RealMoneyIssues' Account Talk

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You're going to get a headache.
 
RMI's OCD Chart - Contrarian Signal:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality
[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing
[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA
[/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method
[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend
[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels
[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS
[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross
[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model
[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[TD]My IRA
Realized
Returns[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%
[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-732[/TD]
[TD]Long-354[/TD]
[TD]Safe-998[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-188[/TD]
[TD]Long-95[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-927[/TD]
[TD]Long-395[/TD]
[TD]Safe-962[/TD]
[TD]Safe-8[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-151[/TD]
[TD]Long-114[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Apr[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-953[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-857[/TD]
[TD]Safe-4[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-36[/TD]
[TD]Long-144[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long-944[/TD]
[TD]Long-443[/TD]
[TD]Safe-923[/TD]
[TD]Safe-4[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-108[/TD]
[TD]Long-128[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long-903[/TD]
[TD]Long-407[/TD]
[TD]Safe-987[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-162[/TD]
[TD]Long-110[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long-942[/TD]
[TD]Long-452[/TD]
[TD]Safe-935[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121[/TD]
[TD]Long-123[/TD]
[TD]Hold[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short-945[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-939[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121[/TD]
[TD]Long-122[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short-1006[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Safe-995[/TD]
[TD]Safe-11[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-172[/TD]
[TD]Long-109[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-986[/TD]
[TD]Long-419[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-158[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-978[/TD]
[TD]Long-447[/TD]
[TD]Safe-977[/TD]
[TD]Safe-9[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-147[/TD]
[TD]Safe-116[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-988[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-156[/TD]
[TD]Safe-130[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Sell-2[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]-31.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-933[/TD]
[TD]Long-460[/TD]
[TD]Safe-931[/TD]
[TD]Safe-5[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-112[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4
[/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Apr[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Apr[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

UPDATE:
Ken made a late decision to move to a buy... So I am reposting. Futures are slightly up, but I doubt today will be much more than a consolidation or slightly up day. Everyone is holding their breath awaiting AAPL earnings release... Lots of blue faces today, lets see what happens.


Well, yet another interesting day. The herd is buying dips, wary people are on the sidelines, traders are mostly staying in cash, and day traders are in hog-heaven...

So, are will looking for a quick sympathy bounce from here, or is there going to more noise from Europe? Day to day is what it is going to have to be for awhile. December 19th through April 2nd would have gained you 200 pts on the SPX (18%+). If the bull run is going to continue , then making lower lows and lower highs is not the way to do it...

While some have claimed that the EU and US markets have disconnected, there is too much evidence to the contrary. Although we only lost 0.8 to 1% where the EU lost from 2-3x that much today. Will we continue, or have our markets hit support?

I think the bigger question is do we follow Birchtree to Bull bliss, or be cautious and wait and see if there is a better buying opportunity as the markets complete the "correction." Some of the market indexes have completed a trend change (lower lows, lower highs), but not all of them. Can this bull run be saved, or is there further (much further) downside to come?

Who knows... Only time will tell

Have a Blessed night and good luck tomorrow.
 
RMI's OCD Chart - Contrarian Signal:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality
[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing
[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA
[/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method
[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend
[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels
[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS
[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross
[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model
[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-732[/TD]
[TD]Long-354[/TD]
[TD]Safe-998[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-188[/TD]
[TD]Long-95[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%
[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-927[/TD]
[TD]Long-395[/TD]
[TD]Safe-962[/TD]
[TD]Safe-8[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-151[/TD]
[TD]Long-114[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Apr[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-953[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-857[/TD]
[TD]Safe-4[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-36[/TD]
[TD]Long-144[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long-944[/TD]
[TD]Long-443[/TD]
[TD]Safe-923[/TD]
[TD]Safe-4[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-108[/TD]
[TD]Long-128[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long-903[/TD]
[TD]Long-407[/TD]
[TD]Safe-987[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-162[/TD]
[TD]Long-110[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long-942[/TD]
[TD]Long-452[/TD]
[TD]Safe-935[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121[/TD]
[TD]Long-123[/TD]
[TD]Hold[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short-945[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-939[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121[/TD]
[TD]Long-122[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short-1006[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Safe-995[/TD]
[TD]Safe-11[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-172[/TD]
[TD]Long-109[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-986[/TD]
[TD]Long-419[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-158[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-978[/TD]
[TD]Long-447[/TD]
[TD]Safe-977[/TD]
[TD]Safe-9[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-147[/TD]
[TD]Safe-116[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-988[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-156[/TD]
[TD]Safe-130[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Sell-2[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-933[/TD]
[TD]Long-460[/TD]
[TD]Safe-931[/TD]
[TD]Safe-5[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-112[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-957[/TD]
[TD]Long-458[/TD]
[TD]Safe-951[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-125[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3
[/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Apr[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Apr[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Fun day tomorrow with AAPL earnings making everyone think the markets are going through the roof. BT doesn't count since he always thinks they are going through the roof...

