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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!Playing the I fund
- Thread starter clester
- Start date
mlk_man said:MSCI EAFE up .58% today.
Minus .352% FV from yesterday = + .23% or another FV today?
I say yesterday's FV was about .58% oddly enough. So today's quote should be even. Which considering the losses the S and I are looking to take, I guess it's not too bad. Ah but here's the rub, with today's losses, they could FV the other way, which would make today's one day move into I the worst move ever.
Dave
<><
mlk_man
Banned
ebbnflow said:I bailed out of the I Fund for today and went to the F Fund to run for cover. But, whatever happened to sanctuary? It seems like I am getting mugged on the F Fund a little bit. What's up with that?
Pricing in the next fed increase.
This from briefing.com:
With regard to industry strength and weakness, eight out of 10 sectors are trading lower, led by profit-taking in Industrials and more weakness in Technology, as higher rates spark valuation concerns among growth stocks. Bond traders continue to push up yields to where they anticipate the Fed will raise its overnight lending rate at next week's FOMC meeting; the yield on the 10-yr note currently stands at 5.19%, tied for the highest close since May 2002.
nnuut
Moderator | TSP Legend
Some think that Burntankle may raise rates .5% next week. UTTOOO! The dollar would be on the rise!
Here I am upset if the dollar gains value?? Trader me!!!!!!
Forex - Dollar edges up amid some aggressive US rate hike expectations.
http://www.advfn.com/news_Forex---Dollar-edges-up-amid-some-aggressive-US-rate-hike-expectations_0015881347.htmlAll major international markets are rallying! The way I see this is that we are now buying the I-fund very cheap. Today all of the analysts on CNBC World are bullish for interational growth from hereon. So this appears to be the time to increase the % of holdings in the I-fund (irrespective of next week's FED decision. Of course, economic cycles, financial and geopolitical crises arise when one least espects them But we can ride the ups and down if we are longer-term invested. BEST WISHES TO ALL!A very good call on the long-term, sponsor. I just have this gut feeling we haven't seen the bottom of the I-Fund yet, and TV has a way of spinning things (at times) to get people to do things. I'm still looking for the rest of this FYCL correction (6-8%) and a couple Gulf hurricanes. If neither materialize... I'll be a couple miles behind... playing catch-up. Good luck, sponsor.
sponsor said:Fivetears said:A very good call on the long-term, sponsor. I just have this gut feeling we haven't seen the bottom of the I-Fund yet, and TV has a way of spinning things (at times) to get people to do things. I'm still looking for the rest of this FYCL correction (6-8%) and a couple Gulf hurricanes. If neither materialize... I'll be a couple miles behind... playing catch-up. Good luck, sponsor.
By no means do I believe that I have a crystal ball. My opinion is based on a combination of technical indicators, as well as fundamental financial and economic conditions. I miss my mark many times. However, I do read the opinions of very respected Wall Street commentators and analysts, and I believe that we are on the right track for the second half of 2006.
We might revisit the lows in the indices this year, and perhaps we might even go lower at some point. However, the probability of a comeback is historically more probable than not. If you look at the charts that Tom put out today, we are at the lower end of a rising trend line. I agree with him that in all probability we will not enter into recession. It seemes that the FED is again trying to engineer a soft landing. If we are successful, the U.S. Indices will close higher this year. If that occurs, the International markets will follow the U.S. to the upside, because they are not yet. so far, delinked from the U.S, economy/or markets. Even though the I-fund is not concentrated in investing in emerging markets, but rather, more established economies, Japan does invest significantly in a very important area of growth -- Communist China. In my view, this is like investing in China, but without the excess risk that entails investing directly. Believe me, if my opinion is right, you and I, and all of us who are investing in the I-fund will reap handsome rewards. Things might change... and change could happen very quickly... So, I ask you and all of you to put your ideas forward so that we can reach a more profitable consnsus. If I am wrong on this, just give me a warning. I am open to ideas and to change when necessary! Take care!
P.S. What does "this FYCL correction (6-8%)" mean?Similar threads
