S-fund Challenge! Guesses

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Re: S-fund Challenge!

ebbnflow said:
No emotions involved in following the signals. Let the chips fall where they may! :D

Unofficial: C +0.14%; S +0.39%; I +0.48%.

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.7%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (54.1%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.4%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.6%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 7/10 (70%). Corrected.

Monday: Pattern 2/grn-grn-red. Win Percentage (CSI 53.3%): C 54.9, S 51.7%, I 53.2%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; short S-fund; cash I-fund.

041614b.gif
Click to expand...

Unofficial (Apr. 21, 2014): C +0.38%; S +0.44%; I -0.11% (last Friday's gain of +0.11% is combined with today's loss of -0.22%).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (54.1%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.4%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.6%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 7/11 (64%). Longs (4/5). Shorts (3/6).

Tuesday: Pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.7%): C 53.1, S 55.6%, I 49.4%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; long S-fund; short I-fund.

041714b.gif
 
Re: S-fund Challenge!

Walker Sr. is Short
Jr. is Long
I am Long ("That's what she said":cool:)

All for 4-23-14
 
Re: S-fund Challenge!

ebbnflow said:
Unofficial (Apr. 21, 2014): C +0.38%; S +0.44%; I -0.11% (last Friday's gain of +0.11% is combined with today's loss of -0.22%).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (54.1%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.4%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.6%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 7/11 (64%). Longs (4/5). Shorts (3/6).

Tuesday: Pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.7%): C 53.1, S 55.6%, I 49.4%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; long S-fund; short I-fund.

041714b.gif
Click to expand...

In this bull market -- where the S&P 500 has had a win percentage of 55% over the last 7 years -- anyone can look like a genius! Just don't get caught up in the euphoria. :D

Unofficial (Apr. 22, 2014): C +0.41%; S +1.07%; I +0.78%.

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (54.1%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.4%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%).

Wednesday: Pattern 6/red-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 53.4%): C 52.5, S 54.1%, I 53.5%.
Forecast: short C-fund; cash S-fund; cash I-fund.

04_21_14b.gif
 
Re: S-fund Challenge!

The Walker's are both LONG.

I'm SHORT 'till further notice.

UPDATE: ...for 4-24-14
 
Re: S-fund Challenge!

ebbnflow said:
In this bull market -- where the S&P 500 has had a win percentage of 55% over the last 7 years -- anyone can look like a genius! Just don't get caught up in the euphoria. :D

Unofficial (Apr. 22, 2014): C +0.41%; S +1.07%; I +0.78%.

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (54.1%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.4%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%). Cash: 4 ups, 4 downs.

Wednesday: Pattern 6/red-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 53.4%): C 52.5, S 54.1%, I 53.5%.
Forecast: short C-fund; cash S-fund; cash I-fund.

04_21_14b.gif
Click to expand...

Nice to be sitting in cash whenever the stock market drops. Even nicer if you're short. :D

Unofficial (Apr. 23, 2014): C -0.22%; S -0.55%; I -0.04%.

Short Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (51.9%); 8/red-grn-red (52.4%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 4/grn-red-grn (53.8%); 6/red-red-grn (53.9%); 7/red-grn-grn (53.4%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (55.8%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (60.1%).

S&P 500: 55.0% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.0%; long > 55.0%.
Accuracy: 8/12 (67%). Longs: 5/6 (83%). Shorts: 3/6 (50%). Cash: 4 lost, 4 won.

Thursday: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.1%): C 54.3%, S 53.4%, I 48.6%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; cash S-fund; short I-fund.

04_22_14b.gif
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
I meant to add 4/24 as up but was almost late for watch and didnt have time... cash is good but by the futures it looks like longs are better...

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy S4 using tapatalk...
Click to expand...

I know we get busy sometimes. I'll mark you as LONG. (I don't think Ebb will object:))

If the futures, at 6am, could determine the direction of the close, we'd all be rich.:cool:
 
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