Ken has decided to not follow his system and is personally staying on the side lines. Let's see if his decision to not follow his system is good for his TSP account or not. Maybe he will let us know the % gain by his system vice personal sidetracks...

The OCD is still on a sell. At this point I am still not convinced we are going to move up or down due to AAPL. OptionsEx, then earnings seasons, throw in a little Eurozone issues and you get a interestingly up and down market with no distinct short term direction, mixed intermediate term directions, and bulls swearing we are going to plow to AAPL at 1000 and SPX at 1500.

Only time will tell ;)

Have a Blessed Day !!
 
RMI's OCD Chart - Contrarian Signal:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date
[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks

[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks

[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality

[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing

[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA

[/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method

[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend

[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels

[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS

[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross

[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson

[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model

[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol
[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term
[/TD]
[TD]n/a
[/TD]
[TD]n/a
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD]Medium
[/TD]
[TD]Medium
[/TD]
[TD]Medium
[/TD]
[TD]Medium
[/TD]
[TD]Medium
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]???
[/TD]
[TD]n/a
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?
[/TD]
[TD]1
[/TD]
[TD]1
[/TD]
[TD]5
[/TD]
[TD]6
[/TD]
[TD]6
[/TD]
[TD]6
[/TD]
[TD]12
[/TD]
[TD]12
[/TD]
[TD]12
[/TD]
[TD]12
[/TD]
[TD]12
[/TD]
[TD]15
[/TD]
[TD]100
[/TD]
[TD]SPX
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]60%
[/TD]
[TD]57%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Long-732
[/TD]
[TD]Long-354
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-998
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-188
[/TD]
[TD]Long-95
[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]60%
[/TD]
[TD]50%
[/TD]
[TD]59%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Long-927
[/TD]
[TD]Long-395
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-962
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-8
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-151
[/TD]
[TD]Long-114
[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half
[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]20%
[/TD]
[TD]20%
[/TD]
[TD]61%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Long-953
[/TD]
[TD]Long-453
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-857
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-4
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-36
[/TD]
[TD]Long-144
[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]60%
[/TD]
[TD]70%
[/TD]
[TD]54%
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Long-944
[/TD]
[TD]Long-443
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-923
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-4
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-108
[/TD]
[TD]Long-128
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]90%
[/TD]
[TD]50%
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Long-903
[/TD]
[TD]Long-407
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-987
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-162
[/TD]
[TD]Long-110
[/TD]
[TD]Sell
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]70%
[/TD]
[TD]59%
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Long-942
[/TD]
[TD]Long-452
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-935
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121
[/TD]
[TD]Long-123
[/TD]
[TD]Hold
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]70%
[/TD]
[TD]59%
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Short-945
[/TD]
[TD]Long-453
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-939
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121
[/TD]
[TD]Long-122
[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]56%
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Short-1006
[/TD]
[TD]Long-408
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-995
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-11
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-172
[/TD]
[TD]Long-109
[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]90%
[/TD]
[TD]54%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Short-986
[/TD]
[TD]Long-419
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-158
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]100%
[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]54%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Short-978
[/TD]
[TD]Long-447
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-977
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-9
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-147
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-116
[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]44%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Short-988
[/TD]
[TD]Long-453
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-156
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-130
[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-2
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]60%
[/TD]
[TD]50%
[/TD]
[TD]43%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Short-933
[/TD]
[TD]Long-460
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-931
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-5
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-112
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Apr

