Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 181
So, sounds like a crap shoot in terms of reliability.
Well, that's with anyone's "analysis." Just someone's educated guess about what will happen.
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So, sounds like a crap shoot in terms of reliability.
Eventually, everyone is right.Well, that's with anyone's "analysis." Just someone's educated guess about what will happen.
Eventually, everyone is right.
Do not let your guard down. Continue to be extremely careful navigating through this minefield. Capital preservation should be our goal in this environment until Mr. Market has stabilized. But, if you find yourself caught in a bull trap, you cannot say that you were not warned.
As of COB yesterday, all of our accounts are out of the stock market. A very simple indicator seems like it could be the trick for this market. Buy at the end of April only if price is closes above the 200 day simple moving average effective 4/30/2020. Following that simple indicator would have had me out for all of March because price closed below the 200 SMA on 2/29/2020. It suggests to be out of stocks all of April since price closed below the. 200 day SMA on 3/31/2020.
What's the take here on contributions? Just curious, Im stoked where I'm at.
Always, always, always have your contributions going into (G), and then allocate out from there. Or, you might find yourself contributing into equities on a down day. I'd much rather miss an up day than get caught with my pants down on a down day.
Fair enough, but I'm confused by your response.
I want to get into equities on a down day, when the price is lower at close. Or are you using inverse language here?
I'm talking about losing some of your payday contribution on a down day. If you have your payday contribution going into equities, and it happens to deposit on a down day, then you will lose some of it. But, if you have it going into (G), then there is no chance of losing any of it. Just IFT out from there.
Want to say Thank You Rod, for all of your posts. Yesterday was the second time you posted something that made me double think right before my move to re-enter C and S funds. Save me from big loses both times now. so Thank You again. God Bless!!!
I dig that strategy. Forgive me if this has been discussed here before.
So I just got off the phone w/ TSP and did some data mining on my acct. to determine when exactly TSP is buying shares on Contribution days. For the last 6 months, my Posting dates have been payday exactly, meaning TSP is receiving my contribution funds from my agency sometime after noon on Wednesday which gives me the price of shares on the close that Thursday: every Thursday before payday. So knowing this, I suppose we could even try to time contributions: Let them slide in on a down week, put them in G on an up week.
Beware of the inevitable "COVID-19 Has Hit Its Peak" rally. It will likely occur before the true economic shock sets in. Don't get caught up in it!
Wow...never though I would see Cuomo and Rally in the same sentence.
and typing “cuomo gave me some entertaining auto correct choices![]()