Rolo's Account Talk

[Guest]

imported post

Given theright timeframe, you can say that any fund is the strongest or the weakest.

 

[cowboy]

imported post

Very true! Saraho. Are you still spread out in all 4 fundsyou were in before.

 

[Guest]

imported post

cowboy wrote:

Very true! Saraho. Are you still spread out in all 4 fundsyou were in before.

Yes. I'm still neutral to slightly positive on the equities at this point so I have 75% spread among them, with 25% G.

By the way, for history buffs, down Januarys followed by up Februarys (if thatshow we end up)tend to leave March as a question mark.

March was one of the worst months last year (-1.7%) but that followed after an up Jan and up Feb. However, Marchis usually an OK month for returns.

 

[Rolo]

imported post

Yeah, but the last March in an odd-numbered year was quite killer!

 

[cowboy]

imported post

Looking at the markets I have to agree with Tom that the market has peaked and we will see some draw back in all of the funds. Im thinking the March history is upon us already.

 

[Spaf]

imported post

Hey Rolo!

Check it out and see what you think!

RSI (relative strength indicator)
http://stockcharts.com/education/IndicatorAnalysis/indic_RSI.html

NYSE Bullish Percent Index
Is available at http://stockcharts .com The symbol is $BPNYA

Hey if they work fine. If you got something better, let me know!

Rgds Spaf

 

[TEUFEL HUNDEN]

imported post

Rolo wrote:

D-Dog: I just use [EFV] Ishares Trust Index (INDEX)

I don't really know what the differences are in all the EFV flavours. We should probably look to see which one mimics S more, EFA or EFV. (EFA has the ETF's management fees, I assume, and maybe currency conversion?)

I have been using EFA and it seems to be the closest match for the I fund. You wrote S but I think that was just a typo. I know you use DWCP for S. I use DWCPF it adjusts for the fees.

 

[Rolo]

imported post

AaaaahhhHHH...DWCPF doesn't show on BigCharts, though. Where do you find an explanation of all these flavours of tickers?

Yes, I meant 'I'..oops, heh...musta been lamenting my selling of S.

[line]



BPNYA doesn't show up, either...guess I need to find a BigCharts replacement. I looked at the RSI and I dunno, like most technical indicators, if you can apply it universally (I need to do some hardcore reading on the topic). The example they gave in the pic, the negative divergence > 70% to show a top, seems like it may be immutable. It's probably a way to guage whether the market is 'running out of steam', ya?

[line]

C Fund: Ain't Skeered! heh. Hopefully today's drop is just a one-day breather. Mike, you got those launch keys ready?

[align=center]

[/align]
This pattern, [font="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif"][size=-1]Bullish Side-By-Side White Lines[/size][/font],(rightmost bar is yesterday) shows some minor profit-taking and the uptrend should resume. We'll C...nyuk nyuk.

S Fund: meh.

I Fund: wee! Not another black day. Nice. Volume appears weak if EFA is any indication. I do wonder if bailing today would have been a smoove move. We'll see what FrIday holds...

 

[TEUFEL HUNDEN]

imported post

use this for big charts on the S fund

95899W10

 

[Rolo]

imported post

Interesting trendlines for AGG (F Fund); this may be a buying opportunity.

(Yes, in case I decide to run to the hills, some F may be in order.)

 

[TEUFEL HUNDEN]

imported post

Rolo wrote:

Where do you find an explanation of all these flavours of tickers?

Check this out it may provide some info

Read the fact sheet they have

http://www.djindexes.com/mdsidx/index.cfm?event=showWilshire

 

[vectorman]

imported post

Rolo where are you getting the chart where youare showing that R3M pattern, What does the long white body represent? Is it a long run during that day, but setting back down near bottom at the end of that day? Thanks

 

[vectorman]

imported post

Rolo, any idea way the S&P is so flat today?Rolo take a peek at this EFA chart. It seems lookingat the high volume spike at the end of June and the end of Dec, where the dome starts to flatten out, this action might come before a possilbe pull back. Your thoughts.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/intchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=EFA

 

[TEUFEL HUNDEN]

imported post

MI oh mIwhI do I shI about the I can it reach a new hI? Im sure it will trI

Rolo are you still 75% I?

 

[Rolo]

imported post

vectorman wrote:

Rolo where are you getting the chart where youare showing that R3M pattern, What does the long white body represent? Is it a long run during that day, but setting back down near bottom at the end of that day? Thanks

I go to HotCandlestick]http://www.hotcandlestick.com/candles.htm~hotcontent]HotCandlestick [link] [/url]for pattern info. For today, you have to use a little imagination, heh, dunno if you can really do that, but it sounds good. I just pictured today being settled at the bottom of yesterday's trading range (wish I said that yesterday...woulda had a 'whooOOOooo' factor goin' on there.)

White day = closes higher than open; long white day = closes a lot higher than open, like S&P did on Jan 18, Feb 4, 11.

I am still 75I/25C. I may be 100I soon.


Stupid link...here, paste this:

http://www.hotcandlestick.com/index.htm?[url]http://www.hotcandlestick.com/candles.htm~hotcontent[/url]

 

[vectorman]

imported post

Thanks Rolo, I really appreciate the info and help. Hey, how are you able to get on the PC so much? Night Job.

 

[Rolo]

imported post

I took some vacation time and am supposed to be working on the new house, heh, so I bounce in & out here a lot. The fun will be over Tuesday, though, and will only be on in the evenings.

 

[TEUFEL HUNDEN]

imported post

What is up with the houses there $$$$ I just bought a new one in Thornton. That should make a little chunk in about 3-5

 

[TEUFEL HUNDEN]

imported post

Here is another you could use later.

 

[Rolo]

imported post

LOL! Awesome comic!

re: S&P500 today. Ow. Quit it.

Monday being down can be a good thing, as long as the week closes higher than last week's close. Also, I am sure the long weekend gave many more time to chicken out.