[/TD]
[TD]80%
[/TD]
[TD]60%
[/TD]
[TD]48%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Short-957
[/TD]
[TD]Long-458
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-951
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6
[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-125
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD]Sell
[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3

[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Apr
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]56%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Apr
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]52%
[/TD]
[TD]Safe
[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Fun day tomorrow with AAPL earnings making everyone think the markets are going through the roof. BT doesn't count since he always thinks they are going through the roof...

Ken has decided to not follow his system and is personally staying on the side lines. Let's see if his decision to not follow his system is good for his TSP account or not. Maybe he will let us know the % gain by his system vice personal sidetracks...

The OCD is still on a sell. At this point I am still not convinced we are going to move up or down due to AAPL. OptionsEx, then earnings seasons, throw in a little Eurozone issues and you get a interestingly up and down market with no distinct short term direction, mixed intermediate term directions, and bulls swearing we are going to plow to AAPL at 1000 and SPX at 1500.

Only time will tell ;)

Have a Blessed Day !!

Based on Apple's earnings report yesterday, and this morning's futures, I think Ken made a mistake.

 

Based on Apple's earnings report yesterday, and this morning's futures, I think Ken made a mistake.


Me too, I got out of my longs EOD only because I didn't know for sure what AAPL was going to do, so now I will just wait to see if we will continue up or is it short time?
 
RMI's OCD Chart - Contrarian Signal:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks
[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality
[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing
[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA
[/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method
[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend
[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels
[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS
[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross
[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson
[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model
[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long-942[/TD]
[TD]Long-452[/TD]
[TD]Safe-935[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121[/TD]
[TD]Long-123[/TD]
[TD]Hold[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short-945[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-939[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-121[/TD]
[TD]Long-122[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short-1006[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Safe-995[/TD]
[TD]Safe-11[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-172[/TD]
[TD]Long-109[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-986[/TD]
[TD]Long-419[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-158[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Apr[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-978[/TD]
[TD]Long-447[/TD]
[TD]Safe-977[/TD]
[TD]Safe-9[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Safe-147[/TD]
[TD]Safe-116[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Sell-1[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-988[/TD]
[TD]Long-453[/TD]
[TD]Safe-983[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-156[/TD]
[TD]Safe-130[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Sell-2[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]43%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-933[/TD]
[TD]Long-460[/TD]
[TD]Safe-931[/TD]
[TD]Safe-5[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-112[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-957[/TD]
[TD]Long-458[/TD]
[TD]Safe-951[/TD]
[TD]Safe-6[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-125[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-3[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short-1011[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Safe-1006[/TD]
[TD]Safe-12[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-184[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Sell[/TD]
[TD]Sell-4[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Apr[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Apr[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Well, nice up day, but apparently not to get more systems on the long side. Or, maybe they know that this is just a temporary leg up with further downside in the near future....

Things that make you go hmmm...

Have a Blessed night and good luck trading to all!!
 
I kind of agree. I think we could see new highs, then bam, the rug comes from out from under us.

Unfortuantely it would be tough to play. I would assume I would still be in stocks at that point waiting for the failure before bailing. Selling a new high doesn't seem smart considering the trend, but it may turn out to be brilliant. Who knows?
 
Yes. Let me just add that I'm personally not convinced the low is in, but it might. This market is quite complex and volatility remains a challenge.

I should have put that your system did an IFT, I am right there with you, just have been there a lot longer :(
 
RMI,

Seven Sentinels went to a buy signal at the close yesterday.

Jim

Looks like a good move Jim. I'll be checking some indicators after the close today to see if I'm going back in. At this point, I'm guessing I'll be right behind you. (Or should I say, you're one step ahead of me. :laugh: ).
 
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