Show-me Account Talk

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Re: UN warns world lacks food

Show-me said:
They must be losing market share and routes. Bad news is coming for them no matter what, they can not continue in their current form. Very sad for the DFW area.
Click to expand...
Yeah. When Continental merged with United we have been fighting to keep our hub status. I think it makes sense we are in between Newark and Chicago. Both are heavily congested and we can take on a few more take-off and landings. But I don't see the big picture. :cheesy:
 
Emotions are running high.

My emotions are running high and if I could I would exit tonight. Tomorrow is the BIG jobs report and it is sell off Friday...............CRAP! My emotions say run, Iran, Israel, jobs, election, pay freeze, military down sizing, Iraq turning to crap, Greece, PIIGS, earnings season over, do nothing Congress, ..............................

I don't know if I ever said this but sometimes charting can make something out of nothing. Your fear is transfigured into the charts.

The SPX had a flat top and then popped, but the pop has not made a higher high. The TRAN is displaying a flat top and looks to be struggling very short term. It's the leader and it's making me squirm. The EMW is still a rocket and shows no weakness. The EFA is up against the 200 sma and the FTSE is showing a top too. The VIX is getting ripe......................got UVXY. To the emotional, me, we are in the midst of a perfect confluence of events and charting evidence, buuuuuut emotions suck and make you miss returns and this is why the 55% is still in the market. I am thinking of lightening my position to reduce my risk but my emotions and trading paralysis is telling me that if I do I waste a IFT.

I'm up 6.26% YTD, I like it and I feel like taking a vacaton.

efa.pngspx.pngtran.png
 
Re: The trend is your friend!

I'll admit, the thought of a double top has crossed my mind. So many of the comments on this board have been portending doom. If that's what the little guys are thinking, then the big guys might just take it higher. Until the bears give up and push all in, and then the bottom falls out.
 
Re: The trend is your friend!

FED's doing thier bond thing next week. Jump into F for a short fling and then either G or back to S for the run up. Last year the market was profitable through April. The S&P 500 hit a high of 1363 in late April. The overall news and forward thinking is not much different now than back then. We could very well see this rally go until early May just like last year. Darn I wish my crystal ball was out of the shop. Good luck everyone.
 
Re: Emotions are running high.

Show-me said:
My emotions are running high and if I could I would exit tonight. Tomorrow is the BIG jobs report and it is sell off Friday...............CRAP! My emotions say run, Iran, Israel, jobs, election, pay freeze, military down sizing, Iraq turning to crap, Greece, PIIGS, earnings season over, do nothing Congress, ..............................

I don't know if I ever said this but sometimes charting can make something out of nothing. Your fear is transfigured into the charts.

The SPX had a flat top and then popped, but the pop has not made a higher high. The TRAN is displaying a flat top and looks to be struggling very short term. It's the leader and it's making me squirm. The EMW is still a rocket and shows no weakness. The EFA is up against the 200 sma and the FTSE is showing a top too. The VIX is getting ripe......................got UVXY. To the emotional, me, we are in the midst of a perfect confluence of events and charting evidence, buuuuuut emotions suck and make you miss returns and this is why the 55% is still in the market. I am thinking of lightening my position to reduce my risk but my emotions and trading paralysis is telling me that if I do I waste a IFT.

I'm up 6.26% YTD, I like it and I feel like taking a vacaton.
Click to expand...

You've got a good feel for the market, Show-me. I enjoy your posts. Keep up the good work.

JR
 
Re: Emotions are running high.

I pulled out but left a 20% position in the S fund. Here I sit for the prime opportunity to go back into the market, but I do not care if I miss some gains at this point. Next week I will rest easy as my return is solid and my risk is low.
 
Re: Emotions are running high.

Check out Tom's comments on the weekly wrap up, look at the seasonality chart and then cross it with the two 30 year treasury auctions.
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/entry.php?1734-TSP-Talk-Weekly-Wrap-Up&bt=4801


http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/quarterly-refunding/documents/auctions.pdf

This Thursday is the 30 year Treasury Auction but the following Thursday is the 30 year TIPS Treasury Auction. I'm getting the popcorn out for the next two weeks and watching this one from the side lines.​
Click to expand...

Funny how it lines up with your seasonality chart. Next Thur. is the 7th trading day and the following Thur. is the 12th trading day. OMG!
Click to expand...
 
Re: UN warns world lacks food

Check out Tom's comments on the weekly wrap up, look at the seasonality chart and then cross it with the two 30 year treasury auctions.
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/entry.php?...rap-Up&bt=4801


http://www.treasury.gov/resource-cen...s/auctions.pdf

This Thursday is the 30 year Treasury Auction but the following Thursday is the 30 year TIPS Treasury Auction. I'm getting the popcorn out for the next two weeks and watching this one from the side lines.

Funny how it lines up with your seasonality chart. Next Thur. is the 7th trading day and the following Thur. is the 12th trading day. OMG!



Sidelines as in G fund or F fund. I would think the F fund might be the place to be for all of this.​
 
Re: UN warns world lacks food

nasa1974 said:
Check out Tom's comments on the weekly wrap up, look at the seasonality chart and then cross it with the two 30 year treasury auctions.
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/entry.php?...rap-Up&bt=4801


http://www.treasury.gov/resource-cen...s/auctions.pdf
This Thursday is the 30 year Treasury Auction but the following Thursday is the 30 year TIPS Treasury Auction. I'm getting the popcorn out for the next two weeks and watching this one from the side lines.

Funny how it lines up with your seasonality chart. Next Thur. is the 7th trading day and the following Thur. is the 12th trading day. OMG!



Sidelines as in G fund or F fund. I would think the F fund might be the place to be for all of this.​
Click to expand...

You're right NASA, they match up perfectly. It will be an interesting time for the markets this week and next!

JR
 
Re: UN warns world lacks food

Everything I read today about Greece leads me to believe the leadership does not have the political will to do as they are told. If you are a begger and you want the money you better fall in line and play ball, but then there is pride and the Greeks are a proud people. Yet another deadline of noon tomorrow, but it sounds like they are trying to get the political leaders of Greece to agree to the troika demands, I said demands not negotiations. Pride is a strong emotion.
 
Re: Don't fall in love with the downside and keep emotions out of it.

Show-me said:
These charts are very bullish.
Click to expand...

Just because they have gone up, doesn't mean they will continue up... the levels the markets are at are unrealistic to the economic conditions of the global economy... just saying
 
Re: Don't fall in love with the downside and keep emotions out of it.

RealMoneyIssues said:
Just because they have gone up, doesn't mean they will continue up... the levels the markets are at are unrealistic to the economic conditions of the global economy... just saying
Click to expand...

Or are you upset that you are on the sidelines and not riding the choo choo train? :)

Just saying... ;)
 
Re: Don't fall in love with the downside and keep emotions out of it.

I am, but I will have to live with it. The charts a blowing us out, but I want to reduce my risk. I would love to see us test the lower bollinger band for a new entry point.
 
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