userque
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 36
No objections, Your Honor.
Seeing as there are no objections; the modifications as 'requested' by RMI and acquiesced by Que are hereby, so ordered, and made final and binding
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S-fund Challenge! Guesses
- Thread starter ebbnflow
- Start date
Seeing as there are no objections; the modifications as 'requested' by RMI and acquiesced by Que are hereby, so ordered, and made final and binding
userque
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 36
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
Nice to be sitting in cash whenever the stock market drops. Even nicer if you're short.
Unofficial (Apr. 23, 2014): C -0.22%; S -0.55%; I -0.04%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.4%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%). Cash: 4 lost, 4 won.
Thursday: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.1%): C 54.3%, S 53.4%, I 48.6%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; cash S-fund; short I-fund.
Don't forget to put your game face on.
Unofficial (Apr. 24, 2014): C +0.17%; S -0.18%; I +0.06%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).
Friday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.4%): C 55.2%, S 53.8% (DP WP: 71%), I 54.2%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.
Friday's pattern 4 is long instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 1st day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of 71% (see double-patterns chart below).
RealMoneyIssues
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 101
Didn't like price action today... provides too many questions versus answers...
I will say up tomorrow because it is a Friday... I guess we will see...
I will say up tomorrow because it is a Friday... I guess we will see...
RealMoneyIssues
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 101
Wow, so wrong... what the heck is going on... I am now starting to doubt BT's premise, where is the strength... gone in 60 seconds, no conviction by investors
Bquat
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 598
Ukrainian fears.
RealMoneyIssues
TSP Legend
- Reaction score
- 101
That has no bearing on our markets, commodities or equities... I believe you will find institutional investors are selling into retail investor buying...
This is turning from a market pause into a market top... There has been no proof otherwise (no higher highs, all lower highs)...
Bquat
TSP Talk Royalty
- Reaction score
- 598
Ok, just don't be scaring me buddy.
RMI,
Although some emotional influence from the Ukraine issue could be a factor in the selling before the weekend, because we don't know the full consequences if Russia will invade. However, you might be right, that Institutional Investors could be selling, because they are not insulated from world affairs.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
Don't forget to put your game face on.
Unofficial (Apr. 24, 2014): C +0.17%; S -0.18%; I +0.06%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).
Friday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.4%): C 55.2%, S 53.8% (DP WP: 71%), I 54.2%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.
Friday's pattern 4 is long instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 1st day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of 71% (see double-patterns chart below).
Investors take cover as acid rain from Ukraine erodes market sentiment.
Unofficial (Apr. 25, 2014): C -0.81%; S -1.60%; I -0.36%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.5%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/13 (62%). Long: 5/7 (71%). Short: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).
Monday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.1%): C 54.9%, S 53.5% (DP WP: 29%), I 53.9%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; short S-fund; cash I-fund.
Monday's 's pattern 4 is short instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 2nd day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of only 29% (see double-patterns chart below).
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
- Reaction score
- 30
Investors take cover as acid rain from Ukraine erodes market sentiment.
Unofficial (Apr. 25, 2014): C -0.81%; S -1.60%; I -0.36%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.5%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/13 (62%). Long: 5/7 (71%). Short: 3/6 (50%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).
Monday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.1%): C 54.9%, S 53.5% (DP WP: 29%), I 53.9%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; short S-fund; cash I-fund.
Monday's 's pattern 4 is short instead of cash because of a double pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-28). The 2nd day of double pattern 4-4 has a win percentage of only 29% (see double-patterns chart below).
Well, son of a Birch!
Unofficial (Apr. 28, 2014): C +0.32%; S -0.55%; I -0.10%.
Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.3%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.1%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).
S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 9/14 (64%). Long: 5/7 (71%). Short: 4/7 (57%). Cash: green (2 up, 2 down); red (2 up, 3 down).
Tuesday: Pattern 4/grn-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 54.0%): C 55.1%, S 53.3% (TP WP: 0/2), I 53.7%.
Forecast: long C-fund; short S-fund; cash I-fund.
Tuesday's pattern 4 is short instead of cash because of a triple pattern on the ebbchart (Apr. 25-29). The 3rd day of triple pattern 4-4-4 is 0/2 in win percentage (see double-patterns chart below).
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