Playing the I fund

[Fivetears]

You need to Brett. But if you've lost your TSP @$$ this last few weeks in greed, you should probably stay in for the full ride back up to the top. JMHO.

Who was it on this board who said; "Don't feed the bears." We all want to make money the lazy way, find one fund that pays the most and stick with it. But, I think things are starting to change here, the dynamics that made the I-fund so successful are starting to change. What made the international fund work so well for so long? The falling dollar, rising Nikkei, low interest rates, rising gold prices, high trade deficits and deficit spending. I have jumped to the G-fund a couple of times in the last few weeks, but greed makes me feed the bear. When will I listen to my own common sense?

 

[Birchtree]

I moved some money for the wife from small cap fund to her international fund. This is a long term secular move and if the international gives back more value we'll add to the position - not pistol shooting - but dollar cost money hits tomorrow. Hooah! I'm excited and the deliverance of pain is just what was needed.

 

[The_Technician]

Now we can get back to solid investing and accumulation of shares for a wonderful tomorrow no matter how far down the road of life that may be. This is the wash out of the hedges and is healthy - embrace your pain and demonstrate endurance. Snort!

Wish I could go that'a way there Birchy.....but somehow, I have to establish some trust in the old girl before I get back on'er....or she might buck ya again ........

No BS!!!!

 

[Fivetears]

The European Central Bank raised its key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 2.75 percent.

 

[Birchtree]

And the Bank of England held steady today - no increase. And the BOJ is afraid to increase - snort.

 

[The_Technician]

looks like the I fund will be around 18.27 today.....MSCI is registering -3.61 or so %

 

[Rod]

Gee, I go on the road for a couple days and all things go even deeper into hell in a handbasket.

 

[Birchtree]

I was anticipating at least a $.50 clip off the value. It seems nobody wants the I fund now - what's wrong? This is opportunity time - come get some and don't be shy. I don't chase on the upside - but I'll fall right down the hole after that rabbit. Eventually you hit bottom.

 

[SkyPilot]

Whew!

Now that I am down to zero gains for the year, I can get a fresh start.

Think I can get to 12% gains by end of December

 

[frokker]

Down to $18.46

Ouch!!

 

[roguewave]

I was anticipating at least a $.50 clip off the value. It seems nobody wants the I fund now - what's wrong? This is opportunity time - come get some and don't be shy. I don't chase on the upside - but I'll fall right down the hole after that rabbit. Eventually you hit bottom.

Birch baby, if you love it at $18.46, you'll go gaga at $18.00 and will be beside yourself at much lower levels. Here's what your up against:

The CB's are going after Hedge Funds; Trying to prop their currencies up; ringing out EQUITY AND COMMODITY INFLATION primarily oil; and trying like hell not to completely destroy their respective physical economies. This is a very tall order. Until their is a coordinated shift in interest rate policy, I wish you and everyone else in the I fund well.

 

[Rod]

Nikkei opened UP nearly 100. Hopefully it will be a good day, followed by a few more.

 

[Rod]

Whew!

Now that I am down to zero gains for the year, I can get a fresh start.

Think I can get to 12% gains by end of December

Hey, I am now in the same shape I was last year at this time and ended the year nearly at 8%. Basically made 7% of that Oct-Dec.

Might as well ride this bad boy out.

 

[robo]

I was anticipating at least a $.50 clip off the value. It seems nobody wants the I fund now - what's wrong? This is opportunity time - come get some and don't be shy. I don't chase on the upside - but I'll fall right down the hole after that rabbit. Eventually you hit bottom.

We still owe them. They will take it tomorrow, but we should have some gains today to help off-set it. Stops some of the Market Timers who bought today and was hoping for a big gain tomorrow on a 1 day move. They will have a built in loss from today, but it should even out by Monday. I do agree we are close to a bottom, but this thing is far from over. Good trapping my Friend!

I also like rabbit!


Good Investing / Trading!

I added C Fund Today 55% long now.

 

[Fivetears]

The NIKKEI Investment High Jumping Team is on deck this evening and the bar is going up. 155.11 +1.06% ...a welcome change for many.

 

[Fivetears]

The Aussie's All Ordinaries (^AORD) is up too; 34.600 +0.71%.

 

[Pilgrim]

Trade report just came out, numbers sending dollar up against Euro and Yen. What I don't know how to predict is the effect of a 1.6% increase in import prices. Will this be seen as inflationary and impact U.S. stocks as well? Opinions??

 

[mlk_man]

Trade report just came out, numbers sending dollar up against Euro and Yen. What I don't know how to predict is the effect of a 1.6% increase in import prices. Will this be seen as inflationary and impact U.S. stocks as well? Opinions??

Yes it is inflationary but not sure how much clout people put into it. The trade balance, or is that imbalance, came in a little better than expected so that should help. Big week next week. Wouldn't a core CPI of 0.1% be nice.....

 

[Pilgrim]

Big week next week. Wouldn't a core CPI of 0.1% be nice.....

Depends on how you're invested. I am still all G and waiting for an entry. Many pundits talking about re-testing lows next week. What are the stars saying to you??

 

[mlk_man]

What are the stars saying to you??

Phone home.......................



I think it all depends on how much of that import price increase was just oil and food. If that was the main reason for the increase, I think the core CPI will be just fine.

I think we head back up next week. But that is just my opinion of course and doesn't mean squat.