High Deficit (Mid-Range Level)
-.0100 thru-.1999 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
-.0000 thru-.0999 Low Deficit (Goal is Met) :blink:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ---
+ .0000 thru +.0999 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
+ .1000 thru +.1999 Medium Overpayment (Flip - A - Coin)
+ .2000 thru +.2999 High Overpayment, (Elevated Payback)
+ .3000 thru +.3999 Elevated Overpayment, (Payback Imminent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Thank you for the updates O'l Bear :)

I did my part this week to support the I-Fund, by going to Wal Mart and buying a 32" LCD/HD TV for the wife for Valentines Day :cheesy:
 
I'm seeing the (S) Fund take the lead again. I'm seeing a vote in the
Senate before Tuesday. With Monday being a Holiday, anything a do
today will have to stand until Tuesday for Wednesday Trading. Thus,
I did a <1%IFT and added to my risk position.

83%(G)
07%(F)
05%(C)
04%(S)
01%(I)

I've continued to add to the (F) Fund as a buffer against a down day
in stocks. I have enough in stocks to see a weeks worth of (G) style
profit on any given Up Day in stocks. So far, it's working out just fine. ;)
 
The EAFE INDEX is +0.73% :) while the EFA is down -0.46% :mad:

Too early to tell, but the above calls for a slightly positive day
unless the Fund Managers add to the deficit and leave us unchanged.
Again, its way too early to tell, but the EAFE is looking good against
a small deficit of $0.02 TSP Cents. ;)
 
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