FundSurfer
TSP Pro
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Whoa! Watch that dollar pop up as people flock to US dollar as safe heaven. I think I'll buy I-fund today. If I owned I-fund, I think I'd stay put.
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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!Playing the I fund
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FundSurfer
TSP Pro
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The dollar is up 0.8% right now.Gilligan said:
SkyPilot
TSP Pro
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Okay, time for more theory... suppose the I-fund rally gets to the end of the day and stay roughly a +- net gain or better, and the US market continues to rally (but not too much), do we see the EAFE tagging on for a rally tomorrow? With the FV owed to the fund (maybe) we might have the single big day we have been looking for all week.
Either way, I'm probably going to head for G fund for Monday, book the gains or stop the loss.
The_Technician
Market Veteran
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Gilligan said:
Could be 19.34 or 19.52 depending if the FV is added....
SkyPilot
TSP Pro
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Gilligan,
it may yet remain to see how far off you will be, maybe not as much as it could appear at the moment...
Yesterday's MSCI was adjusted significantly, and todays numbers will likely be significantly adjusted as well.
Today has a lot of factors. I would not be suprised to see another day like yesterday, maybe even more so...
Sky, Quite frankly, I don't really have a practical handle on how to calculate the FV. Therefore, I prefer to leave that aspect to you and other colleagues here; although I do keep reading all of your calculations and hoping to understand this down the line. The other part of your hypothetical requires me to speculate. I trust that tomorrow the international markets follow the usual pattern. That is, a direct response to what happens in the U.S. markets. So, there should be a rally tomorrow in the EAFE. Many pundits opine that at some point there will be a decoupling of the international markets from the US markets, but I don't think it has happened yet! Tomorrow, I expect a rally in the EAFE, and I hope to do a transfer of most, if not all, into the G-Fund. Pray we get the rally. Again, if things were to change and we determine that a continuation rally is possible for next week, I am open to suggestions!SkyPilot said:Okay, time for more theory... suppose the I-fund rally gets to the end of the day and stay roughly a +- net gain or better, and the US market continues to rally (but not too much), do we see the EAFE tagging on for a rally tomorrow? With the FV owed to the fund (maybe) we might have the single big day we have been looking for all week.
Either way, I'm probably going to head for G fund for Monday, book the gains or stop the loss.
SkyPilot
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
- 40
I'm terrible at FV calc, but then, I am terrible at math anyway. Leave that to my engineering student sons... Mostly just guessing, speculating and standing on the shoulders of others who actually have a clue :nuts: .
But, I am great at unfounded speculation
!Pilgrim said:
Whatever time they use, the next day's calculations would reflect the changes in the dollar exactly 24 hours later. In other words, if they use noon, and the dollar falls by half a percent after noon but then the next day the dollar is up a quarter of a percent at noon, then the new value of the EAFE will reflect a quarter percent drop in the dollar.
Did that muddy it up for you?
Dave
<><sugarandspice
TSP Pro
- Reaction score
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I fund took a 4 cent dive today.
G got the penny.
This should even up the FV issue.Similar threads
